Equities and Dollar Unmoved by Fast-Approaching War Deadline
Equities in Asia and Europe nudged higher and the dollar ticked up 0.1‑0.2% as markets stayed steady despite the looming two‑week cease‑fire deadline in the Middle East. President Trump’s blockade of Iranian ports remains in place, while Fed Chair nominee Warsh faces Senate hearings over potential conflicts of interest and his stance on interest rates. Inflation data across Slovenia, Canada, Poland and New Zealand showed modest easing, and U.S. retail sales surprised to the upside, led by a 15.5% jump at gas stations. Investor confidence in Germany and the euro area slipped sharply, reflecting supply‑shock concerns from the Strait of Hormuz shutdown.
Small Gap Up: Raise Stops, Hold Longs Despite Overbought
Good morning stock fans. Small gap up allows us to sell some and/or move up stops. I have moved many stops a bit higher this morning. I have not sold any shares yet in premarket. Markets...
Broadcom & Meta Extend AI Pact Into 2029 as Shares Climb to $400
Broadcom’s stock rebounded to around $400, up more than 10% in 2026, after the company extended its AI chip partnership with Meta through 2029. The deal includes co‑development of the world’s first 2nm AI accelerator and a multi‑gigawatt data‑center rollout,...
Why Conflict Makes Interest Rates More Volatile, and How Advisors Can Manage
Franklin Templeton Fixed Income portfolio manager Naveed Sunderji says recent Middle‑East conflict has reignited interest‑rate volatility in Canada, pushing market expectations for Bank of Canada hikes higher. The shift follows a March peak where investors priced three 25‑basis‑point hikes in...
Three Deferral Likely Applies Starting in 2026
The IRS has introduced a Section 1062 four‑installment, three‑year deferral for gains on qualifying farmland sales, but it only applies to transactions occurring after July 4, 2025 and to taxable years that begin after that date. Consequently, taxpayers filing a calendar year 2025...
Catalyst Watch
Bank executives across the major U.S. lenders delivered uniformly upbeat commentary this week, asserting that the broader economy remains resilient despite lingering geopolitical risks. JPMorgan’s chief financial officer Jeremy Barnum emphasized strong consumer credit growth and solid balance‑sheet health. The...
Small‑Cap Value Is Cheap—VIOV Offers Low‑Cost Long‑Term Bet
Small-cap value stocks look cheap. The VIOV ETF is a low-cost way to bet on their comeback, focusing on profitable small companies. Long-term play. Investing
TMTB Morning Wrap
Amazon announced an additional $5 billion investment in Anthropic, with an option to add up to $20 billion, bringing its total commitment to $13 billion. The deal grants Anthropic access to as much as 5 GW of current and next‑generation Trainium AI chips, and...
NASDAQ's 13-Day Streak Ends, Still Bullish Outlook
"Although NASDAQ’s daily winning streak has come to an end at 13, its outlook for the next month remains positive." -Jeff Hirsch
US‑Canada Crude Surplus Could Drive Prices Toward $40
Lower Prices May Be Top Cure for US+Canada Surplus The recent WTI crude oil surge may add fuel to an incomplete low-price-cure cycle toward $40 a barrel. My graphic highlights a key reason why: the growing surplus in US and Canadian...
Quotes of the Day by Bill Miller: “All of the Great Investing Periods Begin when Things Are Terrible and End...
Bill Miller’s observation that the best investing periods start in terrible markets and end in wonderful ones underscores the cyclical nature of finance. The article explains how crises depress asset prices, creating buying opportunities, while exuberant phases often mask overvaluation....
Borough High Street Office Asset Goes on Sale for £33m
A private client has placed the freehold of 171‑191 Borough High Street on the market for more than £33 million (approximately $42 million), delivering a net initial yield of 7.35%. The 31,179‑sq‑ft office building is fully let to education provider Kaplan Financial...
