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Wall Street surges on Iran cease‑fire, but Cramer warns of overbought risk
U.S. equities jumped after a two‑week cease‑fire between the United States and Iran, pushing the S&P 500 up 3.6%, the Nasdaq 4.7% and the Dow 3% – the strongest weekly gain for all three indices since November. Jim Cramer cautioned that the rally may be premature, labeling the market overconfident given the fragile truce and lingering Middle‑East risks.
In this brief market commentary, host Brian Seitel reviews the low‑volume trading day, noting a 1% market decline driven by geopolitical tension over the Strait of Hormuz and modest rises in yields and oil prices. He shifts focus to corporate fundamentals, highlighting record‑high operating margins (now near 19.7%) and the resilience of earnings despite higher energy costs, with AI potentially boosting productivity. Seitel also discusses the convergence of EPS growth between the MAG7 mega‑caps and the rest of the S&P 500, and points out a miss in durable‑goods orders as a forward‑looking indicator. Finally, he debates whether Fed rate cuts can offset AI‑driven job displacement, concluding that structural labor shifts are unlikely to be solved by monetary policy.
The Nasdaq Composite rallied on April 5, with 94% of its information‑technology components trading above their 5‑day moving averages. The breakout, fueled by optimism over a possible U.S.–Iran cease‑fire, lifted the S&P 500 and Dow Jones to multi‑week highs.
Tesla shares slipped nearly 4% to $338.90, marking a seven‑month low and extending a seven‑week decline. ARK Invest, led by Cathie Wood, purchased 39,691 Tesla shares across three ETFs, a $13.8 million buy—the first since July. The purchase represents less than 0.2%...
Microsoft’s shares have fallen about 23% YTD, making it the worst‑performing member of the Magnificent Seven, despite strong AI‑related revenue growth. Goldman Sachs reiterated a buy rating, setting a $600 price target that implies roughly 60% upside from current levels....
U.S. pre‑market futures slipped Tuesday, with the Dow down 0.47%, the S&P 500 down 0.56%, and the Nasdaq down 0.75% as investors brace for President Trump’s deadline on Iran. February durable‑goods orders fell 1.4%, the weakest reading since October 2025, though...
Elevated negative gamma exposure present under spot on $SPY. It is testing a break of $655 now; if there's follow-through, $650 is the next support. As Trump's Iran ceasefire deadline approaches, the market will be looking for any catalysts.
Delta Air Lines will report earnings first among U.S. carriers as jet fuel prices spike amid the Iran‑War. The airline’s ownership of the Monroe Energy refinery in Pennsylvania gives it a strategic edge in securing Northeast jet fuel supply, cushioning...
US equity markets entered 2026 on a solid macro footing, with earnings projected to rise near 10% and nominal GDP accelerating. While the Middle East conflict has spiked commodity prices, analysts expect the war to resolve within months, allowing energy...
Fundstrat’s Tom Lee and Pershing Square founder Bill Ackman both told investors that the current market dip is almost over and that today offers a rare buying opportunity. Their comments come as the S&P 500 finished Q1 down 4.6% but...
JPMorgan reiterated an underweight rating on Tesla, slashing its price target to $145 and warning that the stock could fall as much as 60% from current levels. The call follows a first‑quarter delivery shortfall, record‑high unsold inventory and a broader...
Goldman Sachs data reveals hedge funds sold off high‑growth stocks in March at the fastest pace in 13 years, targeting names such as Nvidia, Tesla and Palantir. The retreat coincides with a 4% year‑to‑date drop in the S&P 500 and...
The Federal Reserve’s latest nowcast pushes 12‑month inflation to 3.25% for March and 3.28% for April, an 85‑basis‑point jump that could stall the Fed’s easing cycle and weigh on the S&P 500, Nasdaq and Dow, which have recently flirted with...
IonQ (IONQ) saw its shares tumble 24.9% in March, driven by analyst price‑target cuts and a shift away from growth stocks after the Iran conflict began. The decline comes despite the company's record 99.99% two‑qubit gate fidelity and a 429%...
