Small Wars Journal

Small Wars Journal

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Independent site on irregular warfare, SOF, and nat‑sec

What I Learned From Being a Planner in an Advisory Command: Reflections From the Security Assistance Group – Ukraine
NewsMar 25, 2026

What I Learned From Being a Planner in an Advisory Command: Reflections From the Security Assistance Group – Ukraine

The Security Assistance Group‑Ukraine (SAG‑U) spent six months coordinating training and equipment for Kyiv, confronting the unique demands of advisory planning. Planners had to juggle three major actors—U.S., Ukrainian, and Russian forces—while lacking direct command over Ukrainian units. To cope,...

By Small Wars Journal
Greenland and Strategic North American Defense in the 21st Century
NewsMar 25, 2026

Greenland and Strategic North American Defense in the 21st Century

Since President Trump took office in 2025, the United States has elevated nuclear modernization and missile‑defense priorities, casting Greenland into the spotlight. Pituffik Space Base now operates an Upgraded Early Warning Radar capable of detecting launches over 3,000 miles away,...

By Small Wars Journal
Fire Detection as a Proxy for Combat: The Economist
NewsMar 25, 2026

Fire Detection as a Proxy for Combat: The Economist

The Economist used NASA’s FIRMS satellite fire detection system combined with a 100‑model machine‑learning filter to identify war‑related heat signatures in Ukraine. By requiring 95 of 100 models to flag an anomaly, the approach isolates artillery, drone and missile strikes...

By Small Wars Journal
Terrorist Innovation Model and Drone Adoption Explained | GNET Insights
NewsMar 24, 2026

Terrorist Innovation Model and Drone Adoption Explained | GNET Insights

The Global Network on Extremism and Technology (GNET) released a study outlining a Terrorist Innovation Model that explains how groups like ISIS and Al‑Qaeda adopt emerging technologies, especially drones, through adaptation rather than invention. The model separates intrinsic factors—strategic goals,...

By Small Wars Journal
March to the Sound of the Guns: Organizational Integration for Strategic Competition
NewsMar 24, 2026

March to the Sound of the Guns: Organizational Integration for Strategic Competition

The U.S. Army recognizes a doctrinal gap in integrating information operations into strategic competition and proposes a new organizational model that mirrors close‑air‑support (CAS) structures. By embedding information‑warfare professionals within State Department regional bureaus and key embassies, the Army aims...

By Small Wars Journal
3/23/26 National Security and Korean News and Commentary
NewsMar 23, 2026

3/23/26 National Security and Korean News and Commentary

On March 23, 2026 Small Wars Journal published a comprehensive roundup of national‑security and Korean‑related commentary. The collection highlights escalating U.S. concerns over Iran—including regime‑change debates, hybrid warfare analysis, and President Trump’s shifting stance on Iranian energy strikes—while also flagging...

By Small Wars Journal
Communicative Deterrence in the Information Environment | Irregular Warfare Center
NewsMar 23, 2026

Communicative Deterrence in the Information Environment | Irregular Warfare Center

Dr. Rupinder Mangat of Defence Research and Development Canada proposes “communicative deterrence,” a framework that leverages strategic communication to build societal resilience against adversarial information operations. The model treats resilience as deterrence by denial, arguing that a public that can...

By Small Wars Journal
The Rise of Non-State Special Operations | The War Room Podcast
NewsMar 23, 2026

The Rise of Non-State Special Operations | The War Room Podcast

The War Room Podcast episode highlights the growing capability of non‑state actors—terrorist groups, cartels, and private contractors—to conduct complex, high‑impact special operations traditionally reserved for nation‑states. Professor Craig Whiteside and host Darrell Driver discuss historical examples such as the Tet...

By Small Wars Journal
Russia’s Spring Offensive Begins Against Ukraine’s Fortress Belt: ISW
NewsMar 23, 2026

Russia’s Spring Offensive Begins Against Ukraine’s Fortress Belt: ISW

The Institute for the Study of War says Russian forces have launched a spring‑summer 2026 offensive against Ukraine’s “Fortress Belt” in Donetsk, focusing on Slovyansk and Kramatorsk. Initial operations are in a shaping phase, with probing attacks and intensified strikes...

By Small Wars Journal
The Architecture of Resistance: Why Iran’s Ideological Statecraft Outlasts Nuclear Diplomacy
NewsMar 23, 2026

The Architecture of Resistance: Why Iran’s Ideological Statecraft Outlasts Nuclear Diplomacy

The article argues that Iran’s revolutionary constitution embeds a permanent mandate to support global “oppressed” movements, making its ideological statecraft more enduring than any nuclear agreement. While the 2015 JCPOA limited Tehran’s fissile capabilities, Iran simultaneously advanced missile, space, and...

