WTO Warns China's $1.2T Surplus Unsustainable, Urges Model Shift
1/2 AFP: "WTO chief Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala on Friday urged China to change its growth model, arguing that its soaring trade surplus risked sparking new trade barriers. “The $1.2 trillion trade surplus is not sustainable because the rest of the world cannot... https://t.co/fvOrE6LYBH
Speak Up: Visibility Makes Your Product Real
If nobody talks about your product… it doesn’t exist yet. Build louder. Are you building in public? Yes / No.
Strategists Misread CapEx, Overhype Free Cash Flow
I love how boomer strategists present the chart on free cash flows from the Mag 7 as rocket science. We learned on the first days at university that CapEx means less FCF in that year. Do these guys understand anything whatsoever...
Goldman Sachs Makes AI Core of Finance Operations
Goldman Sachs is embedding Anthropic’s Claude into accounting and compliance to automate high volume, rules based back office work. After six months of co building, executives were surprised that AI handled complex financial processes, not just coding tasks. The ambition is clear,...
BOE Holds Rate Decision Pending Crucial UK Inflation Data
BOE on knife edge over interest rates awaits pivotal UK inflation data https://t.co/xROceOBQ9W via @PhilAldrick @CraigStirling https://t.co/H5s8yIIXBQ
AI‑Driven Reskilling Needed to Meet Energy Workforce Gap
The global energy transition won’t scale without people. Newly qualified energy workers aren’t keeping pace with demand, and without a ~40% increase in trained entrants by 2030, the skills gap will widen fast. This is where #AI, digital skills, and reskilling become...
New CEO Drives 34.5% Revenue Surge at Casio
New post just published: on Casio (6952 JP) - New CEO Shin Takano has revamped the organization - Latest quarter timepieces revenues +34.5% YoY - EV/Sales of 1.0x https://t.co/iB9kX6Gzcb
Rebuild, Learn, Automate: Speed Up Your Impact
I spent an entire day getting my website rebuilt from scratch so I can get off Webflow to move 10x faster with 100x impact. My goal is to build Theanna as a machine and in order to do that I...
Automation Shifts Jobs to Higher‑Level Human Oversight
The future of work will look something like what Boris is describing. Anthropic is hiring engineers because people who know what they’re doing still have to tell the agents what to do, review their work, and integrate that work into...
Bet Big on Your Six Best Ideas
David Poppe on capital allocation "You will make more money from your six best ideas in life than from everything else you do. When you find that great idea, you want to buy it in size."
Disrupting Incumbents Is Harder than Hype Suggests
There is an instinct among early stage investors to talk their book like all the big tech incumbents are about to be slayed by an army of $1m ARR startups. Founders, you are smart enough to know this isn’t...
China's Foreign Exchange Reserves: Key Trends Unveiled
Deep dive into Chinese Foreign Exchange Reserves in today's version of the Chartbook Top Links. https://t.co/Yc09wNGpPK
A Launch Plan Transforms Guesswork Into a Proven Playbook
Launching a product without a plan is just posting and hoping. This Skill builds the full playbook. https://t.co/juAq4qxygY
Redefining CIO: Embrace AI Leadership Structures
Thinking about a CAIO? Or evolving the CIO role instead? I explore what uplifting AI leadership should look like - and what structures actually work. #CIO #CEO #AI https://t.co/3nnLLxqhZt
Invest $1 in UX, Reap $100 ROI
Every $1 invested in UX returns $100. That's a 9,900% ROI. There is no other investment in business with that return profile. None.
LPs Vet Stanford SPV Leader on Massive Anthropic Deal
OH in Palo Alto: LPs are REFCHECKING a Stanford SPV leader who is MOGGING Tier 1’s and FEEMAXXING at 3/30 on 9-figure DIRECT Anthropic allocations
Buffett’s Japanese Bond Move: Short Yen, Long Equities
The best macro trade of the past 5 years was Warren buffet’s Japanese bond issuance imo. Got him short the currency, short rates all while he was long the equities (trading houses).
Applovin Delivers Fastest, Most Adaptable DTC Support
As a person overseeing many of these tests for brands I can attest to this too. Applovin’s team have also been the quickest, most nimble at adapting to what DTC is requesting of them. Their teams go above and beyond over...