📺 THE CALM BEFORE THE STORM: THIS MARKET CAN FLIP FAST Today is a big geopolitical event for the markets. We either see escalation (oil spikes → market drops hard) or de-escalation (ceasefire, partial reopening of Strait of Hormuz → relief...
Monday recorded the lowest U.S. equity trading volume of the year, with 14.8 billion shares and $663 billion in notional value changing hands. Investors remain cautious as they hedge heavily with index puts while the market watches a looming Trump‑imposed deadline on...
Last week the S&P 500 rallied 3.4% and the Nasdaq 4.4%, but the move stalled at key technical levels. The Money Flow Breadth Ratio fell to 35%, indicating sustained institutional selling pressure. Meanwhile, oil surged above $110 per barrel, pushing inflation...
President Donald Trump’s 8 p.m. ET deadline to force Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz is tightening, pushing oil prices higher and denting market sentiment. Activist investor Bill Ackman has offered a roughly $64 billion cash‑and‑stock deal to acquire Universal Music...
The S&P 500 jumped 3.4% last week, its strongest gain since May, while the Nasdaq rose 4.4% and the Dow nearly 3%. The rally unfolded alongside a 12% weekly surge in WTI crude, which closed near $112 per barrel after...
Broadcom announced a long‑term agreement with Alphabet to supply custom AI chips, including TPUs and networking components, extending through 2031. The deal also expands collaboration with Anthropic, granting the AI startup access to about 3.5 GW of TPU‑based compute beginning in...
President Donald Trump issued an ultimatum demanding Iran lift its blockade of the Strait of Hormuz by 8 p.m. Eastern, threatening to “decimate” Tehran’s infrastructure if it fails. The warning sent oil prices soaring, with Brent crude around $111 a barrel...
🚨 Morning Market Rundown – April 7, 2026 🚨 Macro + geopolitics in focus today — watch oil and volatility as the Hormuz deadline looms 👀 🗓️ Economic Events: 0830 - Durable Goods Orders (Feb): Exp -1.2%; Prior 0% 0830 - Core Durable Goods...
Eight S&P 500 stocks—U.S. Bancorp, Allstate, KeyCorp, Aflac, Philip Morris International, Emerson Electric, AES and Electronic Arts—have remained virtually flat this year despite the broader index’s 3.4% decline amid inflation and the Iran‑related war shock. The so‑called “rock‑solid” group spans financials, consumer staples, industrials, utilities...
Apple announced a record $143.76 billion revenue for its fiscal first quarter, propelled by iPhone sales that rose 23.3% year‑over‑year to $85.27 billion. The results topped Wall Street forecasts by nearly $5 billion, reinforcing the tech giant’s dominance in the large‑cap arena.
StubHub's shares fell 34.8% after the ticket‑resale platform posted a 15.8% revenue decline to $449.2 million in Q4 and warned that direct‑ticketing revenue will remain modest in 2026. The miss, coupled with regulatory concerns, pushed the company's enterprise value to about...
"S&P 500 forward earnings continues to rise rapidly, while S&P 400 and S&P 600 forward earnings are also moving higher. The broadening breadth of forward earnings in recent months is a bullish development." -Yardeni
Southwest Airlines saw its Relative Strength rating climb from 70 to 73, still shy of the coveted 80‑plus level investors favor. The carrier posted a swing to positive earnings per share, up 4%, and revenue growth accelerated to 7% in...
Tesla’s shares have fallen about 18.5% over the past six months, marking a near‑20% slide that investors are closely watching. The decline is tied to three main factors: the company’s failure to meet its ambitious robotaxi rollout timeline, stagnant vehicle...
Wall Street opened higher on strong U.S. jobs data, with all three major indices in the green, while investors kept an eye on the unfolding Iran conflict. Ten mid‑cap stocks with at least $2 billion market caps posted unexpected gains, led...
Macro: SPY supported by ~17.5% S&P earnings growth and AI/NVIDIA outperformance. Technicals are bullish but 150‑day EMA caps. Risk: higher oil → inflation, Fed hawkish shift. Trade: buy pullbacks; stop <150‑day EMA. — Viktor Kopylov, PhD, CFA More insights: t.me/si14Kopylov
While both chains posted modest growth in 2025, analysts argue Domino's offers a more compelling upside than McDonald's. Domino's posted 3% full‑year same‑store sales growth, a 5% revenue rise and trades at just 18 × forward earnings, versus McDonald's higher multiple...
