Social•Feb 20, 2026
Current Feb Mirrors Century‑Long SPY Performance Trends
$SPX.X $SPY Feb performance by day 100 years overlaid on MTD action of SPY https://t.co/x1W4uABOCj
By Brian Shannon, CMT
Social•Feb 20, 2026
Balanced OPEX Shows No Clear Call or Put Dominance
This OPEX is a fairly standard size OPEX, with about $600 bn on delta expiring. That's ~1/2 of a quarterly OPEX. You can see that calls and puts are relatively equal in size (right side), which makes sense based off...
By Brent Kochuba
Social•Feb 20, 2026
Short the Rips, Buy the Dips: Grinder’s Strategy
Grinder on the short side of the Indices for several months. Short the rips, buy the dips... for now, Bill. @DougKass
By Doug Kass
Social•Feb 20, 2026
Trump’s 5.4% GDP Claim Was Just a Model
Remember when Trump was bragging about Q4 GDP growth, quoting a 5.4% rate? That was the Atlanta Fed's GDPNow model, not the actual. Now we have the actual: 1.4%. Moral: Don't take GDP "trackers" or anyone citing them, remotely seriously....
By Ian Shepherdson
Social•Feb 20, 2026
VWAP Highlights Week-Long Choppiness Across Major Indices
The 🔵WTD ⚓️VWAP tells the story of the choppy week in $ES_F $SPY $NQ_F $QQQ https://t.co/ihrFlZV1FZ
By Brian Shannon, CMT
Social•Feb 20, 2026
ETF Fees Halt Decline as Higher‑cost Products Gain Traction
The race to zero has hit a wall as the asset weighted average ETF fee has finally stopped its descent and even reversed a bit (this chart is one of the scariest, albeit slow moving ones for Wall St, equiv...
By Eric Balchunas
Social•Feb 20, 2026
Friday's Top Reads: Power Shifts Across Media, Finance, Politics
10 Friday AM Reads: -Netflix Calls Paramount's Bluff -401k Takeover: Private Equity Muscles In -Billionaires' Low Taxes' Problem for the Economy -Quiet Architect of Trump's Global Trade War -The End of the Office -The US Coup: One Year On -U2 Propaganda Days of Ash https://t.co/cSpLOtlpzu
By Barry Ritholtz
Social•Feb 20, 2026
Live Daily Pre‑Market Independent Research Available Now
We're on a LIVE wire with the only Independent Research you can get PRE MARKET daily
By Keith McCullough
Social•Feb 20, 2026
SPX Holds Channel—Stay Selective, Await Clean Setups
$SPX is still holding its channel, it’s an easy tape to overtrade, so stay selective and wait for clean setups. Key levels: support 6780–6790, yesterday’s low 6833, and pivot resistance 6909, with PCE and GDP on deck at 8:30. https://t.co/lvzBNkDdkK
By Scott Redler
Social•Feb 20, 2026
Live Premarket Picks: NVDA, TSLA, IBIT, SPY
⏰Scott Redler’s #630club - LIVE Premarket Stock Update $NVDA $TSLA $IBIT $SPY 📷 Free VIP List Newsletter: https://t.co/EW4O2nbz8N https://t.co/LuYuPCBRLU
By Scott Redler
Social•Feb 20, 2026
Gold Tops Sharpe Rankings; Bitcoin Shows Hopeful Higher Low
For the spectrum of asset classes that I track, equities remain in the middle with modest 52-week Sharpe Ratios, while gold remains on top and Bitcoin at the bottom. Gold continues to exhibit very resilient behavior, recovering quickly from corrections. This...
By Jurrien Timmer
Social•Feb 20, 2026
Rising PMI Could Spark Market Melt‑Down, Delay Fed Cuts
Will the stock market melt down if the US economy heats up, banishing traders' hopes for Fed rate cuts? All eyes turn to PMI data to find out. #stockmarkets #USD #fed #pmi #economy #interestrates #macro #trading https://t.co/fgEbuQrjnq
By Ilya Spivak
Social•Feb 20, 2026
Software’s Value Mispriced; Embedded Platforms Gain From AI
Software Is Not Dead. It’s Being Mispriced. AI disruption fears, multiple compression, and why embedded platforms may be the real beneficiaries of automation. Read here: https://www.leadlagreport.com/p/software-is-not-dead-its-being-mispriced
By Michael A. Gayed, CFA (Lead-Lag Report)
Social•Feb 20, 2026
US Stock Market Hits Record Concentration: Top 10 Own 40%
🚨US market concentration BUBBLE in one chart: The top 10 US stocks make up a record 40% of the S&P 500 market value. At the same time, the weight of the largest stock in the S&P 500 relative to the 75th percentile...
