Markets Don't Care About the Middle East

Markets Don't Care About the Middle East

Leading Thoughts: Geopolitics, Economics & Markets
Leading Thoughts: Geopolitics, Economics & MarketsFeb 18, 2026

Summary

The episode explains why global financial markets largely ignore Middle‑East geopolitical turmoil, despite oil price spikes of about 10% this year. It argues that diversified oil production outside the region and modest growth forecasts mean investors see limited macro‑economic impact from regional conflicts. Historical shocks—from the 1973 embargo to the Ukraine war—are contrasted with the current situation, where even heightened U.S. naval activity and rhetoric have not moved equity markets. The host notes that a breakthrough such as Saudi‑Israel normalization could finally make the region a focal point for investors.

Markets Don't Care About the Middle East

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