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AEI (Tax Policy)

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Research and commentary on tax policy proposals, credits, and compliance impacts.

France’s Strait of Hormuz Problem
News•Apr 7, 2026

France’s Strait of Hormuz Problem

France, the Eurozone’s second‑largest economy, is confronting a fiscal shock as the closure of the Strait of Hormuz has driven oil, gas and fertilizer prices up by roughly 60% and 50% respectively. Already running a budget deficit above five percent of GDP, the country’s debt‑to‑GDP ratio is projected to climb from 115% in 2025 to around 130% by 2030, echoing levels that sparked the 2010 crisis. Higher energy costs threaten to stall growth, push inflation above three percent and force the ECB to raise rates, while France’s fragmented politics limit swift corrective action. The confluence of these factors raises the specter of a renewed sovereign‑debt crisis within the Eurozone.

By AEI (Tax Policy)
Purge at the Pentagon: Politicization or Business as Usual?
News•Apr 7, 2026

Purge at the Pentagon: Politicization or Business as Usual?

In early 2025 the Trump administration dismissed 21 senior flag officers, including the Joint Chiefs chairman and top service lawyers, sparking a wave of concern over politicized personnel moves. An analysis of the replacements shows that, in most cases, successors...

By AEI (Tax Policy)
To Lead in Tech, Congress May Need to Lead Less—And Rethink the FCC
News•Apr 7, 2026

To Lead in Tech, Congress May Need to Lead Less—And Rethink the FCC

Congress is debating a rewrite of the Communications Act, sparking debate over the future role of the Federal Communications Commission. Critics argue the FCC, created for monopoly telephone and broadcast spectrum oversight, is outdated in a fragmented digital economy where...

By AEI (Tax Policy)
The AI Jobs Scare Meets 250 Years of Data
News•Apr 6, 2026

The AI Jobs Scare Meets 250 Years of Data

Morgan Stanley’s new study compares five historic innovation waves—canals, railroads, electrification, post‑war electronics, and the internet—to today’s AI surge, finding that each wave eventually spurred productivity gains after an initial disruption. The analysis notes that AI’s early labor market impact...

By AEI (Tax Policy)
Sony Loss Strengthens Sony Standard in Cox ISP Copyright Decision
News•Apr 6, 2026

Sony Loss Strengthens Sony Standard in Cox ISP Copyright Decision

The U.S. Supreme Court unanimously overturned a $1 billion copyright verdict that Sony Music had won against broadband provider Cox Communications. The Court held that contributory liability attaches only when a service is intended or tailored for infringement, reaffirming the 1984...

By AEI (Tax Policy)
How Much Should Government Try to Shape the Digital Economy?
News•Apr 3, 2026

How Much Should Government Try to Shape the Digital Economy?

Congress is weighing a rewrite of the Communications Act, prompting a philosophical debate over how far government should steer the digital economy. A recent House Energy and Commerce hearing highlighted divergent views on universal service subsidies, broadband regulation, and content...

By AEI (Tax Policy)
Congress Takes Up an Old Problem: Writing Laws for a Future It Can’t See
News•Apr 2, 2026

Congress Takes Up an Old Problem: Writing Laws for a Future It Can’t See

Congress is revisiting the 1996 Communications Act, recognizing that its landline‑centric framework no longer fits broadband, 5G, streaming and satellite services. Lawmakers face pressure from national‑security concerns, the erosion of the Universal Service Fund, and renewed scrutiny of Section 230....

By AEI (Tax Policy)
Through Heaven’s Eyes at the Seder Table
News•Apr 1, 2026

Through Heaven’s Eyes at the Seder Table

The essay reflects on a father‑son moment watching the Prince of Egypt’s song “Through Heaven’s Eyes,” using it to illustrate how perspective shapes identity. It links the song’s metaphor of a single thread in a tapestry to the Passover Seder’s...

By AEI (Tax Policy)
All Unemployment Is Local
News•Apr 1, 2026

All Unemployment Is Local

Chief economist Gad Levanon of the Burning Glass Institute shows that, between 2022 and 2025, U.S. metros with higher concentrations of college‑educated workers experienced a sharp rise in unemployment, reversing a decade‑long trend. Cities such as San Jose, San Francisco, Boston,...

By AEI (Tax Policy)
From Apollo to Artemis, and Then Beyond
News•Apr 1, 2026

From Apollo to Artemis, and Then Beyond

The Apollo program not only secured the 1960s Space Race but also acted as a catalyst for the nascent digital industry, absorbing roughly 60% of the decade’s microchip output. Its cultural resonance inspired generations of engineers and programmers, embedding technology...

By AEI (Tax Policy)
A Different Supply-Side Shock
News•Apr 1, 2026

A Different Supply-Side Shock

President Trump’s potential decision to keep the Strait of Hormuz closed would trigger the largest energy‑supply shock on record, cutting roughly 20% of global oil and liquefied natural gas flows. The disruption also threatens 30% of the world’s seaborne fertilizer,...

By AEI (Tax Policy)
Online, Off-Campus Hate Speech: Treating Public University Grad Students Like High Schoolers Is Problematic
News•Apr 1, 2026

Online, Off-Campus Hate Speech: Treating Public University Grad Students Like High Schoolers Is Problematic

The Eleventh Circuit Court of Appeals is reviewing whether the University of Florida can discipline graduate‑student Preston Damsky for anti‑Semitic posts made off‑campus on X. A divided panel previously stayed a lower‑court injunction, allowing the university to proceed with expulsion,...

By AEI (Tax Policy)
The Macroeconomic Budget and Health Care Projection Dashboard, Revisited: Can You Put the US Back on a Sustainable Path?
News•Mar 31, 2026

The Macroeconomic Budget and Health Care Projection Dashboard, Revisited: Can You Put the US Back on a Sustainable Path?

The American Enterprise Institute released an updated macroeconomic projection model that forecasts U.S. federal debt, deficits, and health‑care spending far exceeding CBO estimates. A new interactive dashboard lets users adjust tax rates, Social Security benefits, health‑care elasticities, and investment levels...

By AEI (Tax Policy)
New Work in the Age of AI Doesn’t Need a Government Planner
News•Mar 31, 2026

New Work in the Age of AI Doesn’t Need a Government Planner

A new NBER working paper by David Autor and co‑authors shows that one in five American workers now hold jobs that did not exist before 1970, and these "new work" roles command a wage premium, especially in technology‑linked occupations. The...

By AEI (Tax Policy)