Rene Sellmann - Latest News and Information
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EMAIL DIGESTS
Daily
Every morning
Weekly
Tuesday recap
Analyzes Chinese equities and macro drivers, comparing CSI 300 and Hang Seng.
How to beat the market 101: "Only by looking further out than the short-term crowd can we expect to beat them." Nick Sleep understood that competition is highest in the 1-quarter window and lowest in the 5-year window. Excerpt from his letters 👇🏻
80 US or European companies trading in the 2nd percentile of their historical EV/EBIT valuation (market cap between $500M and $5B) 👇🏻 Which one is high up on your watchlist?
Is the London Stock Exchange Group $LSEG the ultimate "all-weather" compounder hiding in plain sight? With a clear path to 15-20% annualized returns, the shift from a legacy exchange to a data powerhouse is hit with a valuation dislocation. https://www.compoundwithrene.com/p/deep-dive-london-stock-exchange-group
The 80/20 rule is just a Power Law in disguise. Often, in a portfolio: 📈 20% of your holdings will drive 80% of your returns. 📉 80% of your stress will come from 20% of your "average" bets. The secret to long-term success? Cutting...
A 5-minute industry DD framework for any new ticker: ✅ Geography: Is the competition local or global? ✅ Entrants: How high is the "Wall" (Barriers to Entry)? ✅ Profitability: Why is it what it is? (Cyclical vs. Structural) If you can't answer the questions...
Instead of asking: "How can I earn the highest return possible?" Investors should ask: "What are the highest returns I can sustain for the LONGEST period of time without going bust." This changes entirely how you invest.
The longer and steeper the uptrend, the more violent the reversion when it finally breaks. FactSet edition $FDS
In 2026, Citrini7's "GLOBAL INTELLIGENCE CRISIS" report sent software stocks into a tailspin. But what if that was actually the bottom? https://www.compoundwithrene.com/p/the-citrini-bottom-the-great-software $NFLX $SHOP $CRM $NOW $TEAM $SAP $NTDOY $ADBE $VEEV $FRSH $SE $TOST $CSU.TO
Topicus' organic growth rates for all quarters for which we have data. $TOI $TOI.V Do you anticipate a reversal anytime soon, do you expect the trend to come to a halt now, or are we going even lower? 😉
This chart is a classic, but let’s move that "We Are Here" pin 📍 Where would you say we are in the cycle right now? The Early-Cycle easy gains are over, I think. It's time to focus on GARP (Growth at a...
Trainline's CEO is jumping ship. Here's a snippet from what I wrote in my $TRN deep dive conclusion: "If Trainline were a founder-led business today, with a CEO who still owned a truly material personal stake and followed a long-term blueprint with...
At the current market cap, Topicus is effectively a “2015-vintage” version of Constellation Software $CSU $TOI $TOI.V
