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Luke Kawa

Luke Kawa

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Markets strategist; liquidity, curves, and cross‑asset rates dynamics

Micron Mirrors Nvidia's 2023 Surge in Revenue Growth
Social•Mar 18, 2026

Micron Mirrors Nvidia's 2023 Surge in Revenue Growth

Micron has been trading like Nvidia circa 2023 because it’s growing top line like Nvidia circa 2023 $MU $NVDA https://t.co/QfTDEfwA3p https://t.co/D5Z0rxoIyB

By Luke Kawa
Oil Firms Will Weigh Prices Before Ramping Output
Social•Mar 18, 2026

Oil Firms Will Weigh Prices Before Ramping Output

Oil companies going to make reasoned judgements about prices before boosting production a ton

By Luke Kawa
Mid‑year Core Inflation Dip Could Push Rate Cuts to September
Social•Mar 18, 2026

Mid‑year Core Inflation Dip Could Push Rate Cuts to September

So mid-year is when we should start to see progress on core inflation. Probably resets “good news” cut clock to like September.

By Luke Kawa
OKLO's P/S Ratio Remains Steady Amid Market Swings
Social•Mar 17, 2026

OKLO's P/S Ratio Remains Steady Amid Market Swings

For all the talk about markets ignoring potent catalysts and being untethered from fundamentals, I’ll note that OKLO’s price-to-sales ratio has been unchanged through its ups and downs.

By Luke Kawa
Nvidia's Dominance Seems Unbeatable, yet Valuation Appears Absurd
Social•Mar 17, 2026

Nvidia's Dominance Seems Unbeatable, yet Valuation Appears Absurd

.@Srasgon on $NVDA: “frankly we increasingly wonder how anyone else can compete with this.” “the order book suggests further upside to numbers, with the stock (in our opinion) almost absurdly valued given their positioning.” https://t.co/qVFTS3D69T

By Luke Kawa
Two‑tier System Reshapes Oil Transport Through Hazardous Seas
Social•Mar 17, 2026

Two‑tier System Reshapes Oil Transport Through Hazardous Seas

THE ROAD LESS TRAVELED, OR THE WATERS MORE MINED The emerging two-tier system for moving oil through dangerous waters https://t.co/tMC9TJnD8s https://t.co/toqDQepMPK

By Luke Kawa
Iran's VIP Checkpoint Makes Hormuz Transit Politically Controlled
Social•Mar 17, 2026

Iran's VIP Checkpoint Makes Hormuz Transit Politically Controlled

So Iran has basically set up VIP access (or a separate customs checkpoint, if you prefer) for friendly vessels, per JPM “In practice, this creates a system in which the Strait is not formally closed, yet transit increasingly depends on political...

By Luke Kawa
GTC Shifts Focus From GPUs to Broader AI
Social•Mar 16, 2026

GTC Shifts Focus From GPUs to Broader AI

GTC stands for “GPU Technology Conference” Yet today, the unofficial title of Jensen Huang’s speech might as well be “Beyond GPUs” https://t.co/RKZuN87GrL $NVDA https://t.co/q2Kpsvlltm

By Luke Kawa
Oil Trading Treated as Abstract Futures, Not Physical Settlement
Social•Mar 16, 2026

Oil Trading Treated as Abstract Futures, Not Physical Settlement

Peeps seem to be trading oil like an abstract future and not something that physically settles

By Luke Kawa
Companies Blame AI for Layoffs Despite Minimal Role
Social•Mar 16, 2026

Companies Blame AI for Layoffs Despite Minimal Role

A bad AIxcuse is better than none? “59% say they emphasize AI’s role in layoffs bc it ‘is viewed more favorably by stakeholders than saying layoffs or hiring freezes are driven by financial constraints.’ Only 9% said AI had fully replaced...

By Luke Kawa
Brent's Third-Month Futures Outperform Front-Month, Signaling Supply Risks
Social•Mar 13, 2026

Brent's Third-Month Futures Outperform Front-Month, Signaling Supply Risks

This is the week that oil markets started to wake up to not-so-short-term supply risks. Unprecedented outperformance of Brent third-month vs front-month in an up market (since at least 1989) https://t.co/moJqCod6kL https://t.co/0wKCN8bKco

By Luke Kawa
Nintendo Stays Silent Despite White House Tweet Storm
Social•Mar 13, 2026

Nintendo Stays Silent Despite White House Tweet Storm

I can’t believe Nintendo’s seen all those White House tweets and hasn’t said “Wii object” yet

By Luke Kawa
Meta Postpones AI Model Launch Due to Poor Performance
Social•Mar 13, 2026

Meta Postpones AI Model Launch Due to Poor Performance

Meta reportedly delays the launch of its new AI model because...it’s just not that good https://t.co/I2lcsWkMrw https://t.co/xQfoTa6asz

By Luke Kawa
Prediction Markets See WTI Futures Still Rising
Social•Mar 12, 2026

Prediction Markets See WTI Futures Still Rising

Prediction markets think WTI futures haven’t peaked yet Market-implied odds of maximum price of front-month contracts this year https://t.co/KJycyDttIE https://t.co/obrkd1ueUb

By Luke Kawa
Oil Prices Jumping Without Reason, Not Just Volatility
Social•Mar 9, 2026

Oil Prices Jumping Without Reason, Not Just Volatility

All of the “oil trading like a meme stock/shitcoin” tweets are not landing with me since the entire point is not that those are volatile, it’s that they move

By Luke Kawa

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