The Diplomat – Asia-Pacific

The Diplomat – Asia-Pacific

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Asia-Pacific geopolitics and geoeconomics.

Helping Iran, China Is a Party in the War
NewsApr 24, 2026

Helping Iran, China Is a Party in the War

China is covertly bolstering Iran’s war capabilities despite publicly claiming neutrality. Recent investigations reveal Beijing supplied a commercial reconnaissance satellite, air‑defense missiles, and large quantities of sodium perchlorate for solid‑fuel rockets. Additional reports cite Chinese AI firms providing geospatial data...

By The Diplomat – Asia-Pacific
Jakarta’s Washington Pivot
NewsApr 24, 2026

Jakarta’s Washington Pivot

The United States and Indonesia have shifted from soft‑power diplomacy to a transactional partnership focused on trade, critical minerals and defense. Recent agreements – the Agreement on Reciprocal Trade (ART) and the Major Development Cooperation Partnership (MDCP) – lock in...

By The Diplomat – Asia-Pacific
Vietnam and South Korea Agree to Boost Cooperation on Supply Chains, Nuclear Energy
NewsApr 23, 2026

Vietnam and South Korea Agree to Boost Cooperation on Supply Chains, Nuclear Energy

Vietnam and South Korea signed 12 agreements to deepen cooperation in nuclear energy, advanced technologies, and supply‑chain resilience, seeking to offset economic fallout from the Middle East conflict. The partners set a target of $150 billion in bilateral trade by 2030,...

By The Diplomat – Asia-Pacific
Thailand’s Fuel Smuggling Problem Surges Into View
NewsApr 23, 2026

Thailand’s Fuel Smuggling Problem Surges Into View

Thailand’s fuel crisis, triggered by Hormuz‑related shipping disruptions, exposed a massive diesel shortage as stations rationed and queues formed. Investigators in Surat Thani found 57 million litres of diesel missing, a volume equivalent to a full day of national consumption. The loss,...

By The Diplomat – Asia-Pacific
The Security Imperative of India’s Clean Energy Transition
NewsApr 22, 2026

The Security Imperative of India’s Clean Energy Transition

India’s reliance on Middle‑East fossil fuels has been starkly exposed by the recent Strait of Hormuz closure, which cut off roughly half of its crude oil and over 60% of LNG imports. The shock drove LPG shortages that cost the...

By The Diplomat – Asia-Pacific
A US Strategy For Defending Taiwan – Before a War
NewsApr 22, 2026

A US Strategy For Defending Taiwan – Before a War

The article outlines a U.S. strategy to deter China from seizing Taiwan without resorting to full‑scale war. It emphasizes that Beijing prefers gray‑zone coercion, such as coast‑guard “quarantine” operations, to force capitulation while avoiding a direct conflict. Four variables—Taiwan’s political...

By The Diplomat – Asia-Pacific
Where Is the China-Honduras Relationship Headed?
NewsApr 22, 2026

Where Is the China-Honduras Relationship Headed?

Honduras deepened its ties with the People’s Republic of China after breaking with Taiwan in 2023, extending cooperation into telecommunications, public security, energy and technology training. Major projects include a $400 million solar park funded by a Chinese Texhong subsidiary and...

By The Diplomat – Asia-Pacific
Why the 2026 NPT Review Conference – and Diplomacy – Must Not Fail
NewsApr 21, 2026

Why the 2026 NPT Review Conference – and Diplomacy – Must Not Fail

The 11th NPT Review Conference convenes in April 2026 amid unprecedented nuclear modernization by all five recognized nuclear‑weapon states and the recent lapse of the New START treaty. The article warns that without a consensus outcome, the treaty’s credibility could...

By The Diplomat – Asia-Pacific
China’s Liaoning Carrier Heads South: More Than a Routine Drill
NewsApr 21, 2026

China’s Liaoning Carrier Heads South: More Than a Routine Drill

China’s Liaoning carrier and the PLAN 133rd task group moved south in a coordinated drill that coincided with Japan’s destroyer transit of the Taiwan Strait and the U.S.-Philippines Balikatan exercise. Beijing routed the task group through the Yokoate Channel rather...

By The Diplomat – Asia-Pacific
Can Japan Finally Unlock Defense Technology Cooperation With India?
NewsApr 21, 2026

Can Japan Finally Unlock Defense Technology Cooperation With India?

Japan is revamping its defense‑industrial policy to promote co‑development and export of high‑end technology, aiming to create a China‑free supply chain and boost economic growth. While Tokyo has recently succeeded in projects with the U.K., Italy, the U.S. and Australia,...

