Thursday's Morning Movers: Travel Stocks Plunge, ARM Upgrade, QCOM Downgrade

Schwab Network
Schwab NetworkMar 26, 2026

Why It Matters

The sector shift driven by oil price spikes and AI chip momentum reshapes portfolio risk, favoring energy and semiconductor leaders over travel stocks.

Key Takeaways

  • Rising oil prices pressure airline and cruise stocks
  • Travel sector declines amid geopolitical tension and TSA staffing issues
  • ARM upgraded to Buy with $200 target, citing AI chip progress
  • Qualcomm downgraded to market perform, citing smartphone slowdown
  • Energy ETF outperforms while travel ETFs lag, highlighting sector rotation

Summary

The Thursday Morning Movers segment highlighted three headline moves: travel‑related equities tumbling on higher oil and geopolitical risk, ARM Holdings receiving an upgrade to Buy with a $200 price target, and Qualcomm being cut to market‑perform after a bearish note from Bernstein.

Rising crude, spurred by renewed U.S.–Iran tensions and a partial government shutdown affecting TSA staffing, weighed on airlines and cruise operators. American Airlines fell 1.4%, Delta and United each slipped about 1%, while Royal Caribbean, Carnival and Norwegian lost roughly 0.5‑0.75%. The Jets ETF confusion was corrected to the energy‑focused XOP, which has logged 11 straight winning weeks, underscoring the sector split.

Needham’s analysts praised ARM’s “bold moves” – higher royalty rates, full‑chip system designs, and a new AI‑focused CPU line already backed by Meta and OpenAI – prompting a 2% rise on the day and double‑digit weekly gains. Conversely, Bernstein warned that Qualcomm faces double‑digit handset‑shipment declines, rising memory costs and an Apple‑driven modem loss, cutting its target to $140 and reinforcing a year‑to‑date 20% slide.

For investors, the data suggests a rotation from travel exposure toward energy and AI‑centric semiconductor plays. Monitoring oil price volatility and the pace of ARM’s AI product rollout will be crucial, while Qualcomm’s outlook remains a cautionary tale for hardware‑dependent chipmakers.

Original Description

Airlines and cruise line stocks sold off to start Thursday's trading session as President Trump threatens to escalate the U.S.-Iran War. Diane King Hall explains how it adds to existing headwinds in both industries. She then turns to the analyst front by examining an upgrade in Arm Holdings (ARM) and a downgrade in Qualcomm (QCOM).
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