Keith McCullough

Keith McCullough

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CEO and Founder, Hedgeye Risk Management; daily macro and market strategy; U.S. equities positioning and risk management.

IWM Pump Puts: Clear Bet on Russell Volatility
SocialApr 2, 2026

IWM Pump Puts: Clear Bet on Russell Volatility

Buying Russell $IWM Pump Puts was an obvious play with Russell Volatility (RVX) in the F-Bucket https://t.co/IQnqgOdKmH

By Keith McCullough
Live Snapshot Shows Energy Prices Declaring War’s End
SocialApr 1, 2026

Live Snapshot Shows Energy Prices Declaring War’s End

For non-Macro Tourist eyes only: LIVE Shot of the "end of the war" in TRENDING Energy Price terms https://t.co/BnmybmKwlL

By Keith McCullough
Oil's Risk Range Top Surges, Signal Indicates Massive Move
SocialApr 1, 2026

Oil's Risk Range Top Surges, Signal Indicates Massive Move

OIL: just wait until you see where the TRR (top-end of the Risk Range™ Signal) just went https://t.co/2qvUoG2qpD

By Keith McCullough
Excellence Is a Continuous Process, Not a Destination
SocialApr 1, 2026

Excellence Is a Continuous Process, Not a Destination

Hugh, thanks for sending me Brad's new book. It's a great coaching tool that I'll cite in Early Looks "Remember, excellence is not a destination; it's a process of becoming." @BStulberg

By Keith McCullough
Europe's Inflation Surge Proves It's Not Transitory
SocialApr 1, 2026

Europe's Inflation Surge Proves It's Not Transitory

If you think Europe's Inflation Re-Acceleration is "transitory", we're on the other side of you https://t.co/jj0TOw0ldU

By Keith McCullough
Excellence Comes From Process, Consistency, and Compounding
SocialMar 31, 2026

Excellence Comes From Process, Consistency, and Compounding

PROCESS / EXCELLENCE Excellence isn’t winning every day 📉📈 It’s: ⚙️Showing up with a process 🔁 Staying consistent through ups & downs 🎯 Compounding over time Red day ≠ broken system

By Keith McCullough
Few Can Handle >30 Volatility Both Ways
SocialMar 31, 2026

Few Can Handle >30 Volatility Both Ways

Actually, the takeaway should be that very few humans can risk manage something both ways (up and down days) when that something's Vol ramps > 30. At least this human didn't

By Keith McCullough
Microsoft Likely to Rebound Before Month‑end Reporting
SocialMar 31, 2026

Microsoft Likely to Rebound Before Month‑end Reporting

Only so many days in a row $MSFT can go straight down before they try to mark it up before reporting to clients at month end

By Keith McCullough
Stocks Rebound After Sharp Prior Decline
SocialMar 31, 2026

Stocks Rebound After Sharp Prior Decline

The catalyst for stocks going up for a day like this is that they went straight down https://t.co/wozXs7Sf2r

By Keith McCullough
CNBC Crowd Clings to Losing Positions Amid Crash
SocialMar 31, 2026

CNBC Crowd Clings to Losing Positions Amid Crash

CHART OF THE DAY: CNBC Crowd Holding The Bag7 Into The Crash https://t.co/LRATvgaFh8 via @hedgeye

By Keith McCullough
Buy CZR, Short BOOT: Hedgeye Team’s Top Picks
SocialMar 31, 2026

Buy CZR, Short BOOT: Hedgeye Team’s Top Picks

Lots of alpha coming out of the team this morning with the Buy $CZR from Jenks @HedgeyeGLL and Short $BOOT barn from McGough @HedgeyeRetail

By Keith McCullough
Identify Your Peak Moments and Their Feelings
SocialMar 31, 2026

Identify Your Peak Moments and Their Feelings

“When are you at your best and what does it feel like?” -Brad Stulberg @BStulberg https://t.co/qtcpUs4SJe

By Keith McCullough
Bitcoin Stays Bearish, No Upside Momentum Today
SocialMar 31, 2026

