Elite Managers Win by Mastering the Basics
Want to be in the top 0.1% of managers? Forget the fancy frameworks and overpriced seminars. The secret sauce of high-performing managers lies in their obsession with the basics. Nail them and your team will be on a whole other level. Here are 3 things elite managers only care about
Prediction Markets Prioritize Fees Over Trading Efficiency
"But the biggest prediction markets today are not primarily built around trading efficiency. Kalshi, for example, operates more like a square sportsbook than a sharp sportsbook. Its model is built around bringing in price-insensitive takers and letting market makers trade...
Brazil's Real Yields Match Hypothetical 12% US Rates
Wow I wasn't aware just how positive Brazilian real rates were. This would be like if U.S. interest rates at 12%... https://t.co/M9wTdfi05a
Supply‑driven Market Renders Rate Hikes Ineffective, Boosting Hard Assets
Rates down. Dollar down. Commodities and Latam stocks surging. A reminder: This is a supply-driven market — hiking rates won’t solve the problem. If anything, a higher cost of debt only worsens it by tightening access to capital. And to be fair: The US...
Event‑betting Could Earn $10 B Annually From $1.1 T Market
"The bank's analysts say that would translate into around $10 billion in annualized revenue for event-betting companies, assuming an average fee of about 1%." Bank of America Sees a $1.1 Trillion Market for Sports Event Betting in US https://t.co/F68zNFeBVY
Iran Ceasefire Sends Prediction Markets Into Turmoil
"contract resolved to "yes" following Tuesday evening's announcements, but its outcome has since been changed to "disputed" given continued disruptions to Hormuz Strait shipments and enduring hostilities" Iran Ceasefire Wreaks Havoc on Prediction Markets https://t.co/uv56XlWTW9
France's $15B Gold Pull Signals Global Reserve Shift
My remarks w/ @DailyCaller on the French withdrawing $15B in gold from the US: “The risk of having foreign reserve assets frozen in the US came up when the US & its allies froze Russian central bank assets in Feb. 2022.” I anticipate...
True AI Transformation Reshapes Competition, Not Just Automation
Many execs claim digital transformation when they've only automated tasks with AI. Transformation is when AI changes how you compete and deliver value. #AI #CIO https://t.co/vUAeACa9wo
Prediction Market ETFs Could Become Viable Investment Tools
"On this episode of Trillions, Eric Balchunas and Joel Weber interview Matt Hougan, chief investment officer of Bitwise and one of those filers, about why prediction market ETFs might make sense" Prediction Markets May Be Coming for ETFs https://t.co/hRoSJZ6Jb2
When Debt Outpaces Income, Fiat Currency Weakens
Throughout history, all fiat currencies eventually face the same pressures. When debt grows faster than income and money needs to be created to fill the gap, the value of that money changes. This isn’t a prediction—it’s a pattern that has repeated...
Trump and Netanyahu Cede Hormuz, Making Iran Toll Road
Trump and Netanyahu have handed Iran the strategic high ground –– the control of the Strait of Hormuz. As I told @SeanPmathews: “The Strait of Hormuz was a freeway. Now it’s an Iranian toll road.” https://t.co/dGLBi5V6KE
Nebraska Leads Big Ten in Early Women's Flag Football Push
This, via @KyleRowland, is a smart look at the Big Ten's potential ambitions in women's flag football, and why Nebraska decided to jump out ahead of all the other P4 programs and get their team started NOW: https://t.co/c02R4wdaaw
All Parties Face Multiple Red Lines in Conflict
A lot of red lines for all sides involved... Geopolitical Guy | Substack Source: www.graphicnews.com
Data‑Backed Traits of Sites Thriving After Google’s Traffic Shift
New Post: Google decimated traffic to legions of websites. But traffic to other websites rose What makes the winners different? To quantify it, I analyzed 400+ sites, and the answers became obvious 5 Data-Backed Features Of Websites Winning Google in 2026 (1/2) https://t.co/kFpQIWh8yB
Show Up Daily: Consistency Beats Quality
Counterintuitive content truth: consistency beats quality in the short run. A good post published daily outperforms a great post published whenever you feel ready. Algorithms reward frequency. Audiences reward familiarity. You don't need to go viral. You need to show up.
