USDCHF Comes Off the Boil, but Prior Swing Area Support Is Stalling the Fall.
The USD/CHF rally cooled after two days of war‑driven safe‑haven buying, snapping a breakout above the 50 % retracement (0.78206) and peaking near the 61.8 % level (0.78726). Momentum stalled at 0.7878, and the pair closed below the midpoint, prompting a pullback toward a swing‑area support zone between 0.7784 and 0.7793. Buyers defended this zone twice but were capped by the 0.78206 ceiling. A decisive break above 0.78208 could revive bulls, while a breach of the support may push the pair toward the 100‑ and 200‑hour moving averages around 0.775‑0.777.
Retail Money Floods Korean Funds Amid Record Market Crash
🔴THIS IS INSANE: South Korean equity funds saw $3.7 BILLION in inflows last week, bringing the year-to-date total to a record $21 BILLION. The vast majority of these flows were driven by retail investors. Meanwhile, the Korean KOSPI index has CRATERED -24% from...
Afghanistan and Pakistan Are Facing ‘Open War’. De-Escalation Is Needed
Escalating tensions between Afghanistan and Pakistan have erupted into open war, with Pakistan conducting air strikes on Kabul, Kandahar and Bagram, and the Taliban responding by targeting Pakistani military sites. The conflict follows a surge in cross‑border attacks by groups...
3 Oil & Gas Drilling Stocks Backed by Strong 2026 EPS Growth
Zacks’ latest industry overview highlights three oil‑and‑gas drilling companies—Noble Corporation, Nabors Industries and Transocean—with projected 2026 EPS growth ranging from 48.6% to 400%. Despite a bearish Zacks Industry Rank and a 74% drop in 2026 earnings estimates, the sector has...
A Year without USAID: In Kenya, the Shock Reaches Herders and Hospitals
A year after the Trump administration’s stop‑work orders halted U.S. development assistance, Kenya is feeling the loss of roughly $470 million per year that USAID had funneled into its economy, 80 % of it earmarked for health. The abrupt funding gap coincides...
Morning Market Brief
In this Morning Market Brief, Lars Fuller explains the S&P's rebound after a 2.5% drop, attributing it to U.S. actions securing oil shipments through the Strait of Hormuz, which lowered oil prices from $77 to the $74‑$75 range. He predicts...
Labor Force Trends: Per-Adult Vs. Per Capita
The piece highlights how per‑adult metrics expose demographic shifts that per‑capita figures hide, especially in housing and labor. Since the 2008 crisis, homes per adult have risen sharply as families have fewer children, while homes per capita appear flat. The...
Where OBBBA Delivers the Biggest Tax Cuts
The One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA) is projected to deliver an average $3,813 tax cut per filer in 2026, with the bulk coming from individual deductions and business provisions. County‑level analysis by the Tax Foundation shows stark geographic variation,...
CPKR EBITDA Surges
Macro: capacity leverage and RWA demand lifted CPKR Q4 EBITDA +19.5% (FY+46.7%). Key: whole‑hog optimization, low leverage. Risk: execution/export cycles. Trade: buy on pullback <$16.50. — Viktor Kopylov, PhD, CFA More insights: t.me/si14Kopylov
Never Sell: MBI Interviews Asianometry
MBI’s “Never Sell” podcast featured a conversation with Asianometry, the popular YouTube educator known for deep dives into semiconductor technology. The episode explored the entire semiconductor value chain, from design through testing, and highlighted the creator’s ability to simplify complex...
Brent Likely to Dip Toward $50 Despite Recent Surge
$50 or $100 Year-End for Brent Crude? It took an unprecedented closure of the Strait of Hormuz to push the front-month Brent crude oil future to extend 2025's high -- now what? December Brent is near $69 and will become front...
MIHAN Project Generates 1.27 Lakh Jobs, 120 Firms Invest in Nagpur Hub
Maharashtra’s Multi‑Modal International Cargo Hub and Airport (MIHAN) in Nagpur has generated 127,225 jobs, according to IT Minister Ashish Shelar. The hub has attracted investment from 120 companies, with 90 already operating in the SEZ and non‑SEZ zones. The state government...
Sanders, Khanna Introduce Wealth Tax Bill Targeting Billionaires
Senators Bernie Sanders and Rep. Ro Khanna introduced the Make Billionaires Pay Their Fair Share Act, proposing a 5 percent annual wealth tax on the 938 U.S. billionaires who hold $8.2 trillion collectively. The tax would raise about $4.4 trillion, funding $3,000 direct payments...
Earnings Summary: Highlights of Advanced Flower Capital’s Q4 FY25 Report
Advanced Flower Capital Inc. posted a modest Q4 FY25 net income of $0.9 million, or $0.04 per basic weighted‑average common share. The quarter also recorded a distributable loss of $2.8 million, or $0.12 per share, while net interest income was $5.19 million against...