Bitcoin Stays Bearish, No Upside Momentum Today

Poor Bitcoin gets no part of the action to the upside this morning and remains Bearish TREND @Hedgeye https://t.co/6bKJ5DC2Ze

By Keith McCullough
KOSPI Slides Into MOAB Crash Mode, Down 4.3%
SocialMar 31, 2026

KOSPI Slides Into MOAB Crash Mode, Down 4.3%

Dr. KOSPI down another -4.3% and moving into #MOAB Crash Mode (-19.8% from Cycle Peak) https://t.co/nYUnVFszn9

By Keith McCullough
Nikkei Slides 13% in a Month, Signaling Slowdown
SocialMar 31, 2026

Nikkei Slides 13% in a Month, Signaling Slowdown

JAPAN: nice job getting out of this market with the Nikkei down -13.2% in the last month = #Quad3 Slowing https://t.co/ckYlpWSopM

By Keith McCullough
Avoided Major Risk: #RussVol Breakout Into F‑Bucket
SocialMar 31, 2026

Avoided Major Risk: #RussVol Breakout Into F‑Bucket

The mainline of risk to have avoided was this #RussVol Breakout into the F-Bucket https://t.co/bOeSGKPost

By Keith McCullough
Russell IWM Poised for Bounce After 11.2% Q3 Drop
SocialMar 31, 2026

Russell IWM Poised for Bounce After 11.2% Q3 Drop

Post an -11.2% #Quad3 Drawdown, let's see how much they can bounce the Russell $IWM this morning

By Keith McCullough
German Retail Sales Unexpectedly Fell 0.6% in February
SocialMar 31, 2026

German Retail Sales Unexpectedly Fell 0.6% in February

Expectedly @Hedgeye > German retail sales declined unexpectedly in Feb, dropping 0.6% in real terms compared to Jan, according to preliminary data from Destatis

By Keith McCullough
Avoiding Mega‑Cap Tech, Holding Energy & Commodities Pays Off
SocialMar 30, 2026

Avoiding Mega‑Cap Tech, Holding Energy & Commodities Pays Off

We don’t own what the crowd owns. 🚫📈 ❌ No #Bag7 ❌ No Mega Cap Tech Instead: 🛢️ Energy (XOP) ⚡Utilities (XLU) 💵 USD 🌽 Commodities Result: 📉 Down <1% from highs

By Keith McCullough
My Long‑Only Retirement Beats Traditional 60/40 by Staying Near Peak
SocialMar 30, 2026

My Long‑Only Retirement Beats Traditional 60/40 by Staying Near Peak

In today's Early Look: "A Big #Quad3 Week Of Wins, It Was" Whoever you're paying to risk manage your hard-earned capital should be able to show you one — in real time, every day, no excuses. My Long Only Retirement Account...

By Keith McCullough
Lead by Walking Before You Talk to Earn Buy‑in
SocialMar 30, 2026

Lead by Walking Before You Talk to Earn Buy‑in

“I walk it before I ever talk it. That’s a big reason why I get the buy in.” -Dan Hurley https://t.co/vBSQTmzkOl

By Keith McCullough
Missed the Biggest Monthly Energy Rally of the Era
SocialMar 30, 2026

Missed the Biggest Monthly Energy Rally of the Era

You should have been Long of the biggest monthly move in Energy of the modern era https://t.co/4SzKlzwxb9

By Keith McCullough
Commodities Surge; Quad3 Allocation Shields Retirement From Stagflation
SocialMar 30, 2026

Commodities Surge; Quad3 Allocation Shields Retirement From Stagflation

COMMODITIES: ramped to new Cycle Highs of 368 on The CRB Index Friday Your Retirement Account should have had this Major #Quad3 Asset Allocation to protect you from Stagflation https://t.co/mNoHeoQpzx

By Keith McCullough
Oil Prices Surge to Target, Maintaining Brent Long Position
SocialMar 29, 2026

Oil Prices Surge to Target, Maintaining Brent Long Position

Oil going straight up to levels we were looking for - staying Long in Brent $BNO terms https://t.co/MJlPz9oFW6

By Keith McCullough
All Markets Move as One Unified Implicate Order
SocialMar 29, 2026

All Markets Move as One Unified Implicate Order

The Implicate Order is the portfolio Bohm's undivided whole isn't philosophy — it's how Oil, Dollar, Bond Yields, and Equity Sectors move together inside a single Quad The Macro Tourist sees separate assets. The Fractal Mathematician sees...

