@tashecon blog (Timothy Ash)

Lessons From UKR-RU Peace Talks for US-Iran

Ragip Soylu argues that President Trump’s fifteen‑point Iran peace proposal mirrors the hard‑ball tactics used in Russia‑Ukraine negotiations, where maximalist demands were set to control the narrative rather than secure a deal. Unlike Moscow, Trump appears desperate for a settlement, using talks to regain political momentum and shift media focus. The analysis outlines how Israel, Saudi Arabia, Turkey and other regional players view a potential US‑brokered deal, and why their divergent interests could derail any agreement. It also highlights the broader strategic fallout for U.S. credibility, NATO cohesion, and the interests of Russia and China.