By The Diplomat – Asia-Pacific
The Real Reason Taiwan’s Defense Procurement Is Stalling
NewsApr 21, 2026

The Real Reason Taiwan’s Defense Procurement Is Stalling

Taiwan’s $11 billion U.S. arms package is stalled not because of weak resolve but due to growing public doubt that Washington will honor its security commitments. A January 2026 survey shows 70 percent favor U.S. weapons, yet only 34 percent view the United States...

By The Diplomat – Asia-Pacific
Reevaluating ASEAN’s Economic Outlook Amid the Iran Conflict
NewsApr 21, 2026

Reevaluating ASEAN’s Economic Outlook Amid the Iran Conflict

Templeton Research analyst Marcus Tantau warns that the ongoing Hormuz oil crisis and the Israel‑U.S. war’s spill‑over are dragging down ASEAN growth prospects. The World Bank has trimmed regional GDP forecasts by roughly one percentage point, and a prolonged Strait...

By The Diplomat – Asia-Pacific
ASEAN’s Rules of Origin Need a Rethink
NewsApr 21, 2026

ASEAN’s Rules of Origin Need a Rethink

ASEAN’s Rules of Origin (ROO) under ATIGA permit goods with predominantly foreign components to qualify for preferential treatment, undermining incentives for intra‑regional sourcing. Since the ROO shift to a Change‑in‑Tariff‑Classification (CTC) model, intra‑ASEAN trade has slipped to just 20‑30% of...

By The Diplomat – Asia-Pacific
A Brief History of Southeast Asia’s Streaming Wars
NewsApr 21, 2026

A Brief History of Southeast Asia’s Streaming Wars

In 2025 Southeast Asia’s streaming market expanded 19% to over 60 million paid subscribers, still under 10% of the population. Netflix remains the clear leader with more than 12 million users, while Hong‑Kong‑based Viu holds about 10 million and Indonesia’s home‑grown Vidio has...

By The Diplomat – Asia-Pacific
South Korea’s Renewed Strategic Pivot to India
NewsApr 17, 2026

South Korea’s Renewed Strategic Pivot to India

South Korea is reviving its strategic outreach to India as President Lee Jae‑myung prepares for a three‑day state visit in April 2026. The move builds on Seoul’s New Southern Policy and comes as India climbs to the world’s fifth‑largest economy,...

By The Diplomat – Asia-Pacific
Japan’s Constitutional Theater: Revising Article 9 Would Be a Mistake
NewsApr 17, 2026

Japan’s Constitutional Theater: Revising Article 9 Would Be a Mistake

Japan’s ruling Liberal Democratic Party, buoyed by a record 316‑seat lower‑house majority, is pushing to rewrite Article 9, the post‑war pacifist clause. The party argues the constitution no longer reflects reality, as the Self‑Defense Forces already operate as a modern military...

By The Diplomat – Asia-Pacific
The Geopolitical Importance of India’s Shrinking ‘Red Corridor’
NewsApr 17, 2026

The Geopolitical Importance of India’s Shrinking ‘Red Corridor’

India’s Ministry of Home Affairs announced on April 8 that no district remains classified as Left‑Wing Extremism‑affected, marking the end of the Red Corridor that once spanned ten states. The decline stems from a twin‑track strategy that pairs intensified counter‑insurgency with...

By The Diplomat – Asia-Pacific
China Was Once Buying Up Sri Lankan Ports. Now It’s India’s Turn.
NewsApr 17, 2026

China Was Once Buying Up Sri Lankan Ports. Now It’s India’s Turn.

India’s state‑run Mazagon Dock Shipbuilders Limited has bought a 51 percent stake in Sri Lanka’s Colombo Dockyard for $26.8 million, marking the first overseas shipyard acquisition by an Indian firm. The 52‑year‑old yard, capable of handling vessels up to 125,000 deadweight tons,...

By The Diplomat – Asia-Pacific
Move Over, Hungary: Spain Is China’s New Best Friend in the EU
NewsApr 17, 2026

Move Over, Hungary: Spain Is China’s New Best Friend in the EU

Spain has eclipsed Hungary as Beijing’s most influential EU partner, highlighted by Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez’s fourth Beijing visit and a push to label China a “strategic partner.” Chinese investment in Spain surged 50% to roughly $3 billion between 2024‑25, funding...

By The Diplomat – Asia-Pacific
Japan’s Takaichi to Forge Closer Cooperation With Australia in Rare Earths
NewsApr 17, 2026

Japan’s Takaichi to Forge Closer Cooperation With Australia in Rare Earths

Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi will travel to Australia in early May to deepen rare‑earth cooperation, a cornerstone of Tokyo’s strategy to diversify away from China’s dominant supply chain. The talks will build on existing investments in Australian miners such...

