Early Iran Risk Warning Yields Record Oil Gains
Since my client warning, VIX has risen 70%. and because I warned two weeks ahead that IRAN RISK IS NOT PRICED IN, clients got to take full advantage of every dollar of the largest weekly gain on record in data going back to 1982, in oil.
Oracle and OpenAI Scrap Texas Data Center Expansion Plans
ORACLE $ORCL AND OPENAI ENDS PLANS TO EXPAND TEXAS DATA CENTER SITE: BBG Timber $AAOI $BE $AEHR $NVDA $SMH hello $SPX $6700 incoming ;-) As posted Feb 26th: There Are Better Things To Trade Than Nvidia https://t.co/LGkqEyi3XF
Free Access to Live Trading Room + Unedited AI Notes
Little Note: Big Warning with complimentary access to my live trading room recording & (unedited) AI briefing notes. https://t.co/kpucMGgu60
Iran Risk Unpriced; Oil, USD, Yields Threaten Market Crash
I did a rant this morning live in my trading room of what to buy and what to avoid and what to short and my HIGH conviction Iran Risk Is Not Priced In - as I have been writing about...
Hormuz Closure Threat Spurs Oil Price Surge
Same. I wrote about this past few days for clients because too many are complacent: Hormuz Heightens Risk & My Crude Oil Price Target https://t.co/jNvbWvy4Rt
Patient Shorts Pay Off in Live Trading Session
Patient Shorts Rewarded - live trading room Tuesday ;-) $VIX $SPX $EWY $EWT $EWJ $SNDK $STX $WDC $MU Charting VIX for intraday scalps PLUS timing the top in South Korea ;-) https://t.co/zuRtN2DthN
Qatar LNG Shutdown Tightens Supply, Pressures Emerging Markets
Oil and gas price shocks hit emerging markets more than developed. Not to mention South Korea and Japan are major buyers (read: dependent). BOJ inflation-induced rate hike can be pulled forward from my Q3 projection to Q2. $USDJPY
Markets
Winning Isn't Even On My Bingo Card From Safe Havens To Software Gap Down Was Bought, For Now Petro or Pedo-Dollar https://t.co/C1TzLcxyl7
Iran Risk Unpriced; Protect Positions Ahead of Expiry
I warned IRAN RISK IS NOT PRICED IN - 2 weeks ago setting up for clients how to protect. And then last week: Iran Risk Is Not Priced In, Still Then Friday morning live & in this Weekend Risk client post: "I’m racing...
Software Gains, Hardware Falters: Go Long NFLX, Short NVDA
JPM: Software (IGV) — Sentiment +10% | Net flows +1.5z | ETF volume +4z (1yr lookback) Semis (SMH) — Sentiment -7% | Net flows -0.3z | ETF volume +1z I call that "green shoots" and made for a great $NFLX long, $NVDA short...
Nvidia Not Top Trade; Here Are Better Alternatives
There Are Better Things To Trade Than Nvidia also my short price targets on $NVDA https://t.co/LGkqEyi3XF
Day Two Tech Bounce: Nvidia Holds the Key
We are in Day 2 of this toga party in oversold tech bounce chases - if NVDA doesn't muck it up.
AI‑driven Stocks Like $TRI Can Spark Sharp Rallies
Right Tail Right Now😉 I set up why AI-pressured names like $TRI can stage sharp reflexive rallies And boy did it: +25% We covered lots of chase plays as well as my timing for next wave of volatility within a still fragile market...
Delayed Left Tail, Emerging Right Tail Signals Green Growth
Left Tail Delayed; Right Tail Green Shoots I wrote about this for clients Tues: https://t.co/9mH4bWEu3y
Buy News, Sell Rumors; Metals and Boomer Stocks Surge
If you missed my client post November 26: "Sell The Rumor of Consumer Cyclical Slowdown; Buy The News." Or December 12: "ROTATION & RECESSION INTO ALL TIME HIGHS" Or January 6th: "2025: METALS ARE THE NEW OIL 2026: BOOMER STOCKS ARE THE NEW INFLATIONARY ASSETS" HALO has...
Historic Shift: Growth to Value Gains Momentum
💫Historic Rotation From Growth-To-Value 💫The HALO Effect 💫THINGS OVER PAPER Continues 💫The Best Analyst You’ve Never Heard Of ;-) Open to all 😘 https://t.co/ktb2nCSe5S
AI Surge Makes Software Competition Easier, Threatening Companies
“I’m more bullish on AI than I’ve ever been. And that’s exactly why I’m bearish on most software companies. Not because their customers will leave, but because their next thirty competitors just got a lot easier to build.”