Scheduling Posts Won’t Damage Instagram Reach, Says Mosseri
Adam Mosseri confirmed what I have been telling you for YEARS... scheduling your content does not hurt your reach on Instagram. 👏
10‑Year Yield Above 4.4% Proves Unmanageable
Well that is a problem given that in the last couple weeks, the MOVE Volatility Index and US policymakers’ actions (TACO’d every single time 10y hit 4.4%) empirically showed that the US & world cannot handle >4.4% on the 10y. #YouDownWithYCCYeahYouKnowMe
Warner Revives TNT Boxing with Monthly DAZN Partnership
HBO got out of the TV-boxing arena in 2018, but Warner Bros. Discovery is putting TNT back into the ring with a monthly boxing showcase under a new partnership with DAZN https://t.co/TelewKL1dV via @variety
Top Ten Women's Volleyball Budgets Revealed for FY25
Here were the top ten WVB OPERATING BUDGETS (non-NIL) from FY25 (the 2024 season), according to the zillions of FOIAs we filed. https://t.co/NoSQmmfBoW The full data, and context, can be found here: https://t.co/k2fPbxTZE7
Automation Frees Us to Pursue New Callings
Two centuries ago, 80% of us worked on a farm. Today, 2%. We didn't become obsolete- we found other callings. @Alfred_Lin brings that long view to Physical AI in Episode 2 of Deployed. The question isn't whether automation replaces tasks. It's...
Choose Training Tools by Need, Not AI Hype
8 training platforms. All claiming AI. All solving different problems. TalentLMS for SMBs. 360Learning for peer-driven orgs. Cornerstone for succession planning. They are not interchangeable. The best one matches your actual problem, not the best AI story.
NFL Defends Free‑TV Model Amid Antitrust Probe
NFL statement on WSJ report that DOJ is investigating antitrust: “The NFL’s media distribution model is the most fan and broadcaster-friendly in the entire sports and entertainment industry. With over 87% of our games on free, broadcast television, including 100% of...
Design Products for Agents First, Not as Afterthought
Are you building your product expecting agents to be a primary consumer? Or an afterthought? Good @posthog piece on agent-first product engineering, including some super-solid tips on the right way to build agent skills. https://t.co/sjAGUMtJIq https://t.co/xoEyWtH2QF
Amazon Prime Video Joins Elite Masters Broadcast Partners
We’re about an hour away from Amazon Prime Video’s debut as a live Masters broadcast partner. Amazon is just the fourth media partner ever in the Masters’ history. https://t.co/qUkOz2jivs
Iranian Traders Swap Gold for Bonds Amid War
This is a really fantastic overview of what's been going on in Iranian financial markets over the last year. Turns out, since the start of this war, Iranian retail traders have been rotating out of precious metals and into fixed income...
Claude's ROI Forces Me to Demand Lower Vendor Prices
The ROI I get from Claude has broken my brain on all vendor renewals “You want me to pay 2x what we pay for Claude for your little workflow tool?” I have never pushed harder on pricing and threatening to churn in...
Link Every Post to a Launch, End Randomness
The fastest way to stop “random posting” as a solopreneur is to tie every piece of content to a specific launch. My simple Launch Content OS: - Pick 1 offer + 1 date - Map 3 buyer questions - Turn each into: a story,...
Leagues Likely Breaching Antitrust Laws Amid DOJ Scrutiny
Here's a piece I wrote nearly a year ago on whether the leagues are violating antitrust laws, relevant with today's DOJ/NFL news. https://t.co/GKjPihAKVC
Inflation Data Finally Shows Real Prices, Says MrMBrown
@MrMBrown channeling his inner nerd on ONS inflation data, which should now reflect real prices 😂https://t.co/Wm7iIl1SE8
True Optimism Means Conviction, Not False Hope
3 beliefs while facing uncertainty: #1. You’re going to be a better leader when this is over. #2. False hope is destructive. Never lie to yourself or others. #3. Optimism is the conviction that you will prevail, not that the path forward is...
When CEOs Spend Millions Buying Low, They Trust Their Stock
5 signs a CEO actually believes in their own stock: 1. Open market purchase not option exercise - they chose to buy with their own cash 2. Purchase size over $1M - real money not a gesture 3. Stock is near 52-week low...
Great Managers Do These Things Average Managers Miss
Average managers vs. GOAT’d managers: I’ve watched hundreds of managers in action... Here’s what the greatest do differently: ____ 📌 PS. this post structure was inspired by Julie Zhuo’s fantastic illustration-based Medium post: ‘Average Manager vs. Great Manager’... with my own take of course. #leadership...
Customers Repeat Despite Friction: True Product-Market Fit
His customers had to click a PayPal link, swipe their card, wait for credits to run out, then do it all again. They kept coming back. That's product-market fit. https://t.co/j8KPFQI1gF
Relentless All‑
A year ago we told the company we'd become the most productive company in the world. Geoff lays out what happened. No master plan, just a relentless push to get every single person building. Revenue growth has accelerated four quarters...