By Small Wars Journal
Afghanistan’s Political Stalemate: Risks to Regional and Global Security
NewsMar 23, 2026

Afghanistan’s Political Stalemate: Risks to Regional and Global Security

Afghanistan’s political deadlock is deepening humanitarian crises and creating a strategic vacuum that threatens regional stability. Nearly half of the population now requires urgent aid, while exclusionary governance fuels extremist networks and mass displacement. The article argues that Western disengagement...

By Small Wars Journal
2026 Annual Threat Assessment (ODNI) – What Has Changed Since 2024?
NewsMar 20, 2026

2026 Annual Threat Assessment (ODNI) – What Has Changed Since 2024?

On March 18 the Office of the Director of National Intelligence published its 2026 Annual Threat Assessment, describing a security environment where major powers, transnational actors, and rapid technological change intersect. China remains the primary strategic competitor, while Russia, Iran...

By Small Wars Journal
Chinese Eyes, Iranian Missiles: Intelligence Cooperation in the US/Israel–Iran War 2026
NewsMar 20, 2026

Chinese Eyes, Iranian Missiles: Intelligence Cooperation in the US/Israel–Iran War 2026

The 2026 US‑Israel‑Iran conflict revealed Iran’s unusually precise missile and drone strikes, prompting analysts to trace the capability to Chinese intelligence support. China supplied satellite imagery, BeiDou navigation, advanced radar and electronic‑warfare tools that augment Iran’s targeting and air‑defense networks....

By Small Wars Journal
A Contest of Wills: China and the Quad
NewsMar 20, 2026

A Contest of Wills: China and the Quad

The United States faces a strategic inflection as China expands its economic and military reach across the Indo‑Pacific and the Western Hemisphere. Beijing’s infrastructure investments in ports, minerals and overseas bases give it leverage over junior partners while the People’s...

By Small Wars Journal
ASU News: US Army Enlists ASU to Help Modernize Military Learning
NewsMar 19, 2026

ASU News: US Army Enlists ASU to Help Modernize Military Learning

Arizona State University has entered a strategic partnership with the U.S. Army to overhaul the service’s learning and leadership development programs. The collaboration originated from a meeting between ASU President Michael Crow and Army Chief of Staff Gen. Randy A....

By Small Wars Journal
The Value of EURO-SOF
NewsMar 18, 2026

The Value of EURO-SOF

The 2026 U.S. National Defense Strategy re‑prioritizes global threats, positioning U.S. Special Operations Forces (SOF) in Europe as a critical deterrent against Russia and emerging challenges from China, Iran and North Korea. SOF’s value proposition hinges on deterrence by denial—maintaining...

By Small Wars Journal
Narrative as a Weapon: Russian, Iranian, and Chinese Approaches to Cognitive Warfare
NewsMar 18, 2026

Narrative as a Weapon: Russian, Iranian, and Chinese Approaches to Cognitive Warfare

Operation Doppelgänger, a Kremlin‑linked influence campaign run by the Social Design Agency from 2022‑2024, fabricated news sites and used bots to push pro‑Russian narratives. Russia, Iran and China each employ cognitive warfare—weaponized narratives, AI‑generated media, and state‑controlled outlets—to shape perceptions...

By Small Wars Journal
FPV Drones and the Exposure of U.S. Airbases
NewsMar 17, 2026

FPV Drones and the Exposure of U.S. Airbases

A first‑person FPV drone hovered for nearly two minutes over the U.S. Victory Base in Iraq, surveyed the site and struck without being detected. The attack demonstrated how low‑cost, fiber‑optic‑guided drones can combine intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance (ISR) with precision...

By Small Wars Journal
Disrupting Illicit Markets: Cognitive Warfare and the Fight Against Drug Cartels
NewsMar 17, 2026

Disrupting Illicit Markets: Cognitive Warfare and the Fight Against Drug Cartels

The Irregular Warfare Center proposes a cognitive‑warfare framework to counter drug cartels by reshaping the economic and psychological incentives that sustain illicit markets. It argues that traditional counter‑terrorism tactics miss the core drivers of organizations like the CJNG, which blend...