RUB Strengthens as Oil Stabilizes, Gold Surges
Macro: MOEX flat as oil steadies and gold spikes; RUB strengthens (USD/RUB 76.65). Key drivers: commodity moves, stable RVI (24.9). Risks: commodity volatility, sanctions. Trade: buy selective energy exporters on RUB resilience. — Viktor Kopylov, PhD, CFA More insights: t.me/si14Kopylov
AI Wins by Experience, Not Just Vertical Integration
The vertical integration of intelligence is non-negotiable. Control your platforms, models, chips, and data centers or watch providers do to you what you're trying to do to them. Microsoft AI is all-in on this. But they're caught in a bind: vertical...
Russia's Inflation Spike Tied to Excess Money Supply
Russia’s inflation comes in at 6.0%/yr in January. That's ABOVE RU's 4%/yr target. RU's M2 money supply is growing at 10.6%/yr, ABOVE Hanke's Golden Growth Rate of 8.4%/yr, a rate consistent with hitting its inflation target of 4%/yr. THE INFLATION STORY =...
More Analysis, Fewer Dashboards: Solve the Real Problem
I've worked as a Sr. Director of BI and Analytics and I had to learn something the hard way. Despite what business stakeholders say, another dashboard is rarely the right answer to their needs. Why? Because what's behind the ask is a misconception...
CIOs Must Reset IT Model for Speed and Resilience
RT For CIOs in 2026, it's not "business as usual with more AI." It's a reset. You?re expected to reengineer IT?s operating model for velocity, resilience, and adaptability while still proving ROI under a microscope. #CIO #DigitalTransformation @Star_CIO https://t.co/KnnrY3Zh58
AI Success Requires Data, Change Management, Not Just Magic
Executives expecting magic wand AI outcomes without funding data quality, change management, and integration work are setting teams up to fail. You can't skip the plumbing and still expect water. #CIO #AI https://t.co/VtuS5rQ0ZG
Poor Nations Double Youth Disengagement Compared to Rich Countries
How rich-country advantages compound. More than twice the share of young people in poor countries are not in employment, education or training. This and more insights in today's Chartbook Top Links. https://t.co/pokvStfn3w
US Ramps up Pressure, Threatens Chinese Oil Imports
Maximum Pressure 2: More max, more pressure, another round of threatening Chinese sanctioned oil imports. https://t.co/UNNBJOFLTx
Venezuela Faces 651% Inflation, Cost of Living Crisis
The FT reports that the cost of living is Venezuelan's top concern. NO SURPISE. Today, I measure Venezuela’s inflation at a 651.5%/yr. Venezuela is the WORLD’S TOP INFLATOR. https://t.co/P4FBBSNdqk
Switching LLMs Wastes Time; Stick to One
I don't really understand devs who jump back and forth between LLM providers. Claude, Codex, Claude, Gemini, back to Codex, then Claude. What marginal improvement can be worth the massive context shift every single time? Pick one and build. You won't have...
USD Poised to Rise if Congress Regains Tariff Control
Wouldn’t that be something: $NVDA earnings 25th with SCOTUS decision on tariffs anytime after 20th… #IEEPA USD bullish in the short term if they hand back tariff control to Congress 🎰 $VIX
Unrealized Gains Tax Threatens New Investments Globally
Unrealized gains tax is a mega-drag on new investments. The same reason why the California Asset Seizure Tax by SEIU-UHW is going to destroy startups is happening in the Netherlands. https://t.co/jMgP3ieI2G
Avoid These 7 Fatal Ops Mistakes to Save Your Business
7 operational mistakes that almost killed my business (and will kill yours if you don’t catch them early) 1. Working with the cheapest partners 2. Not checking supplier invoices at scale 3. No naming conventions on ads or creatives 4. Not understanding China...
Human Expertise Still Outperforms AI in Ad Creation
There is still a net benefit to having someone with an intricate knowledge of the creative and ad buying processes that AI can’t automate.
Burn Rate Equals Risk; VC Burn Rates at Historic Highs
Burn rate = risk. So of course, this is true. These are the highest burn rates in history of VC. Simple fact. https://t.co/IrsIBd0qDC
Decision Provenance and Observability Essential Before Production
If you can't trace what data, tools, and rules led to an agent's decision, you're not ready for production. Decision provenance and observability are critical release criteria. #Observability #AI #DevOps https://t.co/1tg10UmJNv
Cognitive Warfare Already Undermining Western Alliances and Institutions
Cognitive warfare isn’t coming—it’s here. Some Western political leaders are being used to weaken alliances, disrupt decision-making, and fragment institutions. Swipe to see the key predictions, and visit davidmurrin.co.uk for the full analysis. #Geopolitics #NationalSecurity #Russia #China #Strategy
Gift High‑basis Assets Now, Transfer Low‑basis at Death
I can think of half a dozen reasons why it is NOT a mistake to gift a house to a child before passing. Why? Because these decisions are fact and portfolio dependent, and always/never advice is rarely reliable when it...
