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The Diplomat – Asia-Pacific

The Diplomat – Asia-Pacific

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Asia-Pacific geopolitics and geoeconomics.

Is India Torpedoing Its Claims to Being a Net Security Provider in the IOR?
News•Mar 5, 2026

Is India Torpedoing Its Claims to Being a Net Security Provider in the IOR?

A U.S. nuclear submarine torpedoed the Iranian frigate IRIS Dena in international waters off Sri Lanka, killing dozens of sailors. The vessel had been a guest of the Indian Navy after participating in a fleet review in Visakhapatnam, yet New Delhi issued only a muted statement of concern. Former Indian naval officials have criticized the silence, arguing it undermines India’s claim as a net security provider in the Indian Ocean Region. The incident raises questions about India’s MAHASAGAR initiative and its ability to influence regional maritime security.

By The Diplomat – Asia-Pacific
What Does Indonesia Get Out of the US-Indonesia Agreement on Reciprocal Trade?
News•Mar 3, 2026

What Does Indonesia Get Out of the US-Indonesia Agreement on Reciprocal Trade?

In February 2026 President Donald Trump and President Prabowo Subianto signed a U.S.-Indonesia Agreement on Reciprocal Trade that obliges Jakarta to facilitate $10 billion of U.S. investment and import roughly $33 billion of American goods, mainly energy and agriculture. The deal was...

By The Diplomat – Asia-Pacific
What the Iran-US War Means for Asia
News•Mar 3, 2026

What the Iran-US War Means for Asia

The Diplomat’s Asia Geopolitics podcast examined the U.S. and Israeli bombing of Iran, framing it as a flashpoint that could reshape Asian strategic calculations. Hosts Ankit Panda and Catherine Putz highlighted how the conflict tests nuclear deterrence credibility and may inspire North...

By The Diplomat – Asia-Pacific
Peru and the Limits of Alarmism About Chinese Investment
News•Mar 3, 2026

Peru and the Limits of Alarmism About Chinese Investment

The Port of Chancay, inaugurated in 2024, is a joint COSCO‑Volcan venture financed by a $975 million Chinese loan. In its first ten months of operation, the port moved $1.88 billion in trade and generated $234 million in customs revenue, moving toward a...

By The Diplomat – Asia-Pacific
Sanctions Evasion, Statecraft, and the New Crypto Geography in the Asia-Pacific
News•Mar 3, 2026

Sanctions Evasion, Statecraft, and the New Crypto Geography in the Asia-Pacific

The Asia‑Pacific is emerging as a pivotal arena where cryptocurrency intersects with sanctions enforcement and state strategy. Blockchain’s peer‑to‑peer settlement bypasses traditional banking chokepoints, allowing actors—from North Korean hackers to Russian entities—to launder stolen assets through mixers, cross‑chain bridges and...

By The Diplomat – Asia-Pacific
Implications of Prolonged Unrest in Iran for Pakistan
News•Mar 3, 2026

Implications of Prolonged Unrest in Iran for Pakistan

The United States and Israel launched coordinated attacks on Iran after the February 27 assassination of Supreme Leader Ali Hosseini Khamenei, prompting Tehran to close the Strait of Hormuz and target regional airports. Iran’s resilient regime is now focused on defending its...

By The Diplomat – Asia-Pacific
Uzbekistan’s Afghanistan Push Accelerates
News•Mar 2, 2026

Uzbekistan’s Afghanistan Push Accelerates

Uzbekistan has accelerated economic integration with Afghanistan, with 2025 bilateral trade reaching $1.5‑$1.68 billion—a 53% jump from the prior year and 2.5‑fold growth since 2021. Deputy Prime Minister Jamshid Khodjaev aims to lift trade to $5 billion, backed by a forthcoming Kabul...

By The Diplomat – Asia-Pacific
Central Asia Watches, Worries, as Conflict Threatens to Engulf the Middle East
News•Mar 2, 2026

Central Asia Watches, Worries, as Conflict Threatens to Engulf the Middle East

Central Asian governments, long silent during Iran's December protests, issued cautious statements after the United States and Israel launched a surprise strike on Iran. Their foreign ministries emphasized restraint, the UN Charter, and humanitarian concerns while deliberately omitting any attribution...

