Keith McCullough

Keith McCullough

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CEO and Founder, Hedgeye Risk Management; daily macro and market strategy; U.S. equities positioning and risk management.

Trimmed Long Book to 21; Gold Remains Sole Metal
SocialMar 21, 2026

Trimmed Long Book to 21; Gold Remains Sole Metal

ETF Pro and Macro Pro subcribers can see I've reduced my Long Book to 21 positions down from 30 (a month ago). Gold is my only metal - I used to have 9 https://t.co/7EABDXnFqc

By Keith McCullough
Portfolio Success Comes From Process, Not One Anchor
SocialMar 21, 2026

Portfolio Success Comes From Process, Not One Anchor

Gold was a loser this week. I own it. But our SELL calls on $QQQ, $SPY, #Bag7 $XLF $IWM? Those were winners. The whole portfolio is the process — not the one position your brain decided to anchor on

By Keith McCullough
Hire Truth‑seekers, Not People‑pleasers, for Lasting Success
SocialMar 21, 2026

Hire Truth‑seekers, Not People‑pleasers, for Lasting Success

Best part of building Hedgeye from scratch in 2008? I got to pick people who wanted to be right more than they wanted to be liked. That's a rare roster

By Keith McCullough
Exited Bridgewater All Weather Before 3% Plunge
SocialMar 20, 2026

Exited Bridgewater All Weather Before 3% Plunge

I got us out of this Bridgewater 'All Weather' $ALLW before it got smoked today. Down -3.1% looked more like All Clouds, No Umbrella. @dsaleminvestor @HedgeyeRJM https://t.co/6vDFG1w84h

By Keith McCullough
Gold Dip Set up by Rising Oil, Rates, and Dollar
SocialMar 19, 2026

Gold Dip Set up by Rising Oil, Rates, and Dollar

Gold down wasn’t a surprise — it was the setup. 🥇📉 📈 Oil up 📈 Rates up 💵 Dollar up = short-term pressure on gold We sold SOME into the breakdown… Now buying it back into panic. 😈 Process > opinions.

By Keith McCullough
Follow McGough: Short on Green, Long on Red
SocialMar 19, 2026

Follow McGough: Short on Green, Long on Red

Especially in a #Quad3 Bearish $SPY TREND, if you're going to buy Longs on red, you should be re-loading on Core Shorts on green... Coaching Notes: I'll almost always go back to McGough @HedgeyeRetail in a market like this His fundamental research...

By Keith McCullough
Tourists Shift Focus: Next Hot Destination
SocialMar 18, 2026

Tourists Shift Focus: Next Hot Destination

Thinking there are other things going on in the world other than Iran? Yep. We're talking about what Tourists will probably chase next

By Keith McCullough
Upcoming Q2 2026 Macro Themes Webinar – March 18
SocialMar 18, 2026

Upcoming Q2 2026 Macro Themes Webinar – March 18

EVENT | Q2 2026 Macro Themes: Wednesday, March 18, 11:00 AM ET https://t.co/jT4huLbBBJ via @hedgeye

By Keith McCullough
Yield Curve Reflects Economic Quad Cycle, Not Daily Noise
SocialMar 18, 2026

Yield Curve Reflects Economic Quad Cycle, Not Daily Noise

YIELD CURVE: doesn't care about Taco Time Trading, Tourists, etc. It cares about The Quads (i.e. The Cycle) #Quad1 peaked in early FEB and the #Quad3 slowdown continues in the real economy this morning https://t.co/KVMr12qbUs

By Keith McCullough
Hedge Fund Bets on Cotton As
SocialMar 18, 2026

Hedge Fund Bets on Cotton As

One of our new Hedge Fund clients was explaining his Long Cotton position to me yest All the while a bunch of consensus ones are still hoping for their #Bag7 Longs to bounce https://t.co/yoASvyTUEY

By Keith McCullough
Quad3 Bull Case for Oil Unveiled at Hedgeye TV
SocialMar 18, 2026

Quad3 Bull Case for Oil Unveiled at Hedgeye TV

OIL: correcting for Touristy PMs to "wonder" and worry about Taco Time We'll provide the longer-term #Quad3 Bull Case for Oil/Energy Stocks on our Q2 Macro Themes at 11AM @HedgeyeTV https://t.co/Q3JztwjwmV

By Keith McCullough
Hedge Fund Star Bets Against Korea After Market Dip
SocialMar 18, 2026