Madison Air announced a roadshow for a proposed initial public offering of 82,692,308 shares priced between $25 and $27, valuing the deal at roughly $2.1 billion. The company will list on the NYSE under the ticker MAIR and plans to use...
QQQ: +0.6%, not bad for Black Monday. Anyway, the price must stay resilient reclaiming levels. The 20DMA acted as resistance today. The setup is open to escalations in Iran with the daily volume and Money Flow both diverging from the...
SPs had 3 bars down off OP (negative) but pace of volume same as yesterday suggesting folks on sidelines. https://t.co/m3DyfjRblV
AGNC Investment disclosed a tangible net book value of $8.88 per share for Q4 2025, up from $8.41 a year earlier. The REIT's dividend yield remains around 14% despite a long‑term decline in both dividend payouts and net book value,...
$AAPL Daily. Multiple 200-day moving average tests for Apple over the last few weeks. Head-fake bounce yesterday. The more the 200-day is tested the more likely it is to give way. https://t.co/Ci7YFiC1lq
We got the first breadth thrust of 2026 yesterday (at least the first of the many that I track). Is that a good sign? Yes. Is one enough? No. I prefer to see at least 4 over a two-week period....
President Trump has made reopening the Strait of Hormuz a non‑negotiable condition for any cease‑fire with Iran, setting a Tuesday evening deadline. Tehran rejected the Pakistan‑brokered proposal, insisting on a broader, permanent peace that includes sanctions relief and reconstruction support....
market started dropping in trump's truth social post. i held the $QQQ bid at 583.25. look for retracement back to 585.
GS: The valuation premium of the US technology Hyperscalers has fallen S&P 500 12m forward P/E multiple https://t.co/29BVbVl8AT
Apple’s stock rose 1.15% to $258.86, beating the S&P 500’s 0.44% gain. Over the past month the shares slipped only 0.6%, outperforming a 2.47% sector decline and a 3.31% drop in the broader index. Zacks analysts project Q4 earnings of $1.89...
Keith: The S&P Short Range Oscillator is now overbought (after being oversold for several weeks) -at 2.28% v -0.52% (day earlier). @dougkass @SamofAmerica @HedgeyeDJ @KeithMcCullough
VOLUME: yesterday's Counter #Quad3 TREND Bounce for $SPY came on one of the slowest volume days of 2026 https://t.co/YCQoCnGu0n
On April 6, 2026, veteran options strategist Larry McMillan posted a new Stock Market Update video. In the briefing, he reviewed the current equity market, noting persistent volatility and shifting monetary policy. McMillan offered actionable options‑based recommendations and reiterated the importance...
By contrast, the S&P Short Range Oscillator is now overbought -at 2.28% v -0.52% (day earlier).
Stabilization Into A Trap 💫Searching For A Bottom 💫Another Trump Ultimatum 💫Mechanical Flows Waiting For Gamma Flip 💫The New Macro-Driven Volatility Regime 💫Earnings - Opportunity or As Good As It Gets 💫The Week Ahead: Inflation Threatens https://t.co/Y1dcSGIrPf
SPY closed with just ~36M shares traded, about 60% below average and the lowest volume since February of last year.
The S&P 500 rose for a fourth straight day. Markets rallied on ceasefire hope. But the ISM Services report just delivered the clearest stagflation signal since 2022 and nobody noticed. Prices Paid surged to 70.7%. Employment contracted to 45.2%. Service...
$SPX - 4th up day in a row and approaching the 200 day MA. The most likely scenario is hitting the 200 DMA and then turning down again for another down leg. Obviously, a ceasefire agreement with Iran will probably...
Slowest full-day volume (for US Stocks) of the year while Oil is ripping a new one to new highs again tonight - no worries
Some technical ambiguity from Monday's $SPX performance. The index is above its short/medium term trend channel resistance and the 20-day SMA. Alternatively, still below a zone of resistance around 6,630/20 and the 200-SMA on lowest volume since Dec 31st. Bullish or not?...
