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Zeihan on Geopolitics

Zeihan on Geopolitics

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Short, frequent geopolitical briefings on security, energy and demographics.

Russia’s Ukraine War Lessons Are Hitting the Gulf || Peter Zeihan
Video•Mar 20, 2026

Russia’s Ukraine War Lessons Are Hitting the Gulf || Peter Zeihan

The video explains how Russia is transferring lessons learned from the Ukraine war to Iran’s use of cheap Shahed drones against targets in the Persian Gulf. Russian advisers have shown Iran to launch Shaheds in coordinated batches and to program slightly different flight paths for each unit, creating a “weave” that forces Gulf air defenses to fire multiple interceptors per drone. With roughly 2,000 interceptors available at the war’s start and more than 2,000‑3,000 Shaheds already launched, the Gulf is projected to run out of defensive firepower within weeks. Peter Zeihan cites Russian statements that “if they take their Shahads and fly them in groups… it makes it harder for air defense to pick out an individual target,” and adds that the weaving strategy “pre‑programs a slightly different route for each head,” further degrading lock‑on capability. The depletion of interceptors could leave U.S. bases, commercial shipping lanes, and allied facilities exposed, prompting a reassessment of regional missile‑defense architecture and accelerating the search for cheaper, higher‑capacity counter‑UAS solutions.

By Zeihan on Geopolitics
The Shield of the Americas || Peter Zeihan
Video•Mar 18, 2026

The Shield of the Americas || Peter Zeihan

Peter Zeihan explains Trump's new "Shield of the Americas" initiative, a security‑focused alliance linking the United States with a handful of right‑leaning Latin American governments such as El Salvador, Trinidad and Tobago and Argentina. The pact is presented as a response...

By Zeihan on Geopolitics
Sweden Grabs Its First Shadow Fleet Vessel || Peter Zeihan
Video•Mar 17, 2026

Sweden Grabs Its First Shadow Fleet Vessel || Peter Zeihan

Peter Zeihan reported that Sweden has seized a Russian‑operated shadow‑fleet bulk carrier in a Baltic port, detaining its crew. The capture marks Sweden’s first action against the clandestine fleet that Russia uses to evade sanctions. Unlike previous seizures—mostly tankers—this bulker expands...

By Zeihan on Geopolitics
The U.S. Helps India and Russia Helps Iran || Peter Zeihan
Video•Mar 16, 2026

The U.S. Helps India and Russia Helps Iran || Peter Zeihan

Peter Zeihan explains that the Trump administration recently issued a temporary waiver allowing India to import Russian crude oil, a move designed to offset the abrupt loss of Persian Gulf supplies after the Gulf was effectively shut down. The waiver...

By Zeihan on Geopolitics
Iraq, Oil, and a Break for Chevron || Peter Zeihan
Video•Mar 13, 2026

Iraq, Oil, and a Break for Chevron || Peter Zeihan

The video discusses Chevron’s potential takeover of Iraq’s West Kerna oil field, a roughly 500,000‑barrel‑per‑day asset that could become the company’s largest overseas acquisition in years. The field, operated for two decades by Russia’s Lukoil, was nationalized after U.S. sanctions cut...

By Zeihan on Geopolitics
Iran Mines vs Global Oil #shorts
Video•Mar 11, 2026

Iran Mines vs Global Oil #shorts

The video warns that Iran has moved from stockpiling roughly 6,000 naval mines to actively laying them in the Strait of Hormuz, a chokepoint that handles about 15 million barrels of crude daily. Reports cited by CNN and U.S. Navy...

By Zeihan on Geopolitics
Iceland and Norway Ponder EU Membership || Peter Zeihan
Video•Mar 10, 2026

Iceland and Norway Ponder EU Membership || Peter Zeihan

Peter Zeihan examines why Iceland and Norway, long‑standing NATO allies, are now debating EU accession. The conversation was sparked by the United States’ aggressive push for Arctic dominance—exemplified by Trump’s demand for Greenland’s strategic ports and resources—leaving the two Nordic...

By Zeihan on Geopolitics
Belgium Seizes Shadow Fleet Vessel || Peter Zeihan
Video•Mar 9, 2026

Belgium Seizes Shadow Fleet Vessel || Peter Zeihan

Peter Zeihan reports that on March 1 Belgium’s authorities seized a Russian‑registered shadow tanker, escorted it to port and immediately launched a criminal investigation, marking the first time a small European state has moved decisively against the covert oil‑shipping network. The...

By Zeihan on Geopolitics
The Iran War: China's Continued Supply of Drone Components || Peter Zeihan
Video•Mar 7, 2026

The Iran War: China's Continued Supply of Drone Components || Peter Zeihan

Peter Zeihan’s briefing from Miami marks day seven of the Iran‑U.S. conflict, noting a dramatic drop in Iranian ballistic missile launches while highlighting a growing drone‑centric threat. He explains that U.S. forces have curbed missile fire by roughly 86%, but...

By Zeihan on Geopolitics
Panama Boots China From the Canal || Peter Zeihan
Video•Mar 6, 2026

Panama Boots China From the Canal || Peter Zeihan

Peter Zeihan reports that Panama’s courts voided the Chinese‑backed concession for several canal ports, and the Panamanian government transferred operational control to the Danish firm Marisque. The move ends a years‑long Chinese infrastructure push that many in Washington viewed as...

By Zeihan on Geopolitics
Targeting Problems in Ukraine || Peter Zeihan
Video•Mar 5, 2026

Targeting Problems in Ukraine || Peter Zeihan

Peter Zeihan explains that Washington is urging Kyiv to stop striking Russian oil infrastructure that serves American oil majors’ investments in Central Asia. The request stems from recent Ukrainian drone attacks on the Novorossiysk terminal, a key Black Sea loading...

By Zeihan on Geopolitics
Israel-U.S. Are On The Hunt for Iran’s Leadership #shorts
Video•Mar 4, 2026

Israel-U.S. Are On The Hunt for Iran’s Leadership #shorts

The video reports that Israel, with U.S. backing, is intensifying a campaign to decapitate Iran’s political and religious hierarchy. After the death of Iran’s Supreme Leader, the Assembly of Experts was slated to convene and select a successor, but Israel...

By Zeihan on Geopolitics
The Iran War Just Hit The Global Energy Market #shorts
Video•Mar 3, 2026

The Iran War Just Hit The Global Energy Market #shorts

The video highlights how the ongoing Iran‑related conflict is beginning to reverberate through the global oil market. Over the past three days, roughly 15‑20 million barrels per day—about five percent of world crude output—have been held back, creating a supply...

By Zeihan on Geopolitics
Buying Time With Drugs || Peter Zeihan
Video•Mar 3, 2026

Buying Time With Drugs || Peter Zeihan

Peter Zeihan examines whether emerging anti‑aging or anti‑Alzheimer’s drugs can alter the demographic trajectory of the United States and China. He focuses on the urgency of extending productive life spans to offset retiring baby‑boomers and shrinking labor pools. Zeihan notes that...

By Zeihan on Geopolitics
Iran War Escalates: 20 Million Barrels a Day of Crude Oil Disrupted || Peter Zeihan
Video•Mar 2, 2026

Iran War Escalates: 20 Million Barrels a Day of Crude Oil Disrupted || Peter Zeihan

On day three of the Iran-related conflict, Iranian forces fired more than 300 drones (but fewer missiles), striking targets as far afield as Cyprus while U.S. forces suffered the loss of three fighter aircraft in a friendly-fire incident in Kuwait....

By Zeihan on Geopolitics

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