Aluminum Supply Hit; KALU, Kaiser Set for Breakouts
$KALU Daily. Clean, multi-year breakouts for aluminum plays $AA $CENX today. Kaiser is a "catch-up" long idea. Plenty of aluminum supply destroyed in Middle East. https://t.co/zyVemyS1cJ
High‑Yield Bonds Diverge, Falling While Risk Rally Persists
$HYG Daily. Biggest early divergence to the rally in risk is high yield/junk and some private credit names in the red. Here, high yield corporate bonds gapping down. Trump speech tonight on tap https://t.co/9x0hkcFmtd
IWM Drops Below $240, Channel Breakdown Risk
$IWM Hourly. Shorter-term falling channel to watch on small caps. Headlines jerking around the tape. But back below $240 now puts channel at risk of breakdown https://t.co/aFGcOnXaJ7
Buffett's Premature Apple Sale Highlights Weak Q2 Performance
$AAPL Daily. Buffett admits he sold Apple too soon. And yet the stock is the worst performing Mag7 name off the open, rejected at 200-day m.a. so far. Notable relative weakness into Q2 https://t.co/Mtr7QAaRut
Small‑cap Rally Ends with Sharp IWM Bearish Reversal
$IWM Quarterly. Another quarterly candle of note (completed tomorrow at the bell). Small caps were THE rotation pick for many into this year. Massive bearish reversal here after holding up for a while https://t.co/P2FBiYFT0c
Mid‑Cap Shooting Star Signals Buyer Exhaustion, Potential Pullback
$MDY Quarterly. Pending tomorrow's close, the overlooked mid-caps on track for doozy of a shooting star reversal quarterly candlestick, indicative of buyer exhaustion. Late-2024 saw similar before correction https://t.co/TkUDiNdcYh
Inconsistent Bailouts Fueled 2008 Market Panic
(1/2) I recall an interview after the 2008 crash where the late economist Anna Schwartz said she thought the market threw up its hands in confusion and crashed because the government was so inconsistent about which bank they saved and...
Oil & Gas Long Setup Sh
$SD Daily. Non-extended oil & gas play. Long setup. Bankruptcy back in 2016, so perhaps the stigma is still there. But sector is bullish & chart overall strong. https://t.co/mwf3OmFEEj
Apple's Bear Flag Signals Short Amid Magnificent 7 Decline
$AAPL Daily. Apple and Alphabet are the only two "Magnificent 7" names still above their 200-day moving averages. But Apple on shaky ground, bear flagging just above it. Short setup. https://t.co/kGAhGuR5hw
Tech Growth Stocks Face Triangle Breakdown Below 200‑Day MA
$ARKK Daily. Basket of high beta growth stocks. Another triangle breakdown attempt below 200-day m.a., as is case in many tech/growth stocks now https://t.co/f2DUz2WKZB
Lam Research AI Gains Face Potential Head‑Shoulder Decline
$LRCX Daily. Lam Research another AI memory winner in recent quarters, like $MU $SNDK. But latest rally sets up possible bearish head & shoulders, like $SMH ETF https://t.co/VzMDwhwfpM
Chemicals Shine as Oil Markets Falter, Air Products Long
$APD Daily. While paper oil markets are under scrutiny, chemicals are some of the best charts in the market, another issue with Strait of Hormuz choked off. Air Products long setup https://t.co/1km1EcbjOH
Silver Breaks Range, Bullish Outlook for Metals
$SLV Daily. Working thesis for precious metals & miners continues to be a wide range into spring months. Here, silver knocking out range parameters. https://t.co/r9lNUdiS1n
BTU Must Stay Above $39 Amid Strong Coal Rally
$BTU Daily. $39 looks like the level to hold above for Peabody, as coal plays are strong across the board today with sound technical charts to boot. https://t.co/n2Llt8kZcs
Software Bottom-Callers Face Exit as ETF Slides
$IGV Daily. The many bottom-callers in software from February in danger of scrambling for the exits now, as sector ETF loses 20-day m.a. after a wobbly bounce. https://t.co/jp4YGEd89B
Trump Tweet Lifts Nasdaq, S&P
