1/4 As this WSJ article points out, countries are keeping their exports competitive in the face of US tariffs by increasingly subsidizing them, with the subsidies ultimately being paid for in the form of suppressed consumption. https://t.co/phOREv8G8z
🔴This is one of the WORST starts for the S&P 500 to the year in HISTORY: S&P 500 is lagging the rest of the world equities by 8 percentage points, the worst start to a year in at least 17 years. The...

PM Takaichi sticks with Japan's one-sided trade agreement with the US. India’s PM Modi has wisely not signed a trade agreement with Uncle Sam. INDIA LEAVES JAPAN IN THE DUST. https://t.co/aWVetL1q0z
1/7 Reuters: "China's biggest solar firms shed nearly one-third of their workforces last year, company filings show, as one of the industries hand-picked by Beijing to drive economic growth grapples with falling prices and steep losses." https://t.co/BDS9UWJaXO
Ticketmaster - LiveNation has got to be the leading candidate for a return of the Standard Oil style breakup (i.e., the dissolution of an anticompetitive merger)
I keep seeing this take and I just don’t think any serious business will waste time and resources on vibe coding internal tools to replace SaaS subscriptions. Some might give it a go and it makes a good headline for...
Good PIIE paper by Tamim Bayoumi and Joseph E. Gagnon on the consequences of accelerating trade imbalances. They warn that trade tensions are likely to get worse, something I have been saying for years and continue to say. I don't...

#IndiaWatch 🇮🇳: At the margin, the world is making a Pivot away towards India. TRUMP’S TARIFFS = MAKING LOTS OF US ENEMIES. https://t.co/3H8maAoa62
I talked with one entrepreneur today that is building a prediction market. Crowds of humans are still better but AI is improving at a fast rate. Here is a prediction market for your Claws. Worth checking out. Not compensated by them.

Many leaders chase more. I choose better. I thought growth meant more more meetings, more projects, more noise. It looked productive. It wasn’t. When everything matters, nothing does. Results improve when you remove what doesn’t move them. My rule: • Fewer priorities • Fewer meetings • Fewer distractions • Higher standards Simplicity...
Leaders have to take care of their teams, appease their bosses, and still have something left for themselves at the end of the day. In this particular economic, social, and political climate, a lot of corporate leaders are struggling to...

Why is the Blue Owl Tech BDC's NAV going UP when private credit sentiment is so bad? While it is primarily a private credit fund, the BDC does have a small equity portfolio, which mostly consists of a large chunk of...
A little more complicated -- China consistently buys more fx when the CNY is appreciating (whether for structural or cyclical reasons). Exports start converting, and controlling the pace of appreciation takes intervention. Subtle point, but clear in the data
The software industry's payroll has been flat since ChatGPT launched. The AI productivity boom may be eliminating the workers who created it first. 🔒 Members-Only https://t.co/xRx5vLZILo
I've been a bit quiet on here for a while. I'm still busy over at @smartkarma. Over the weekend I published two pieces on TICO (Toyota Industries Co (6201 JP)) which is currently undergoing a Tender Offer by Toyota Asset...
A Mexican civil war would be far more catastrophic to American supply chains than tariffs - Michael Vincent
Additional Major Earnings News to Track on February 24, 2026: 4. Tan Sri Dr Mohd Daud Bakar charged with unlicensed securities dealing The renowned Islamic finance expert is accused of unlicensed dealing activities. 5. United Plantations posts best results in 120 years FY2025 earnings...
The probability weighted average of both @jasonfurman and the survey average is 2.3%*, i.e. solid breakout. That's bullish; CBO is at 1.8%. *(Assumes 5% for the >4% phase transition scenario. I figure probabilities of higher figures quickly fall to...

“The best way out is always through.” In strategy and leadership, avoidance masquerades as sophistication. We reframe, defer, reorganise—anything to bypass the hard conversation, the failing unit, the flawed assumption. But complexity rarely dissolves when ignored. It compounds. The issues we...
Yikes. If this is true, then it’s both pretty ingenious and supremely negligent. I wonder what percentage of users have done a code audit of Openclaw. And what other fun ToS-voiding surprises lurk in there.