Market Panic Fizzles: No Downside Follow‑Through
MARKET PANIC WITHOUT FOLLOW-THROUGH Just 24 hours ago, fear was dominating sentiment. Many commentators were predicting a market crash after $SPY opened below the key $675 level, briefly falling to around $669. However, the market quickly proved those fears wrong. Instead of...
Solar Flare: A Perfect Storm for Solar Stocks
Solar stocks rallied sharply as SolarEdge and Enphase posted strong Q4 2025 results. SolarEdge reported a 70% revenue jump, 23.3% non‑GAAP gross margin and $43.3 million free cash flow, while Enphase delivered EPS of 71 cents and a 46.1% margin. Both...
Is It Possible To Buy An Options Calendar Spread For Zero Cost?
The article explains that a zero‑cost options calendar spread is not feasible because the longer‑dated leg always carries more extrinsic value, resulting in a net debit. Using a Kimberly‑Clark put‑calendar example, the spread costs $20 (0.20 per share). Even with...
Nicolas Shamtanis and Stathis Xenos Launch Broker/Prop Firm Advisory Service Conexus IQ
Nicolas Shamtanis and Stathis Xenos have launched Conexus IQ, a boutique advisory firm aimed at CFD brokers, prop firms, and broader fintech platforms. The duo leverages nearly two decades of experience in FX, CFDs, and social‑trading to help clients navigate a...
Day 5 Iran Update: Hormuz Shut Down 94%, US May Insure Ships & Escort Through Hormuz | Rapid Read 4...
On March 4, 2026 Israel’s air campaign struck Tehran, Qom and key Iranian military sites, including the first recorded air‑to‑air kill by an F‑35 against an Iranian jet. Iran retaliated with roughly 40 ballistic missiles aimed at U.S. bases in...
Back to the Suburbs: Chicago Edition
Home prices in Chicago’s urban core have slumped, with the Loop losing nearly 40% since early 2020, while surrounding suburbs and exurbs surged 45%‑48%. The affluent North Shore suburbs posted the strongest gains, topping 60% appreciation. The urban‑exurban price gap...
Good News, Bad News, Stupid News
Barclays released a research paper flagging the risk of stranded transition assets, suggesting that wind and solar projects could lose value despite soaring oil and gas prices. The paper arrives amid heightened geopolitical tension in the Middle East, which has...
U.S.-Iran Attacks, Trump Tariffs: Where Should Investors Draw The Line?
U.S.–Iran hostilities and renewed Trump tariff threats pushed the S&P 500, Nasdaq and Dow below their 50‑day moving averages, deepening market volatility. The IBD Breakout Opportunities ETF (BOUT) gapped down, testing its 10‑week average, while individual breakout candidates like Ubiquiti, Motorola...
Why Are the US and Israel Framing the Ongoing Conflict as a Religious War?
U.S. and Israeli officials have increasingly framed the ongoing strikes against Iran in explicitly religious terms, invoking biblical prophecy and the concept of Armageddon. Civil‑rights group CAIR condemned the Pentagon’s rhetoric as dangerous and anti‑Muslim, while the Military Religious Freedom...
Intraday Dips, Not Swing Trades, Drive Current SPY Strategy
For swing traders, there's a time and place; this ain't it. If you are concerned about a rip-your-face rally on a resolution, then buy $SPY. Intraday volatility is high. Yesterday, the $IWM was up $7 from the lows but still $3...
Tech Leads Early; Jobs/Services Data Drives Volatility
March 4, 2026 📊 Insight: Jobs + services data = volatility window 8:15–10:00. Watching tech strength early with $NVDA/$MSTR bid. Services miss could pressure risk. $AVGO earnings tonight key for semis. Patience at the open — let data hit first. 0815 – ADP...
Cameco Signs $2.6B Uranium Supply Deal with India
Cameco announced a $2.6 billion agreement to supply uranium to India’s nuclear program, marking one of the largest contracts in its history. The deal, reportedly spanning several years, will deliver up to 5,000 metric tonnes of uranium to support India’s ambitious...
SLVO's Hidden Weakness Meets Its Match In KSLV
Kurv Silver Enhanced Income ETF (KSLV) employs an active, option‑based layer that captures more of silver’s upside than the covered‑call‑centric SLVO. The strategy’s unleveraged silver exposure and return‑of‑capital distributions give it a tax‑advantaged edge. The analyst upgrades KSLV to a...
Investors Sue Texas Agents over Undisclosed Stake in $850k Syndication Deal
Two Texas-licensed real‑estate agents, Christopher Aldridge and Harry Gibbs, organized an $850,000 private syndication to buy a 5.057‑acre parcel in Jarrell, Texas, while secretly holding an undisclosed interest in the land. The investors allege the agents failed to disclose the...
Fund Managers Slightly Boost Dutch Gas Positions Pre‑crisis
INVESTMENT MANAGERS purchased the equivalent of 12 terawatt-hours (TWh) of futures and options in the European benchmark Dutch TTF contract over the seven days ending on February 27. Nearly all the buying came from repurchases of previous bearish short positions....