Hedge Fund Star Bets Against Korea After Market Dip

Who's the latest brilliant Hedge Fund guy who shorted South Korean Stocks AFTER a correction? https://t.co/aP0iJRzIRj

By Keith McCullough
Four Major Stocks Show Bearish Trend per Hedgeye
SocialMar 18, 2026

Four Major Stocks Show Bearish Trend per Hedgeye

IMPACT @t1alpha All 4 of these widely bag-held stocks continue to signal Bearish TREND @Hedgeye = $LLY $NVDA $AVGO $META https://t.co/kg1UG6fV2x

By Keith McCullough
Read Fed Moves Through Positioning, Not Surface Reaction
SocialMar 18, 2026

Read Fed Moves Through Positioning, Not Surface Reaction

Great Gamma chart and Fed Day point by Captain Craig @t1alpha "In that context, any outsized reaction around the Fed should first be viewed through the lens of positioning first rather than taken at face value" https://t.co/cnuGZLnhYJ

By Keith McCullough
High Yield Stocks Attempt Squeeze Despite Bearish Trend
SocialMar 18, 2026

High Yield Stocks Attempt Squeeze Despite Bearish Trend

HIGH YIELD: Stocks trying for Day3 of squeezage off Friday's oversold lows... But High Yield (bearish TREND in #Quad3) didn't really care yesterday Different market structure vs. the #MOAB in US Stocks https://t.co/b4jIP7TEiK

By Keith McCullough
Chart Shows Gains Moving From
SocialMar 16, 2026

Chart Shows Gains Moving From

CHART OF THE DAY: Did You Get Out Of UAE and Into $NORW With Us? https://t.co/eTxtezfj7N via @hedgeye

By Keith McCullough
10-Year Yield Signals Bullish Trade Amid Accelerating Inflation
SocialMar 16, 2026

10-Year Yield Signals Bullish Trade Amid Accelerating Inflation

JBG 10yr Yield back to signaling Bullish TRADE and TREND @Hedgeye with #Quad3 Inflation Accelerating https://t.co/qkWdn2Fxoe

By Keith McCullough
Oslo Stocks Surge 1.1% After Strong Week
SocialMar 16, 2026

Oslo Stocks Surge 1.1% After Strong Week

NORWAY: stocks in Oslo ramp another +1.1% higher after a +2.5% week (we're long) https://t.co/fyqWKJlIEl

By Keith McCullough
Indonesia Market Slides 14.5% in Month, Short Position
SocialMar 16, 2026

Indonesia Market Slides 14.5% in Month, Short Position

INDONESIA: stock market crash continues, down another -1.6% overnight to -14.5% in the last month (we're short it) https://t.co/k5VHlZoY7R

By Keith McCullough
Only Those Lacking a Process Hate Proven Risk Management
SocialMar 14, 2026

Only Those Lacking a Process Hate Proven Risk Management

Hating on a proven risk mgt process is generally for people who neither have one nor get paid to develop one

By Keith McCullough
Most Exited Positions Kept Falling After We Sold
SocialMar 14, 2026

Most Exited Positions Kept Falling After We Sold

Who gets you out? 14 of 15 positions that we exited since 2/27 continued to go down FURTHER after we exited them https://t.co/dXxme06N4C

By Keith McCullough
Short Software Stocks Amid CNBC Bottom Calls
SocialMar 14, 2026

Short Software Stocks Amid CNBC Bottom Calls

Despite all attempts (by CNBC types who didn't get out of these stocks) to "call the bottom", we remain Short Software and names like $ADBE @HedgeyeComm https://t.co/Htn4Kkf5T0

By Keith McCullough
Retail Investors Overleveraged, Flooding NVDA Call Market
SocialMar 14, 2026

Retail Investors Overleveraged, Flooding NVDA Call Market

Reality: most of these post-pandemic "Retail Investor" bulls just play a levered (fully loaded with options) game chasing the same stocks Despite the "get out" $NVDA Signal we issued this week, look at how many WEEKLY $NVDA $185 Calls traded...