By Keith McCullough
Pros Evaluate Whole Portfolio; Amateurs Focus on Single Trades
SocialMar 27, 2026

Pros Evaluate Whole Portfolio; Amateurs Focus on Single Trades

CNBC-type amateurs grade the process one position at a time. Pros grade the portfolio over a Full Investing Cycle. That's not a philosophy difference. That's the whole ballgame https://t.co/oOOFG3WLfk

By Keith McCullough
Our Signals Use Fractal Algo, Not Simple Momentum
SocialMar 27, 2026

Our Signals Use Fractal Algo, Not Simple Momentum

I get that you're trying to learn. That's great. You're also quick to pass judgment on both the Signals and my teammates (sometimes innacurately). That's not how I roll. TRADE, TREND and TAIL Signal Levels are built using a proprietary Fractal...

By Keith McCullough
Remembering the Early Days of Quantum Community
SocialMar 27, 2026

Remembering the Early Days of Quantum Community

I'm old enough to remember WHEN we got out community out of Quantum $QTUM $RGTI

By Keith McCullough
Bitcoin Slides 45% From October 2025 Peak
SocialMar 27, 2026

Bitcoin Slides 45% From October 2025 Peak

BITCOIN: back to Bearish TRADE and TREND @Hedgeye , crashing -45% from its #MOAB OCT 2025 high https://t.co/GkB8udvu6W

By Keith McCullough
Bond Yields Surge Globally as Japan Joins US/EU Breakout
SocialMar 27, 2026

Bond Yields Surge Globally as Japan Joins US/EU Breakout

Global Bond Yields continue to ramp higher alongside #Quad3 INFLATION Japan's 10yr ramped +11bps (thats a lot in a day) today joining the breakout in European and US Yields

By Keith McCullough
Oil Remains Top Allocation, Climbing Higher Today
SocialMar 27, 2026

Oil Remains Top Allocation, Climbing Higher Today

OIL: continues to be 1 of our Top Asset Allocations and continues higher this morning https://t.co/vvt8Kku9Zm

By Keith McCullough
German Stocks Plunge, Quad3 Down 11.9% in Month
SocialMar 27, 2026

German Stocks Plunge, Quad3 Down 11.9% in Month

GERMANY: stocks drop another -1.4%, taking their #Quad3 Drawdown to -11.9% in the last month alone https://t.co/5Nwv4OaFWW

By Keith McCullough
Indian Stocks Slide 9% Monthly, Prompting Exit Questions
SocialMar 27, 2026

Indian Stocks Slide 9% Monthly, Prompting Exit Questions

INDIA: stocks down another -2% overnight to -9.2% in the last month - who gets you out of these country exposures? $INDA https://t.co/pQ984qpHQx

By Keith McCullough
Check Gamma and Throttle Before Risking Your Capital
SocialMar 27, 2026

Check Gamma and Throttle Before Risking Your Capital

Ask them if they know where Gamma and its Throttle are before they make decisions with YOUR hard-earned capital @t1alpha https://t.co/NFbbyNF2dn

By Keith McCullough
Breakout Signal Sparks Record-Breaking Bond Volatility Surge
SocialMar 27, 2026

Breakout Signal Sparks Record-Breaking Bond Volatility Surge

Our Breakout Signal in Bond Market Volatility has turned out to be one of the fastest ROC ramps in the history of me modeling it https://t.co/NsHzTPL9fS

By Keith McCullough
1794: US Creates Permanent Navy, Orders Six Frigates
SocialMar 27, 2026

1794: US Creates Permanent Navy, Orders Six Frigates

Today in 1794, the US Government established a permanent navy and authorized the building of 6 frigates https://t.co/2xPATGNJdC

