
Prominent Chinese economists Miao Yanliang and Ju Jiandong have called for easing capital controls, arguing that the current weakening U.S. dollar and a strengthening yuan present a rare opportunity to increase the currency’s value abroad. They describe 2023 and 2024 as a “strategic window” for developing China’s capital account, which could unlock larger outbound investments, including in Australian real estate. The proposal signals a shift toward greater yuan internationalisation and could reshape cross‑border capital flows. Analysts note that such policy changes may affect Australian property valuations and broader market dynamics.
Alphabet Q4 2025: Search reaccelerated to 17%. Cloud hit 48% at 30% margins. Full breakdown live for SCIS members: https://steadycompounding.com/investing/alphabet-q4-2025/

The episode discusses the recent market downturn, highlighted by a 2% drop in QQQs, as AI disruption spreads beyond software and internet sectors into areas like property management and freight logistics. It examines how AI is turning into a net...

The Export‑Import Bank of Thailand unveiled a 50‑billion‑baht working‑capital facility to shore up exporters’ liquidity amid heightened global volatility. President Charat Rattanaboonniti said the bank will also provide export and foreign‑exchange insurance while urging firms to hedge currency risk with...

🔴 TOMORROW: US CPI drops at 8:30 AM Core forecast at a near 5-year low. Hot print → Nasdaq dumps Cool print → Rate cuts back on the table Either way, there's a trade to be made. Join me LIVE at 8AM ET to...

Record gold prices + a weakening dollar don’t scream “risk-on.” They signal global capital reallocation and rising demand for insurance amid lingering policy uncertainty. Hedging behavior is increasing even as equities grind higher.
DraftKings' shares fell 13% after the company reported fourth‑quarter earnings and issued FY2026 revenue guidance that missed analysts' expectations. Revenue reached $2 billion, matching consensus, while earnings per share rose to $0.25 versus the $0.16 forecast. The 2026 sales outlook of...

The MacroBusiness note observes that the U.S. dollar index (DXY) halted its decline amid political headlines, while the Australian dollar stayed firm despite broader risk aversion. Beijing is expected to intervene to limit further yuan gains, and the resilience of...

The episode covers four major Asian market stories: Singapore’s 2026 budget under Prime Minister Lawrence Wong, which projects a surplus, boosts AI investment, and offers household cost‑of‑living credits; the political fallout in the US as the House votes to overturn...
Natural‑gas spot prices surged as freezing temperatures drove heating demand, but the rally was tempered by broader market weakness. Midwest hub prices posted gains, yet they were insufficient to lift the overall bias, which slipped lower across most regions. Forecasts...

Tomorrow is CPI for January. It's a month that has burned us repeatedly -- core CPI inflation (month-over-month) tends to pick up in January. Consensus forecast has a pickup *but* we do not have a clear sense of the...

The United States is actively negotiating with Brazil to develop processing capacity for heavy rare earths, leveraging financing from the Development Finance Corporation. Recent DFC investments have backed the Serra Verde and Aclara rare‑earth projects, which together aim to boost...

James Zimmerman has resumed his role as chairman of the American Chamber of Commerce in China, bringing nearly three decades of on‑the‑ground experience. He argues that the anticipated Trump‑Xi meetings in 2026 present a rare chance to pivot bilateral relations...
The latest benchmark revision of the All‑Employees Total Nonfarm Vintage index reveals that post‑Liberation Day employment figures are weaker than previously reported, especially for August. The revised data shows a sharper decline during months associated with tariff policies, while months...

Ventas $VTR the Fin Prop REIT, eclipsing highs going back to 2013 as REITS start to kick into gear again with Utilities to join the recent strength seen in Staples, Telco @IBDinvestors @marketsurge Strength in these defensives is more than...

Roku reported $4.737 billion in net revenue for 2025, a 15% year‑over‑year increase, while streaming hours rose 15% to 145.6 billion. The company highlighted record‑breaking Premium Subscriptions net adds in Q4 and a 75% jump in Roku Sports sign‑ups. The Roku Channel...
Roku reported a strong fourth‑quarter 2025, posting $1.5 billion in revenue—a 16% year‑over‑year increase—and its first positive net income of $80.5 million. Platform revenue surged 18% to $1.2 billion, driven by higher video‑ad sales and a record share of streaming minutes. The company...
Whose ready for the short-squeeze in software over the next week because the 26 year-old analysts at the multi-platform funds convinced their PM's to go max short? Then we'll get the Consumer Staples pullback at the same time, when all the...
Natural‑gas futures surged early Thursday after the Energy Information Administration reported a 249 Bcf net withdrawal for the week ending Feb. 6, marking a second consecutive week of above‑average draws. The data lifted front‑month prices as traders priced in tighter supplies, but...
Canadian dairy farmer organizations are overhauling milk pricing to reflect a surge in protein‑rich product demand, with cottage cheese volumes up 32% and yogurt up 7% in 2025. The Western Milk Pool will pay 70% for butterfat, 25% for protein...
TotalEnergies announced that Mexico’s Energía Costa Azul LNG terminal is expected to enter service later this year, adding a new export hub on the Pacific coast. The company projects a total LNG output of 44 Mt per year from its combined...

Ka-Boom💥💥 Dutch insurer NN group hikes the total 2025 dividend by 13% 🎉 Discl: long $NN.AS ChartPorn
Natural gas cash prices showed regional divergence on Thursday, with the Henry Hub benchmark rising to $3.425 per MMBtu, up 18 cents, while the NGI Spot Gas National Average slipped 2 cents to $2.955 per MMBtu. The overall market trend...