By Global Markets Investor (newsletter author)
Social•Feb 19, 2026
SPX Flat While DE Soars, Oil Breaks Out, COIN Spikes
$SPX is still stuck between 6800 and 7000. But under the surface, $DE exploded higher on earnings, $CVX and $COP broke out with crude oil, and $COIN is showing amplified volatility vs #Bitcoin. Here’s what I’m watching next: https://t.co/bQnwyKMJeh https://t.co/v7DLLL1mYC
By David Keller, CMT
Social•Feb 19, 2026
Energy and Materials Surge as Tech Falters in 2026
This is a pretty cool chart to show your investment committee. A classic stock price-to-corporate profits image that reveals extended conditions reminiscent of the turn of the century. If this chart has any prescience, we should remember that the leaders...
By Jeff Weniger
Social•Feb 19, 2026
HG Delivers Strong Results and Special Dividend
$HG been a nice newer issue in Financials, just announced results and special divvy https://t.co/1as8xwX6bo
By Joe Kunkle
Social•Feb 19, 2026
McGough’s CVNA Sell Call Beats CNBC’s Coverage
Great SELL call by McGough @HedgeyeRetail on $CVNA that CNBC failed, once again, to cover
By Keith McCullough
Social•Feb 19, 2026
Growth-to-Value Rotation Shifts Money to Cyclicals and Defensives
“Yes, THAT growth-to-value sector rotation I called in November to last through Feb before volatility Mar into May. THAT was my call and it’s still in play before a massive de-risking in MAG7 and SaaS unwind showed up along with...
By Samantha LaDuc
Social•Feb 19, 2026
Small‑cap Outlook Dim Amid Credit Crunch, AI Slowdown
Asking for a friend how small caps are going to perform after everyone piled in long behind the economic reacceleration trade while private credit implodes, the AI capex buffer declines and the Fed remains on hold...
By Quinn Thompson
Social•Feb 19, 2026
Consumer Staples Lead 2026 with Record‑Breaking 13% Jump
The consumer staples sector is off to its best start to a calendar year BY FAR. $XLP is up 13.3% so far in 2026. Next best year is 2013 at 7.8%.
By ETF Focus
Social•Feb 19, 2026
China Cuts US Treasury Holdings to Crisis Low
🚨Chinese officials had urged banks to limit purchases of US government bonds, and instructed those with high exposure to SELL their positions. Data shows China’s holdings of US Treasuries fell to $682.6 billion, the lowest since the Financial Crisis.👇 https://globalmarketsinvestor.beehiiv.com/p/is-the-us-dollar-gradually-losing-its-safe-haven-status
By Global Markets Investor (newsletter author)
Social•Feb 19, 2026
Rising Capex May Curb Buybacks, Pressure Valuations
With credit spreads low and profit margins seemingly on the rise, valuations seem OK at current levels. These two variables are important drivers for the equity risk premium, which is currently at 4.0% according to my version of the DCF...
By Jurrien Timmer
Social•Feb 19, 2026
Fed Minutes Omit 2% Inflation Target Date, Signaling Uncertainty
One more note on the Fed minutes: Sometimes it's interesting what they don't say. Last year at every meeting until December, the staff forecast called for inflation to return to 2% by 2027. In December, the forecast pushed this back to...
By Nick Timiraos
Social•Feb 19, 2026
Long‑duration Assets Like Bitcoin, Growth Stocks Lose Favor
Bitcoin's drop has coincided with a decline in the Russell 1000's Pure Growth P/E. What do they have in common? Both are long-duration, and are being shunned during the underlying rotation into shorter-duration (cyclical) securities (think value, dividend payers, Energy...