By The Diplomat – Asia-Pacific
The Uncertain Future of the China-Myanmar Economic Corridor
NewsApr 17, 2026

The Uncertain Future of the China-Myanmar Economic Corridor

The China‑Myanmar Economic Corridor (CMEC) remains stalled despite renewed political overtures after Myanmar’s sham election. Beijing has backed the military regime, mediating ceasefires and establishing a BRI implementation committee, yet security crises in Rakhine and Shan states keep the Kyaukphyu...

By The Diplomat – Asia-Pacific
Vietnam’s Top Leader Concludes 4-Day State Visit to China
NewsApr 17, 2026

Vietnam’s Top Leader Concludes 4-Day State Visit to China

Vietnam’s top leader To Lam concluded a four‑day state visit to China, meeting President Xi Jinping to discuss infrastructure, security and trade. The trip, his first abroad since being elected president, highlighted cooperation on high‑speed rail, AI and semiconductors, and...

By The Diplomat – Asia-Pacific
The Iran War’s Impact on India and Pakistan
NewsApr 17, 2026

The Iran War’s Impact on India and Pakistan

The United States has begun a naval blockade of Iranian ports, aiming to force Tehran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. The disruption has pushed global oil, LNG and fertilizer prices higher, hitting India’s already strained urea market and prompting...

By The Diplomat – Asia-Pacific
Plugging Into Reality: The ASEAN Power Grid
NewsApr 17, 2026

Plugging Into Reality: The ASEAN Power Grid

Southeast Asia’s long‑standing ASEAN Power Grid (APG) vision remains hampered by limited interconnection capacity, fragmented institutions, and regulatory gaps. Indonesia has pledged roughly $38 billion to expand its transmission network, while the World Bank and ADB’s ASEAN Power Grid Financing Initiative...

By The Diplomat – Asia-Pacific
Uzbekistan Wants Nuclear Energy, But Can It Afford the Water Cost?
NewsApr 16, 2026

Uzbekistan Wants Nuclear Energy, But Can It Afford the Water Cost?

Uzbekistan announced a partnership with Russia, overseen by the IAEA, to build a nuclear power plant in Jizzakh that could supply up to 15% of the country’s electricity. The project, valued at roughly $24.7 billion, includes a national radioactive‑waste centre and...

By The Diplomat – Asia-Pacific
How China’s Arctic Ambitions Inflate Russia’s Geopolitical Leverage
NewsApr 16, 2026

How China’s Arctic Ambitions Inflate Russia’s Geopolitical Leverage

Russia’s Northern Sea Route is framed by law as a historic national artery, not an open international corridor. While China promotes the route as a "Polar Silk Road" and anticipates commercial growth, Russian statutes require prior authorization, routing, and reporting,...

By The Diplomat – Asia-Pacific
Beyond the Rupture: Where Are China-Japan Relations Heading?
NewsApr 16, 2026

Beyond the Rupture: Where Are China-Japan Relations Heading?

Since November 2025, Sino‑Japanese relations have plunged to a decade low after Japan’s new prime minister Takaichi Sanae’s Taiwan remarks, prompting China to impose travel bans, seafood import bans, and heightened military activity. The crisis deepened with a knife‑wielding Self‑Defense Forces...

By The Diplomat – Asia-Pacific
Australia’s New National Defense Strategy Feels Written for a Bygone Era
NewsApr 16, 2026

Australia’s New National Defense Strategy Feels Written for a Bygone Era

Australia’s 2026 National Defense Strategy outlines an additional AU$53 bn (≈US$35 bn) defense budget over the next decade, aiming to lift spending to 3% of GDP. While the document largely reiterates progress from the 2024 strategy, it introduces a medium‑range surface‑to‑air missile...

By The Diplomat – Asia-Pacific
China’s Taiwan Calculus Ahead of the Trump-Xi Summit
NewsApr 16, 2026

China’s Taiwan Calculus Ahead of the Trump-Xi Summit

Chinese President Xi Jinping met Taiwan’s opposition KMT chair Cheng Li‑wun on April 10, 2026, timing the encounter with the 47th anniversary of the Taiwan Relations Act to shape the agenda of the upcoming Trump‑Xi summit. Beijing will use the summit to...

By The Diplomat – Asia-Pacific
India Mulls Deployment of Crocodiles and Snakes at Border with Bangladesh
NewsApr 15, 2026

India Mulls Deployment of Crocodiles and Snakes at Border with Bangladesh

India’s Border Security Force is evaluating a controversial plan to release venomous snakes and crocodiles into riverine sections of the 4,096‑km India‑Bangladesh border where fencing is impractical. The proposal follows a Home Ministry directive amid ongoing nationalist rhetoric about illegal...

