Colby Smith

Colby Smith

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NYT correspondent covering the Fed & U.S. economy (ex-FT)

February Jobs Data Deepens Fed Split over Rates
SocialMar 6, 2026

February Jobs Data Deepens Fed Split over Rates

February's jobs report will certainly stoke divisions at the Fed. Some officials are highly concerned about the health of the labor market and willing to cut rates to support it. Others seem more attuned to the risk posed by inflation,...

By Colby Smith
Fed Likely to Hold Rates, May Tighten if Inflation Persists
SocialMar 4, 2026

Fed Likely to Hold Rates, May Tighten if Inflation Persists

NEW: Beth Hammack of @ClevelandFed tells @nytimes that with inflation too high and rates at neutral, the Fed should be on hold for "quite some time." The next move may also not necessarily be down: "If we don’t see inflation...

By Colby Smith
Waller Doubts AI Fuels Current Productivity Surge
SocialFeb 23, 2026

Waller Doubts AI Fuels Current Productivity Surge

Waller on Monday pushes back on the idea that the ongoing productivity boom is currently being driven by AI. "A.I. at some point will clearly kick in down the road, but I don't think it's going to be in the...

By Colby Smith
Waller Open to Steady Rates in March if Labor Stabilizes
SocialFeb 23, 2026

Waller Open to Steady Rates in March if Labor Stabilizes

Waller, a Fed governor who dissented against January's rate cut pause, said he is open to holding rates steady in March if the labor market continues to stabilize. He also doesn't expect the Supreme Court ruling to impact his rate...

By Colby Smith