Quarter of US Stocks Hit 52‑week Highs Today
There's actually a pretty decent list of S&P 500 52wk highs... bunch of food/ag, chemicals, refiners @stockcharts 1-in-4ish US stocks are up today https://t.co/ebgPXxwKyU
Rate‑Hike Pricing Hits S&P, Small‑Caps
As the front part of the curve moves closer toward pricing in Fed rate hikes, SPX is down just 1.2%... and the Russell 2000 isn't getting killed $SPY $IWM https://t.co/ITSA3q3sjN
Used Car CPI Falls, Yet Manheim Index Climbs
Used car CPI down in February, but the Manheim Used Vehicle Value Index was up last month @augurinfinity https://t.co/pjEOxqNXf1
Nasdaq Climbs, Tech Leads Ahead of Nvidia AI Event
Nasdaq up this month as tech leads... ahead of $NVDA GTC AI next week... more on this to come from me on @stockcharts today https://t.co/IlsIu73lFb
Seasonal Blend Adds 25¢; Limited Further Gas Rise
25 cents of the 65-cent surge in retail gasoline prices was due to the usual seasonal switch to the summer RBOB blend... ...and if futures hold here, we are only looking at another 10-15 cents of pump-price upside $UGA $GASO...
Job Growth Holds Steady, More Sectors Accelerating
BofA: Average job growth to start the year remains consistent with 4Q levels despite a soft February. Notably, more sectors have accelerated than decelerated. https://t.co/PWt8NmBjL8
WTI Oil Bounces Between $82‑$92 Since Monday
Ex the plunge yesterday afternoon, WTI crude oil has ranged from $82 to $92 since mid-Monday https://t.co/B3lICn2XOe
USO Gaps Remain Unfilled, Signaling Potential Bullish Move
$USO.. don't count oil out yet... didn't even fill the gap.. could be a bullish sign...+6% from the day's low @stockcharts More from me: https://t.co/AEHbNDK3Qe https://t.co/329u34lpLv
RBOB at $2.52 Signals Potential Gas Price Decline
RBOB $2.52.. is that print right? Oof... gas prices may actually fall from the current AAA average... https://t.co/37XEXRl4Ts
Historically Cheap Gas at $4/Gal Sparks Expected Complaints
$4/gallon gas is extremely affordable, historically speaking.. it's really not a big deal.. but there will be lots of whining (if we get there.. looks like we could top out around $3.80) Chart from Jeff Weniger at @WisdomTreeFunds https://t.co/VHUBGSZ7jG
WTI’s Strongest January Start Since 1983
WTI crude oil's best start to a year on record... well it was... (NYMEX futures begin in March 1983) @soberlook https://t.co/EGLX7QmA3x https://t.co/TPJ8psJtdo
WTI Tops
WTI > $104 RBOB not up as much, but it crossed $3.. implying $3.95 at the pump in due time. https://t.co/yLhu2NxY1C
Goldman Sachs Equity Sentiment Remains Flat, Offering Little Guidance
GS equity sentiment still near the flat line.. can't take much signal from that https://t.co/ySSxmcNywv
Goldman Holds 7600 SPX Target, Cuts Loom
Goldman sticking with a 7600 YE SPX target... I give it 4 weeks before we start seeing estimate cuts across the street https://t.co/DsTzT8zbEO
Industrials Overvalued at 26x P/E, Staples Match Tech
S&P 500 sector valuations... Industrials a nosebleed 26x P/E Staples same as Info Tech https://t.co/p5OdBIqFE8
Russell 2000 EPS Growth Slips Below 50%
Down, down, down... Russell 2000 CY EPS growth estimate now below 50%.. it was > 60% coming into the year $RTY $IWM GS https://t.co/qDC1XXP7cq
Clients Outpace Advisors: Record Bullish Sentiment Signals Capitulation
BofA: Signs of capitulation: a record proportion of clients are more bullish than their advisors https://t.co/ZGEXCrToNB
China Shows Unexpected Insulation From Oil, Gas Price Shocks
Sensitivity to OIL price spikes JPMAM Sensitivity to GAS price spikes China is more insulated on both charts than you might have suspected https://t.co/OJm0FMOcmF
March Beats October, Delivers Positive S&P Return
March is like October's little brother, but he does average a positive SPX return... BofA https://t.co/jFaPf9gsOb
10
4.17% on the 10yr... highest since Feb 12... remember it gapped down to 3.93% to start the week (Sunday night) https://t.co/fDNCy0A6lE
Dollar Poised to Surge Past 100 on DXY
The dollar looks like it wants to rip higher through 100, doesn't it? $DXY $USD https://t.co/ScJLmOqxcb
Gasoline Futures Near $2.70, Pump Prices Set to Hit $3.65
RBOB gasoline futures near $2.70.. implying $3.65 at the pump soon... close to the highest level since mid-2022 $RB_F $UGA @teconomics https://t.co/vQA49bLeZr
Oil Climbs Past $84, Stocks Hold Pending Jobs
WTI crude oil yodeling higher.. > $84 But stocks are OK with that... for now... payrolls & Jan retail sales on tap... @teconomics https://t.co/jopqYDfXo3
SPY Flat as Sector ETFs Show Mixed Moves
$SPY unch $IWM -0.2% $XLE +1.1% $EEM +0.6% $EWY +1.9% $FXI +1.5% $GLD +0.3% $IBIT -0.9% @finviz_com https://t.co/u4xUOH2SHq
US Stocks Close Gap, End Worst Start Since 1995
US plays major catch-up to ex-US YTD... @augurinfinity No longer the worst start to a year since 1995... not by a long shot $SPY $VEU $VTI $ACWI https://t.co/l8DRcKNBof