By The Diplomat – Asia-Pacific
Central Asia’s ‘Soft Confederation’ Has a Hard Limit
News•Mar 2, 2026

Central Asia’s ‘Soft Confederation’ Has a Hard Limit

Central Asia’s five states (C5) have coalesced around a sovereignty‑first coordination model, dubbed a “soft confederation,” that emphasizes consensus and minimal delegation. Recent C5+ diplomatic rounds—an EU summit in Samarkand, a U.S. White House meeting, and Germany’s C5+1 foreign‑minister talks—have...

By The Diplomat – Asia-Pacific
Beyond the Third Neighbor: Mongolia-US Ties in an Era of Great Power Competition
News•Feb 27, 2026

Beyond the Third Neighbor: Mongolia-US Ties in an Era of Great Power Competition

The United States and Mongolia marked 39 years of diplomatic ties while deepening their Strategic Partnership with flagship projects such as the $462 million MCC Water Compact and a USTDA‑backed aviation safety program. Mongolia’s recent accession to the Trump‑led Board of...

By The Diplomat – Asia-Pacific
During Lula’s Visit, South Korea and Brazil Agree to Revive Mercosur Trade Talks
News•Feb 27, 2026

During Lula’s Visit, South Korea and Brazil Agree to Revive Mercosur Trade Talks

Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva visited Seoul, upgrading the bilateral relationship to a strategic partnership and signing ten MOUs across AI, biotech, agriculture, health and security. The summit’s headline outcome was the decision to revive stalled Mercosur free‑trade...

By The Diplomat – Asia-Pacific
2 Olympic Gold Medalists Show the Mixed Results of China’s Efforts to Bring Back Diaspora Talent
News•Feb 27, 2026

2 Olympic Gold Medalists Show the Mixed Results of China’s Efforts to Bring Back Diaspora Talent

China’s municipal government paid Olympic skiers Eileen Gu and Beverly Zhu a combined $6.6 million in 2025, highlighting Beijing’s renewed push to lure diaspora talent. The effort builds on the legacy of the Thousand Talents and Qiming programs, which offer generous...

By The Diplomat – Asia-Pacific
Did Indonesia Just Lock Itself Into an Energy Future It Can’t Afford?
News•Feb 27, 2026

Did Indonesia Just Lock Itself Into an Energy Future It Can’t Afford?

Indonesia’s new trade agreement obliges the country to import $15 billion of U.S. oil and gas each year, contradicting President Prabowo Subianto’s pledge for energy self‑sufficiency. The deal was signed to sidestep tariffs that were later nullified, leaving Indonesia locked into...

By The Diplomat – Asia-Pacific
Merz in China: Germany Between De-Risking and Strategic Partnership
News•Feb 27, 2026

Merz in China: Germany Between De-Risking and Strategic Partnership

German Chancellor Friedrich Merz concluded a two‑day visit to China, pledging a comprehensive strategic partnership while emphasizing the need for de‑risking amid trade imbalances. He highlighted persistent overcapacity and urged Beijing to play a constructive role in curbing Russia’s war in...

By The Diplomat – Asia-Pacific
The Future of Japan’s Regional Banks: Demographics, Mergers, and a Tight Market
News•Feb 27, 2026

The Future of Japan’s Regional Banks: Demographics, Mergers, and a Tight Market

Japan’s regional banks, once pillars of local growth, now face shrinking deposits and borrowers as the nation records its 16th consecutive year of population decline. Consolidation is accelerating, highlighted by the 2025 Aomori Bank‑Michinoku Bank merger that now controls about...

By The Diplomat – Asia-Pacific
Southeast Asia’s Grab Finally Turns a Profit
News•Feb 26, 2026

Southeast Asia’s Grab Finally Turns a Profit

Southeast Asian super‑app Grab reported its first full‑year profit in 2025, posting a $200 million net gain after narrowing losses from $1.7 billion in 2022 to $158 million in 2024. Revenue climbed roughly 20% to $3.4 billion as transaction volume rose 21% to $22 billion...

By The Diplomat – Asia-Pacific
Sri Lanka Is Now India’s Best – and Maybe Last – Friend in South Asia
News•Feb 25, 2026

Sri Lanka Is Now India’s Best – and Maybe Last – Friend in South Asia

India has re‑asserted Sri Lanka as its most dependable South Asian partner through swift humanitarian aid after Cyclone Ditwah and a $4 billion financial lifeline during the 2022 debt crisis. Operation Sagar Bandhu delivered $450 million in disaster relief without adding to Colombo’s debt burden, while...