$QQQ Daily. Pre-market Trump tweet takes Nasdaq (and S&P) back up near 200-day m.a., as well as broken support from beginning of month. https://t.co/STFnWBcjUL
TNX Breaks Triangle, Bullish Spike Ahead
$TNX Monthly. Head-fake lower last month. Surge higher this month. At apex of multi-year triangle. This is ideal bullish setup for rates on 10-Year to explode higher https://t.co/aCdWZY5Kd9
Alphabet Stands Alone as Magnificent 7 Holdout, Short Target
$GOOGL Daily. With $AAPL $TSLA weakness this week, Alphabet is now THE holdout amongst the Magnificent 7. It's a "catch-down" short idea. Possible major top. https://t.co/1SLVQkyaV1
Heavily‑shorted Oil Services Rally as Iran Concerns Ease
$RIG Daily. Heavily-shorted oil services play still consolidating well in uptrend. Market sorting out Iran issues, but Transocean remains in play for new leg higher https://t.co/EZ3IJqVcHW
Visa and Peers Hit Multi‑quarter Lows, Signaling Recession
$V Daily. Fresh breakdown and multi-quarter lows for Visa. Other credit cards look similar: $AXP $COF $MA. Continued short ideas. Recession indicator https://t.co/PMviYmmHiu
Micron Rallies 100+ Points Ahead of Earnings
$MU Daily. Up over 100 points in a little over a week, headed into earnings tonight. Micron is definition of optimistic. On a tear since Sept. 2025. https://t.co/D2r1prShVZ
White House Dismisses Prices, Gas Futures Keep Climbing
$UGA Daily. "You're gonna need a bigger jawbone." White House trying to talk down oil & gasoline prices. But gasoline futures ETF still stretching out higher. https://t.co/vicHCJhxQx
AVAV May Bounce Above $220 Amid War‑Driven Demand
$AVAV Daily. Defense drones/satellites play should be doing better given Iran War. But so far putrid price action. Today gives hope for possible relief bounce above $220 https://t.co/RXv6tbWVjZ
Oil Prices Likely Rise Despite White House Talk‑down
$USO 30-Minute Chart. Nonstop chatter from White House to talk down oil. But each passing day makes bad situation worse. Watch for cup & handle bullish setup https://t.co/KOm9v3I8j9
Wheat Turns Green as Supply Concerns Drive Market
$WEAT Daily. Big red to green in Wheat so far today. Market taking supply issues seriously, coupled with most of Wall St. underweight ags. https://t.co/qBclTKMZNJ
Meta Faces Clean Breakdown After Two-Month Consolidation
$META Daily. Meta going for clean breakdown from nearly two month consolidation. Below 200-day m.a. for nearly 1.5 months now, too. Market leader deteriorating https://t.co/XPwYgvP5rC
Air
$APD Daily. Air Products another chemicals play, besides $DOW $LYB charts we noted yesterday, thriving given supply constrains in Middle East. Falling channel breakout https://t.co/aeAMmA94lv
Semiconductor Index Shows Head‑Shoulders Failure
$SOX Daily. Heckuva spot for semiconductors to fail: potential head & shoulders top & lower high. $NVDA has been negatively diverging from sector for months https://t.co/LiA0UEyDIL
Treasury Prices Plummet, Rates Surge, Bear
$TLT Monthly. Treasuries have gone down in virtual straight line (and rates up) since initial launch on Iran two Fridays ago. Long-term still strongly bearish. Risk of wipeout https://t.co/0SPsw7B88t
Software Bottom Call Uncertain as Microsoft Bounces Weakly
$MSFT Daily. Software sector has been a trendy bottom call the last two weeks. But no firm evidence yet, with $3 trillion Microsoft sporting pedestrian bounce https://t.co/YBzR4iFcQQ
Transocean Pullback Signals Short‑squeeze, Long Opportunity
$RIG Daily. Nice-looking, orderly pullback for Transocean. Oil services play has ~ 17% of float held short, meaning it's a short squeeze play. Long idea into strength https://t.co/f3SgpDySND
Sector Breakout Signals Multi-Year Underweight Retail Shift
These aren't just news-related war pops in oil & gasoline. You're talking about four year base breakouts for a deeply underweight sector throughout retail and institutions.