By Small Wars Journal
Panoceanic Navy Strategy | USNI Proceedings
NewsMar 17, 2026

Panoceanic Navy Strategy | USNI Proceedings

The March 2026 USNI Proceedings article argues the U.S. Navy must abandon its traditional transoceanic power‑projection model and adopt a “panoceanic” doctrine centered on sea control and denial, driven by China’s expanding fleet. Commander Jeff Vandenengel describes a “Pacific Phase”...

By Small Wars Journal
Lessons From Ukraine on Cognitive Warfare: Journal of Strategic Security
NewsMar 16, 2026

Lessons From Ukraine on Cognitive Warfare: Journal of Strategic Security

A 2025 Journal of Strategic Security report by Briggs and Tusor examines Ukraine’s war as a case study in cognitive warfare, highlighting how Russia employs cyber attacks, disinformation, private militias, and religious channels to manipulate perception. The authors detail Ukraine’s...

By Small Wars Journal
Proxy Warfare: The Missing Facet of Australian Defence Policy
NewsMar 16, 2026

Proxy Warfare: The Missing Facet of Australian Defence Policy

Andrew Maher’s March 2026 article warns that Australian defence policy has largely abandoned proxy warfare, a tool once central to the nation’s World‑II and early Cold‑War strategies. The piece documents a literature gap after 1975, despite the resurgence of gray‑zone...

By Small Wars Journal
A 2016 Warning About Weaponized Drones: The Army’s Early sUAS Threat Experiment
NewsMar 16, 2026

A 2016 Warning About Weaponized Drones: The Army’s Early sUAS Threat Experiment

In August 2016 the U.S. Army Systems Adaptive Red Team ran the UAS Threat Experiment 2‑16, using off‑the‑shelf drones to simulate attacks on convoys and urban targets. The trials examined improvised explosive payloads, autonomous targeting of moving vehicles, and command‑and‑control...

By Small Wars Journal
Beyond the Menu of Options: A Taxonomy for Information Security Strategies
NewsMar 16, 2026

Beyond the Menu of Options: A Taxonomy for Information Security Strategies

The paper introduces a three‑tier taxonomy for information security, categorizing approaches as reactive defensive, proactive defensive, and offensive measures. It argues that current counter‑disinformation efforts lack a coherent framework, hindering strategic evaluation and resource allocation. Case studies of Taiwan, Finland,...

By Small Wars Journal
3/15/26 National Security and Korean News and Commentary
NewsMar 15, 2026

3/15/26 National Security and Korean News and Commentary

The March 15 2026 roundup highlights a surge in U.S. defense spending and technology integration, most notably a contract worth up to $20 billion with Anduril for autonomous systems. It also details the deployment of the Typhon missile family capable of striking targets...

By Small Wars Journal
Congress Must Rein in Drone Diplomacy for Security Cooperation Before It Backfires
NewsMar 14, 2026

Congress Must Rein in Drone Diplomacy for Security Cooperation Before It Backfires

U.S. intelligence and Customs agencies are deploying MQ‑9 Predator drones to monitor Mexico’s northern border in support of fentanyl interdiction and broader domain awareness. The CIA’s covert surveillance program, expanded under the Trump administration, operates alongside CBP’s domestic ISR missions,...

By Small Wars Journal
Criminal Governance and Strategic Competition: Redefining Irregular Warfare in Mexico
NewsMar 14, 2026

Criminal Governance and Strategic Competition: Redefining Irregular Warfare in Mexico

The United States has designated major Mexican drug cartels as Foreign Terrorist Organizations, marking a doctrinal shift that treats organized crime as an irregular warfare problem. Washington now argues that cartels function as coercive campaigners, displacing state authority over strategic...

By Small Wars Journal
The Kremlin’s Cognitive Assault on Europe
NewsMar 13, 2026

The Kremlin’s Cognitive Assault on Europe

The article outlines how the Kremlin conducts a coordinated cognitive warfare campaign across Europe, using a "firehose of falsehood" approach to flood audiences with pro‑Russian narratives. It details how Russian disinformation infiltrated German political discourse, culminating in the AfD‑driven cancellation...

By Small Wars Journal
How Russia Leveraged Asian Partnerships in the Ukraine War
NewsMar 13, 2026

How Russia Leveraged Asian Partnerships in the Ukraine War

Russia has built a flexible, deniable network of Asian partnerships to compensate for battlefield losses and sanctions. North Korea contributes artillery shells and troops, Iran supplies drones and missiles, and China provides dual‑use high‑tech components, while India and China purchase...

