
Energy leadership is getting absurd: XLE/SPY up ~42% in 3 months. That’s not a ‘rotation’. That’s a macro stress signal wearing an equity costume. https://t.co/QVnWJHwVgi

Big Tech is selling off faster than the market. S&P 500 -6.9% YTD Big Tech (MAGS) -15.9% YTD $MSFT -26.2% YTD Capex hit $37.5B in a single quarter. Gross margins dropped to 68% (3-year low). Free cash flow is under pressure. AI is scaling,...

S&P 500 12M forward earnings estimates 8% S&P 500 8% War and AI doubts have fueled an unprecedented divergence between stock prices and earnings estimates https://t.co/op1buWsF30 https://t.co/F9QcLD2WC2

This feels like the most orderly sell-off of all time These are the daily moves in the S&P 500 since the start of the war No big down days yet at all https://t.co/atbg2iids3

How markets have performed since February 28 (start of the Iran war) 🔴 SP500 -7.5% 🔴 MAG 7 -6.5% 🔴 Gold -13% 🟢 Bitcoin +3% 🟢 (WTI) Oil +53% 🟢 (Brent) Oil +50% 🔴 10 yr US Treasury Yields ~+25–40 bps 🟢 VIX +50% So much winning https://t.co/YpeGMs8fpe

here's the % change of the biggest stocks since the Israel/U.S. vs. Iran war started: https://t.co/SuIscwwQ0w

my S&P 500 $SPX ATR model turned upwards last week, creating the first bearish equity signal since early 2025... #DCATR https://t.co/d12cVeyvwP

The last oversold $spy bounce went from $647 to $661ish If this does the same. It can go from $633 to $650ish. We will go day by day. Map out levels. And we’ll see how certain stocks and groups...

Wild chart from @WSJmarkets here. Since the war started, all 11 sectors now have higher 12-month EPS forecasts than before and tech EPS had one of the largest jumps in EPS estimates in history. 🤔 https://t.co/ObyETJ4E3o

New lows are taking over NYSE new lows > new highs for 17 straight sessions. The bears control participation. When does the new low list stop expanding? 👉 https://t.co/TDXk8SmB1d https://t.co/h2g2QbQ4x9

76% of the S&P 500 stocks are down 10% from their highs. Nearly half the market is down 20%... https://t.co/gojXiterri
$spx futs +35 reversed off the overnight lows. Makes today’s set up different. It means more patience and we’ll see if early strength holds/fades or builds. We will map out some levels And trade the market in front of us....

After a historic nine month win streak, the S&P 500 has pulled back about 9%. This is fairly normal, but the big question is could the bull market be over? We say no. In fact, 7 of the past 8 bull markets...

•The S&P has dropped for 5 straight weeks. •VIX above 30. •Breadth collapsing. •This isn’t a dip. The rules have changed. More here: https://t.co/uh4QHy6u6s https://t.co/AWURzXrR6l

This is no early April Fools' joke, but Thursday is down an annualized 147.6% this year for the S&P 500. Monday is up 108.2% at least, but that isn't making up for Tuesday, Thursday, and Friday. https://t.co/mtIAIGB4Q8

The last time Thursday was this bad was probably when they rolled out Joey. Most won't get that joke, but I thought it was funny. S&P 500 down nine Thursdays in a row, tying the most ever from 1930 and 1998....

The 🍌 peel period of February and March is living up to the name, as the S&P 500 is down five weeks in a row. The longest weekly losing streak ever? Eight in 1970 and 2001. https://t.co/77A6x56e3D
Stock valuations are compressing sharply even as earnings estimates keep rising. The S&P 500 forward P/E has fallen 16% while the index itself is down just 8.7%. 🔒 Members-Only https://t.co/QZg0BjpnPg

A stunning 53% spread between the best and worst performing S&P 500 sectors so far this year: -Energy $XLE: +41% -Financials $XLF: -12% This is what stagflation looks like... https://t.co/mjjvgXsRDs

The S&P 500 is now down 9% from its January peak. This is the biggest correction since the tariff tantrum last April and the longest since the 2022 bear market. $SPX https://t.co/QciAw5ESf1

All 7 members of the Magnificent Seven are down on the year (-8% for Apple to -26% for Microsoft) and underperforming the average stock in the S&P 500 (which is down -1%) by a wide margin. https://t.co/61SEyeq0tV
% Below All-Time High ExxonMobil: 0% S&P 500: -9% Apple: -14% Gold: -20% Nvidia: -21% Google: -22% Amazon: -23% Tesla: -28% Palantir: -32% Meta: -34% Microsoft: -36% Silver: -43% Bitcoin: -48% Ethereum: -60% MicroStrategy: -77% Fartcoin: -94% Trump Coin: -96% Melania Coin: -99%

GET READY FOR ANOTHER CRAZY WEEK IN THE STOCK MARKET Here's a full catalyst watch to help you get prepared More below ⬇️🧵

The S&P 500 fell 1.7% on Friday, its 10th daily decline so far this year with a loss above 1%. Expect to see many more of these days in the coming weeks & months - the average year since...

The S&P 500 is down 7% in the first 59 trading days of 2026, the 14th worst start to a year in history. $SPX https://t.co/giuunxMRVO
#SP500 Down Candle. Support 6360, 6212, 6201, 6059. Resistance 6453, 6573. RSI 31 low but not Oversold. Down Candle on Weekly. Top Bollinger Band 6770. Midpoint Line 6570. Bottom Band 6374.