By The Diplomat – Asia-Pacific
Japan’s Farm and Food Exports Hit New High As Trade Patterns Shift
News•Feb 24, 2026

Japan’s Farm and Food Exports Hit New High As Trade Patterns Shift

Japan’s agricultural, forestry and fishery exports reached a record ¥1.7 trillion in 2025, up 12.8% year‑on‑year, marking the 13th consecutive record. Growth was driven by strong demand for scallops, green tea and sake, with the United States and China remaining the...

By The Diplomat – Asia-Pacific
America Needs More Than Creativity on Hong Kong – It Needs Action
News•Feb 24, 2026

America Needs More Than Creativity on Hong Kong – It Needs Action

The article argues that the United States must move beyond rhetoric and take concrete action against Hong Kong’s increasingly repressive regime. It highlights the political role of Hong Kong Economic and Trade Offices (HKETOs) in the U.S., which enjoy diplomatic privileges despite...

By The Diplomat – Asia-Pacific
Takaichi Draws a Red Line on Nuclear Sharing Amid Japan’s Security Review
News•Feb 24, 2026

Takaichi Draws a Red Line on Nuclear Sharing Amid Japan’s Security Review

Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi publicly rejected a NATO‑style nuclear‑sharing arrangement with the United States, reaffirming Japan's Three Non‑Nuclear Principles during a House of Representatives debate. Her statement comes amid a comprehensive review of Japan's National Security Strategy, Defense Strategy,...

By The Diplomat – Asia-Pacific
The ‘Resting’ Generation and South Korea’s Youth Recession
News•Feb 24, 2026

The ‘Resting’ Generation and South Korea’s Youth Recession

South Korea’s headline unemployment rate hovers around 4%, but a hidden youth recession is emerging as roughly 470,000 young adults are “resting” – neither employed nor job‑searching. Hiring for entry‑level positions has fallen for three consecutive years, with large firms...

By The Diplomat – Asia-Pacific
China’s New Export: Aircraft Debt
News•Feb 24, 2026

China’s New Export: Aircraft Debt

China’s state‑owned COMAC is exporting its C909 and C919 aircraft alongside tailored financing, leasing and equity deals, turning planes into long‑term financial levers. The most visible case is Laos, where COMAC holds a 49% stake in Lao Airlines after a lease‑to‑equity...

By The Diplomat – Asia-Pacific
Kazakh Journalists Are Being Fined for Surveying Public Opinion on the Upcoming Referendum
News•Feb 23, 2026

Kazakh Journalists Are Being Fined for Surveying Public Opinion on the Upcoming Referendum

Kazakh authorities have fined journalists and a media outlet for conducting online polls about the March 15 constitutional referendum, citing violations of the country’s referendum‑survey law. The Prosecutor General’s Office requires pre‑approval for any poll, a rule that has blocked...

By The Diplomat – Asia-Pacific
Why Japan Must Help Counter China’s Presence in the Pacific
News•Feb 23, 2026

Why Japan Must Help Counter China’s Presence in the Pacific

The article argues that Japan must step up its role in Micronesia to help counter China’s expanding footprint across the Western Pacific. The United States relies on COFA agreements that provide billions in aid and unrestricted base access, yet implementation...

By The Diplomat – Asia-Pacific
China, ASEAN, and Beyond: The UK Strategy for the Indo-Pacific
News•Feb 23, 2026

China, ASEAN, and Beyond: The UK Strategy for the Indo-Pacific

The United Kingdom has unveiled a comprehensive Indo‑Pacific strategy that ties Euro‑Atlantic security to a free and open Indo‑Pacific, emphasizing flexible, values‑based partnerships. Prime Minister Keir Starmer’s recent China visit secured visa‑free travel for UK citizens and greater market access for...

By The Diplomat – Asia-Pacific
Pakistan’s New Special Security Unit Underscores China’s Hold on the Country
News•Feb 20, 2026

Pakistan’s New Special Security Unit Underscores China’s Hold on the Country

Pakistan announced a dedicated special security unit in January 2026 to protect Chinese citizens and projects, a move prompted by a spike in militant attacks on Chinese interests. The unit signals Islamabad’s desperation to retain China’s $62 billion investment amid deteriorating...

By The Diplomat – Asia-Pacific
How North Korea Is Ranking Southeast Asian Countries
News•Feb 20, 2026

How North Korea Is Ranking Southeast Asian Countries

North Korea is stratifying its diplomatic outreach in Southeast Asia, placing Vietnam and Laos at the top tier because of entrenched party‑to‑party links, while Indonesia sits in a middle tier with limited ideological affinity. Malaysia’s relations were severed in 2021...