AI Adoption Will Drive Multi‑Billion Dollar Subscription and Corporate Spend
AI market/TAM in midterm 1. Most employees will have a free LLM on their desktop; we are moving top team memebrs to two daisy chained Mac studios ($25k total) — easy investment 2. All major models will free for...
Iran's Inflation Hits 81.5%, World's Second Highest
#IranWatch🇮🇷: Today, I measure Iran’s inflation at a PUNISHING 81.5%/yr. That's the world's SECOND HIGHEST INFLATION RATE. I remain the only reliable source of inflationary measures in Iran. https://t.co/HcSee4i4O2
Curated Tech Stack Powers Modern Venture Firms
Optimal venture firm tech stack: -Fund Admin: @hanoverpark -Bank/Cards: @FlexSuperApp -CRM: @NotionHQ -Sales tax for port co’s: @numeral -Ski passes: @VailResorts -Travel: @NetJets / @FourSeasons -Everything else: @claudeai
REITs Hit Decade‑Low Valuations: Rare Investor Opportunity
REITs are currently trading at their lowest valuations in decades. The vast majority of investors are not positioned to take advantage of this historic opportunity. 🧵Here's a 'Mini Masterclass' on how to take advantage:
US Job Market Cooler than Washington’s Hype
Don't let first appearances fool you. The US job market is NOT as hot as the Spinmeisters in Washington DC crack it up to be. https://t.co/lKCBOl0rdi
Buy Manappuram on Pullbacks Amid RBI
Macro: PE flows target Indian NBFCs. RBI cleared Bain's up to 41.7% in Manappuram; ₹43.85bn injected. Risk: regulatory scrutiny. Trading insight: buy Manappuram on pullbacks. — Viktor Kopylov, PhD, CFA More insights: t.me/si14Kopylov
AI Threatens White‑Collar Jobs—Upskill Now
Microsoft’s AI chief says AI will automate most white-collar work in 18 months. He claims AI will handle law, accounting, marketing, and coding at human level. Yet reports show only small productivity gains, and one study found developers took 20% longer with...
Value Tilt Gains as Momentum Spread Widens 16%
Classic monotonic pattern. When you see this pattern you know with a higher degree of certainty that it is one of THE drivers of how investors are positioning their portfolios. We’ve been recommending a value tilt since last fall, as...
Key Signals Founders Need Before Raising Next Round
$40M raised. Series A ready. Episode 232 dives into the real signals founders should look for before raising more capital 👇 https://t.co/0CcjGEIVb9 #SaaS #AI https://t.co/S1vxKwuxiB
ISL Replaces ETL: Intelligence Beats Raw Data Ingestion
Ingest Structure Learn (ISL) is the new ETL. It used to be the case that a company would try to license this kind of data as an “edge”. I’ve seen many companies in SV try to make this claim. That...
EU Boosts Chinese Imports as Trump Tariffs Bite
During 2025, Chinese exports to the EU jumped by 6.3%. TRUMP'S TARIFFS = EU PIVOTS TOWARDS CHINA. https://t.co/tkz6F9xAsN
Stocks Are only Cheap During Economic or Business Crises
There are really only two times when stocks become "cheap": collectively, - usually when the health of the economy is in question, - and, more narrowly, when the viability of a business or its industry is in question. You...
Bank CEOs Earn $41M, Dwarfed by Tech Wealth
"Six Wall Street bank chiefs bring in combined pay of $250mn in 2025" On the one hand this is shocking. On the other hand $41m each pa is a marker of quite how far banks have been eclipsed by private...
Energy Leads US Sector Gains; Financials Fall
🇺🇸 US Sector Performance in 2026 📈 $XLE Energy up 22% $XLB Basic Materials up 18% $XLP Consumer Defensive up 16% $XLI industrials up 12.8% $XLU Utilities up 9% $XLRE Real Estate up 8% $XLV Healthcare up 2% $XLY Consumer Retail -2% $XLK Technology -2.5% $XLF Financials -5%