India’s Worrying Plans for Dams on Transboundary Rivers Shared with Bangladesh
India’s northeastern state of Meghalaya is accelerating a suite of hydropower projects on the Myntdu and Kynshi rivers, including the 210 MW Myntdu‑Leshka Stage II and several upstream schemes. The detailed project reports are finished and the state government is seeking central financing, reviving projects that were stalled after Bangladeshi objections. Experts warn that cascading run‑of‑river dams could disrupt natural flow, trap sediment and heighten landslide and flood risk downstream. Bangladesh, which relies on these transboundary rivers, fears reduced water availability, loss of migratory fish and increased disaster vulnerability.
The Quiet Quad: From Strategic Signalling to Embedded Minilateralism – or a Silent Drift?
The Quad’s high‑profile summitry has stalled since 2024, leaving the group in a low‑visibility mode as India prepares to host the BRICS summit in September 2026. The pause reflects shifting U.S. priorities under President Trump and divergent defense and technology...
The Price of Strategic Autonomy: India and the Iran Conflict
India’s doctrine of strategic autonomy—balancing ties with Israel and Iran—faces a test as the Iran‑U.S./Israel conflict escalates. New Delhi has offered vague calls for de‑escalation while refraining from condemning recent Israeli airstrikes, prompting doubts about its reliability. The ambiguity threatens...
Stakes Rise for Pakistan as It Prepares to Host US-Iran Face-to-Face Talks
Pakistan is set to host U.S. and Iranian delegations in Islamabad on April 11 for face‑to‑face talks aimed at ending the 39‑day war. The meeting follows a fragile two‑week cease‑fire that Pakistan secured through intense diplomatic effort. A Strategic Mutual Defense...
India Upgrades Military Infrastructure in the Northeast on War Footing
India is accelerating a suite of defence‑focused infrastructure projects in the strategically vulnerable Siliguri Corridor and the broader Northeast. New initiatives include a 33.7‑km underwater road‑rail tunnel under the Brahmaputra, a 35.76‑km underground railway, an emergency landing strip near Dibrugarh,...
Pakistan as Peacemaker Facilitates the US-Iran Ceasefire
Pakistan’s diplomatic team, led by Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif, brokered a two‑week cease‑fire between the United States and Iran, prompting Tehran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. President Donald Trump, after a public threat of nuclear action, accepted Pakistan’s appeal and...
Why China’s Quiet Mediation Could Pave the Way for Easing Pakistan-Afghanistan Tensions
China has begun quiet, low‑profile mediation in Urumqi between Pakistan and the Afghan Taliban, aiming to defuse escalating cross‑border attacks. The talks, initially involving mid‑level delegations, have continued for over a week, coinciding with a pause in Pakistani airstrikes inside...
China’s Emergence as a Backroom Mediator
China’s foreign ministry announced that Beijing helped broker a temporary cease‑fire between Pakistan and Afghanistan after senior officials met in Urumqi on April 2. The conflict, which has claimed 800‑1,000 lives, saw Pakistan report killing 796 Taliban fighters and destroying dozens...
The Philippine’s Strategic Dilemma in the Shadow of Middle East Conflict
Philippine President Ferdinand Marcos Jr. declared a national energy emergency as the U.S.-Iran war disrupted oil supplies, leaving the country with roughly 50 days of fuel reserves. Manila secured preferential access to Iranian crude and sought U.S. waivers to import...
Why East Asia Isn’t Surprised by the Rupture in the Global Order
Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney’s Davos address framed the current geopolitical shift as a "rupture" and urged middle powers to act together. East Asian states have spent the past decade adapting to a waning U.S.-led order through deeper Washington engagement,...
Welcome to Cryptostan: Kyrgyzstan and the Emerging Crypto Corridor
In October 2025 Kyrgyz President Sadyr Japarov, advised by Binance founder CZ, launched the national stablecoin KGST, recognized a digital som CBDC, and announced a state crypto reserve. Crypto transactions in Kyrgyzstan surged to an estimated $20‑32 billion in 2025, dwarfing...
