Which Latin American Leaders Will Be Forced From Power in 2026?

Summary

In this episode the host examines prediction‑market odds for Latin American leaders being ousted before the end of 2026, using data from Kalshi and Polymarket. He highlights Cuba, Venezuela, Bolivia and Ecuador as the most volatile cases, while noting that low liquidity and US‑centric trader bases can skew odds for countries like Guyana or Mexico. The discussion also covers market mechanics—volume as a signal, resolution rules, and the potential for insider trading or manipulation—to illustrate both the promise and limits of these markets as early‑warning tools.