EURUSD CHoCH Is NOT the Short Setup

Why It Matters

Understanding that a change‑of‑character alone isn’t a reliable short trigger helps traders mitigate risk amid volatile geopolitical conditions and focus on higher‑probability buying setups.

Key Takeaways

• Change of character alone doesn’t trigger short EURUSD trades.
• Trader remains uncertain due to geopolitical tensions and market volatility.
• Strategy seeks retracement toward buy‑side imbalances on 1‑hour chart.
• VIP members can access the full system behind the analysis.
• Current price sits near midpoint between recent high and low levels.

Summary

The video focuses on the EUR/USD pair, specifically why the recent change‑of‑character (CoCh) signal should not be interpreted as a short‑selling opportunity under the presenter’s methodology.

He points out that the pair is trading roughly midway between a recent high and low on the 1‑hour chart, and that the broader geopolitical backdrop—particularly the ongoing war—creates heightened uncertainty. Consequently, he does not feel confident that the market will provide the relief needed for a short trade. Instead, his system looks for a retracement toward identified buy‑side imbalances.

“Change of character does not signal that it’s time to short,” he emphasizes, adding that “I’m not overly confident because of the war and everything happening in the markets.” He also notes that the full algorithmic framework supporting this analysis is available to his VIP subscribers.

For traders, the takeaway is clear: avoid initiating shorts solely on a CoCh signal, factor in macro risk, and wait for concrete imbalance evidence before entering. The approach suggests potential upside if the price retraces into the identified buy‑side zones.

Original Description

Most traders try to short the moment they see a change of character.

But that alone isn’t a high-probability entry.

In this short I explain what I actually wait for after a CHoCH, how I use structure and buy-side imbalances, and why patience is what separates good trades from bad ones.

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