Whose Water Powers the Cloud? Data Centers and the Right to Water in Johor
Johor, Malaysia, has become Southeast Asia’s fastest‑growing data‑center hub, with capacity reaching about 5.8 GW by mid‑2025—almost double the previous year. The rapid expansion has sparked a water‑use crisis, as medium‑sized centers consume roughly 110 million gallons annually and mega‑centers up to...
India’s 59-Year Maoist Insurgency Collapses
India's decades‑long Maoist insurgency effectively ended in early 2026 as senior leaders died, were killed or surrendered. Home Minister Amit Shah announced the country is now Naxal‑free after systematic security operations across six states dismantled the People’s Liberation Guerrilla Army....
How the India-Myanmar Border in the Northeast Is Being Misread
The article examines the recent arrest of seven foreign nationals trying to cross from Mizoram into Myanmar and argues that this incident is being oversimplified as a border failure. It explains that the India‑Myanmar frontier, a 1,600‑kilometre line, is only...
Revisiting Donald Trump and Kim Jong Un’s Last Meeting
Donald Trump’s June 30, 2019 DMZ meeting with Kim Jong Un was a brief, 53‑minute encounter that aimed to revive stalled denuclearization talks after the failed Hanoi summit. Kim pressed for an end to U.S.–South Korean joint military exercises and tangible security guarantees,...
TSMC’s Kumamoto Fab Upgrade: A Security-Driven Reconfiguration of Indo-Pacific Chip Competition
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) will upgrade its Kumamoto, Japan fab to a 3‑nanometer process, targeting 15,000 12‑inch wafers per month and mass production by 2028. The $20 billion investment, backed by $4.62 billion in Japanese subsidies and equity from Sony, Denso...
Why Australia Should Not Participate in a Trump-Led Invasion of Iran
Australia should reject any Trump‑led invasion of Iran, according to a recent analysis. The piece argues that strategic ambiguity in U.S. policy, Australia’s limited military reach, and the absence of a clear end‑state make participation too risky. It also highlights...
Why India Should Leverage BRICS to Call for Ceasefire in West Asia
India, serving as BRICS chair for 2026, was urged by Iran’s president to use the forum to broker a cease‑fire after U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iranian territory. Despite the war’s spread to Gulf Cooperation Council states, BRICS has remained...
Amid Iran War Energy Crunch, Taiwan Turns Back Toward Nuclear Energy
Taiwan’s Lai administration announced plans to recommission the Guosheng No. 2 and Maanshan No. 3 nuclear reactors, targeting a 2028 return to service. The move follows an energy crunch triggered by the Iran‑related Strait of Hormuz disruption, which has driven up global...
China, the Philippines, and the Real Lesson of Second Thomas Shoal
Philippines and China signed the July 2024 Provisional Understanding on Second Thomas Shoal after a June 2024 violent boarding that exposed Beijing’s coercive tactics. Despite extensive transparency campaigns and diplomatic talks, Chinese water‑cannon and boarding actions escalated, prompting Manila to demonstrate national...
Will Conflict in the Middle East Boost China’s Renewable Energy Sector?
The Iran‑Israel‑U.S. war has driven Brent crude to its highest level since 2022, rattling global markets. Despite a 5% quarterly dip in the Hang Seng, China’s large strategic crude reserves and aggressive renewable‑energy rollout keep its growth outlook intact. Renewable‑energy...
Where Do Kazakhs Get Their News?
A DEMOSCOPE survey of 1,100 Kazakhs shows social media dominates news consumption, with 55.9% citing it as their primary source, while 45% prefer Kazakh language content. Trust remains low: 62.9% distrust social‑media groups and 66.1% distrust bloggers, yet 57.4% “rather...
Japan and South Korea’s Energy Hedge
The blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has triggered a systemic shock to global energy flows, prompting Japan and South Korea to deepen bilateral cooperation on LNG security. Both nations’ top energy firms, KOGAS and JERA, signed an MOU enabling...
China’s Economy Feels the Iran War Shock
The recent U.S.-Israel strike on Iran has choked the Strait of Hormuz, cutting off 40‑50% of China’s seaborne oil imports and adding pressure to an economy already in a three‑year deflationary slump. Beijing’s four‑month oil stockpile and a dual‑track sourcing...
