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Lawrence McDonald

Lawrence McDonald

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The Bear Traps Report founder; credit markets, HY/IG spreads, macro/rates

PPI Shows No $80+ Oil Days in February
Social•Mar 18, 2026

PPI Shows No $80+ Oil Days in February

Producer Prices - How much oil data (days > $80) is in this PPI inflation data? PPI vs Brent Move -- Zero days above $80 in this Feb PPI print—WTI cruised the entire month between $61–$67 (avg ~$64.50, peak 67.31 on the 28th, even after the Iran strikes kicked off).... https://t.co/lN7kpVWonh

By Lawrence McDonald
Hard Assets Surge While Financials Falter in 2026
Social•Mar 14, 2026

Hard Assets Surge While Financials Falter in 2026

Hard Assets vs. Financial Assets in a Multipolar World 2026 Coal $CNR +33% Oil & Gas $XOP +33% Natural Gas $FCG +27% Gold $GLD +16% Uranium $URNM +16% Silver $SIL +13% Copper $COPX +6% Nasdaq $QQQ -3% Mag 7 $MAGS -9% Banks $KBWB -10% Bitcoin $IBIT -19%

By Lawrence McDonald
LYB Surges to $58 as Analysts Upgrade to Buy
Social•Mar 4, 2026

LYB Surges to $58 as Analysts Upgrade to Buy

Chemicals $LYB February: $58 December: $42 *Sell-side research analysts across Wall Street., scrambling to upgrade to buy from sell / hold.

By Lawrence McDonald
Nvidia Flat, Hard Assets Surge Despite After‑hours Bump
Social•Feb 25, 2026

Nvidia Flat, Hard Assets Surge Despite After‑hours Bump

Nvidia $NVDA unchanged since October with hard assets ripping higher - up 1% after the close, Lord pump master is losing his touch :) https://t.co/417bLFxptb

By Lawrence McDonald
Microsoft's $1.3T Valuation Slips 30% Amid AI Hype
Social•Feb 23, 2026

Microsoft's $1.3T Valuation Slips 30% Amid AI Hype

A $1.3T valuation hit so far... Microsoft $MSFT -30% off sale, stock close to unchanged since Q4 2023, "AI revolution."

By Lawrence McDonald
Nvidia
Social•Feb 17, 2026

Nvidia

"AI Revolution" - Nvidia unchanged since July, off 3% in 2026. Street Research $NVDA at $181 Buys 92.8% ...

By Lawrence McDonald