Nifty Eyes 24,450 Support, Possible Rally to 25k
Nifty Prediction For Tomorrow 5 March 2026 By Rohit Srivastava | Indiacharts Nifty has gapped down to test a crucial long-term support trendline around the 24,450 level. A short-term relief rally is possible, which could push the index to retest the...
Free Put, Cheap Call Spread on CRWD
$CRWD "Trade Idea 2: Buy the March 6 Expiry 380/390 Call Spread ($4.80) and sell the March 6 Expiry 350 Put for free." sell to close call spread , puts expire
Oscillator Model Misses Zone, No Moves Since Buy
my $SPX $VIX oscillator model didn't manage to even get into the zone... nothing since the last buy signal... https://t.co/I6WWFOsvwS
Alibaba's Qwen Lead Resigns, Shaking Global AI Community
Alibaba’s tech lead for its Qwen open-source model is standing down, a surprise move that is rattling the global developer community and casting a shadow over the tech giant’s pivot into AI Complex factors here... https://t.co/9lYt5WXB4b
Exclusive Macro Breakdown of Today's Rally Unveiled
I just posted a detailed macro breakdown of today's rally on @SliceApp This is where I share the deeper analysis, market correlations, macro trade ideas, and lessons I don't post anywhere else Join the community 👉 https://t.co/2RO8ANwj2x https://t.co/TKe1RoxUOt
KOSPI Plunges to Its Steepest Drop Since 2008
South Korea’s KOSPI index dropped the most since the 2008 financial crisis. It’s all starting to fit together My latest at Culpium https://t.co/75TudacVv5
Large‑cap Average Outpaces S&P 500 Despite Mega‑cap Slump
Chart from Sunday's Thrasher Analytics note.... While the S&P 500 has stagnated due to the poor performance of mega caps and specifically the Mag 7, the average performance of large cap stocks has been strong and is up double that of...
Alphabet's Head‑Shoulder Pattern May Signal Bull Return
"If it is obvious, it is obviously wrong." George Granville Alphabet is creating a picture perfect head and shoulder top. Many expect this to resolve lower. What if it doesn't? If this one breaks higher, it would be a clue the...
Markets Face Redemptions, Housing Woes, and AI Optimism
Animal Spirits: A Wave of Redemptions Geopolitics vs the stock market vs AI Is inflation risk back? Is it time for a correction? The optimistic view on AI The most broken housing market in America The private credit crisis of confidence & more https://t.co/3VV58HRcdq https://t.co/V5eIvRDjMe
HBO Reached 54 Million Domestic Subscribers in 2017
Time Warner FY17 10-K: "At December 31, 2017, Home Box Office had approximately 54 million domestic subscribers, including subscribers to HBO NOW and through Home Box Office’s digital distribution partners." https://t.co/4lw2HM9qU0
Short March $MSTR Puts Prove Profitable
starting to feel a little better about being short the 3/20 $MSTR puts (sub 100). https://t.co/e2kBNgXmzp
ADP Beats Slightly, Minor Revision; Treasuries Unmoved
ADP with a slight beat along with small negative revision to previous month. Nothingburger. USTs yawn
US LNG Can't Quickly Replace Lost Qatari Cargoes
"There is little US LNG producers can do to immediately replace lost Qatari cargoes" https://t.co/ZAZe4MzpoI "American export plants are running nearly full tilt with most cargoes locked into long‑term contracts." https://t.co/3nYYZwRyaA
Mortgage Demand Jumps 11% as Rates Near Four‑year Low
Weekly #Mortgage demand surged 11% higher last week, as rates sat near 4-year low https://t.co/2HClawHnMz @MBAMortgage
Iran's Turmoil Hurts Both Sides of K‑shaped Economy
Between falling stock prices and rising gas prices, events in Iran are negatively impacting both ends of the K-Shaped Economy.
Circuit Breakers Both Cause and Signal Investor Confidence Decline
Just the usual reminder that while circuit breakers are seen as an output of falling investor confidence, they are also an input. And there, repetition matters.
Green Opening: Traders Discuss Holding and Setups
GM all, looks like we are getting a green start to the day? Will we hold? any ideas or setups you are looking at?
Asian Tech Stocks Tumble Amid US‑Iran War Risk
Asian tech stocks reel as US-Iran war threatens infrastructure and supply chains https://t.co/oxpKfheSqI via @scmpnews
Markets Wobble as Oil Spikes; US Vows Tanker Protection
For a few hours yesterday morning, markets looked very scary. Brent was going vertical, USD was rising like crazy and S&P 500 was plummeting. The US calmed things down by promising to insure and escort oil tankers, but one Iranian...
QatarEnergy Declares Force Majeure on LNG After Drone Strike
This is likely the first time QatarEnergy has ever declared force majeure on LNG shipments 🇶🇦 ⚠️ Qatar made its name as a powerhouse producer that never fails its customers Then an Iranian drone hit