Corn Near $5 Ceiling; Gas Pump‑Dump May Pull to $4
Technical Outlook - Corn vs. $5 Ceiling and Pump-Then-Dump Pattern From Natural Gas Corn's low in this down cycle might not yet be in. December corn revisited threshold resistance near $5 a bushel in 1Q, alongside crude oil's surge to about...
Apple's Next CEO, Warsh's Confirmation Hearing, the Psychedelic Stock Surge and More in Morning Squawk
Apple announced hardware chief John Ternus will succeed Tim Cook as CEO in September, positioning a hardware‑focused leader to tackle Apple’s lag in artificial‑intelligence. Former Fed governor Kevin Warsh faced his Senate confirmation hearing, where he pledged Fed independence amid President Trump’s push...
December Corn Likely Slides Toward $4.30
December Corn May Lean Toward $4.30 vs. Above $5 New-crop December (Dec26) corn, at about $4.80 a bushel on April 20, may have a greater propensity to extend its life-of-contract low near $4.39 than to stay above the high of around...
Gainers & Losers: Nestle, Groww and Ola Among 7 Big Movers on Tuesday
Indian equities closed higher on Tuesday, with the Nifty up 0.87% to 24,576.60 and the Sensex up 0.96% to 79,273.33. FMCG giant Nestle led gainers, jumping 7.3% after reporting a 27% YoY profit rise to about $134 million and 23% revenue...
Apollo Is the Latest Fund to Bet on European Hostels
Institutional investors are pouring capital into European hostels, with more than $1 billion deployed in the past 30 months. Apollo Global Management closed a senior €874 million (about $1 billion) loan secured by a&o Hostels’ 44 properties and roughly 30,000 beds. The financing...
Moroccan Tomato Growers Urged to Help Alleviate Domestic Supply Crisis
Morocco faces a severe shortage of round tomatoes after a February storm devastated greenhouses and compounded existing phytosanitary issues. Authorities have met with growers, urging them to divert more produce to the domestic market rather than export. While cherry tomato...
Buffett's Pass on Tech Shows Discipline, Not Error
Buffett passed on Google, Amazon, and Walmart. Not because he was wrong about the businesses. Because he wasn't sure he understood them well enough to act with conviction. That's not a miss. That's discipline wearing a disguise.
Stock Market Today: Dow Falls As Oil Prices Rise, Trump Extends Ceasefire; These Gold Miners Fall (Live Coverage)
The Dow Jones slipped 0.6%—about 300 points—while oil rose near $89 a barrel after President Trump extended the Iran cease‑fire. Northern Trust surged 8% on a beat‑and‑raise Q1 earnings report, contrasting sharply with gold miners that fell 6‑9% as the metal...
Broker’s Call: Mastek (Buy)
Mastek posted an in‑line Q4 FY26, with cloud‑centric revenue of $103.5 million, up 0.3% quarter‑on‑quarter, and a 13.6% year‑on‑year rise in its $12 million order backlog. The firm added more than 27 AI‑focused programmes, lifting AI‑related work from 3% to 9% of...
This Biotech Firm Has Room to Run Despite Surging Nearly 500% in Past Year, Morgan Stanley Says
Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals’ stock has rocketed 473% over the past year, prompting Morgan Stanley to upgrade the shares to overweight and lift its price target to $100 from $78, indicating roughly a 44% upside. The firm is set to release Phase‑3...
Weighing Cash War Chest Against Full Market Exposure
Should you hold a cash "war chest" or stay 100% invested? There is no right or wrong answer, but there are two distinct schools of thought. Here is the breakdown of Optional Value vs. Cash Drag 🧵👇🏻
U.S. Home Prices Inched Up 0.1% in March
U.S. home prices edged up 0.1% month‑over‑month in March, marking the third consecutive month of modest gains. On a year‑over‑year basis, prices rose 1.7%, the slowest growth recorded since Redfin began tracking in 2012. Mortgage rates rose to about 6.4%...
