AI Threatens Thinking, Not Just Employment, Emphasizes Mastery
I loved the article, "AI Isn't Coming for Your Job. It's Coming for Your Mind" by Tom Slater at Baillie Gifford. h/t Ian McKinnon, chairman of the board of trustees @sfiscience. Points about mastery and cognitive diversity are particularly relevant. Worth discussing in professional and educational contexts. https://t.co/TciOixa3F3
Price Appreciation, Not Dividends, Drives Equity Returns
From Al Rappaport's paper, "Dividend Reinvestment, Price Appreciation and Capital Accumulation": "Do dividends rather than price appreciation really dominate equity returns? To the contrary, I will show that price appreciation is the sole source of investment returns that increase accumulated...
Measuring How Long Competitive Advantages Last
We have a new report out today on the concept of "competitive advantage period." A company’s anticipated value creation is measured by how much its return on invested capital (ROIC) exceeds its cost of capital as well as how long...
Most Stocks Lose Money, Yet Market Adds $91T
Self Recommending: "One Hundred Years in the U.S. Stock Markets" by Hendrik Bessembinder. A century of data for nearly 30,000 U.S. public companies. Fun fact: "Shareholders' wealth was enhanced by $91 trillion over the century, but long-term investors in nearly...
Historical Base Rates Reveal AI Growth Realities
We have a new report out today, "Bayes and Base Rates: How History Can Guide Our Assessment of the Future." -We place projected sales growth rates of some artificial intelligence (AI) businesses in the context of history. - We review...