U.S.-Iran talks spark rally, AI megacaps in focus
U.S. Vice‑President JD Vance led the first face‑to‑face talks with Iranian officials in Islamabad, easing Middle‑East tensions. The weekly rally lifted the Dow 3%, the S&P 500 3.6% and the Nasdaq 4.7%, driven by AI‑heavy megacap stocks. Google, Amazon and Nvidia were flagged as being in buy areas.
The S&P 500 has erased the recent sell‑off, completing a full round‑trip back to the middle of its trading range. Volatility has collapsed to near‑record lows, and systematic fund flows have shifted from aggressive selling to providing net support. While the market reset has cleared bearish positioning, the reduced price momentum is eroding the short‑term edge that many traders relied on. The broader implication is a likely transition to a more subdued, range‑bound environment until new catalysts emerge.

The $VIX ended the day at 19.49, which is below the level it closed at the day before the Iran war began (19.86 on Feb 27). All is calm again... https://t.co/8iOlF6bfQZ
FedEx and the Air Line Pilots Association reached a tentative collective bargaining agreement, sidestepping a possible strike that could have crippled cargo capacity. The news sent FedEx shares up 4.6% in early trading, underscoring the market’s relief. The deal now...
STAAR Surgical announced preliminary first‑quarter net sales of more than $90 million, a 111% increase over the same period a year earlier. The surge lifted the stock 23% in pre‑market trading and 19.25% in after‑hours, underscoring rapid market adoption of its...
U.S. equities extended a seven‑day winning streak on Wednesday as news of a cease‑fire agreement between Israel and Lebanon eased geopolitical risk, pushing the Dow Jones Industrial Average into positive territory for the year‑to‑date. The S&P 500 opened with a...

On a relatively normal 9% mild pullback we saw fear levels consistent with bear markets and 100-year pandemics. Amazing chart from @MacroCharts that shows the spike in money markets and cash like ETFs hit some truly extreme levels recently. https://t.co/dS2yJz8rLA

$SPX Futures tagged 6,854 today. That's a full reclaim of $6,680 and $6,808 resistance, a break above the Q1 downtrend line, and the 21 EMA back underneath price. Now let's see if this holds through CPI tomorrow and whatever drama happens on...
U.S. equities rallied sharply on Thursday as investors cheered a tentative cease‑fire in the Middle East, believing the conflict’s worst phase may be ending. The Dow Jones Industrial Average jumped 3.4% over two days, while the S&P 500, Nasdaq Composite and...
A Fragile ‘Ceasefire’ & 6865 $SPX Price Target This morning's premarket rant - before coffee. I should have said $6845. After we hit it + given $184M in Sept $6900/6910 calls were sold today, my VIX 19.29 bounce level is likely in...

I know all the market breadth experts said the end was near this time two weeks ago, but the NYSE A/D line simply pulled back to a longer-term trend line before accelerating higher. Will it make a new high? Yes, as...
Brown‑Forman’s stock surged 12.9% on Thursday, making it the S&P 500’s top gainer after a Wall Street Journal report linked the spirits maker to a potential deal with Sazerac. The rally follows earlier speculation that Paris‑based Pernod Ricard is eyeing a merger‑of‑equals,...

New multi-year low for Adobe - back to prices last seen in late 2018 $ADBE
S&P is 2.5% away from all time highs, this is not a bull trap. The path of least resistance is higher don’t fight it. Market breadth is improving & bad news is being priced in. Mag 7 also looking stronger

U.S. equities closed higher on Thursday as the Dow Jones rose 0.6% to 48,185, driven by a Bloomberg report that Israel is ready to negotiate with Lebanon, easing Middle‑East tensions. West Texas Intermediate crude surged past $97 a barrel, pushing...

The Substack post satirically examines how former President Donald Trump's hyperbolic threat to "destroy an entire civilization" could be interpreted by investors as a market risk. It references CNBC anchor Sara Eisen’s on‑air reaction and uses Star Wars imagery—short‑term out‑of‑the‑money...
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U.S. equities closed higher on Thursday as the Nasdaq, S&P 500 and Dow each rose about 0.6‑0.8%, with the Dow snapping back into positive year‑to‑date territory. The rally followed optimism that the two‑week U.S.–Iran ceasefire will hold, tempering the sharp oil...
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U.S. equity markets rallied on Thursday, with the Nasdaq up 0.8%, the S&P 500 up 0.6% and the Dow Jones gaining 0.6% and moving back into positive territory for the year. The bounce followed President Donald Trump’s announcement of a two‑week...
U.S. equities closed higher on Thursday as emerging peace talks in the Middle East eased concerns over the fragile U.S.–Iran truce. The S&P 500, Nasdaq and Dow all posted gains, with the S&P 500 reclaiming its 100‑day and 200‑day moving...

The forward earnings estimate has been growing at a robust 17% annual rate and the momentum has thus far not been affected by the headlines. This strength has beenenabling the cycle to become more balanced between valuation and earnings. As of...

The research firm released its first full‑year S&P 500 forecast, projecting the index to close near 6,800 by the end of 2026. The outlook hinges on a six‑week Iran conflict that triggered the largest oil‑supply shock in modern history, a newly...
Keybanc today lowered its price target on Meta Platforms $META stock to $760 down from $855 while maintaining its Overweight rating

This is how every stock in the S&P 500 has performed so far in today's early trading
Kulicke & Soffa Industries (KLIC) surged more than 6% to $76.85, edging close to its $77.50 buy point, which also marks the stock’s all‑time high. The company is projected to post Q2 earnings of $0.67 per share, a swing from...