By Keith McCullough
Adapt Fast: Quad3 Yield Breakout Signals Immediate Action
SocialMar 13, 2026

Adapt Fast: Quad3 Yield Breakout Signals Immediate Action

In today's Early Look: "#Quad3 Bond Yield Breakout" The Signaling Process that I built changed. I changed with it. When lightning hits the golf course, do you want to debate last Tuesday's forecast — or get off the fairway? https://t.co/pZVQzeHQXQ

By Keith McCullough
Publicly Confident Mistakes Are Dangerous, Private Ones Forgivable
SocialMar 13, 2026

Publicly Confident Mistakes Are Dangerous, Private Ones Forgivable

Incredible advice. Truly. From a man who is never, ever confidently wrong in front of hundreds of millions of people who worship him. Ryan Holiday puts a finer point on it in Wisdom Takes Work: being confidently wrong in private...

By Keith McCullough
UST Yields Signal Bullish Curve Breakout, Review Ahead
SocialMar 13, 2026

UST Yields Signal Bullish Curve Breakout, Review Ahead

UST Bond Yields signaling a Bullish TREND Breakout, across the curve - will review on The Macro Show https://t.co/MUbXHcltNR

By Keith McCullough
Hedgeye Stays Short as IDX Falls 13% Monthly
SocialMar 13, 2026

Hedgeye Stays Short as IDX Falls 13% Monthly

Macro Pros @Hedgeye remain short Indonesia in $IDX terms Down another -3.0% overnight, collapsing -13.1% in the last month alone #GoAnywhere https://t.co/Ny66xrqpv3

By Keith McCullough
Biolsi’s Hedgeye Call Delivers Another Long CASY Win
SocialMar 10, 2026

Biolsi’s Hedgeye Call Delivers Another Long CASY Win

Another winner from Biolsi @Hedgeye_Staples that you got from The Call @HedgeyeTV today too = Long $CASY

By Keith McCullough
Hedgeye Retail Predicted KSS Reversal, McGough Confirms
SocialMar 10, 2026

Hedgeye Retail Predicted KSS Reversal, McGough Confirms

McGough nailed this $KSS reversal. But, if you watch The Call @HedgeyeTV every day, you already knew that @HedgeyeRetail

By Keith McCullough
CBOE Stands Out as Rare Financial Buy Signal
SocialMar 10, 2026

CBOE Stands Out as Rare Financial Buy Signal

Buying $CBOE on red today. Why is this one of the few "Financials" Signaling Buy? @SamofAmerica

By Keith McCullough
Exited $RIG on First Lower‑Highs Signal
SocialMar 10, 2026

Exited $RIG on First Lower‑Highs Signal

Sold a bunch of $RIG this morning on the 1st lower-highs Signal fyi @SamofAmerica @RPKent

By Keith McCullough
Precious Metals Outperform US Stocks, Stay Long
SocialMar 10, 2026

Precious Metals Outperform US Stocks, Stay Long

CHART OF THE DAY: We Remain Long Of Precious Metals Which Continue To Smoke US Stocks https://t.co/6qnn1dwo1s via @hedgeye

By Keith McCullough
Back-to-Back Quad3s Signal High US Equity Volatility
SocialMar 9, 2026

Back-to-Back Quad3s Signal High US Equity Volatility

In today's Early Look: "Flying F-Quad3s" We’re now in what we affectionately call the F-Bucket of US Equity Volatility with an updated Quarterly Nowcast for back-to-back #Quad3s in Q2 and Q3 of 2026 What do you do with that? You fly these...

By Keith McCullough
Oil Volatility over 100 Exceeds Human Risk Capacity
SocialMar 9, 2026

Oil Volatility over 100 Exceeds Human Risk Capacity

OIL: volatility ramping > 100 is not risk that humans are built to calculate using Moving Monkeys https://t.co/92Lhy22q5j

By Keith McCullough
Master Gamma and Throttle for Pro Risk Management
SocialMar 9, 2026

Master Gamma and Throttle for Pro Risk Management

GAMMA @t1alpha If you don't know where Gamma and its Throttle are, you really don't know how to manage risk like Macro Pros @Hedgeye do https://t.co/fU17MkB83v

By Keith McCullough
Oil Rises While Mag 7 Shows Bearish Signals
SocialMar 6, 2026

Oil Rises While Mag 7 Shows Bearish Signals

Friday's Playbook: Oil Surging. Bearish Signals Across the Mag 7. See How We’re Positioning. https://t.co/Ab25axAjJe via @hedgeye

By Keith McCullough
Cutting Positions, Shifting Cash Amid US Equity Beta Break
SocialMar 6, 2026