Griffin Debut Draws 260K, MLBN Out‑of‑market up 46%
MLB Network’s out-of-market telecast of Pirates SS Konnor Griffin debut Saturday averaged 260,000 viewers 🔲On par with Paul Skenes debut on MLBN (253,000 on 5/11/24) 🔲Through Sunday, @MLBNetwork out-of-market live games are +46%, led by Guardians-Dodgers (447,000) on April 1
US Market Depth Keeps Dollar King Despite Global Turmoil
I spoke to @SeanPmathews about KING DOLLAR: "Sanctions, wars, and tariffs make it easier for the dollar's challengers. But the US is the biggest, most liquid capital market in the world, bigger than all the others put together. That’s why king...
Leadership, Not AI, Will Transform Healthcare
🤔Who leads? AI Will Not Fix Health Care – Leadership Might https://t.co/t0H9pIEF8i via @medikalife @Gil_Bashe #healthcare #medicine
Simplify Potluck Planning with New Potluck Spaces App
True story. Our friends were getting ready for another potluck. The messages started flying. Who’s bringing drinks? Do we need ice? Did anyone claim dessert? Wait… how do we already have three salads? At some point, between laughing and scrolling, I realized this was ridiculous. We are experienced...
Deficit Shrinkage Far Smaller Than
In the real world, the deficit fell by $56 billion last year, less than one-tenth of what Kevin claims, but he did get the direction right this time, unlike his claims about inflation falling
Rising Bond Supply Threatens Tight Spreads, Rotate Funds
Bond issuance is surging. More supply into already tight spreads. That math doesn't work forever. When the dam breaks, you want a fund that rotates. $JOJO. https://t.co/rq34u6KTHX
Build EQ to Thrive as AI Outpaces IQ
The way to navigate a world in which AI is surpassing humans in IQ is to build our EQ. Here’s Jamie Dimon’s advice to younger workers: “Talk to everybody. Have deep curiosity about the world. Learn to think all the time, and...
Kindness at Work May Sabotage Career Advancement
Former Amazon VP Says Being Nice at Work Can Hurt Your Career https://t.co/lZSXQJoNH6 @Inc #career #employeeexperience https://t.co/6eyztzYmsA
Discord Introduces Full‑Screen Hero Ads and Instant Play Quests
Discord is working on two new ad formats. 🖥️ Hero Ads: A full-screen takeover format. 🎮 Instant Play Quests: Stream/Play within Discord.
Wisconsin Tribes Push Gov. Evers to Sign Mobile Betting Bill
Wisconsin mobile betting bill update: All of the state's gaming tribes today issued a letter asking Gov. Tony Evers to sign a bill that would allow them to offer mobile sports betting in the state; Evers has reportedly sought unanimous...
First Meeting Leads to Last‑Touch Attribution on Acquisition
I met Chad two days ago for the first time and Gruns got acquired. From a last touch perspective I have to be attributed as part of this sale.
Turkey's Central Bank Loses 128 Tons Gold Amid Lira Pressure
The latest data - out today - show gold holdings by Turkey's central bank falling a further 8 tons in the week to April 3. This brings the total drop to 128 tons since depreciation pressure on the Lira peg...
Beware the Smart Talk Trap: Action Over Empty Praise
I had a blast talking with Nick @Nick_HagueB2B on his podcast about organizational friction, leadership, assholes (of course), and "The Smart Talk Trap"--rewarding people who say smart things but don't actually do the hard work of implementing them. https://t.co/qyQEZ40gU6
10x AI Visibility Drives 50% SaaS Sign‑Ups
I helped a SaaS increase its sign-ups by 50%. How? By increasing their visibility in the AI results by 10x, and their Google search results by 354% I'm thinking about helping 2 founders do the same. Are you in? https://t.co/717oQGOuTd
AI May Replace Jobs, Shorten Workweek Simultaneously
Imagine I told you that AI was going to create a 40% unemployment rate. Sounds catastrophic. Now imagine I told you that AI was going to create a 3-day working week. Sounds wonderful. Yet to a first approximation these are the...
Brazil's High Inflation Tied to Excessive Money Growth
Brazil's inflation is 3.8%/yr. That's ABOVE its 3% inflation target. Brazil’s M4 is growing at 9.4%/yr. That is ABOVE Hanke’s Golden Growth Rate of 7.1%/yr, a rate consistent with hitting its 3%/yr inflation target. INFLATION STORY = A MONEY SUPPLY STORY. https://t.co/TFkrFL2exI