BlackRock Shifts Lower on Private Credit, Signaling Decline
$BLK Monthly. Blackrock started to follow private credit lower last week. Long-term, steep rising channel breakdown. Tons of room to fall https://t.co/oUBZouXc0y
LVS Vulner
$LVS Daily. Short idea. Macau & Singapore focused now after selling Vegas properties. Disruption in air traffic in parts of Asia beyond Middle East adversely affects them. Technically ripe to lose 200-day m.a.. https://t.co/3yQJuxTnOV
Iran Tensions Fail to Boost Bonds, Rates Keep Climbing
Bonds have not gotten the safe haven bid since Iran action commenced last Friday evening. $TLT - Rates still moving higher.
IWM Rejects 50‑Day MA, Rolling Top Threatens
$IWM Daily. Rejection at 50-day m.a. for small caps, as possibility of rolling top since January more ominous. Watch back below $255 for confirmation. https://t.co/rbUjHSmmL3
QQQ Hourly: Choppy Month Within Six-Month Range
$QQQ Hourly. Your last month in the Nasdaq. Easy to get worn out in this choppy tape, especially if putting on many trades. Range within broader 6 months range https://t.co/oBihc4j2vh
Corn Poised for $18 Breakout Amid Hot Wheat, Soy
$CORN Weekly. Wheat and Soybeans have been hot. But watch corn fund for long-term base bottom breakout above $18. Big-time input for broad economy https://t.co/yPBIFa6GwG
Private Credit Mirrors 2007‑08 Troubled Financials Amid Downtrend
$OWL Daily. Clear downtrend. Weak bounces. Major issues lurking. Private credit starting to act like some problem financials in 2007/08. https://t.co/suwdNfuKKO
Sticky Upside Volatility Threatens Crowded Short‑Vol Trade
Embedded issue with markets now is whether volatility remains sticky to upside and destroys the crowded and complacent short vol trade which has been going on for years
Questioning the Assumed Decline of Oil & Gas
NEW POST: Are We Sure Oil & Gas Are Fades? https://t.co/a8CQaFm6L7 $UGA $USO $QQQ $SPY $TLT
10
$TNX Monthly. Another bounce off 4% (40 on this chart) for Rates on 10-Year Note. Long-term continues multi-year narrowing triangle. https://t.co/gUtiLgqcs9
Refinery Stock Breaks Out Amid Strong Energy Uptrend
$PSX Daily. Refinery stock popping up and out of tight falling channel in context of overall strong uptrend as energy surges. Far from extended https://t.co/Deqj2QXqRJ
Intrepid Potash Breakout Mirrors Wheat Surge, CF Long
$IPI Daily. Clean base breakout for Intrepid Potash to dovetail the surge in Wheat this week. Ags heating up. $CF worth a look long, too. https://t.co/xrg1BQiWhA
Oil Reverses Upward, Signals Heightened Iran Tensions
$USO Daily. Strong upside reversal in crude oil today, off 20-day m.a. for ETF. I'm still using oil as a gauge for how serious Iran situation is. https://t.co/w7SKdZNPuo
Semis May Face Bull Trap Above $420
$SMH Daily. Dare I say, the semis are not 4/20 friendly? Possible bull trap above $420 with a steep-on-all-timeframes chart. https://t.co/mTfXGNvwv7
CME Shows Classic Bearish Reversal After Glitch
$CME Daily. CME putting in a classic bearish reversal candle today after exchange suffered glitch. But stock was due for a fade/consolidation: Steep on all timeframes. https://t.co/125tPQVBPX
UUUU Forms Bullish Cup‑Handle, Target Mid‑$20s
$UUUU Daily. Uranium/rare earth miner still forming an attractive, bullish cup and handle pattern. Needs to push back into mid-$20's now. https://t.co/jqAyOlkNY0
Base Metals Bullish Signal Emerges Across Major Stocks
NEW POST: I Saw the Sign for Base Metals https://t.co/Ts6jMvV3dF $AA $COPX $BHP $XME $FCX
QQQ Likely Stuck $600‑620 Amid Nasdaq Indecision
$QQQ Daily. Sideways for 5-6 months and now Nasdaq becoming even more indecisive short-term with pennant forming. $600-$620 rough range https://t.co/EP70gR3L5H