By The Diplomat – Asia-Pacific
Bangladesh at the Crossroads: Renewables or Imported Fuel Chaos
NewsApr 15, 2026

Bangladesh at the Crossroads: Renewables or Imported Fuel Chaos

Bangladesh, which imports roughly 60% of its energy, is feeling the squeeze of soaring global oil, coal and LNG prices triggered by the Israel‑Iran conflict. The newly elected government faces a looming $4.8 billion jump in annual fuel‑import costs and a...

By The Diplomat – Asia-Pacific
Why the US Needs the PROSPER in the Pacific Act
NewsApr 15, 2026

Why the US Needs the PROSPER in the Pacific Act

U.S. Rep. Ed Case is urging Congress to pass H.R. 6619, the PROSPER in the Pacific Act, which would restore duty‑free treatment for Pacific Island imports similar to the pre‑2020 Generalized System of Preferences. The legislation targets critical vulnerabilities exposed by rising...

By The Diplomat – Asia-Pacific
South Korea’s Harder Line on Israel Amid Energy Shock
NewsApr 15, 2026

South Korea’s Harder Line on Israel Amid Energy Shock

South Korea’s President Lee Jae‑myung publicly criticized Israel, prompting a sharp diplomatic clash and the closure of the Israeli embassy in Seoul. The dispute coincided with Washington’s decision to redeploy Korean air‑defense systems to the Middle East, heightening alliance tensions....

By The Diplomat – Asia-Pacific
Amid the Hormuz Crisis, Indonesia Rewrites Its Energy Playbook
NewsApr 15, 2026

Amid the Hormuz Crisis, Indonesia Rewrites Its Energy Playbook

Indonesia’s government responded to the Strait of Hormuz disruption with a two‑pronged strategy: domestic fuel subsidies and demand controls were kept steady while the president launched an intensive diplomatic tour of Japan, South Korea and Russia. The visits produced concrete...

By The Diplomat – Asia-Pacific
China’s $4.5 Billion Headache: The Niger-Benin Pipeline and the Limits of Non-Interference
NewsApr 15, 2026

China’s $4.5 Billion Headache: The Niger-Benin Pipeline and the Limits of Non-Interference

In February 2026 China warned its citizens after rebel attacks on the CNPC‑operated Niger‑Benin pipeline, a $4.5 billion project designed to lift Niger’s oil output to 90,000 barrels per day and recover a $400 million loan. The 1,950‑km line, linking Niger’s Agadem...

By The Diplomat – Asia-Pacific
Why Are Educated Baloch Women Turning to Militancy?
NewsApr 14, 2026

Why Are Educated Baloch Women Turning to Militancy?

Educated Baloch women are increasingly joining militant groups as Pakistan's military‑backed policies intensify repression. Crackdowns on high‑profile activists such as Dr. Mahrang Baloch and the politicisation of dissent have eroded trust in provincial leadership. The 2024 rigged elections and the...

By The Diplomat – Asia-Pacific
The US and China Need to Talk About Unmanned Nukes
NewsApr 13, 2026

The US and China Need to Talk About Unmanned Nukes

The United States and China have yet to formalize controls over AI‑driven autonomous weapons, despite a 2024 joint statement that humans must remain "in the loop" for nuclear decisions. Recent U.S. strategic documents and Trump’s upcoming Beijing visit highlight growing...

By The Diplomat – Asia-Pacific
Why Did Wang Yi Go to North Korea? China’s 3 Strategic Calculations
NewsApr 13, 2026

Why Did Wang Yi Go to North Korea? China’s 3 Strategic Calculations

China’s foreign minister Wang Yi made an unannounced two‑day trip to Pyongyang on April 9‑10, meeting both Kim Jong Un and North Korean Foreign Minister Choe Son Hui. The visit was timed to temper Pyongyang’s recent missile tests and to smooth the diplomatic environment ahead of...

By The Diplomat – Asia-Pacific
Iran War Tests BRICS — And Reveals Its Limits
NewsApr 13, 2026

Iran War Tests BRICS — And Reveals Its Limits

More than two months after the U.S. and Israel launched attacks on Iran, the conflict is edging toward a fragile cease‑fire, but the closure of the Strait of Hormuz has sent global fuel and food prices soaring. BRICS – Brazil,...

