Does the Iran War Signal the End of Economic Statecraft?

Atlantic Council
Atlantic CouncilMar 18, 2026

Why It Matters

A sustained move from economic coercion to kinetic force would reshape global leverage, undermine recent investments in sanctions and financial tools, and heighten geopolitical risk for markets and allied coordination.

Summary

Podcast guests debated whether recent U.S. actions mark a turning point away from economic statecraft toward hard military power. They defined geoeconomics as using finance and economic tools—sanctions, tariffs, export controls—to pursue national-security goals, and noted its rise over the past decade. Bloomberg’s Sean Donnan argued the Trump administration has pivoted from weaponizing economic tools in 2025 to relying on direct military intervention in Venezuela and an aggressive strike on Iran. Hosts warned this shift alters how the U.S. leverages global finance and may unsettle allies and established geoeconomic strategies.

Original Description

From tariffs to sanctions, the Trump administration relied heavily on the geoeconomic toolkit in 2025. With the war in Iran and capture of Nicolás Maduro in Venezuela, has President Donald Trump lost his patience with these tools?
Josh and Jessie debate this question with Shawn Donnan, senior writer for economics at Bloomberg. They discuss the use of economic statecraft in the US-Israel-Iran conflict, how these tools developed, and the ever-shifting intersection between economic statecraft and national security.
For more, read Shawn’s Bloomberg newsletter, which sparked this debate "“Trump Ditches Economic Statecraft for the Power Politics of War”:
And check out Josh’s Wall Street Journal op-ed, “To Squeeze Iran, Trump Reaches Into the Geoeconomic Toolkit”:

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