
MoneyWeek Talks (formerly The MoneyWeek Podcast)
Why Vietnam Is the World's Most Exciting Emerging Market
Why It Matters
Vietnam’s rapid development offers investors a rare high‑growth opportunity in a region where many peers are slowing down, making it a strategic focal point for diversified portfolios. Understanding the country’s political stability, policy reforms, and trade dynamics is crucial for anyone looking to capitalize on the next wave of emerging‑market success.
Key Takeaways
- •Vietnam's market grew to $350 billion turnover, $2 billion daily volume.
- •Dragon Capital founded 1994, seeded Vietnam's first equity fund.
- •WTO accession in 2007 accelerated foreign investment and trade openness.
- •Anti‑corruption campaign restored investor confidence after early 2020 turbulence.
- •Shift to private sector fuels champions VietJet and VinFast.
Pulse Analysis
The story of Vietnam’s rise from a war‑scarred economy to a $350 billion turnover market is anchored in early‑stage investors like Dragon Capital. Founded in 1994 by Dominic Scriven, the firm launched the country’s first equity fund with just $16 million, learning the nuances of Vietnamese business culture while the stock exchange was still a decade away. Those formative years laid the groundwork for a market that now processes roughly $2 billion in daily trades, positioning Vietnam as the most dynamic emerging market in Southeast Asia.
Vietnam’s WTO accession in 2007 marked a watershed moment, unlocking a flood of foreign capital and integrating the nation into global supply chains. Yet the journey has been uneven: trade tensions with the United States, heavy reliance on Chinese imports, and a brief investor‑confidence dip during the 2020 anti‑corruption "burning furnace" campaign tested the system. Recent policy adjustments have reinforced regulatory transparency, and the government’s willingness to correct course has reassured international funds. The country’s ability to navigate tariff shocks and geopolitical shifts underscores a resilient economic framework that continues to attract diversified investment.
Looking ahead, Vietnam is deliberately pivoting from state‑driven capitalism to a private‑sector‑led growth model. Formalizing millions of informal enterprises and nurturing national champions such as low‑cost carrier VietJet and electric‑vehicle maker VinFast signal a strategic push for global competitiveness. Dragon Capital reports annualized dollar returns of roughly 12 percent since 2000, reflecting both the upside potential and volatility inherent in a rapidly evolving market. With a clear focus on private innovation, improved governance, and deeper trade integration, Vietnam is poised to sustain its trajectory as the world’s most exciting emerging market.
Episode Description
Dominic Scriven, founder and chairman of Dragon Capital, speaks to MoneyWeek's Cris Sholto Heaton about the challenges and opportunities that lie ahead for Vietnam, the current climate for investors and how his Vietnamese language lessons led to him found the largest asset manager in the country.
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