2026 Marks Second-Strongest Equal-Weight Outperformance Since 1990
2026 has so far seen the second strongest relative performance for equal weight versus cap weight since 1990 That timing didn’t suck. https://t.co/zuhbqozekK
SaaS Stocks Plummet: Warning About Catching Falling Knife
Feb 2nd I warned clients about catching the falling knife in SaaS. I wasn’t kidding. $IGV #MAG7 https://t.co/AGnysZ3ZHV
Strategic Patience Required Amid Mixed Market Signals
Strategic Patience Is Needed 💫Let’s start with the good news… 💫Now, let’s get to the bad news… 💫Blood Red Moon 💫Strategic Patience Is Needed 💫So What’s The Trade? 💫Bounce Then Trounce https://t.co/lP47X6m5Jw
Historic Shift Signals Growing Market Structure Risks
Historic Dispersion From Growth To Value Rotation - some quant talk to highlight growing risks in market structure. #CTA #IRAN $NVDA https://t.co/ZcfZDnpE7l
Growth-to-Value Rotation Shifts Money to Cyclicals and Defensives
“Yes, THAT growth-to-value sector rotation I called in November to last through Feb before volatility Mar into May. THAT was my call and it’s still in play before a massive de-risking in MAG7 and SaaS unwind showed up along with...
Sector Rotation Timing Yields Asset‑rich Returns
The Great Rotation: From Growth to Asset Rich Value My job is timing sector rotation & picking the best stocks long/short within it. That & sizing up macro event risk & market structure support. That's how I could time the...
Quant Quakes: Critical Levels Highlight Vulnerable CTAs
Critical Levels For Quant Quakes 💫Historic Dispersion 💫CTAs are Vulnerable 💫Negative Gamma 💫The Week Ahead 💫Gamma Mechanics https://t.co/vAJSwKFzi4
Rising Margin Loans Tied to Crypto, Metal, Software Volatility
Elevated Margin Loans … wonder if the crypto volatility and metal volatility and software volatility has something to do with that 🥺
Stock Crashes Stem From Multiple Compression, Not Revenue Loss
Fab article about which vertical software will be hurt and which could be made stronger... "But here's the thing the market already understands: you don't need revenue to decline for the stock to crash. You need the multiple to compress. A...
Iran Risk Unpriced: Trump Faces Bluff, Consequence Choice
Iran Risk Is Not Priced In Iran escalation does not look easily winnable for Trump. It looks like a bluff inside a trap, which sets up as a dangerous game of “concession or consequence”. https://t.co/XXKbHZrXhQ
Sector Rotation Ends; Brace for Upcoming Volatility
Given I timed the sector rotation with precision in Nov & said it would likely run until Feb, and we are here, I'm gonna share what else I also told clients: IN LIEU OF SECTOR ROTATION, THERE WILL BE VOLATILITY™️😉
Metal Volatility Reveals Hidden Market Shifts
Metal Volatility Changed Everything $GLD $SLV $BTCUSD $SPX $QQQ $IGV $XLK Sharp volatility in gold, silver, crypto and equities was easier to spot than most think. And why I study sector rotation, options structure, and investor confidence. https://t.co/PYmLxcJSCJ
Flat Index Hides Underlying Market Turbulence
Flat Index Masks Hidden Chaos A guest contribution post by our partners at SpotGamma https://t.co/XlP50y4c9B
Predicting Silver’s Peak and the Next Market
How I Called The Top In Silver & What Comes Next $GLD $SLV $GDX $SIL We also about my yen monetization framework, oil, AI-driven software disruption & timing a historic rotation into large-cap value. https://t.co/0A5l9bLx9C
USD Poised to Rise if Congress Regains Tariff Control
Wouldn’t that be something: $NVDA earnings 25th with SCOTUS decision on tariffs anytime after 20th… #IEEPA USD bullish in the short term if they hand back tariff control to Congress 🎰 $VIX
Yen Carry Trade Holds; USD Weakens, Markets Rise
Yen Carry Trade Is Not Unwinding Like You Think $USDJPY $FXY $QQQ $DXY Japan & China’s pressure on Treasury sales are weakening the USD, supporting equities + metals overall, without triggering a disruptive yen carry trade unwind. https://t.co/m6Mu3FpuRf
Snap‑back Rallies Off Strong Support Aren’t Reversals
Little Bounces Off Big Support From my live trading room Friday... Snap-back rallies off big support does not a trend-reversal make 🙃 $MSFT $AMZN $QQQ $BTCUSD $SLV https://t.co/OLa6XrVvqJ
Bears Brace for NFP Wednesday and CPI Friday
Neil does a great job with the week ahead ... bears watching as we head into NFP Wed & CPI Fri.
