
The U.S. Commerce Department reported that January 2026 consumer spending stalled, with retail sales slipping amid unusually cold weather. Month‑over‑month retail sales fell 1.2%, while personal consumption expenditures dropped 0.8% year‑over‑year. Analysts say the weather‑induced headwind temporarily depressed demand, but expect a rebound once temperatures normalize. Investors are advised to adjust forecasts for the short‑term dip rather than rewrite longer‑term growth expectations.

In this episode the host examines prediction‑market odds for Latin American leaders being ousted before the end of 2026, using data from Kalshi and Polymarket. He highlights Cuba, Venezuela, Bolivia and Ecuador as the most volatile cases, while noting that...

The Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) issued a circular tightening obligations for credit rating agencies (CRAs) when they rate instruments overseen by other regulators. The new framework mandates separate email IDs, distinct web disclosures, and unchanged minimum net‑worth...

The U.S. dollar stayed firm in early trade despite flat retail sales, while the 10‑year Treasury yield slipped back below 4.2%. Market participants are largely ignoring the consumption miss, focusing instead on tomorrow’s delayed non‑farm payrolls as the primary driver...
📺 SOFTWARE SECTOR: TACTICAL OVERSOLD BOUNCE, NOT A TREND REVERSAL Software $IGV is seeing a short-term oversold bounce, not a trend reversal. The sector remains broken after losing key moving averages, so upside is likely limited near short-term resistance like the 8-day....

Lawrence Fuller reviews the market rebound after last week's sell‑off, noting that while volatility has eased and precious metals and crypto have steadied, technology stocks remain overvalued and lack true bargains. He highlights upcoming economic data—strong Redbook retail sales, a...

Mountain Province Diamonds announced a pause on the Tuzo Phase 3 development at its Gahcho Kué mine, citing weak diamond prices and rising costs. The joint‑venture partners are refocusing capital on higher‑grade feed from the NEX pipe to safeguard liquidity. The decision...
Vedanta Aluminium has raised its Jharsuguda billet output to 830,000 tonnes per year, adding 250,000 tonnes of new capacity and a 120,000‑tonne Primary Foundry Alloy line. The upgrade uses advanced casting and homogenising technology from Wagstaff and Hertwich, cementing the...
📺 BULLS TOOK CONTROL: HERE’S THE LEVEL THAT MATTERS Active bulls regained control after $SPY held the $687 level and followed through on Friday’s strength. Small caps $IWM and mid caps $MDY continue to lead, while $QQQ works back into key...

Crisil’s latest report finds that broking firms with diversified revenue streams have weathered recent regulatory curbs and the budget‑proposed securities transaction tax (STT) hike better than pure‑play transaction brokers. An analysis of 25 firms across FY25 and H1 FY26 shows...

Regular readers know we at @Opinion had flagged BP had far more debt than the company's prefered metric (~$22 bn). Look at net debt + hybrids + leases + off-balance sheet items and it's >$50 bn. Now, BP acknowledges the issue...
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co (TSMC) approved a US$44.96 billion capital budget to expand advanced, mature and specialty technology capacity, upgrade packaging, and build new fabs. The plan includes upgrading its Kumamoto plant to 3‑nanometer production to meet surging AI demand. The...

Per‑Olof Nilsson, co‑founder of PriorNilsson Fonder, has resumed his role as lead portfolio manager of the low‑risk hedge fund PriorNilsson Yield, a position he held from the fund’s launch in 2002 until August 2025. The transition does not alter the...
Bombay Stock Exchange posted a stellar Q3 FY26, with profit after tax soaring 173% YoY to ₹600 crore, propelled by a 119% jump in options average daily turnover. Infrastructure expansion continues, with 500 colocation racks already live and an additional 80...

Indonesia, home to one of the world’s largest unbanked populations, is accelerating digital finance to boost inclusion. The Financial Services Authority outlined three policy priorities—sector resilience, a contributive ecosystem, and sustainable finance—to guide the effort. PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (BRI)...
Taiwan’s Ministry of Economic Affairs has earmarked NT$30 billion (about US$950 million) to help the island’s auto and parts sector absorb shocks from pending U.S. tariff changes under a new Taiwan‑U.S. trade pact. Officials estimate the tariff impact could shave more than...

The episode reviews the S&P 500’s pause just short of record highs as investors await upcoming U.S. economic data, starting with retail sales. It highlights that technology stocks led the recent rally, buoyed by AI news from OpenAI, and that...

"It is deja vu all over again." Yogi Berra The US stock market is doing fine, but the rest of the world is soaring so far in '26. This is similar to what we saw last year and is a big...

The episode examines Mexico’s Operation Swarm, focusing on the February 12 arrests of more than a dozen officials from the tourist town of Tequila, including its mayor, for colluding with organized crime. It explains how the operation, championed by President‑elect...

In December 2025 the United States and the Democratic Republic of Congo signed a strategic partnership that gives Washington preferential access to Congolese mineral deposits. The article argues that the next step is building logistics corridors, using the Lobito Corridor—linking...

Entellus Industries announced a ₹50 crore ($5.5 million) funding round led by ZeroW, adding to a prior $12 million raise from Social Capital. The capital will fund capital‑expenditure to launch sintered‑alloy production, targeting high‑stress automotive components such as engines and transmissions. The company...

Fractal Analytics and Aye Finance saw muted demand on day two of their IPOs, with overall subscription rates of just 0.20 times and 0.16 times respectively. Fractal trimmed its offering from the originally planned ₹4,900 crore to about ₹2,834 crore, pricing shares between ₹857...