By Michael Kantro
Social•Feb 19, 2026
Robinhood’s Earnings Expose Risks for $HOOD Investors
If you’re a $HOOD investor, you’ve probably suffered a wild ride in recent months. The company just issued its latest earnings, which reminded the market of the dangers of Robinhood’s business model.
By Hyperstocks
Social•Feb 19, 2026
Confirm Bearish RSI Divergences with Price Levels Before Acting
Bearish RSI divergences can hint at a major top — but only if price & key levels confirm. Momentum can fade while price still grinds higher. Patience & confirmation are essential. My latest article on @StockCharts: https://t.co/sDlIJ3WADG
By David Keller, CMT
Social•Feb 19, 2026
Defensives Hit Dot‑Com Lows, Poised for Rally
Chart of the Week - Defensives With tech in trouble (+a number of macro risks lurking on the horizon), defensives are starting to look interesting… Defensives (i.e. an equal-weighted basket of: Utilities, Healthcare, Consumer Staples) are turning up vs the S&P500 —after...
By Callum Thomas
Social•Feb 19, 2026
Big Tech Lagged S&P; Past Winners Not Guaranteed
S&P 500 is up 77% over the last 5 years. These tech stocks didn't beat it: Amazon: +27% Netflix: +46% And these stocks got destroyed: Nike: -55% Disney: -42% PayPal: -86% Shopify: -18% Past winners aren't always future winners.
By The Market Hustle
Social•Feb 18, 2026
US Large‑Cap Valuations Still Overpriced, Risks Loom
Recent rotation has helped resolve some of U.S. large cap stocks’ valuation excesses, but risks remain to the downside for U.S. multiples. Large cap growth’s sales multiple is still near its all-time high, at about 6X, and growth’s earnings multiple may...
By Gina Martin Adams, CMT, CFA
Social•Feb 18, 2026
Software Stocks Face Fear‑Driven Selloff, Not Real Decline
Software is getting hit on fear of substitution more than evidence of structural deterioration in enterprise spending. When price action gets ahead of reality, the re-rating can be violent if the narrative cools.
By Michael A. Gayed, CFA (Lead-Lag Report)
Social•Feb 18, 2026
US Stock Premium at Risk as Tech Capex Rises
Although global markets have narrowed the gap with the US in recent weeks, US equities still trade at a roughly 40% valuation premium to the rest of the world. That premium could shrink further if big tech companies lose their...
By Holger Zschaepitz
Social•Feb 18, 2026
Analyst's PANW Recommendation Misses, Stock Tanks
I was astonished that Bryn Talkington's feet were not held to the fire today after she recommended (confidentally) $PANW yesterday. Four hours later the company guided lower and the stock tanked. Does the network basically not give a shit (about their most...
By Doug Kass
Social•Feb 18, 2026
Retail Shorts Ahead as High‑Income Spending Slips
The show panelists (don't be shocked, they are bullish) love retail/consumer stocks - we shorted $COST and $WMT in the last 24 hours. We are looking for more consumer shorts. We believe lower home and stock prices will take away from the...
By Doug Kass
Social•Feb 18, 2026
Missing Top 10 Days Slashes Stock Returns
Last year, the S&P 500 gained 16.4%, but if you missed the best 10 days that dropped to minus 9.5%. Since '90, stocks have gained 7.7% a year, but if you missed the 10 best days each year? It goes down...
By Ryan Detrick
Social•Feb 18, 2026
ETF Inflows Double Historic Pace in First Six Weeks
Here's ETF flows for the first six weeks of the year historically. This year is off to the best start almost by double. One reason is growing depth of cash vacuum cleaners. VOO, SPYM hoovering as always but there's already...
