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Swelbar on Airlines (Substack)

Swelbar on Airlines (Substack)

Publication
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Airline business analysis, labor, competition, and policy viewpoints.

Commodity Industries Are Comprised of Ubiquitous Product Offerings
News•Mar 10, 2026

Commodity Industries Are Comprised of Ubiquitous Product Offerings

The recent Swelbar post revisits a 2021 presentation titled “Flight 031120: Departing Ubiquity Destined for Segmentation?” which argues that many commodity industries are defined by ubiquitous, undifferentiated products. It highlights the late Mike Levine’s insights on how such markets can evolve through purposeful segmentation. The author notes that the presentation’s predictions have proven accurate over the past three years. The piece is shared exclusively with Swelbar’s Friends of Swelbar subscribers.

By Swelbar on Airlines (Substack)
A Side-by-Side of AA V. UA at ORD
News•Mar 7, 2026

A Side-by-Side of AA V. UA at ORD

American Airlines and United Airlines are expanding service at Chicago O'Hare, but the growth in flight frequencies exceeds the growth in available seats. United’s increase outpaces American’s, highlighting a more aggressive capacity push. Larger aircraft configurations are being deployed, which...

By Swelbar on Airlines (Substack)
Crain's Chicago Business on American Airlines V. United Airlines at O'Hare
News•Mar 7, 2026

Crain's Chicago Business on American Airlines V. United Airlines at O'Hare

American Airlines and United Airlines are slated to boost their summer 2026 schedules at O'Hare by double‑digit percentages, pushing the airport's traffic to roughly 15% above last summer levels. The surge includes dozens of new nonstop flights to smaller markets,...

By Swelbar on Airlines (Substack)
Aviation Week on the Value Airline Sector in 2030
News•Mar 4, 2026

Aviation Week on the Value Airline Sector in 2030

Aviation Week’s Daily Memo projects a stark transformation for U.S. ultra‑low‑cost carriers (ULCCs) by 2030. Rising labor, airport and supply‑chain costs are eroding the traditional seat‑cost advantage, prompting all value airlines to add premium products and seek new revenue streams....

By Swelbar on Airlines (Substack)
[COPY] The Airline Data Project
News•Feb 21, 2026

[COPY] The Airline Data Project

The episode delves into the Airline Data Project, an expansion of MIT's original dataset, now covering U.S. airline operations from 2017 onward. It explains how the project aggregates flight schedules, performance metrics, and financial data to enable rigorous research and...

By Swelbar on Airlines (Substack)
United Airlines V. United Airlines Flight Attendants
News•Feb 17, 2026

United Airlines V. United Airlines Flight Attendants

The episode examines United Airlines' stalled contract negotiations with its flight‑attendant union, focusing on the demand for "ground pay"—compensation for time spent before doors close and after they open. It links this labor dispute to broader industry inefficiencies caused by...

By Swelbar on Airlines (Substack)
Jimmy Dempsey's Frontier Airlines
News•Feb 15, 2026

Jimmy Dempsey's Frontier Airlines

The episode examines Frontier Airlines’ turnaround under new CEO Jimmy Dempsey, focusing on his four‑point strategy: rightsizing the fleet, tightening cost discipline, cutting cancellations and boosting on‑time performance, and deepening customer loyalty. Analysts debate the merits of increasing frequency on...

By Swelbar on Airlines (Substack)
4th Annual Swelbar-Zhong Consultancy Airport/Air Service Quality Rankings
News•Feb 3, 2026

4th Annual Swelbar-Zhong Consultancy Airport/Air Service Quality Rankings

Groundhog Day 2026

By Swelbar on Airlines (Substack)
ALPA Writes Open Letter to Spirit Airlines Bondholders
News•Jan 14, 2026

ALPA Writes Open Letter to Spirit Airlines Bondholders

The episode examines the Airline Pilots Association’s (ALPA) open letter to Spirit Airlines bondholders, accusing them—particularly Citadel—of jeopardizing Spirit’s Chapter 11 restructuring and threatening thousands of jobs in South Florida. It contextualizes Spirit’s woes within broader challenges facing the U.S....

By Swelbar on Airlines (Substack)