Agronometrics in Charts: Extreme Weather Sparks Stunning 32 Percent Surge in US Strawberry Prices
U.S. strawberry grower prices surged 32% in January 2026 as extreme weather disrupted supply chains. Production topped 2.6 billion pounds, with California providing roughly 90% of domestic output. Late‑2025 heavy rains and early‑2026 Florida freezes cut shipments, while imports hit a...
There and Back Again
Geopolitical tension from the Iran war continues to shape market dynamics, even as US equities have recovered to sit about 3% above pre‑conflict levels. Energy risk premiums remain elevated, with WTI crude roughly 30% higher than before the war after...
Energy Producing States Face Volatile Oil Prices
Oil prices surged above $114 per barrel in early March, the highest level since 2022, after the Iran‑Israel conflict ignited market volatility. The spike lifted revenue streams for oil‑producing states, especially Texas and New Mexico, whose 10‑year growth rates exceed the...
Bring On the Jet Fuel Shortages
Peter Zeihan warns that even if the Iran ceasefire holds, a months‑long global jet‑fuel shortage is already baked in. The shutdown of medium‑heavy sour crude production in Kuwait, Iraq and Saudi Arabia—key feedstock for jet fuel—has removed the primary supply...
Ross Stores: The Retail King of a Pinched Economy
Ross Stores (NASDAQ: ROST) is thriving amid inflation‑driven consumer frugality, posting a 12.2% revenue jump to $6.64 billion and a 63% stock gain over the past year. The retailer’s low‑cost, opportunistic buying model lets it acquire brand‑name merchandise 20‑60% below wholesale,...
Market Surges as Earnings Beat and Strategic Deals Ignite
Another day another run for all time highs, and if you listen closely you can hear $CAR shorts and their tiny little cries. $AAPL announces Tim Cook's replacement come September, and $UNH gaps higher on earnings with a beat and...
Nifty Notches Third Straight Win, FMCG and Realty Lead the Charge
India’s benchmark indices extended their rally for a third day on April 21, with the Nifty 50 closing at 24,576.60 (+0.87%) and the Sensex at 79,273.33 (+0.96%). Gains were led by the FMCG and Realty sectors, each climbing over 2%, while Private...
DC Class A Office Prices Reset by $430M Deal
BXP sold its stake in Marriott’s Bethesda HQ at a $430M valuation. Trophy office. Metro-accessible. Single-tenant credit. That’s the product institutional buyers still want — and this deal just reset pricing expectations for D.C. metro Class A. What does your...
Anna Breman: Global Shockwaves to Kiwi Shores - the Impact of the Iran Conflict on New Zealand
Reserve Bank Governor Anna Breman warned that the ongoing Iran‑Israel conflict could spill over into New Zealand’s economy, raising near‑term headline inflation and dampening growth momentum. She noted that the OCR is held at 2.25 percent after recent cuts, with core inflation...
India’s GDP Growth to Slow to 6.4% in FY27 Amid Geopolitical Headwinds: UN Report
The UN Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific projects India’s GDP growth will decelerate to 6.4% in FY27, down from 7.4% in FY26, before modestly rising to 6.6% in FY28. Inflation is expected to climb to 4.4%...
EU Mulls Fuel-Sharing as Airlines Juggle Costs and Capacity
EU transport ministers are debating a bloc‑wide jet‑fuel‑sharing scheme as Middle East tensions threaten both fuel prices and availability. Airlines such as Lufthansa CityLine have already suspended routes, while KLM plans to cut about 80 European return flights to protect...
Fabio Panetta: Statement - Meeting of the Development Committee
Amid rising geopolitical tensions that are driving up food and energy prices, the World Bank Group faces heightened pressure to support vulnerable economies. In a statement to the Development Committee, Fabio Panetta urged the Bank to sharpen its focus on...