By The Diplomat – Asia-Pacific
Australia and Timor-Leste: A New Partnership for a New Era
News•Feb 20, 2026

Australia and Timor-Leste: A New Partnership for a New Era

Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese and Timor‑Leste Prime Minister Xanana Gusmão signed the Parseria Foun ba Era Foun declaration, establishing a new partnership built on three pillars – peace and regional integration, prosperity and resilience, and people‑to‑people links. The accord expands cooperation in security,...

By The Diplomat – Asia-Pacific
Where Do India and Pakistan Stand in Kazakhstan’s Southward Connectivity Push?
News•Feb 20, 2026

Where Do India and Pakistan Stand in Kazakhstan’s Southward Connectivity Push?

Kazakhstan is accelerating a southward connectivity push to secure Arabian Sea access, reducing reliance on Iran’s Chabahar and Bandar Abbas ports. President Tokayev’s recent visit to Islamabad underscored a partnership focused on the Kazakhstan‑Turkmenistan‑Afghanistan‑Pakistan (KTAP) rail corridor and a broader...

By The Diplomat – Asia-Pacific
Pakistan’s Search for Strategic Flexibility in South Asia
News•Feb 19, 2026

Pakistan’s Search for Strategic Flexibility in South Asia

Amid waning external security guarantees, Pakistan has begun exploratory talks with Turkey and Saudi Arabia to create a flexible, informal security platform separate from its 2025 Strategic Mutual Defense Agreement with Riyadh. The trilateral dialogue focuses on defense‑industrial cooperation, with...

By The Diplomat – Asia-Pacific
China’s Military Purges Won’t Change Its Taiwan Calculus
News•Feb 19, 2026

China’s Military Purges Won’t Change Its Taiwan Calculus

China’s recent military purges of senior PLA officers, including CMC Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia and member Liu Zhenli, are framed as anti‑corruption and ideological discipline measures. While the removals may temporarily affect command cohesion, the article argues they do not...

By The Diplomat – Asia-Pacific
Geopolitical Jockeying in Nepal Ahead of March General Elections
News•Feb 19, 2026

Geopolitical Jockeying in Nepal Ahead of March General Elections

The September 2025 Gen Z uprising toppled Prime Minister K.P. Sharma Oli and installed an interim government, prompting India, China and the United States to converge on a common goal: prompt, stable elections in Nepal. All three powers fear prolonged instability could...

By The Diplomat – Asia-Pacific
3 Southeast Asian Leaders Arrive in Washington for ‘Board of Peace’ Summit
News•Feb 19, 2026

3 Southeast Asian Leaders Arrive in Washington for ‘Board of Peace’ Summit

U.S. President Donald Trump convened the inaugural Board of Peace summit in Washington, pledging over $5 billion for Gaza reconstruction and positioning the forum as a potential rival to the United Nations. Indonesia, Vietnam and Cambodia attended, each pursuing distinct economic...

By The Diplomat – Asia-Pacific
The Politics of Interpretation: Who Governs the Korean DMZ?
News•Feb 17, 2026

The Politics of Interpretation: Who Governs the Korean DMZ?

The United Nations Command (UNC) and South Korea are locked in a legal dispute over who can approve access to the Korean Demilitarized Zone (DMZ). While the 1953 Armistice assigns entry authority to the UNC commander, Seoul’s National Assembly is...

By The Diplomat – Asia-Pacific
America Needs to Get Creative on Hong Kong
News•Feb 17, 2026

America Needs to Get Creative on Hong Kong

The United States condemned the 20‑year sentence handed to Hong Kong activist Jimmy Lai but its traditional punitive toolkit—sanctions and revoking Hong Kong’s special trade status—has done little to restore the city’s autonomy. Lawmakers are now proposing legislation that could...

By The Diplomat – Asia-Pacific
Indonesia Readies 1,000 Soldiers for Potential Deployment to Gaza in April
News•Feb 17, 2026

Indonesia Readies 1,000 Soldiers for Potential Deployment to Gaza in April

Indonesia may deploy 1,000 troops to Gaza as early as April, part of a UN‑mandated International Stabilization Force that could expand to 8,000 soldiers by June. The decision rests with President Prabowo Subianto, who is also set to attend President...