By The Diplomat – Asia-Pacific
India on the High Seas: Hormuz and the Future of Maritime Security
NewsApr 13, 2026

India on the High Seas: Hormuz and the Future of Maritime Security

In a recent Beyond the Indus episode, Vice Admiral R.B. Pandit warned that the Hormuz crisis, highlighted by the sinking of Iran’s IRIS Dena, marks a watershed for global naval doctrine. He argued that the conflict’s spill‑over into the Indian Ocean...

By The Diplomat – Asia-Pacific
Japan Is America’s Indispensable Ally
NewsApr 13, 2026

Japan Is America’s Indispensable Ally

Japan continues to cement its role as the United States’ most reliable ally, even as President Donald Trump’s rhetoric remains volatile. Tokyo has turned trade tensions into leverage, securing reciprocal concessions on automobiles and agriculture while launching an investment strategy...

By The Diplomat – Asia-Pacific
Dependence Without Trust: The Drivers of Pakistan-UAE Divergence
NewsApr 13, 2026

Dependence Without Trust: The Drivers of Pakistan-UAE Divergence

Pakistan’s relationship with the United Arab Emirates has unraveled despite a decade‑long flow of Emirati financial lifelines. The UAE deposited more than $8 billion in Pakistan’s central bank between 2018 and 2026, yet strategic mistrust grew as Islamabad deepened its defence...

By The Diplomat – Asia-Pacific
With Orban Gone, China Has Lost Its Best Friend in the EU
NewsApr 13, 2026

With Orban Gone, China Has Lost Its Best Friend in the EU

Viktor Orban’s defeat in Hungary’s election removes the EU’s most vocal pro‑Beijing ally. Under Orban, Budapest routinely blocked EU statements on human‑rights abuses, Hong Kong and Taiwan, turning political support into China’s primary leverage in Europe. The incoming prime minister, Peter Magyar, has...

By The Diplomat – Asia-Pacific
Tokayev, Iran, and the Erosion of Kazakhstan’s Multi-Vector Diplomacy
NewsApr 13, 2026

Tokayev, Iran, and the Erosion of Kazakhstan’s Multi-Vector Diplomacy

Kazakhstan’s long‑standing multi‑vector foreign policy is being tested by the 2026 Iran conflict. President Tokayev offered strong diplomatic support to Gulf monarchies while keeping a cautious tone toward Iran, revealing selective alignment. The asymmetry signals a tilt toward U.S.-backed initiatives...

By The Diplomat – Asia-Pacific
Is the US Overlooking Turkmenistan in Its Iran Strategy?
NewsApr 10, 2026

Is the US Overlooking Turkmenistan in Its Iran Strategy?

The United States is weighing whether to tap Turkmenistan’s border airfields and logistics hubs as a foothold for operations against Iran amid a tentative cease‑fire. Turkmenistan, the only Central Asian nation sharing a 1,126‑km frontier with Iran, maintains a UN‑recognized...

By The Diplomat – Asia-Pacific
Indonesia’s President Prabowo Subianto Could Visit Russia Soon, Kremlin Says
NewsApr 10, 2026

Indonesia’s President Prabowo Subianto Could Visit Russia Soon, Kremlin Says

Indonesia’s president Prabowo Subianto is preparing a visit to Russia, where he is expected to meet Vladimir Putin and discuss potential oil purchases. The Kremlin confirmed talks are underway as Asian nations scramble for alternative energy amid a widening Middle‑East‑driven crisis....

By The Diplomat – Asia-Pacific
Southeast Asia’s AI Dilemma
NewsApr 9, 2026

Southeast Asia’s AI Dilemma

Southeast Asia is poised to become a major AI hub, attracting roughly $80 billion in infrastructure and investment and projecting a potential $1 trillion boost to regional GDP by 2030. Yet the AI surge is built on foreign cloud platforms and data...

By The Diplomat – Asia-Pacific
China-US Trade Relations: Between Engagement and Decoupling
NewsApr 9, 2026

China-US Trade Relations: Between Engagement and Decoupling

A new national web survey of 810 Americans reveals a nuanced view of U.S.-China trade. While a majority consider the relationship important (7.27/10), 59% label China’s trade practices unfair and 34% deem current trade inequitable. Partisan gaps are stark: Republicans...

By The Diplomat – Asia-Pacific
The Middle Corridor in an Era of Supply Chain Disruption
NewsApr 9, 2026

The Middle Corridor in an Era of Supply Chain Disruption

On Feb 28, simultaneous shutdowns of the Strait of Hormuz and the Red Sea cut oil transit by 86% and halted major carrier services, exposing the fragility of a maritime‑centric trade system. The disruption accelerated growth of the Middle Corridor –...

By The Diplomat – Asia-Pacific