Hormuz Crisis Drives Coal Surge, Lifts Dry Bulk Rates
Dry bulk freight rates poised to rise as Hormuz crisis bolsters coal demand ▶️A substitution effect could occur where power plants burn more coal instead of crude oil products or gas to mitigate rising costs ▶️One industry player expects dry bulk freight...
Builders Halt After 120K Units, Permits Drop
This isn't a large amount of inventory in terms of scale, but once we reach 120K completed units, the builders don't push for more construction, so it's not surprising that housing permits and starts are low. https://t.co/YgX6DViH8r
Sino Land-Led Consortium Clinches Kam Sheung Road Phase Two with US$1.7 Billion Investment
A consortium led by Sino Land and Great Eagle Holdings, together with China Overseas Land & Investment and China Merchants Land, secured the Kam Sheung Road Station Phase Two tender. The group will invest over HK$13 billion (about US$1.7 billion) to build...
War Cuts 1bn Barrels, Threatening Recession if Hormuz Stays Closed
Oil market has experienced a loss of 1 billion barrels due to war, says Trafigura’s Rahim. Oil markets are one month away from tank bottoms AND a recession is possible if the Strait of Hormuz remains closed for three more months,...
China’s Capacity Vs. US Profit: Opposite Resource Gaps
Good post that once again reinforces this: China has abundant capacity but scarce profitability America has abundant profitability but scarce capacity. US is now obsessed and determined to get more capacity (may not work out) Is China equally obsessed and determined to...
Hong Kong Property Investment Soars on Lower Funding Costs, Rising Demand
Hong Kong’s commercial property market attracted about $1.6 billion in Q1 2024, a 41% year‑over‑year rise, driven by stronger liquidity and lower funding costs. The number of deals jumped 26% to 29, with 14 distressed assets luring private investors. Institutional interest...
CVNA Spikes, First Keltner Channel
CVNA....zero to 60 in...(!) First close back above KC is an exit when in an overall trading range. https://t.co/AHlHgChU24
CTAs Flood S&P with $8B Daily, $50B by Month‑End
Price-agnostic CTAs are now strong buyers of the S&P 500 and pump $8 bln /day into the market. Until the end of the month, the total increase in S&P exposure could reach $50 bln. There is currently no scenario, where...
6 Financial Tools Nobody Taught You in School (But You Really Need to Know)
The article outlines six essential financial tools—savings accounts, bonds, stocks, bank wealth‑management products, mutual funds/ETFs, and insurance—explaining how each works, its risk‑return profile, and ideal use cases. It emphasizes that most people lack formal education on money management, leading to...
US Redirects Fertilizer Overseas Amid Iran War Price Surge
Uh oh: "US buyers redirect imported fertilizer overseas as Iran war drives up global prices" https://t.co/bQZvdTkA8z https://t.co/4gCpKe44yx
Apple's Flat Premarket Reflects Confidence in June Guidance
Shares of $AAPL flat in the premarket. Sign that investors feel good about the June guide and more importantly that Ternus is the right guy. https://t.co/r2aFrjDjHD
A Healthy Rebound Could Lie Ahead for UNH Shareholders
UnitedHealth Group (UNH) posted a stronger‑than‑expected Q1 2026, driving the stock up 7% to $346.26. The company resumed $2 billion of share buybacks and lifted its earnings outlook to $18.25 per share, reinforcing confidence in cash flow and capital‑return capacity. Analysts now...
Canadian Steel Prices 40% Below U.S., Fully Disconnected
"Canadian [steel] pricing has 'completely disconnected' from the U.S., running at a '40% discount to U.S. pricing,'" 👀 https://t.co/RxOI4R1JE5 https://t.co/lMrgt4UWO4
De‑escalation, Not Manipulation, Drives Falling Oil Prices
This shock hasn't worked out the way alarmists made it out to be. De-escalation has meant oil futures (orange) have fallen and have pulled down the physical oil price (white) with them. This isn't manipulation or a sign of a...