South Korean Unification Minister Uses North Korea’s Formal Name
South Korean Unification Minister Chung Dong‑young referred to the North by its official name, the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea, signalling a shift toward a "peaceful two‑state framework." President Lee Jae‑myung’s END Initiative separates denuclearisation from engagement, emphasizing exchange and...
Are India-US Ties Really Back on Track?
In March 2026 a series of high‑level U.S. visits to New Delhi – including Assistant Secretary Paul Kapur, Deputy Secretary Christopher Landau and Under Secretary Elbridge Colby – kept diplomatic momentum alive. The visits produced a $43 million Boeing contract for P‑8...
How the Iran War Is Reshaping Kazakhstan’s Role in Eurasia
The Iran‑Russia war has shut the Strait of Hormuz, forcing Central Asian exporters to abandon the Southern Corridor. Kazakhstan’s Trans‑Caspian “Middle Corridor” has surged from 0.8 million to 4.5 million tons between 2020 and 2024, growing over 60 % in 2024 alone. The...
Alatau, Kazakhstan’s Futuristic Crypto City, Faces Ground-Level Realities
Kazakhstan’s parliament approved a bill granting Alatau special status, placing the futuristic “crypto city” under direct government jurisdiction. The plan includes high‑profile projects such as a $250 million air‑taxi partnership with Joby Aviation and a 272‑meter skyscraper slated for 2029. Yet...
A Coordinated Trans-Eurasian Threat: The Deepening China-Russia Strategic Partnership
The Australian Strategic Policy Institute warns that China and Russia have moved beyond a loose alignment into a deep, no‑limits partnership that coordinates military exercises, defense technology transfers, and economic coercion. This trans‑Eurasian axis seeks to fragment global finance, build...
Is South Korea About to Finally Get Full Control of Its Own Military?
South Korea fields the world’s fifth‑strongest military, yet wartime operational control (OPCON) remains with a U.S. four‑star general. The 2006 agreement to transfer OPCON to Seoul missed its 2012 deadline and is now 14 years overdue. A handover would grant...
CANZUK: A Fringe Idea Whose Time Has Come?
The article revives the fringe CANZUK concept, proposing a deeper political, economic and security partnership among Canada, Australia, New Zealand and the United Kingdom. It builds on the existing Australia‑New Zealand free‑movement and regulatory integration, extending those mechanisms to include the UK...
Testing the Japan-South Korea-US Techno-Alliance
The Japan‑South Korea‑US trilateral is reshaping from a broad security pact into a pragmatic techno‑alliance focused on AI, quantum computing, critical minerals and next‑generation nuclear energy. At the recent Trans‑Pacific Dialogue, leaders highlighted coordinated supply‑chain initiatives and pledged massive U.S....
Australia, International Broadcasting, and the Maintenance of Regional Trust
As the United States pulls back its media assistance in the Indo‑Pacific, China is expanding its state‑linked broadcasting, putting Australia’s soft‑power role under pressure. The Pacific Security and Engagement Initiatives (PSEI) – AU$32 million (≈$21 M USD) over four years – is...
The Global Implications of China’s 5-Year Plan AI Ambitions
China’s 15th Five‑Year Plan (2026‑2030) places AI and cybersecurity at the core of its strategy to become a global tech superpower. The plan accelerates deployment of Chinese AI models, especially open‑source offerings like DeepSeek R‑1, while embedding strict information‑control mandates aligned...
Despite a Supposedly Defensive Policy, China’s Military Budget Rises Fast
China announced a 2026 defence budget of 1.9 trillion yuan (about $275 billion), a 7 percent rise that continues a decade‑long upward trend despite its defensive rhetoric. Independent analysts argue the official figure understates true spending, which likely includes substantial R&D and opaque...
Australia, New Zealand Set Ambitious Course for Deeper Defense Cooperation
Australia and New Zealand unveiled the “ANZAC 2035” roadmap, committing to a tightly integrated defence force by the end of the decade. The plan expands joint exercises, aligns planning, and embeds personnel across both militaries, while establishing the Pacific Response Group for...
How an Indonesian Pulp Giant Built a Carbon Project to Save a Forest From Itself
Indonesia aims to become a hub for high‑integrity carbon credits, highlighted at COP30, while the Riau Ecosystem Restoration (RER) project—backed by APRIL Group with a $100 million investment—claims to avoid 373 million tons CO₂e, valued at $2.6 billion. The investigation reveals the project’s baseline...
