War on the Rocks

War on the Rocks

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Independent publication on strategy, defense and geopolitics with macro/markets implications (energy, security, great‑power competition).

Does Guaranteeing Israel’s Qualitative Military Edge Still Serve U.S. Interests?
BlogFeb 10, 2026

Does Guaranteeing Israel’s Qualitative Military Edge Still Serve U.S. Interests?

In this episode Rob Geist Pinfold examines whether the United States should continue guaranteeing Israel’s qualitative military edge (QME) amid shifting regional dynamics and Netanyahu’s surprising call to cut U.S. aid. He traces the historical evolution of U.S. military assistance—from Cold‑War...

By War on the Rocks
Biodefense Blind Spot: Why Washington Confuses Pandemics with Bioweapons
BlogFeb 10, 2026

Biodefense Blind Spot: Why Washington Confuses Pandemics with Bioweapons

In this episode Junaid Nabi explains how the convergence of generative AI and synthetic biology is creating a new class of biological threats that evade traditional pandemic‑focused defenses. Recent AI models such as Evo 2, Claude Opus 4, and OpenAI’s o3 can design...

By War on the Rocks
Deterrence Won’t Fail in the Taiwan Strait — It Will Be Bypassed
BlogFeb 9, 2026

Deterrence Won’t Fail in the Taiwan Strait — It Will Be Bypassed

In this episode J. William DeMarco argues that recent Chinese military activities around Taiwan are less about rehearsing an invasion and more about a strategy of paralysis—using encirclement, law‑enforcement vessels, and limited rocket fire to create economic and political pressure...

By War on the Rocks