Michael Pettis

Michael Pettis

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Economist and China macro expert (Carnegie Endowment); prolific English commentary on China macro and financial system

China's Railway Investment Climbs 5.5% in January
SocialFeb 14, 2026

China's Railway Investment Climbs 5.5% in January

Xinhua: "China's railway sector completed 46.3 billion yuan (about 6.67 billion U.S. dollars) in fixed-asset investment in January, up 5.5 percent year on year." https://t.co/g109GF2REm

By Michael Pettis
US Firms and Consumers Shoulder Most 2025 Tariff Burden
SocialFeb 13, 2026

US Firms and Consumers Shoulder Most 2025 Tariff Burden

1/5 The New York Fed finds that "U.S. firms and consumers continue to bear the bulk of the economic burden of the high tariffs imposed in 2025." https://t.co/X3Xz2tRn1j

By Michael Pettis
Distinguish Inefficiency From Global Uncompetitiveness in EU Manufacturing
SocialFeb 13, 2026

Distinguish Inefficiency From Global Uncompetitiveness in EU Manufacturing

1/7 My latest piece was written for friends who are EU policymakers or advisors. In it I argue that there is a difference between an inefficient manufacturing sector and a globally uncompetitive manufacturing sector. We shouldn't conflate the two. https://t.co/qer7BAvgnc

By Michael Pettis
State Firms Snap up Foreclosed Homes, Easing Oversupply
SocialFeb 13, 2026

State Firms Snap up Foreclosed Homes, Easing Oversupply

1/2 Reuters: "Chinese state-owned companies are buying foreclosed property projects, in a sign that long-promised government efforts to reduce massive oversupply in the crisis-hit housing sector are finally getting traction, albeit at a slow pace." https://t.co/Nk0gtgJVgr

By Michael Pettis
January Home Prices Slip Across All Chinese City Tiers
SocialFeb 13, 2026

January Home Prices Slip Across All Chinese City Tiers

Xinhua: In four first-tier cities and 31 second-tier cities, the average month-on-month price declines in January were 0.3% for new homes and 0.5% for resold homes, while prices in 35 third-tier cities fell 0.4% for new homes and 0.6% for...

By Michael Pettis
EU Mulls 30% Tariff or Euro Devaluation to Counter China
SocialFeb 10, 2026

EU Mulls 30% Tariff or Euro Devaluation to Counter China

1/5 Reuters: "The EU should consider either an unprecedented 30% across-the-board tariff on Chinese goods or a 30% depreciation of the euro against the renminbi to counter a flood of cheap imports, a French government strategy report said on Monday." https://t.co/1HcSSyRLJx

By Michael Pettis
China's Growth May Slip to 2.5% without Action
SocialFeb 10, 2026

China's Growth May Slip to 2.5% without Action

1/11 SCMP: "China’s potential growth rate could fall to about 2.5 per cent in the coming years unless action is taken, prominent Chinese economist Zhou Tianyong has warned." https://t.co/9xqpRhz105

By Michael Pettis