By Keith McCullough
New ETF Family Outperforms Wall Street Today
SocialMar 26, 2026

New ETF Family Outperforms Wall Street Today

I see a new family of ETFs beating the Old Wall's bags, across the board today

By Keith McCullough
Doubling BUXX, Keeping Heavy US Equity Short Bias
SocialMar 26, 2026

Doubling BUXX, Keeping Heavy US Equity Short Bias

Just bought more $BUXX and still running Net Short US Equities with a big Russell $IWM Short

By Keith McCullough
Retirees Overlook Commodities Breakout in Asset Allocation
SocialMar 26, 2026

Retirees Overlook Commodities Breakout in Asset Allocation

Most Retirees don't have a Major Asset Allocation to this Major #Quad3 Breakout: Commodities https://t.co/Iyitj3LaKM

By Keith McCullough
Staying Long on Akamai Beats Failing Software Sector
SocialMar 25, 2026

Staying Long on Akamai Beats Failing Software Sector

RPK @RPKent nice job staying long of Tech via $AKAM while Software continues to implode

By Keith McCullough
10-Year Yield Climbs Amid Accelerating Inflation Nowcast
SocialMar 25, 2026

10-Year Yield Climbs Amid Accelerating Inflation Nowcast

10-Year Yield Holds Uptrend as Inflation Nowcast Accelerates during #Quad3 The bond market isn’t buying the narrative. 📉📊 📈 10Y still making higher highs/lows 📊 Range: 4.20–4.43%

By Keith McCullough
Lead by Example; Critics Never Learn Discipline
SocialMar 25, 2026

Lead by Example; Critics Never Learn Discipline

Some learn to execute WHEN I do. Others never learn not to whine about their lack of discipline https://t.co/huHkUGJkkT

By Keith McCullough
Software Index Plummets 6.7%, Worst in Five Years
SocialMar 24, 2026

Software Index Plummets 6.7%, Worst in Five Years

So Tourists were hoping Software "bottomed" 1 month ago Today Software vs Semis (GSPUSOSE - Goldman Basket) traded -6.7%, top 5 worst move over the last 5 years @HedgeyeTech @HedgeyeComm @SamofAmerica @RPKent https://t.co/QxAj4Blbqz

By Keith McCullough
Sam's Stocks Soar as Dell, Ciena Rise
SocialMar 24, 2026

Sam's Stocks Soar as Dell, Ciena Rise

Sam, you're having a good day with names like $DELL and $CIEN ramping higher in a down Tech tape @SamofAmerica

By Keith McCullough
Bitcoin's Lower Highs Hit Investors, COIN Drops 10%
SocialMar 24, 2026

Bitcoin's Lower Highs Hit Investors, COIN Drops 10%

Another tough day for whoever chased Bitcoin at its recent Bear Market Lower highs of $74-75k $COIN -10% today

By Keith McCullough
Hoodie CNBC Picks Plunge From October Peak
SocialMar 24, 2026

Hoodie CNBC Picks Plunge From October Peak

The Hoodie CNBC type picks peaked in October and is hitting new lows here today #MOAB https://t.co/LQQqReCipI

By Keith McCullough
Software Stocks Still Ripe for Shorting on Rebounds
SocialMar 24, 2026

Software Stocks Still Ripe for Shorting on Rebounds

Evidently there is still plenty of money to be made shorting Software Stocks on their bear market bounces

By Keith McCullough
Build the Web, Not Predictions: Trust Geometry
SocialMar 24, 2026

Build the Web, Not Predictions: Trust Geometry

In today's Early Look: "#Quad3's Spider Web" The spider doesn't have a CNBC narrative. It doesn't have a price target. It doesn't “pound the table.” It builds the geometry — and waits for The Signal. That's what I do starting at...

By Keith McCullough
Pump's US Futures Push Drives Egg Inflation Wildly
SocialMar 24, 2026

Pump's US Futures Push Drives Egg Inflation Wildly

See what happens when Pump focuses on US Equity Futures? Egg Inflation out of control https://t.co/77gLGyWDle

By Keith McCullough