GOLDMAN DESK: “.. Nvidia now trades at par / slight discount to the S&P500 on fwd P/E for the first time in 10+ years. “.. yes, Nvidia is now trading at par with the S&P500 on fwd P/E despite, Nvidia...

Bond markets have rapidly repriced near-term expectations for U.S. inflation in response to surging commodity prices. The implied 1-year breakeven inflation rate is now above 5% for the first time since 2022. Elevated bond market-implied inflation expectations may present a problem...
As warned: Iran Risk Is Not Priced In A frank talk with @RealJohnGaltFla of @MacroEdgeRes predicting a deeper pullback driven by Trump-Netanyahu's War on Iran that causes higher oil & yields AND capital leaving risk assets. Inflation & recession not...

Goldman now sees US growth at 1.25-1.75%. That's stall speed. Not a soft landing. An economy running on fumes. At 1.25%, one supply shock — one policy mistake — tips it over. The runway is shorter than anyone on CNBC is admitting. $SPY $DIA https://t.co/4Krvew1NCo
Big Tech continuing its decline... Amazon -21% Tesla -26% Meta - 23% Palantir -31% Netflix -30% Microsoft -34% Oracle -57% Bitcoin -47%
This will not be a popular opinion, but it's mine: Semis, Gold & Liquidity Have Topped This Year From my live trading room March 20th... semiconductors, gold & broader liquidity trends have peaked after a multi-year rally. Mean reversion = prolonged rollover. $SMH...

February payrolls: -92,000. Unemployment: 4.5%. The labor market cracked while everyone watched oil. A cracked labor market + rising rates + slowing growth. That's not a soft landing. That's three warning signs firing at once. $SPY $QQQ https://t.co/LY08qXAJYh

Powell out in May. Warsh in. Market is pricing hikes. New chair may cut. The wildcard nobody's discussing: what if the Fed pivots just as inflation re-accelerates? One transition. Two completely different outcomes. $SPY $TLT https://t.co/zmsbBtchWk

Goldman 30%. JPM 35%. Zandi 49%. Recession odds are climbing fast. When does consensus cross 50%? The market is still priced for a soft landing. Economists are no longer calling it one. $SPY $QQQ https://t.co/XqeBtrupla
Looks like next week is heading towards the bear case scenario I highlighted in my weekly report. Bear case (35% probability): The April 6 deadline produces strikes on Iranian energy infrastructure. Iran retaliates against Saudi or UAE oil facilities. Brent breaks...

This is how the 🇺🇸 stock market performed on Friday What did you notice first?

$VIX 31. $SPY -3.4% YTD. Brent +47% monthly. 10Y at 4.44%. Gold $4,439. If you're waiting for confirmation that something broke — this is the confirmation. The question is what breaks next. https://t.co/SxUUBm3sBm

The S&P 500 -7% YTD Since 1983, only 2001, 2008, 2009, and 2020 had a worse return through March 27 https://t.co/ULDpN7L6wH

10Y yield at 4.44%. Highest since July 2025. Rates rising while growth fears mount. $TLT sellers and $SPY sellers agree on one thing: neither wants to own the future right now. That's a problem. https://t.co/lYjNri1VOz

Q1 ends March 31. Portfolio managers are staring at red screens trying to window-dress a quarter that can't be fixed. $SPY down 3.4%. $QQQ down 4.2%. $VIX at 31. Good luck with the pitch deck. https://t.co/oVclL3s9SJ

Stocks down. Bonds down. Crypto down. $SPY. $TLT. $BTC. All falling together. That's not a correction. That's a liquidity accident in slow motion. $VIX at 31 is the market finally saying the quiet part loud. https://t.co/APZJuN8Erb

Wow - Nasdaq 100 P/E now below that of the Russell 2000.. fractionally ... 24x GS https://t.co/L1wgeQ1E24

The $NDX forward PE ratio has dropped to 21.09. In September 2022 it was at 18.96. The $SPX forward PE is at 20.53. We're approaching the point where tech will start outperforming again. It doesn't make sense for tech to...

What to expect from the stock market this week https://t.co/sWRedcbh21 $SPY $IWM $QQQ $GLD $TLT https://t.co/WrLLYF9aVB

$SPY - Ok - let's think for a minute... Why are people talking about a "Trump Taco" when the market is a ~9% drawdown? Last time he waited until we were in roughly a 20% drawdown? Changing a tariff rate is also...

DOW JONES CORRECTION The Dow Jones just closed down by 10% from its most recent highs the technical definition of a Correction 🔴🔴🔴🔴🔴🔴🔴🔴🔴🔴

VIX closed at 31, its highest weekly close since last year’s tariff sell-off. When $VIX holds above 30, things tend to break. In this episode, we talk through exactly what we’re watching and how to navigate this environment. Watch: https://t.co/WlGqDNQSk1 $SPY $QQQ...

SP500 $SPX will fall more if it follows 2022 midterm+war year scenario That year ended -19%, we are just -7% so far https://t.co/jXQV6MQU4l
The Dow just entered correction territory. Down 10% from its peak, joining the Nasdaq. The S&P 500 posted its fifth straight losing week — longest since 2022. Oil blew through $100. Futures traders now price a 52% chance the Fed...