By The Diplomat – Asia-Pacific
How Long Can Kyrgyzstan’s Economic Boom Keep Booming?
News•Feb 16, 2026

How Long Can Kyrgyzstan’s Economic Boom Keep Booming?

Kyrgyzstan’s economy surged, posting 11% GDP growth in 2025 after a 9% rise in 2024, driven by a logistics boom that rerouted Chinese goods northward following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. The surge is reinforced by soaring gold exports, higher remittances...

By The Diplomat – Asia-Pacific
Jimmy Lai’s Sentence: The High Cost of Western Appeasement
News•Feb 16, 2026

Jimmy Lai’s Sentence: The High Cost of Western Appeasement

Jimmy Lai received a 20‑year prison term, the harshest under Hong Kong’s National Security Law, just days after UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer visited Beijing. The sentencing coincided with a diplomatic overture framed as a “break‑the‑ice” meeting, highlighting a disconnect between...

By The Diplomat – Asia-Pacific
Myanmar Junta Expels Timor-Leste’s Top Diplomat Over War Crimes Case
News•Feb 16, 2026

Myanmar Junta Expels Timor-Leste’s Top Diplomat Over War Crimes Case

Myanmar's military junta expelled Timor‑Leste's top diplomat after Dili opened war‑crimes proceedings. The case, filed by the Chin Human Rights Organization, accuses senior general Min Aung Hlaing of rape, murder and attacks in Chin State. The junta called the move a breach...

By The Diplomat – Asia-Pacific
Thai Prime Minister Announces Coalition Agreement With Pheu Thai Party
News•Feb 16, 2026

Thai Prime Minister Announces Coalition Agreement With Pheu Thai Party

Thailand’s Bhumjaithai party, after winning roughly 193 of the 500 lower‑house seats in the February 8 election, announced a coalition agreement with the Pheu Thai party. The partnership, together with three smaller parties, gives Prime Minister Anutin’s bloc a clear parliamentary...

By The Diplomat – Asia-Pacific
Milan-26: India’s Maritime Diplomacy Comes of Age
News•Feb 13, 2026

Milan-26: India’s Maritime Diplomacy Comes of Age

India’s 13th Milan naval exercise, Milan‑26, will run Feb 18‑25 in Visakhapatnam, coinciding with the International Fleet Review and the IONS summit, forming the “Vizag trifecta.” The biennial drill has grown from four regional navies in 1995 to 70 confirmed participants...

By The Diplomat – Asia-Pacific
The Addis Ababa-Djibouti Railway: Still Growing 8 Years Later
News•Feb 13, 2026

The Addis Ababa-Djibouti Railway: Still Growing 8 Years Later

Eight years after its 2018 launch, the Addis Ababa‑Djibouti Railway has become a fully Ethiopian‑Djiboutian‑run, electrified corridor linking land‑locked Ethiopia to the Port of Djibouti. Management shifted from China Railway Construction Corporation to the two governments in May 2024, and Djibouti’s top...

By The Diplomat – Asia-Pacific
Why North Korea Is Unlikely to Renew Cooperation at Kaesong
News•Feb 13, 2026

Why North Korea Is Unlikely to Renew Cooperation at Kaesong

The Kaesong Industrial Complex, once a flagship of inter‑Korean economic cooperation, has remained closed since South Korea halted operations in 2016. South Korean officials are now urging a restart, but the Kim Jong Un regime shows little appetite to revive the site....

By The Diplomat – Asia-Pacific
What Colby’s Northeast Asia Tour Tells Us About the Future of Japan-Korea-US Trilateral Deterrence
News•Feb 13, 2026

What Colby’s Northeast Asia Tour Tells Us About the Future of Japan-Korea-US Trilateral Deterrence

U.S. Under Secretary of Defense for Policy Elbridge Colby toured Japan and South Korea in late January, reinforcing the Pentagon’s new National Defense Strategy that prioritises deterrence‑by‑denial along the First Island Chain. The visits highlighted Washington’s push for allies to shoulder...

By The Diplomat – Asia-Pacific
Is Central Asia Still Russia’s Backyard?
News•Feb 13, 2026

Is Central Asia Still Russia’s Backyard?

Russian commentators continue to label Central Asia as a Russian sphere of influence, but the region is asserting its independence. Over the past 35 years, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan have leveraged their abundant critical minerals and transit corridors...

By The Diplomat – Asia-Pacific

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