By Small Wars Journal
America Needs a War Tax
NewsMar 13, 2026

America Needs a War Tax

The 43‑day 2025 government shutdown froze U.S. military pay, training, and civilian support, exposing a critical reliance on a fragile appropriations process. In response, the article proposes a dedicated war tax and a sovereign‑wealth‑style National Defense Trust Fund to insulate...

By Small Wars Journal
Governing Cognitive Warfare at Ecosystem Speed: Why America Can’t Organize for Influence—And What It Takes to Compete
NewsMar 13, 2026

Governing Cognitive Warfare at Ecosystem Speed: Why America Can’t Organize for Influence—And What It Takes to Compete

The United States possesses sophisticated intelligence, diplomatic, and military tools for cognitive warfare, but its fragmented governance prevents rapid, coordinated action. Historical attempts—psychological strategy boards, the USIA, and ad‑hoc task forces—failed because they lacked sustained authority, legitimacy, and integration across...

By Small Wars Journal
Munich 2026: The Turning that Didn’t Start This Year
NewsMar 12, 2026

Munich 2026: The Turning that Didn’t Start This Year

The 2026 Munich Security Conference served as a diagnostic barometer, revealing that the post‑World War II Western order is not collapsing but facing deep‑seated fragility. Delegates highlighted the cumulative impact of eroding arms‑control regimes, weaponized economic interdependence, great‑power rivalry, and internal...

By Small Wars Journal
WEBINAR (3/11/26): Vigilance Is Not Enough: A History of United States Intelligence
NewsMar 11, 2026

WEBINAR (3/11/26): Vigilance Is Not Enough: A History of United States Intelligence

The Michael V. Hayden Center at George Mason University is hosting a live‑streamed and in‑person webinar on March 11, 2026, featuring intelligence veteran Dr. Mark Lowenthal. Lowenthal will discuss his new book, Vigilance Is Not Enough: A History of United...

By Small Wars Journal
VIDEO: JSOU Snapshot: Chinese Influence and Cognitive Warfare
NewsMar 11, 2026

VIDEO: JSOU Snapshot: Chinese Influence and Cognitive Warfare

The Joint Special Operations University (JSOU) released a short video titled “Chinese Influence and Cognitive Warfare,” examining how Beijing designs and deploys influence campaigns against adversaries. The piece outlines China’s long‑standing focus on controlling narratives both at home and abroad,...

By Small Wars Journal
Text Without Context Is Pretext – Ukraine Today, Taiwan Tomorrow?
NewsMar 10, 2026

Text Without Context Is Pretext – Ukraine Today, Taiwan Tomorrow?

The article examines the oft‑cited “Ukraine today, Taiwan tomorrow” analogy, outlining both superficial parallels—such as corruption concerns, language policies, and religious composition—and deeper divergences, especially economic strength and strategic ROI for potential invasions. It argues that without nuanced context the...

By Small Wars Journal
Katchi Kapshida: How to Deter North Korea, Together
NewsMar 10, 2026

Katchi Kapshida: How to Deter North Korea, Together

The article outlines a three‑pronged policy framework for the United States and South Korea to deter North Korea more effectively. It calls for strengthening the US‑ROK alliance through deeper interoperability, improving burden sharing by boosting South Korean defense capabilities, and...

By Small Wars Journal
What Are Small Wars? | Irregular Warfare Podcast #1
NewsMar 9, 2026

What Are Small Wars? | Irregular Warfare Podcast #1

The Modern War Institute, together with Princeton’s Empirical Studies of Conflict Project, launched the inaugural Irregular Warfare Podcast. In the first episode, hosts Kyle Atwell and Nick Lopez interview Princeton political scientist Dr. Jake Shapiro and Colonel Patrick Howell to...

By Small Wars Journal
SOF Weekly Update – March 9, 2026
NewsMar 9, 2026

SOF Weekly Update – March 9, 2026

The SOF Weekly Update for March 9 2026 reports the deaths of two Green Berets, underscoring the human cost of ongoing operations. It highlights growing concerns over U.S. military use of artificial intelligence, particularly regarding mass surveillance and autonomous weapons. A new...

By Small Wars Journal
The Iran War and Latin America: What To Make of It
NewsMar 9, 2026

The Iran War and Latin America: What To Make of It

The Iran war is expected to deepen political rifts across Latin America as nations choose sides on the United States’ heightened involvement. Rising oil prices and broader geopolitical fallout will pressure regional economies already vulnerable to external shocks. An emboldened...