With month-end and quarter-end behind us, the S&P 500 was down 4.3% YTD (as of March 31). Only Bitcoin and large cap growth have done worse, at least for the cohort of asset classes that I follow. On top were...
Stress levels in the financial markets have subsided a bit as the conflict in the Middle East enters its 5th week. Bonds and equities (and their vols) have moderated as the number of ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz is ticking up...
Palantir Technologies’ shares fell about 7% after contrarian investor Michael Burry posted that AI startup Anthropic is "eating Palantir’s lunch." Burry highlighted Anthropic’s rapid ARR growth—from $9 billion to $30 billion—in contrast to Palantir’s slower, service‑heavy model. He reiterated his bearish stance,...
Oracle reported fiscal Q3 2026 revenue of $17.2 billion, up 22% year over year, powered by a 44% jump in cloud services and an 84% surge in cloud infrastructure. Despite the record sales, the stock is down about 26% YTD as...
On April 2, 2026, the S&P 500 surged 2.5% on elevated volume, marking a follow‑through day and closing above its 50‑day moving average. Investor’s Business Daily reported that 60 top‑rated growth stocks reached new Relative Strength Line highs, indicating strong outperformance...
Today’s Finviz heatmap shows capital flowing into technology and semiconductor stocks, which posted the strongest gains over the past 24 hours. Consumer discretionary also advanced, while energy and financial sectors lagged, registering modest declines. The visual snapshot highlights a risk‑on...
Wall Street opened muted on Thursday as the Dow Jones slipped 69.3 points, or 0.14%, to 47,840.63. The S&P 500 was essentially flat, down 0.01% to 6,783.69, while the Nasdaq nudged higher 0.05% to 22,646.35. The moves came amid growing...

Wall Street rallied Thursday as investors grew optimistic that Israel’s decision to open direct talks with Lebanon could cement a fragile cease‑fire in the Middle East. The S&P 500 gained 0.6%, the Dow 0.7% and the Nasdaq 0.7% by early...
Snap unveiled a health‑centric advertising platform, but its shares fell 1.5% to $4.73 as investors questioned whether healthcare ad spend can become a lasting growth engine. The dip comes amid ongoing child‑safety lawsuits, an EU probe and activist pressure.
Richardson Electronics reported Q1 revenue of $53.7 million, a 2.2% year‑over‑year increase, and beat analyst expectations. COO Wendy S. Diddell used the earnings call to highlight an 84% surge in Green Energy Solutions sales and a $10 million inventory expansion, prompting a...
President Donald Trump's announcement of a two‑week ceasefire with Iran sent U.S. crude down 16.4% to $94.41 a barrel, sparked a 2.5% jump in the S&P 500, and drove the dollar to its lowest level in four weeks. Traders now...

The Market Brief notes that the initial optimism from a two‑week cease‑fire is fading as markets give back Wednesday’s gains. Systematic macro hedge funds (CTAs) were positioned deep short the S&P 500 and max long WTI crude before the April 7 moves,...
U.S. personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index rose 0.4% month‑over‑month, in line with expectations, while core PCE climbed 0.4% against a 0.3% forecast, keeping the 12‑month headline rate at 2.8% and core inflation at 3%. Personal income slipped 0.1% and...

US stock futures slipped 0.3‑0.6% on Thursday as renewed Middle East tensions cast doubt on the two‑week ceasefire between Iran and Israel. The Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq all gave back gains from Wednesday’s rally. Iran’s claim that Israel breached the...

The Dow surged over 1,300 points even as Iran accused the United States of breaching their cease‑fire agreement, sparking concerns over oil‑tanker traffic in the Strait of Hormuz and nudging crude prices higher. In Washington, a federal appeals court denied...
The Yo-Yo market continues as oil prices back higher ahead of PCE data today. $META tries to hold onto its gains after its unveil of its Muse Spark AI model shoes its come to play. $CRWV higher as it...

Taking a longer look, we can see below that the S&P 500 equal-weighted index is right on its rising trendline, while the forward P/E ratio is at 18.2x. It’s hard to accuse the market of being over-extended, at least in...

The S&P 500 index has continued to fluctuate in an elevated range (4-5% per week), as markets try to find their footing amid the conflicting headlines. The trailing P/E ratio is now 23.3x and the implied equity risk premium is...
Kulicke And Soffa, IBD Stock Of The Day, Surges Toward Buy Point In Chip Gear Rally https://t.co/WVTYnRI270 $KLIC

We are going live for TRACE Reloaded in 45 minutes. Don’t miss your chance to see what’s truly behind today’s market: https://t.co/hA4hvasgi0 https://t.co/vHA7nAA2q6
Soooo. $spy and $qqq both held yesterday’s gap pivot and rallied. How did u do? #630club

Six for Six S&P 500 up six days in a row and up 6%? Above average returns across the board, with a median return of another nearly 11% 3-months later. https://t.co/bM6BsGKqAZ

Software $IGV and semis $SMH are the most negatively correlated ever (based on 63-day correlation of daily excess returns vs $SPY) https://t.co/x0Dfm9zreN

that's a surge of #marketbreadth and buying as the % of stocks in the S&P 1500 > 10-day EMA moved up to ~84.1% after getting oversold with a #bulldivergence... https://t.co/zXjmVwy6hK

we've had a full "collapse" in my $SPX $VIX model as the 1/10 oscillator (bottom) has come all the way back down as volatilty as settled... same as fall '25 and spring '25... https://t.co/Bg0SJqtlrd

A day after rejecting the breakout $AMZN has a chance to do it day 2. The market is king but if it holds 223 in the opening range this can go. https://t.co/GLyS9ALQui

New daily post for subs about the price action yesterday. Link in reply below. $SPX 👇 https://t.co/ONkOgOuZXQ