Back in the day, Goldman Sachs was the premier Wall Street bad guy. The investment bank attracted endless scrutiny of the supposedly conflicting and asymmetric arrangements that powered its broker dealer operations. Key among these were its primary dealer arrangements. Today, that attention has shifted to market makers like Jane Street. Key to the perceived conflict is the privileged role these institutions often play as “authorised participants”. The AP term was entirely obscure to most journalists before I started writing about it, and frequently dismissed as an operational irrelevance. “Nothing to see here”. In reality it represents a new type of primary dealer relationship. Except there is a difference. While the Goldmans of this world operated as de facto APs to the New York Fed, modern market makers operate as APs to thousands of ETFs, which (when you deconstruct them) amount to pseudo miniature currency board that back their “units” (we used to call tokens units) with a plethora of different assets, swaps and other mechanisms. All these entities (including the NY Fed) have one objective. Keeping their units pegged to some sort of index. ETFs mostly track stock and market indices. Par (aka “the peg”) equals the index minus the management fee. How they achieve that is often not as transparent as you would think. The NY Fed’s objective is ensuring its tokens deliver returns commensurate with an interest rate that fluctuates based the decisions of its FOMC. The difference is that its rate shifts based on the price externalities over supply of their own units create in the market even if they achieve their target. The same thing does not happen with ETFs. The externalities are ignored and available to market makers like Jane Street to exploit. The analogy isn’t that ETFs are the Fed. It’s that both systems issue “units” to maintain a peg. When unit creation becomes a structural funding loop rather than a marginal arbitrage, price externalities accumulate somewhere. The question isn’t whether the trades close overnight. It’s whether the systemic supply effect of constantly reopening them alters price formation over time — and who captures that transfer.
The Blind Spot's resident Spaniard says Brits shouldn't worry about Gibraltar turning Spanish. Were that the case, it would set off a series of dominoes that could devastate both Spain and Morocco. https://t.co/gFok91QaFp
This is precisely how the Citrini doom loop begins. The prospect of short term gains like this outweighs concerns over longer term externalities and negative feedback loops.
Below is the AI-assisted summary of today's Spaces discussion on Terraform's lawsuit against Jane Street and the wider questions it invites about the murky behind-the-scenes mechanics of how ETFs function. It also touches on the wider conflicts of interest that...

New CEPR paper looks at the economics of tariffs. Says "while tariffs can redistribute income between domestic winners and losers from trade, more efficient redistributive instruments typically exist." Not sure I agree, but I did like this chart. https://t.co/PCMMEJY9dc https://t.co/PWFT8xomhM
Join me at 2pm GMT today on Spaces to discuss what’s really going on behind the scenes when liquidity providers like Jane Street support key ETFs and markets. https://t.co/a9uhteuOzP
There’s a lot of heated views about the Jane Street Terraform story. Those who say “nothing to see here” and no big market maker conspiracy. And those who think something very untoward has been happening for ages. I think both...
I don't think the world is ready for the reality that the great solar boom wasn't as cost-efficient as everyone thought. And actually, in a round-about way, was probably predominantly subsidised by growing Western indebtedness, at the cost of middle-class...

Former ECBer, Vitor Constancio, thinks the dollar debasement narrative is overstated. He says, yes, Trumpian policies are challenging the international monetary order, but they are not, as yet, leading it to crumble: "the dollar will continue to dominate for decades ahead". His...
THREAD 🧵I know everyone is very excited about aliens this morning, but I ask you, is it really as exciting as super wonky insights on dollar liquidity plumbing, Federal Reserve balance sheet policy, and stablecoin statecraft? I think not. I...
Stephen Miran, long viewed as the Fed’s arch dove, tells The Peg that firm labour data and a pickup in goods inflation could justify revising his 2026 dot higher. https://t.co/qevsjpOlwA
Anyone who trusts official Chinese reserve data is a fool. The blind spot in the official narrative about China "dropping the dollar" is China's continued SHADOW dollar reserve accumulation, which looks like the below chart👇 The big January increase in state banks'...
Something worth remembering if you're trying to value the stock market right now: 👇 A corporation can only profit from human labor displacement once. If by engaging in that single cost saving to beef up your bottom line you inadvertently destroy...