More Questioned, Arrested, in Expanding Kyrgyzneftgas Probe
Former Kyrgyz National Bank chief Melis Turgunbaev was detained on March 26 after resigning amid a widening Kyrgyzneftegaz corruption probe. The State Tax Service alleges the state oil firm lost more than 4 billion soms (approximately $45.7 million) over five years, with funds...
The Security Architecture of the Taiwan-US Trade Deal
On February 12, 2026 Taiwan and the United States signed the Agreement on Reciprocal Trade (ART), eliminating tariffs on roughly 99 percent of bilateral goods and expanding market access across multiple sectors. Beyond tariff cuts, the pact embeds a security architecture...
What the Engagement Debate Misses: Visiting China Is Not the Same as Understanding It
The article argues that recent calls for renewed U.S. trips to China overlook a crucial distinction: visiting China does not equal understanding it. While official delegations showcase polished factories and elite think‑tank briefings, they miss the everyday realities of ordinary...
Pakistan’s Attacks and the World’s Silence Over Afghanistan
Pakistan has intensified airstrikes on Afghanistan, culminating in a UN‑verified bombing of a Kabul drug‑rehabilitation centre that killed 143 civilians, including children. Earlier UN reports documented at least 70 deaths, 478 injuries and the displacement of roughly 115,000 Afghans from...
Indian Government Cracks Down on Video Reels Lampooning PM Modi
On March 18, a parody Instagram reel mocking Prime Minister Narendra Modi, which had amassed 16 million views, was blocked in India after a legal demand from the government. Simultaneously, dozens of satire accounts on X and other platforms were taken...
Configuring India’s Security for a Multi-Front War
India’s defence establishment is reshaping its command structure and procurement processes to address the threat of a multi‑front war, but significant capability gaps remain. The government has created a Chief of Defence Staff and a Department of Military Affairs to...
The Private Firms Powering China’s Military AI Push
In February 2026, Shanxi 100 Trust Information Technology, a 266‑person privately owned IT firm, was banned for a year after submitting falsified bidding materials for PLA AI contracts. Despite the penalty, the company exemplifies a broader trend: a Georgetown CSET study...
India, China, and How Not to Save the Brahmaputra
China is rapidly expanding its upstream hydraulic infrastructure on the Yarlung Tsangpo, highlighted by the 60 GW Great Bend project, while withholding hydrological data from India. New Delhi has responded not with multilateral diplomacy but with a “dam‑for‑dam” strategy, exemplified by the 20,000 MW...
Uzbekistan Takes Next Step on Nuclear Power Plant Journey
Uzbekistan began concrete pouring at the Jizzakh site, marking the first physical step toward its inaugural nuclear power plant. The project, a partnership with Russia's Rosatom, has been scaled down to six 55 MW small modular reactors delivering a total of...
Can Central Asia Become a New Hub in the Global Fertilizer Market?
Central Asian states are mobilising substantial resources to become a new fertilizer hub, with Kazakhstan targeting 6 million tonnes of potash by 2028, Uzbekistan scaling green ammonia, and Turkmenistan expanding phosphate output. The region’s existing gas‑chemical complexes, such as KazAzot and...
What Do Central Asians Think About the Eurasian Economic Union?
The Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU) launched in 2015 with Russia, Belarus, Kazakhstan, Armenia and Kyrgyzstan, promising a common market and higher living standards. A new study by Dr. Zhanibek Arynov and Diyas Takenov surveyed public opinion in Armenia, Kazakhstan and...
The War on Oil: Iran Conflict and the Global Energy Crisis
Veteran oil trader Adi Imsirovic told the Beyond the Indus podcast that the ongoing Iran‑Israel conflict has choked the Strait of Hormuz, creating the most severe energy shock of his career. He argued that futures markets are underpricing the supply...
North Korea Enshrines Nuclear Weapons as a Necessity for Future Generations
North Korea’s 15th Supreme People’s Assembly re‑elected Kim Jong Un and formally linked the country’s nuclear arsenal to the security of future generations. The session elevated loyalist Jo Yong Won to parliamentary chair and kept veteran foreign minister Choe Son Hui in...