Implied Correlations Hit Highest Since Nov 2025
One-month and three-month implied correlations reached their highest levels since November 2025, Citadel Rubner https://t.co/fVOlYRc8tW
Cyclicals Outperform Defensives Over Year, No Disappointment
GS: strong outperformance of cyclical sectors relative to defensive ones over the past year leaves little room for disappointment https://t.co/6h0uRPIjJt
SPX Stays Rangebound, Hinting at Bearish Distribution
SPX remains rangebound...but is it bearish distribution? I make the case on @stockcharts https://t.co/zhE0dQKw6t https://t.co/gxDUQiufmG
OpEx Set to Unload 35% of US Options
Citadel Rubner: OpEx will represent the largest technical event of the month, with ~35% of US options exposure set to roll off by March 20 https://t.co/CZEymqKzhl
Dollar Rally Signals Stronger USD, Potential Market Shifts
The Dollar’s Climb: What It Means Now $DXY $USD $UUP My thoughts based on the charts on @stockcharts https://t.co/zhE0dQKw6t https://t.co/JXMstMoSwD
10‑Year Treasury Yield Breaks 1% for First Time
#OTD 2020... back when I had a real job and only TOS ... 10yr breaks 1% for the first time https://t.co/CyW5CAAfCa
Low‑beta, US‑linked European Sectors Stay Shock‑proof
GS Europe: Europe has re-rated in recent years Sectors with high US exposure and a low beta to the market should be mostly immune to recent shocks https://t.co/g2Fd3kpcA5
Europe's US Discount Shrinks, yet Gap Persists
GS: While Europe remains on a discount to the US, this discount has narrowed https://t.co/MWh0XnVJBZ
RBOB Contract Roll Added 25¢ to Gasoline Price
Gasoline prices... remember the March-April RBOB contract roll was +25 cents on its own https://t.co/WAOPFvCQdz
BofA Predicts Weak Feb Jobs, Fed Stays on Hold
BofA: We forecast a below-consensus Feb NFP print of 35k (private: 45k). The u-rate should remain at 4.3% Fed response: wait and watch stance under Powell https://t.co/qQ28IUZLsk
Oil Approaches Its Most Bullish Season Yet
We are nearing oil's most bullish time of year. $CL_F $USO $WTIC More from me on @stockcharts: https://t.co/2c4CuouCWe https://t.co/o1k2jBw7MM
REITs Surge as Bonds
Homebuilders taken down, but REITs up US stocks +0.1% ex-US -1.7% $IBIT and $USO up big with the worst day for bonds in 3 months. $AGG https://t.co/Q5GdXN7VqF
Berkshire Drops 4.9% as NVDA, MSFT Climb
Berkshire flew under the radar with a 4.9% plunge following Saturday earnings @finviz_com $NVDA $MSFT up https://t.co/cmpuoSoxNM
USO Posts Third-Best Day Since 2022, Hits Multi
$USO 3rd-best day since March 2022... multi-year high close... remember when everyone hated this ETF? More from me on @stockcharts: https://t.co/2c4CuouCWe https://t.co/r8CEDMAgDm
Oil Surges 8‑9% as Gasoline Climbs, Yields Steady
Oil jumping to 8-9% gains this afternoon.. gasoline futures up 12 cents. US stocks ~unch with the 10yr 3bps off the HoD.. now near 4.04% https://t.co/XkTx1P5k8G
AOR 60/40 ETF Drops, Sparking Boomer Backlash
60/40 ETF getting slapped around today, though.. $AOR -0.55%.. boomers will be up in arms https://t.co/VDifb3Gz9N
Oil Reclaims Half Gains, Up 6% Amid Uncertainty
Oil has given back about half of the gap higher.. but where will it be tomorrow morning? CL, Brent +6% https://t.co/xc6c5bVP1V
Oil Prices Surge: Brent Up 9%, WTI Up 8%
Brent crude oil +9% to $79 WTI crude oil +8% to $72 RBOB gasoline futures +5% to $2.42 https://t.co/Z7uoT3rHYZ
Estimated $18/Bbl Risk Premium for March 1 Oil Opening
GS: Taking Into Account Estimated Weekend Market Pricing, We Estimate a Risk Premium of Around $18/bbl on the March 1st Oil Market Open https://t.co/vtpc8AfijE
Modest Payroll Gains, Slight Un
NFP, Retail Sales Fri GS thinks +45k headline payrolls, +45k private, UR ticks up to 4.4% +0.5% Jan core Retail Sales https://t.co/EbcNES5A55
Gold Steadies Near $5300 After Morning Dip
Gold LoD .. near $5300 +0.8% vs 24hrs ago, -3% from the morning high https://t.co/m5RGmaZaR4
10‑Year Yield Falls 34bps; Rate Cut Looms?
10yr yield down 34bps in less than 4 weeks @stockcharts Will rates drop on Monday? #Iran https://t.co/0jT2TsHb42
Asset-Heavy Stocks Surge as Investors Seek AI Insulation
GS: Reflecting the increasing investor desire for "AI insulation," asset-heavy stocks have outperformed sharply in the last few months. Performance of proxies for AI disruption risk... https://t.co/XSCUtqPOOL
Industrial Rebound Boosts Nonresidential Construction Stocks 15% YTD
GS: The nascent signs of rebounding industrial activity have lifted our list of stocks exposed to nonresidential construction activity by 15% YTD. Nonresidential construction stocks have sharply rallied recently https://t.co/F8JnFVqvAV
SPX Implied ~6800; P/E Drops 2 Points Since Nov 2025
With SPX implied near 6800, the P/E multiple is down almost 2pts from the November 2025 high https://t.co/bDmapKAmlt
