
The author’s monthly portfolio update warns that equity markets are poised for a 10% consolidation to reach five‑year valuation averages, with a 30% drop needed for the 20‑year mean. Persistent rate‑hike threats, geopolitical tension, and a cooling labor market are amplifying the risk of a broader correction. The piece also signals a potential exhaustion of the AI hype cycle, suggesting that over‑invested AI stocks could soon reverse. In the small‑cap space, Tasmea delivered a 15.4% gain, highlighting the author’s three real‑money portfolio strategies.

Alphabet shares have fallen about 20% after peaking near $350, prompting a re‑evaluation of its valuation. The company disclosed a 2026 capital‑expenditure plan of roughly $175‑$185 billion, which is likely to pressure free‑cash‑flow and compress its price‑to‑earnings multiple. The author compares...

Deckers Outdoor (DECK) is trading at roughly 15 times forward earnings, a 50 percent discount from its all‑time high where the multiple peaked above 30 x. The company boasts a fortress balance sheet—zero debt, multi‑billion‑dollar cash, and an asset‑light supply chain—but its revenue...