By Eric Balchunas
Social•Feb 18, 2026
FOMC Minutes Reveal Split Views: Cut, Hold, or Hike
Key paragraph of the FOMC minutes from January. (I am honestly a bit confused by the 'minutes math.') The main takeaway is that there is considerable disagreement. Cut, hold, and (even possibly) hike all got a nod. https://t.co/eV9ldjldl1 https://t.co/K53g1yqKJ8
By Claudia Sahm
Social•Feb 18, 2026
Four Real-Time Alerts Launched, All Timestamped Since
4 new Real-Time Alerts (2 Longs, 2 Shorts) fired off today Every. Single. One. #timestamped since 2008 https://t.co/alAFTYikLd
By Keith McCullough
Social•Feb 18, 2026
Record Hedge Fund Bet on Magnificent 7 Risks Collapse
⚠️Almost everybody is piling into the SAME TRADE: Hedge fund net allocation to Magnificent 7 stocks is up to a RECORD 22%. This is more than DOUBLE the level seen in 2022. At the same time, these stocks remain among the most popular...
By Global Markets Investor (newsletter author)
Social•Feb 18, 2026
Fed Minutes Reveal Larger Faction Demanding Higher Cut Threshold
Minutes from the Fed's Jan. 27-28 meeting laid bare a lingering divide over where to set the bar for further rate cuts. In Fed speak, "some" is larger than "several" which means the group of "some" officials that includes those with...
By Nick Timiraos
Social•Feb 18, 2026
Micron Poised for Record Highs Amid Memory Shortage
Can Micron do it again? $MU heading back towards record territory as memory shortages continue.
By Hyperstocks
Social•Feb 18, 2026
Mania Depression: Elites Stagnate, Borrowers Slip Further
FWIW - The sentiment data suggests its not a "boomcession" we're experiencing but a "maniapression." Those at the top can't put enough into the markets, while those at the bottom fall further and further behind on their loans.
By Peter Atwater
Social•Feb 18, 2026
Herbalife Stands Strong, Remains AI‑Proof Since November
Herbalife $HLF apparently is AI-proof Nice move since 11/20 when they came hard for calls and it continues https://t.co/G7vt2JRhuJ
By Joe Kunkle
Social•Feb 18, 2026
S&P Adds $500B, Gold Climbs; PCE Inflation Watch
WHAT A DAY, the S&P 500 has gained around $500 BILLION in market cap, up 0.8%. The index is now up 0.3% YTD 📈 Gold is also trading higher, back above $5,000/oz, as global tensions start to escalate 😳 Mark your calendars...
By Peter Tuchman (Einstein of Wall Street)
Social•Feb 18, 2026
Retail Traders Set Record Demand on Citadel Platform
Citadel on flows, via Bbrg: Retail traders spent a record amount snapping up software shares on Citadel Securities’ platform, according to Scott Rubner, head of equity and equity derivatives strategy at the firm, which began tracking the data in 2017: “Net notional...
By MacroCharts
Social•Feb 18, 2026
M7 Tech Stocks Test Low, Threatening Repeat Correction
However, as the AI narrative continues to unfold, from euphoria a few months ago to handwringing now (over the commodification of the SaaS stocks and the unknown ROI of hyperscaler capex), the Might Mag 7 is showing some strains. The...
By Jurrien Timmer
Social•Feb 18, 2026
Global Indices Inch Higher as India VIX Plunges
Global Market Update: Gift Nifty +50.50 (0.20%) 25,760.50 DowJones +32.26 (+0.07%) 49,533.19 Nasdaq +31.71 (+0.14%) 22,578.38 India Vix -0.6600 (-4.95%) 12.6700 S&P 500 +7.05 (+0.10%) 6,843.22
By stock_n_trade
Social•Feb 18, 2026
Markets May Slip as Fed Delays Rate Cuts
Will stock markets tip over amid worries about the Fed dragging its feet on rate cuts? FOMC meeting minutes are in focus. #stockmarkets #fed #fomc #dollar #macro #trading https://t.co/yYSQfOx27L
By Ilya Spivak
Social•Feb 18, 2026
PANW Chase at $221 Requires 47% Rally to Breakeven
If you "loved the chart" and chased $PANW at $221, you now only have to be up +47% (from here) to get back to breakeven #bags https://t.co/UStQewrZkp
By Keith McCullough
Social•Feb 18, 2026
Media's Shallow Analysis Misleads Retail Investors
No, Kip, not pumping and dumping $PANW. Just no or limited investment process, opinions full of hubris, memorized sound bytes, no company spreadsheets/models, no timestamps - which "works" when the tide is coming in but not when the tide is going...
By Doug Kass