Axis Securities maintains a Hold rating on Jyothy Labs, setting a target price of ₹270 against a current market price of ₹249.85. The company posted a 5% revenue increase to ₹740 crore in Q3FY26, supported by 7.2% volume growth and strong...

The Dollar versus EM today is down to a new low, which is below its level 2 weeks ago at the height of Greenland headlines. It's the Dollar versus EM you want to watch for future direction. The signal it's...
Adding Some QQQ to My SPY Short @TheStreetPro I just shorted (QQQ) (to add to my (SPY) short earlier this morning): * QQQ $615.74 By Doug Kass Feb 10, 2026 9:26 AM EST

All trade estimates for USDA's supply & demand report due Tuesday at 11 am CT. On average, analysts don't expect major changes to U.S. and world stocks, though Brazil's corn and soybean crops could increase. U.S. demand will also be...

$TLT : The Average True Range (orange) is now the lowest in over 15 years. Something has to give. Might the plummeting @truflation readings be a clue to which direction a breakout might occur? https://t.co/0pEENxYpXs

IG credit spreads wider +4bps from late-Jan yet HY wider by only +2bps. Last two days have seen +2.5% equity upside that statistically should mean IG spreads -2bps. May be nothing, may be worries about supply. A "balanced" IG...
Chinese EV maker Nio raises US$2.6 billion bet on battery swapping Company touts 100 million swaps, but fast-charging batteries are eating into the technology’s speed advantage, analyst says https://t.co/5WP0l9ZSXA via @scmpnews
"The US stock market, while it looks strong, is actually much weaker than almost any other industrialized country.... So while we're doing well… everyone else is doing even better." https://t.co/7KavXe5LXh
Soft retail sales, ECI flat for quarter and ADP jobs figures on the low end of expectations. Good data for the bond market, but that 15% GDP growth rate looks out of reach.

December retail sales 0% vs. +0.4% est. & +0.6% prior; control group -0.1% vs. +0.2% prior (rev down from +0.4%); ex-autos 0% vs. +0.4% prior (rev down from +0.5%) https://t.co/BbJwHL35ne
US December Retail Sales comes in flat vs expected 0.4% - previously 0.6% m/m Core retail sales also flat vs expected 0.3% - previously 0.4% m/m
SMIC Earnings Top Expectations on Strong Chip Demand, Outlook Cautious Question no one asks: Wouldn't it have been good to have SMIC as cutting edge node producer given where demand is? https://t.co/BlRZpOYkmc

Greenback Consolidates after Yesterday's Shellacking: After yesterday’s sharp losses, the US dollar is mostly consolidating with a firmer bias against the G10 currencies. The yen is the exception. The unexpected post-election gains have been extended… https://t.co/s4awtQJ5o7 https://t.co/Xlf89Ydd1E

January @NFIB Small Business Optimism Index down to 99.3 vs. 99.8 est. & 99.5 prior … net % of respondents expecting a better economy ticked down to 21%; percentage saying it’s a good time to expand rose to 15%; uncertainty...

U.S. large caps dominated inflows last week, followed by global equities and consumer cyclicals ... high yield bonds saw most outflows, but broader fixed income universe was still positive @DataArbor https://t.co/l0soXmQF4S
Gold is back above $5,000. The rise in gold is one manifestation of the debasement trade, which is about markets seeking safe havens from debt monetization. Big thanks to @DavidWestin from @BloombergTV for all the right questions and a great...

Consumers still showing concerns over labor market, with average of nearly 42% expecting higher unemployment in next year per January @NewYorkFed survey https://t.co/ykN7Bdc2C0

Quarter-to-date, Energy sector is outpacing S&P 500 by nearly 19 percentage points … best since first quarter of 2022 and one of best performance spreads (as of now) since 2000 [Past performance is no guarantee of future results] https://t.co/1vvb9Qf0Mh

How is this a healthy development? At least SIX big companies (liabilities >=$50M) have filed for bankruptcy EVERY WEEK during 3-wk period that began Jan 10, a level matched a handful of times since the turn of the century…last week alone...

Per @NewYorkFed survey, as of January, consumers’ median 1y inflation expectations moved down to 3.09% https://t.co/y6Jab93CyT

$SPX futures +10 after Friday’s action put active bulls back in control and yesterday’s dip was bought off 6902—7002 remains the ATH pivot into Wednesday’s jobs report. https://t.co/bUhLX4Ywid
#Alphabet sterling bond raises a record £4.5 bn, with £24 bn in bids. They may start borrowing on behalf of Bessent if it continues like this $GOOG
Application software vendors are struggling and providing weak guidance, quality infrastructure software firms' revenue is accelerating. Infrastructure software vendors are attractively valued now and their stocks appear poised for a multi-month rally.

Vanguard has already taken in $70b in ETF flows to start year, that's nearly $3b a day and more than all but 3 issuers took in last year. If VOO alone were an issuer it would be in 3rd place...

The greenback is a little firmer against the G10 currencies but the yen as it consolidates yesterday's sharp losses. JGB yields are softer. Meanwhile this could be only the 2nd session since mid-Jan that the US 10-year yield...

Share of households expecting to be in a worse financial situation a year from now ticked up in January and has been elevated over past year per @NewYorkFed https://t.co/fGqXylhwzD
Tuesday: Equity futures slightly higher, dollar weaker and treasury yields nearly unchanged. Retail sales, Employment Cost Index and Import prices out today.
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