What’s the #1 tell that a management team doesn’t actually have command of their business? I spoke with Paul Stansik , an operating partner at ParkerGale Capital , about the relationship between boards and their portfolio companies. Paul works on scaling profitable, founder-led software companies, on all things from GTM tactics to consistent metrics reporting. Join me and a RTN veteran on Monday, as we talk about the subtle difference between showing the work and showing the impact of the work, the #1 tell that management doesn’t have command of their business, and one of Paul’s biggest frameworks - Simplifiers vs. Complicators (hint: you’ve worked with both). Listen and subscribe wherever you get your podcasts below. Apple: https://lnkd.in/eVspBr_J Spotify: https://lnkd.in/ecSZkRjB Youtube: https://lnkd.in/eaRN-6uU
I want to be crystal clear: the advice I give on LinkedIn is NOT for founders who think they're creating unicorns, decacorns, or the next Anthropic. If you believe you're building a unicorn or decacorn and you're sitting here reading...
A “pivot,” as opposed to “throwing shit at the wall,” means that you identified what parts of the strategy have been reinforced with new evidence (the foot that remains planted) and which have been invalidated, and replaced by what precisely...

Pauses aren’t pivots. Central banks are holding steady, but easing remains conditional. Inflation is cooler, labor is softer, yet not weak enough to confirm a recession. Markets are trading the transition, not the destination.
If you are interested in over 100 years of economic history and data on these geographic trends for this industry, I have some here for you: https://t.co/kayw0VoAML

As Cuba teeters on the brink of economic disaster, China promises continued support. It looks like a SHOWDOWN between the US & China might be in the cards. https://t.co/rb7Qf0CdN2
This is extremely impressive. Congrats to @prometheusmacro and the clients who are using its models If you are looking for Quant Macro That Actually Works, Aahan is your guy
"We have shown over the past couple of years that Return-on-Equity readings for companies are very high, and very supportive of equity prices as the high ROE promotes rapid growth of corporate book value, and consequently higher market valuations." -...
How much economic growth will get from AI? This is massively speculative. However, in a new piece today @ngoldschlag and myself make the case we can learn something about this from an academic economics debate about whether "ideas are getting...

Expensify paid $3M in audit fees in 2024. Insane. They had 115 employees and $140M of revenue...They are not complicated. The auditors could have literally redone the books for that much. Hope AI drives audit costs down (but not holding my breath...
Customer segmentation drives growth. Many businesses ignore it and waste budget on broad marketing. Group customers by behavior, survey feedback, and purchase history. When campaigns match each segment and product decisions follow real data, sales rise. If all customers are treated the same, how...
A friend asked me recently if he should use a hiring agency to scale his team faster. He's juggling inventory issues, trying to build out his creative systems, and hiring at the same time. Classic founder chaos. I told him “No, do...
Resilient labor. Cooling inflation. Duration rallying. Yen surging. 130K jobs. CPI at 2.4%. 10Y yields sliding. Dollar down on the week. This isn’t a clean cycle — it’s macro crosscurrents. Full breakdown: https://t.co/vNAZw80IbE
Remember, every utterance from BRICS & Global South regarding potential new system to bypass USD is to be treated as if already operational & making material difference. And every piece of evidence that USD system isnt going anywhere is to be...
The latest Private Company SaaS Benchmarks are here. How did 2025 finish? TL;DR: 1) Growth is (somewhat) re-accelerating between $5M–$50M ARR 2) Rule of 40 is sad between $5M–$25M ARR 3) NDR is making a quiet comeback For the full...
“.. we had less job growth all of last year than we had in an average month during the Biden administration.”
I genuinely don't think we understand the true implications of robot money at scale. Exciting. But also scary.

"AI literacy isn't just about using tools - it's about understanding how AI impacts decision-making, revenue, and business processes across the entire organization." #AI #OrganizationalLearning #CIO #CHRO https://t.co/unhzqol8gL https://t.co/KzFwg120A5
LPs & GPs are often having the same conversation, but not speaking the same language. In my convo w/ @chudson & @miafarnham, we talked about the LP/GP “language gap.” As Charles put it: “Once you learn to decode it, it’s actually quite...
$IMMX momentum continues >Mizuho analyst initiates $14 PT >Lily acquisition of Orna Therapeutics $2.4 billion >AbbVie acquired Capstan Therapeutics $2.1 billion CAR-T heating up >Next milestone: imminent enrollment completion >Could NXC-201 be an eventual front-line therapy for AL Amyloidosis? >BLA submission projected Q3’26 https://t.co/cPpiiFHQal

The New York Fed announced that US businesses and consumers paid NEARLY 90% of the cost of Donald Trump’s tariffs last year. TARIFFS = A SALES TAX ON AMERICANS. https://t.co/xEEfGxreUm

At scale, tax mistakes stop being mistakes. They become red flags. Here's what most brands don't realize: States aren't looking for perfection. They're looking for inconsistency. 🚩 When your collected tax doesn't match your filings 🚩 When registrations lag behind where you're actually...
Head of OpenAI 's API: "Codex is really good at reviewing code. Codex reviews all of our PRs. It makes code reviews go from a 10-15 minute task to sometimes a 2-3 minute task, because you have a bunch of...
A very positive setup for duration and UST term premium compression if rates are to stay low for a longer timeframe because of AI disruption. It will take time to play out but long end is well priced and...

