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Trinh Nguyen

Trinh Nguyen

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Asia economist at Natixis; regular commentary on Asia macro drivers and markets

Investors Swap Gold for Oil Amid Conflict
Social•Mar 19, 2026

Investors Swap Gold for Oil Amid Conflict

Good morning Asia, We are at the stage of the conflict where people are selling their gold (most valuable hard asset and a hedge for bad times) to buy oil. Got oil, gas, and may I say coal? https://t.co/fsqt6mevX1

By Trinh Nguyen
China Leads
Social•Mar 19, 2026

China Leads

Sorry it should be Pakistan, India, Singapore, Taiwan, China, Thailand, South Korea and Japan. By volume, China imports the most from Qatar but share of total is also very high so rather exposed.

By Trinh Nguyen
Asia Faces Energy Shock as Gas Supplies Tighten
Social•Mar 18, 2026

Asia Faces Energy Shock as Gas Supplies Tighten

Good morning Asia, Brent rising but also watch products as we consume products not crude. For Asia, Qatari gas is very key & for some like Pakistan, that is 100% of supply. For others, still a big challenge, such as India. Even...

By Trinh Nguyen
Demand Collapse Shifts Crisis From Inflation to Growth Shock
Social•Mar 18, 2026

Demand Collapse Shifts Crisis From Inflation to Growth Shock

Demand destruction started in Asia and spreading to Egypt. The only way this equation will square when supply is short is for demand to fall. Prices higher & demand falling means growth will be a challenge. The crisis will move from...

By Trinh Nguyen
Export Bans Threaten Philippines' Fuel and Food Security
Social•Mar 18, 2026

Export Bans Threaten Philippines' Fuel and Food Security

Products matter as we don’t consume crude but the by products. The Philippines is vulnerable to export bans of not just diesel and gas but also eventually food should the conflict endures.

By Trinh Nguyen
India and South Korea Uniquely Handle Heavy and Sour Crude
Social•Mar 17, 2026

India and South Korea Uniquely Handle Heavy and Sour Crude

The issue with Asia and the Middle East is that our refineries are built to refine sour crude. But not all refineries are created equal. India and South Korea stand out in having refineries that can do both heavy and...

By Trinh Nguyen
Thai Baht Slumps: Highest Energy Trade Deficit in Asia
Social•Mar 13, 2026

Thai Baht Slumps: Highest Energy Trade Deficit in Asia

THB has weakened the most in Asia since the Iran War & the reason being is that it has the highest deficit of energy trade in Asia as a share of GDP. Korean won is second.

By Trinh Nguyen
Indonesia Poised to Lift Fuel Prices Amid Ongoing Conflict
Social•Mar 12, 2026

Indonesia Poised to Lift Fuel Prices Amid Ongoing Conflict

If the conflict lasts, Indonesia will raise fuel prices, which is what it did by end 2022 as the subsidy rose by 30bn…

By Trinh Nguyen
Hormuz Closure Disrupts Global Energy, Food, Metal Supplies
Social•Mar 12, 2026

Hormuz Closure Disrupts Global Energy, Food, Metal Supplies

Good morning from Hong Kong. Day 13 of the Iran War. Hormuz effectively closed, impacting not just global energy supply chain but also food and metals. https://t.co/yXfDXHwzMN

By Trinh Nguyen
Natixis
Social•Mar 11, 2026

Natixis

Good morning (still in Hanoi), @NatixisResearch @natixis published our Global Cross-Expertise overnight & please take a read for our views on: Oil & gas Metals & Precious Metals Macro Impact (Asia, Middle East, Europe, US & LatAm) Financial Market Impact (equities, rates, FX).

By Trinh Nguyen
Supply Shock Forces Demand Destruction, Remote Work Encouraged
Social•Mar 10, 2026

Supply Shock Forces Demand Destruction, Remote Work Encouraged

Hello from Hanoi where the energy and supply shock from the war is hitting it here. The government wants people to use less fuel for transport by working from home. When there’s a supply shock & u can’t increase it...

By Trinh Nguyen
Hanoi’s Bun Cha: Delicious Street Food for $1.5
Social•Mar 10, 2026

Hanoi’s Bun Cha: Delicious Street Food for $1.5

Hello from Hanoi. Just walked down an alley to get some bun cha for a late lunch. Was delicious and USD1.5. https://t.co/jsdiiaW7Ak

By Trinh Nguyen
Bangladesh Shuts Universities to Curb Energy Demand Amid Crisis
Social•Mar 9, 2026

Bangladesh Shuts Universities to Curb Energy Demand Amid Crisis

Demand destruction as we speak, starting with Bangladesh. Thailand and China curbed exports of diesel and gas. Vietnam will do so next.

By Trinh Nguyen
Asia Faces Deep Shock as Energy Prices Surge
Social•Mar 9, 2026

Asia Faces Deep Shock as Energy Prices Surge

We discussed on the impact of the crisis on Asia and it is a big negative shock for the region as we are very oil and gas dependent & we are importers of that from the Middle East. Price higher =...

By Trinh Nguyen
Oil Powers Everything, Not Just Energy—Even Vegan Shoes
Social•Mar 9, 2026

Oil Powers Everything, Not Just Energy—Even Vegan Shoes

We live in an oil & gas & coal planet. Asian countries depend on this, despite expanding renewables and nuclear in recent decade. And guess what? It isn’t just an energy input but also an important component of everything you...

By Trinh Nguyen

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