
The Business of Government Hour
Strategic foresight equips organizations to navigate uncertainty and stay competitive in rapidly changing markets, making it a critical capability for today’s leaders. By learning how to integrate foresight into everyday planning, listeners can improve their ability to anticipate risks, seize emerging opportunities, and foster a culture of continuous learning.
In the interview, Professor Bert George explains why governments love the shiny appeal of strategic foresight yet often view traditional strategic planning as a stale, bureaucratic hammer. Planning has become a linear, reporting‑driven exercise, while foresight offers a fluid, scenario‑based approach that prepares agencies for volatile, uncertain, complex, and ambiguous environments. This tension matters because the ability to anticipate multiple futures directly influences policy effectiveness and organizational resilience in an era of rapid technological and geopolitical change.
The research across Singapore, Flanders, the EU, and the US GAO reveals consistent patterns: effective foresight units are small, agile, and composed of two complementary roles. Scientific analysts translate macro‑level trends—AI, climate change, geopolitics—into actionable insights, while co‑production strategists act as boundary spanners, weaving together policymakers, civil servants, and external experts. Small teams avoid becoming budgetary liabilities and can cultivate extensive networks that amplify their impact. Moreover, practitioners need political astuteness to navigate the often‑unstructured, politically sensitive terrain that distinguishes foresight from conventional planning.
George proposes a house‑metaphor framework—capabilities (foundation), governance (roof), processes and practice (walls)—to embed foresight sustainably within strategic management. Clear, adaptable mandates and integration both at the top‑level strategy table and through “foresight antennas” across agencies ensure demand‑driven relevance and supply‑driven expertise. By fostering curiosity, co‑production skills, and political sensitivity, governments can transform planning from a static checklist into a dynamic learning system, better equipped to handle unexpected shocks and drive long‑term performance.
What exactly is strategic foresight? And how can it be effectively integrated into planning and management to help organizations think, act, and learn more strategically? Join host Michael J. Keegan as he explores these questions and more with Prof. Bert George, author of the IBM Center report Embedding Strategic Foresight into Strategic Planning and Management.
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What exactly is strategic foresight? And how can it be effectively integrated into planning and management to help organizations think, act, and learn more strategically? Join host Michael J. Keegan as he explores these questions and more with Prof. Bert George, author of the IBM Center report Embedding Strategic Foresight into Strategic Planning and Management.
See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
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