Alex Koh - Latest News and Information
Systematic investor who reviews names around earnings, shares setup analyses and follow‑ups on software/AI names post results, and links deeper video breakdowns.
S&P down 7-8% from the January high. We touched -10% on March 27th and bounced. NASDAQ death cross confirmed. Only 27.6% of stocks above their 50-day average. We're in Scenario A. For now. https://open.substack.com/pub/dralexkoh/p/is-the-market-bottomed-in
The real relief rally will come soon folks. It will be a sudden short squeeze where all active short sellers will lose their pants. Smart traders will switch soon. The NDX 22,000 is nearby. Not today. Not next week. Just DCA and average...
How low can we go? I built three scenarios. Bull: S&P 6,300+ (25-30%) Base: S&P 5,950-6,300 (45-55%) Extended: S&P 5,600-5,950 (25-35%) Bear: S&P 4,885-5,250 (10-15%) Fibonacci levels. Probability weightings. Historical parallels. The extended case is where I'm spending the most time. https://open.substack.com/pub/dralexkoh/p/how-low-can-we-go
The stock market is screaming fear. VIX at 31. The bond market? Shrugging. High-yield credit spreads are at 317 basis points — BELOW the 20-year average. One of these markets is wrong. If spreads stay below 400, we bounce. If they blow through 500, brace...
Macro economist gone all wild bear mode. Stocks will be raging lower. Why? Market is still not pricing the impact of a prolonged war as the credit spread is gapping. Will share more details today.
The ‘100k troops on land in Iran’ is the new risk narratives for prolonged war and confirmation of escalation of inflation which would lead in global rate hikes again. Rumble in the Jungle is here…
$VIX is pumping this morning. Last night I walked my club members through the outflow data. This is the first $VIX spike — a second, bigger one is coming post-inflation data (pushed from April to May). I’ll be publishing my full market...
My kids' portfolio for 2026: 30% Staples — boring ETFs. Don't think. Just automate. 40% Mature Growth — $NVDA $TSM $META $AMZN $GOOG $NFLX $MS $GS 30% High Growth — $PLTR $APP $HIMS $CRDO $SHOP $UBER No high risk tier for kids. Three tiers...
oil companies up and mining stocks down. First time I have seen an analyst (PJ Invesco) admit hey we’re wrongly optimistic start of the year and many positions are locked in. Outlook hopeful and great point said- we are not as dependent...
This dad spent $1,750 on Pokemon cards for his kid's 9th birthday. That's 10 shares of $NTDOY — the company that makes Pokemon. $1,750 invested at 10% growth for 9 years = $4,100. The cards will be in a shoebox by Christmas. Parents, wake...
While the leveraged crowd was getting margin called, here's what they left behind. $MSFT at 20x forward. Below the S&P 500. $META at 21x. $GOOG at 23x. Cheapest Mag 7 valuations in years. Earnings still growing 12.5%. The stocks got cheaper. The businesses didn't.
Stocks, bonds, and gold all fell at the same time last week. That's not normal. That's a forced liquidation event. Margin debt hit $1.28 trillion — 4.07% of GDP. Highest ratio in history. Higher than dot-com. Higher than 2008. When that unwinds, it...
Growth stocks will be severely decapitated from this war. I just check some data and growth stocks valuations will get capped. Working overtime to get the data ready. It’s not as simple as just buying the dip with 1. Cost of War 2. Escalation of...
$NBIS has an R40 score of 445. $CRWV has an R40 score of 228. Higher is better, right? Not always. $CRWV's 228 = 168% growth + 60% margin. Both legs working. $NBIS's 445 = 457% growth + negative margin. One leg. The other is dragging...
$HIMS surged 55% while the S&P hit its 2026 low. 35.5% short interest. Novo Nordisk deal. Classic squeeze. Fat people need weight loss drugs But here's the thing — if it rips past the value trigger, take profit. Don't fall in love...