Wild market. We haven't seen anything like this since the dotcom bubble burst. Over the last 8 sessions, 115 stocks in the S&P 500 have decline 7% or more in a single day. The average drawdown when that happens is...
Our evening garage band - "AI Scare Trade" comes from the market. While swift, Taylor it's not.

Vista Energy reported a 57% jump in proved and probable reserves to 588 MMboe at the end of 2025, driven largely by the acquisition of Petronas assets. The reserve replacement ratio surged to 605% overall and 260% on a organic basis....

#CubaWatch🇨🇺: Cuba’s socialist disaster produces an inflation rate of 46%/yr. That makes Cuba the WORLD’S FOURTH-HIGHEST INFLATOR. I remain the only reliable source of inflationary measures in Cuba. https://t.co/tNgaFALVro

Don't do this to me...I need my coffee. KC futs have tentatively held up the midpoint of the 2023-2025 bull run (around 290) https://t.co/9M9FIFrM6A

Trinity Industries posted Q4 2025 revenue of $611.2 million, a 2.97% decline year‑over‑year, driven by weaker external deliveries in its Rail Products Group. The Rail Products segment saw a 23.3% revenue drop to $426.7 million, while the Railcar Leasing and...
Tough session today. $SPX opened higher but rolled over hard. $AAPL -5% $CSCO -12% and the VIX closed back above 20. Meanwhile utilities and staples pushed higher. I walk through the key support levels and what breaks the trend next:...
Again I’ll say: Virtually anything is physically *possible* in the oil market. Far fewer things are economically viable, let alone profitable. This is a nonsense take.
U.S. natural‑gas forward prices slipped again this week as the market eases from the January cold snap. Prompt‑month contracts fell 26.7 cents, while regional basis spreads showed mixed movement. SoCal Citygate basis peaked near $1.90/MMBtu for 2028 deliveries, whereas Malin remained...

"Aluminum prices in the US have been rising faster than global prices for much of this past year because of tariffs. The so-called US Midwest premium...climbed to an all-time high of $1.03 a pound on Wednesday" https://t.co/lVUj91ooyh https://t.co/lIKmsxcJem
Notable FX option expirations tomorrow: 5.25 bln euros at $1.1850 $1.8 bln at JPY152.00 GBP530 mln at $1.36 https://t.co/JP6hOX0qdC

Canadian oilfield services firm Ensign Energy Services is currently the sole operator of drilling rigs in Venezuela, maintaining two rigs in the Orinoco heavy‑oil region after two decades of continuous presence. A recent Trump administration general licence has opened the...

🆓 Thursday links: tight credit spreads, fast food woes, and who is paying the cost of tariffs. https://t.co/NOuKmm78S8 image: https://t.co/Lhs7cz5vWL https://t.co/nj3y6g7t8i
Secretary Wright, the only way to save Venezuela's oil industry—and I say this as an entirely disinterested party—is to tie any US support to reqs that the VZ oil ministry publicly publish regular, detailed oil industry statistics Simple bulk CSV file...

The Mortgage Bankers Association reported that mortgage delinquency rates rose to 4.26% in Q4 2025, up 27 basis points from the prior quarter and 28 basis points year‑over‑year. All major loan types—Conventional, FHA, and VA—saw higher delinquencies, with FHA loans...

The big issue is Tech Stocks have peaked, are on technically shaky ground ---AND this is coming from a starting point of stretched Valuations. https://t.co/3QKdtdJm7n

We've been saying all month that February is the banana peel month. Be aware the second half of the month is when trouble usually happens. https://t.co/Nv67B6dKQS

#HankeInflationDashboard: By my measurements, this week's top 5 inflators are: 🇻🇪Venezuela — 701.6%/yr 🇮🇷Iran — 82.9%/yr 🇰🇵North Korea — 74.6%/yr 🇨🇺Cuba — 46.0%/yr 🇱🇾Libya — 45.6%/yr https://t.co/ghPM730D4X

Natural gas storage is part of the reliability and resilience story too. When there’s insufficient long-distance pipeline capacity, access to storage is your next best bet. This is part of the solution too.🧵 https://t.co/o35G4ig5HU
By 2036, the U.S. will spend $2.14 TRILLION a year on interest payments, versus just $1 trillion today. U.S. taxpayers are being taken to the cleaners. They’re paying for yesterday’s government largesse and receiving nothing for it. https://t.co/xMUu3S9H8I
Another great chat with @MrMBrown as we chat about all things markets. Is AI diversification, helping to boost the FTSE100 and Nikkei 225 to ne... https://t.co/kxoCaB6IFb via @GoodMoneyGuide @pepperstone
What if a bunch of stocks just got kind of expensive, are selling off, and we need a narrative? Just sayin…

Sure, the IEA demand forecast update was negative... but pretty inconsequential in the scheme of the supply developments that are actually currently driving the oil market. https://t.co/P0KD7cPlR4

Software stocks are struggling again today. $IGV (iShares Software ETF) is essentially back to last week's panic lows. Don't forget there's another type of software, "programmable money," crypto. Bitcoin (blue) with the software index (orange). They are the same thing. https://t.co/tLEELqcWcJ

Worst sell-off in this logistics/tech company since 1998 (LTCM & Russian Debt Crisis) $EXPD Bigger than Tariffs, March 2020, 2008. AI Fears https://t.co/pSckCN9oYm
So, for the record: The trade deficit in the first 11 months of the Trump administration was $839.5B. In the same period in 2024, the final Biden year, it was $806.6B. And if you think this year's performance is a...

British Pound Forecast: GBP/USD Coils Below Resistance- Breakout to Set the Trend https://t.co/YCL1AwKRyY $GBPUSD Weekly Chart https://t.co/VuEneX3o2g