Japan’s big bet on the U.S. housing market got even bigger today Japanese builders are rapidly acquiring U.S. homebuilders—now Daiwa House is buying United Homes That's just 10 days after Japan-based Sumitomo Forestry said it's buying Tri Point Homes https://t.co/UnPOshRdS1

Today, Trump issued a statement on Truth Social saying "any country that wants to play games with the ridiculous Supreme Court decision... will be met with a much higher tariff." THE TARIFF MAN HAS LOST IT. https://t.co/AA365cmzVQ
Ive been telling CIOs that a lot of what AI is doing in their organization is reshaping its business. Its not really transforming yet. #AI #CIO #DigitalTransformation #CXOTalk https://t.co/xTvbca0YxB

Trump's 10% global tariff was formalized in a proclamation from Friday and goes into effect at midnight tonight. He later said he would raise it to 15% but with three hours to go, is yet to do anything formal to...
“The companies that were 200 people and probably should have been 120? They want to be 80 now. AI has given every CEO permission to finally right-size in ways they were afraid to before.” This is the new reality. For...
You think doing everything yourself = control. But it actually equals mistakes, delays, and a client experience that is either sloppy , leaves you exhausted or both . You’re losing time, money, and sanity. An OBM who’s in your corner...
Major Earnings News to Track on February 24, 2026 (Day 8 of Chinese New Year): 1. Petronas Dagangan Fiscal Performance 2. IOI Corp Quarterly Earnings Outlook 3. Construction Action Plan 2026-2030 Launch 🧵⬇️

Section 122 tariffs now being collected at 10%, not Trump's weekend 15%. Clearly, a well-oiled tariff machine here. 🤷🤷 https://t.co/5MjbcrZuXD https://t.co/jb72H2AZQ8

Me, in the Financial Times -- On the surge in China's intervention, and the impossibility of diversifying away from dollar assets/ Treasuries when the state banks are buying $100b a month in FX 1/ https://t.co/Pc78czuld9

After financial commitments fell through, the German government pours €1.3 BILLION into Salzgitter’s green steel project. GERMANY'S GREEN SECULAR RELIGION = KILLING THE GERMAN ECONOMY. https://t.co/gmESJ38qxH
Interesting on many levels. Bessent is much more of a trader (and yet also much more political) than most Treasury secretaries ... https://t.co/7m06uOU5eQ

New randomized experiment shows AI narrows skill gaps. We found this among talent levels at the same job, but this paper looks at education. They find that AI reduces the gap between more & less educated people on a business...
This is probably where the focus of a lot of efforts needs to go, as much as it might seem small-bore / Clintonian Appetite for tax increases very low. Appetite for spending changes (up or down) also not high. Improving govt...
I just hope if we really do end up back at ZIRP that we don’t debate the Fed buying gold or ETF’s, that was bad discourse.
A client showed me her previous advisor's quarterly report. 47 trades in three months. She thought that meant he was working hard for her. When I looked at her actual returns over 5 years, something didn't add up.
If you want to sell or license, or scale your brand someday, you can’t be the one holding it together today. 🫢 You need to build a business that delivers consistent quality, with or without you in the room. That requires repeatable...

Recently, my Communication in Organizations class at RWU heard from Theresa Matos Agonia, Chief of Staff at Big Brothers Big Sisters of America. Two insights stood out: Internal stakeholders are the most important public. They must be intentionally prioritized. She also says leadership...

2025 delivered the weakest U.S. job growth of any non-recession year in decades. The US job market is NOT as hot as the spinmeister in chief Washington DC cracks it up to be. https://t.co/8bDuyzl0yp
“Work-life balance” is a corporate narrative designed to dehumanize you. It frames your existence as equal to your output. Your worth as equal to your productivity. Your life as something that must be “balanced” against work.
Trump tariff vendetta picking up. Will all this go to the courts? Supply chain uncertainty.
“You’re about to have 100x more competitors because of AI” People cloned my app even when there was no AI. Half-assed attempts by non-serious people trying to make a quick buck, that then faded into obscurity. I imagine vibe-coded competitors to...
SaaS will evolve to mean Skills as a Service. Selling the outcomes and results of a product. Cheaper and faster. It'll look archaic that we used to give people software that took days to setup and hopefully get results.
If everyone has the same AI, AI isn’t the advantage. Clarity is. Who are you to your customers? : #AI #Strategy #Leadership #Business #Innovation https://t.co/JZtALylZ7J
Raising private capital for your next deal is about keeping the partnership passive. If a private money lender has to chase you down for details, your chances of getting their money is slim to none.

Facilitated an AI MVP workshop and here is what we built in 30 mins 👌🏾
Microsoft's rollout of its big Xbox leadership shakeup is as messy as everything else this console generation. Is Xbox going back to its roots or is the company intent on managing the decline of the only Microsoft brand left anyone...
$AMC 10K firmly puts bankruptcy back on the table. To quote: In order to achieve net positive cash flows from operating activities, revenues will need to increase from current levels to levels at least in line with pre-COVID-19 revenues. However, there...
US House not likely to codify Trump’s 15% tariff. So the tariff will expire after 150 days. What will Trump do then? More Trump unpredictability for supply chains?

$WHR. Typical. Corporate strategy has always been Issue equity when you have to NOT when you can. Stocks down 7% on a forced issuance. $ORCL same story still dumping ATM every day https://t.co/vIGKQDwhZB

As a friend dm'd me, $SNDA just pulled the "Andrew Walker" special (big merger followed by a massive PSU grant with ambitious stock price versting targets) https://t.co/iEnOdITDX3