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Russia Is Becoming a Second-Rate State Under Putin, Says Eurasia Group's Ian Bremmer

Ian Bremmer of Eurasia Group warned that Russia is slipping into a second‑rate state under Putin, while the United States is abandoning its traditional role as the guarantor of collective security, free trade and democratic norms. Bremmer argued that the U.S. retreat is prompting allies to “de‑risk” rather than fully decouple, shifting supply chains and capital away from America toward Europe, China and India. At the same time, Russia’s economy and diplomatic clout have eroded dramatically due to the Ukraine war, leaving it weaker across security, economy and diplomacy. He cited vivid examples: “Russia’s dug its own grave” and highlighted China’s rapid response to fill gaps, such as a $500 million contribution to the WHO after the U.S. withdrew, and Beijing’s push to dominate weakened multilateral institutions. The trend suggests a more multipolar economic landscape but a security environment still anchored by U.S. power, forcing corporations and governments to reassess risk, diversify partners, and prepare for a world where American leadership is no longer a given.