Notably, market-implied FOMC cuts through 2026 have been increasing. Through February, Fed Fund futures have priced in another -14bps of cuts for the year - and now the most dovish outlook after CPI since Dec 3rd: https://t.co/NZF2YksrWV

US #CPI inflation figures came in line with expectations of a pace cooling. Headline dropped from 2.7% to 2.4% while core eased 2.6% to 2.5%. This does shift priority towards employment in the Fed's dual mandate but the jobless rate...

.@EutelsatGroup: OneWeb rev up 59.7% in 6M to Dec. 31; 600 aircraft have our connectivity hardware; hosted payloads, ground segment seen as fresh revenue sources; cancelling @Thales_Alenia_S GEO sat saves EUR 100M in capex, costs 60M in impairment charges.https://t.co/f8cngyWfes https://t.co/iWpscm5aIi
With this week's jobs revisions, my framework of a main street recession happening last spring that was papered over by large AI capex and top percentile income earners spending like mad makes more sense. And now IMO we're coming out the...
Beyond the Hype: 9 Cybersecurity Realities CIOs Must Face at RSAC 2026 #CIO #Cybersecurity #RSAC #RSAC2026 #AI https://t.co/l36K8t0RcX
“My friends tell me that I have a tendency to point out problems without offering solutions, but they never tell me what I should do about it.” Daniel Gilbert, Stumbling on Happiness https://t.co/1nPRmS83u4
The CPI data came in cooler than expected, which is always welcome. The headline is obscuring some of the underlying inflation due to the loss in data associated with the government shutdown. The overall index posted its coolest reading since...

US's CPI inflation rate comes in at 2.4%/yr in January. The US money supply (M2) has been growing BELOW Hanke's Golden Growth Rate of ~6.3%/yr, a rate consistent with hitting the Fed's 2%/yr inflation target, since April 2022. THE INFLATION STORY =...
No playbook yet for building an AI-first SaaS company — and that’s the opportunity. Episode 232 of The SaaS CFO Podcast with Ben Winter 👇 https://t.co/0CcjGEIVb9 #SaaS #AI https://t.co/62OFBrvp7A
"Build something people want." Focus on solving real problems for your customers. It's best when founders have actually lived the problem.
Going from 0-100M in 5 years used to be called hypergrowth. In the AI era, that’s SLOW. The new standard is going from 0-100M in 12 months or less. I call this WARP speed. Companies that have scaled at WARP...

Shoutout to Coach nateoats for recommending ‘The Obstacle Is The Way’ to his players. Means a lot to see these ideas being used where resilience, discipline, and teamwork matter most. Hope it helps them face adversity the right way.

Something scary for Friday the 13th. The planned 2026 CAPEX budgets for just 5 big tech firms in 2026 is larger than the average GLOBAL oil & gas capex between 2022-2025. 🤯🤯🤯🤯 https://t.co/WfwKC00YCY
Your Model is 70% There. Here's What's Missing. Most VPs of Finance I work with have a solid financial model. P&L looks good. Balance sheet ties out. Cash flow makes sense. But when the board starts asking harder questions, the model falls short. "What...

Forget Trump's AI HYPE. The S&P Index has now given up nearly all its 2026 gains. https://t.co/GAL0TbU7KG
After this week's employment & inflation data it is starting to look like the elusive soft landing may finally happen. Would be the first indisputable US post-WW II soft landing. We've had false hopes before dashed by the underlying economic dynamics &...

Yesterday, Bloomberg reported that Russia is considering a re-entry into the US dollar system. Bloomberg's report created quite a stir. RELAX, HANKE'S 95% RULE = 95% OF WHAT YOU READ IN THE PRESS IS EITHER WRONG OR IRRELEVANT. https://t.co/8E7OK7Zm1t
Should a guy lose his company because he sent flirty emails 20 years ago? Clearly no. But in the talent business, optics can matter more than reason. ⬇️⬇️ https://t.co/BOp7Xmhkrh
Spinning up just one more AI pilot without clear business problems and success measures only adds to AI debt. The hard and necessary shift is from FOMO projects to vision statements and roadmaps. #AI #CIO https://t.co/VtuS5rQ0ZG
1.5 years ago, I spent an entire month designing Theanna from idea to... design. (just design) Last night, I used Claude Code to design and implement a front end for a brand new feature, generate Linear tickets, and assigned to a...

Ever since COVID, the start of the year has seen hot inflation prints, because residual seasonality pushed up inflation in the first quarter. That isn't the case in Jan. '26 and I think that holds a warning for those forecasting...

Core CPI inflation rose during the month of January. But it fell and was relatively muted over longer periods of time--although still some concern the numbers a bit lower due to shutdown-related quirks. Annual rates: 1 month: 3.3% 6 months: 2.5% 12 months: 2.5%
it's deeply unfortunate that incentives have aligned such that all these frontier AI labs and other tech companies are way better off staying private and the general public cannot invest in them despite desperately wishing they could.
SaaS CMO: “How do we get more pipeline?” Me: “First, fix your messaging cascade.” Here’s where most teams go wrong: 1. Scattered messaging. Every channel says something different. 2. No clear core message. ICP’s pain point and your unique solution...
From now on, hype-centric splashy launches will likely be strongly uncorrelated with success. If by the time you launch you don’t have escape velocity, you will likely get Sybil attacked¹. Agents will spin up 10 competing products with your same interface. Start...

The scary part is tariffs HAVE increased inflation. The lagging and imputed portions of CPI are the only remaining sources of inflation. We may get a hit from oil some day, but inflation RATE is no longer the problem. And...