By Small Wars Journal
The Neuro-Tactical Debrief: Treating Cognitive Maintenance as a Logistics Function
NewsMar 9, 2026

The Neuro-Tactical Debrief: Treating Cognitive Maintenance as a Logistics Function

The article argues that military leaders treat human cognition like any other piece of equipment, insisting on preventive maintenance for weapons but ignoring the brain’s stress‑induced wear. It explains how the amygdala‑driven fight‑or‑flight response leaves operators physiologically “red‑lined” long after...

By Small Wars Journal
China’s Expanding Global Intelligence Footprint In The Digital Age
NewsMar 9, 2026

China’s Expanding Global Intelligence Footprint In The Digital Age

China’s intelligence apparatus has evolved into a hybrid system that combines human sources, cyber intrusions, and satellite surveillance to gather strategic data worldwide. High‑profile campaigns such as Salt Typhoon, APT10, and Operation Cloud Hopper demonstrate its ability to infiltrate critical infrastructure...

By Small Wars Journal
Book Review | Modern Hybrid Warfare: Russia Versus the West
NewsMar 9, 2026

Book Review | Modern Hybrid Warfare: Russia Versus the West

“Modern Hybrid Warfare: Russia Versus the West” offers a data‑driven critique of Russia’s hybrid campaign against Ukraine, arguing that cyber, information, and energy tools have not delivered decisive strategic gains. The authors, Ryan Maness and the late Brandon Valeriano, combine...

By Small Wars Journal
3/7/26 National Security and Korean News and Commentary
NewsMar 8, 2026

3/7/26 National Security and Korean News and Commentary

The United States is increasingly integrating artificial intelligence into its operational planning against Iran, accelerating strike timelines and reshaping military education. Simultaneously, overlapping U.S.–South Korea and allied drills in the Pacific underscore a heightened sense of urgency over regional threats,...

By Small Wars Journal
“Es Colombia, Es Ucrania, Y Es…”: The Global Export of Colombian Mercenaries
NewsMar 8, 2026

“Es Colombia, Es Ucrania, Y Es…”: The Global Export of Colombian Mercenaries

Colombia is emerging as a major exporter of military labor, with roughly 10,000 former soldiers entering the private‑security pool each year. These veterans are now fighting in conflict zones from Ukraine to Yemen and are also being hired by Mexican...

By Small Wars Journal
Could a Pacific War Be Lost in the Atlantic? Lessons From a USNI “Useful Fiction”
NewsMar 6, 2026

Could a Pacific War Be Lost in the Atlantic? Lessons From a USNI “Useful Fiction”

The U.S. Naval Institute’s "useful fiction" scenario imagines a future Pacific war with China that collapses because of coordinated attacks in the Atlantic. The article shows how Beijing could employ diplomatic, informational, military, and economic (DIME) tools to seize ports,...

By Small Wars Journal
JSOU’s SOF Professional Podcast | AI and the Future of Military Education
NewsMar 6, 2026

JSOU’s SOF Professional Podcast | AI and the Future of Military Education

The Joint Special Operations University’s second SOF Professional Podcast episode features Dr. James Lacey arguing that professional military education must fully embrace artificial intelligence now, not later. He describes how AI‑enabled tools are already reshaping research, writing, and critical thinking...

By Small Wars Journal
When Crisis Becomes Culture: Boromir, Wicked Problems, and the Reward of Force
NewsMar 6, 2026

When Crisis Becomes Culture: Boromir, Wicked Problems, and the Reward of Force

The article argues that conflating crises with wicked problems leads institutions to default to command and force. It outlines a three‑tier typology—tame, crisis, wicked—and shows how misclassifying a wicked problem as a crisis narrows decision‑making. Using Tolkien’s Boromir and the...

By Small Wars Journal
Will Al-Qaeda Actually Fight for Iran?
NewsMar 6, 2026

Will Al-Qaeda Actually Fight for Iran?

Al-Qaeda has long used Iran as a sanctuary, and its central command recently issued a jihad declaration targeting U.S. and Israeli forces in the Middle East. The group now claims it will attack U.S. aircraft carriers and other regional assets,...

By Small Wars Journal
Winning Influence in the Cognitive Domain
NewsMar 6, 2026

Winning Influence in the Cognitive Domain

Dr. Joseph Long argues that modern conflict has migrated from kinetic battles to the cognitive domain, where perception and narrative shape political outcomes. Influence operations—spanning strategic communication, cyber messaging, and economic statecraft—now sit at the core of hybrid warfare designs....

By Small Wars Journal