Cutting Positions, Shifting Cash Amid US Equity Beta Break

Macro Pros, You'll see I'm down to 25 positions in Portfolio Solutions (from 30). All incremental Cash goes into FDRXX for me because the account is at Fidelity Raising Cash on the US Equity Beta TREND break https://t.co/b9jSa8qkmu

By Keith McCullough
Short Sellers Squeezed, Forced to Cover Positions Rapidly
SocialMar 6, 2026

Short Sellers Squeezed, Forced to Cover Positions Rapidly

CHART OF THE DAY: We Are Pressing Our Shorts Into Their Covers https://t.co/6ATbUtxX8X via @hedgeye

By Keith McCullough
Down Days Are Buying Opportunities in Bullish Trends
SocialMar 5, 2026

Down Days Are Buying Opportunities in Bullish Trends

Why would you get "stopped out" of something that's still Bullish TREND @Hedgeye? Down days are Buying Opportunities

By Keith McCullough
Inflation Nowcast Accelerates, Raising Q3 Bond Volatility
SocialMar 4, 2026

Inflation Nowcast Accelerates, Raising Q3 Bond Volatility

LIVE Shot of our Inflation Nowcast Accelerating into #Quad3 in Bond Market Volatility terms https://t.co/cTSAqYA6P7

By Keith McCullough
Key Rally Drivers Turn Bearish, Threatening Momentum
SocialMar 3, 2026

Key Rally Drivers Turn Bearish, Threatening Momentum

IMPACT @t1alpha The 3 stocks that drove 25% of yesterday's intraday rally are all signaling Bearish TREND @Hedgeye That's not good. $NVDA $MSFT $PLTR https://t.co/AzTRbxG3Kq

By Keith McCullough
1‑Month 25‑Delta Skew Peaks at 2021 Levels, Signaling Rising Anxiety
SocialMar 3, 2026

1‑Month 25‑Delta Skew Peaks at 2021 Levels, Signaling Rising Anxiety

"1-month 25 delta skew reached its highest level since late 2021, reflecting elevated anxiety" -Captain Craig @t1alpha https://t.co/6wFr4T9ewz

By Keith McCullough
SPY Approaches Hedgeye Trend Breakdown, Confirmation Pending
SocialMar 3, 2026

SPY Approaches Hedgeye Trend Breakdown, Confirmation Pending

As I warned yesterday, $SPY was teetering on a @Hedgeye TREND Breakdown - let's see if it confirms

By Keith McCullough
Monday Market Playbook: 45 ETFs, 95 Stocks, Key Levels
SocialMar 3, 2026

Monday Market Playbook: 45 ETFs, 95 Stocks, Key Levels

Monday’s Market Playbook: 45 ETF Positions, 95 Stock Ideas & Today’s Buy/Sell Levels https://t.co/Pc5C1TTVu1 via @hedgeye

By Keith McCullough
Subsector Moves Defy Expectations Amid Iran Tensions
SocialMar 3, 2026

Subsector Moves Defy Expectations Amid Iran Tensions

Old Wall Broker comments: "The feedback we consistently heard was the 'subsectors I thought would o/p or u/p to start the day have done the complete opposite" #Iran

By Keith McCullough
COHR Shines with Revenue Growth Amid Tech Slowdown
SocialMar 2, 2026

COHR Shines with Revenue Growth Amid Tech Slowdown

In this environment, that'll do it $COHR - all a company needs to do is show a rev acceleratiion while the other tech companies are decelerating

By Keith McCullough
Long Oil, Short US Consumer: BNO Up, XLY Down
SocialMar 2, 2026

Long Oil, Short US Consumer: BNO Up, XLY Down

We remain long of Oil in $BNO terms and short of the US Consumer via $XLY https://t.co/wvSfyWS2xT

By Keith McCullough
Free Week of Hedgeye Market Insights & Signals
SocialMar 2, 2026

Free Week of Hedgeye Market Insights & Signals

FREE ALL ACCESS WEEK | March 2-6: Explore Hedgeye's Daily Market Insights, Top Investment Ideas & Buy/Sell Signals https://t.co/xZZpJZYFWV via @hedgeye

By Keith McCullough
Traders Shift War Hedge to Longer‑Dated Options
SocialMar 2, 2026

Traders Shift War Hedge to Longer‑Dated Options

"it's hard to hedge a war with a 0DTE contract, which is why we are seeing this positioning expressed further out on the curve" -Captain Craig @t1alpha

By Keith McCullough