
Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva visited Seoul, upgrading the bilateral relationship to a strategic partnership and signing ten MOUs across AI, biotech, agriculture, health and security. The summit’s headline outcome was the decision to revive stalled Mercosur free‑trade negotiations, which have been on hold for five years. Both leaders highlighted the need to diversify supply chains, especially for rare‑earth minerals critical to South Korea’s tech and EV sectors. Trade between the two nations already exceeds $10 billion annually, with Brazil seeking greater market access for beef.
ETJ, a closed‑end fund, hedges its U.S. equity holdings by buying out‑of‑the‑money S&P 500 put options that cover nearly the entire portfolio. This strategy allowed the fund to post positive returns during the 2008 financial crisis and positions it as a...
Freddie Mac House Price Index Decreased in January; Up only 0.4% Year-over-year Punta Gorda House Prices Down 22% from Recent Peak, Austin Down 18% https://calculatedrisk.substack.com/p/freddie-mac-house-price-index-decreased
In a recent ClubGPF live discussion, Geopolitical Futures chairman George Friedman revisited his book *The Storm Before the Calm* to argue that America is moving through an 80‑year institutional cycle. He compared today’s political polarization and economic anxiety to three...
India's new series GDP data for FY26 shows nominal output ₹345.47 lakh crore, about 3.3% below the budget’s estimate. This revision pushes the FY27 fiscal‑deficit ratio to roughly 4.46% of GDP, up from the projected 4.31%, and lifts the FY27 debt‑to‑GDP ratio...

Small landlords are an expanding segment of the rental market, but their limited scale creates underwriting challenges for lenders. To gauge creditworthiness, lenders must scrutinize the borrower’s financial stability, including cash flow, tax returns, and debt ratios. Portfolio performance—occupancy rates,...
GBP/USD slipped about 0.10% to 1.3469 as US core PPI jumped 3.6% YoY, reinforcing expectations of a less dovish Federal Reserve. The stronger dollar was further supported by rising geopolitical risk in the Middle East, which hurt risk‑on sentiment. In...
India’s nominal GDP for FY 2025‑26 has been revised down to ₹345 lakh crore, a 3.3 % cut from the earlier ₹357 lakh crore estimate. In dollar terms this puts the economy at roughly $3.79 trillion, postponing the $4 trillion milestone to a later fiscal year. The downgrade...
Dell Technologies’ stock surged 17.5% to $142.31, a three‑month high, after the company projected AI‑server revenue will more than double to roughly $50 billion by fiscal 2027. The upbeat outlook was paired with a 20% dividend increase and a $10 billion share‑repurchase...
Institutional investors are increasingly financing UK coliving projects, especially in London, with typical deal sizes of £50‑150 million. Developers are now required to contribute meaningful equity, pushing any profit upside to the back‑end and tying returns to IRR hurdles. The funding...
Tempus AI’s shares have slumped nearly 50% from their 2025 peak, settling around $53 after a disappointing earnings reaction. The company reported Q4 2025 revenue up 83% to $367 million, with organic growth of 33.5% and adjusted EBITDA turning positive at...

Hotel executives at a recent industry forum championed asset‑heavy ownership, citing control over development, favorable debt terms, and stronger ESG execution. Whitbread, Fattal and Essendi disclosed that a majority of their portfolios are owned outright, enabling rapid market entry and...
Roundhill’s Magnificent Seven ETF (MAGS) is downgraded from buy to hold, with the analyst citing an elevated 28× earnings multiple that remains above the 22× threshold needed for a purchase. Heavy AI‑driven capital expenditures are turning the traditionally asset‑light Magnificent...
UOB analyst Ho Woei Chen projects China’s 2026 real GDP growth at 4.7%, with the National People’s Congress likely setting a target range of 4.5‑5%. Inflation is expected to stay low, with a CPI target near 2% and actual inflation around 0.9%....

U.S. CRUDE and condensate production from the Lower 48 states excluding federal waters in the Gulf of America/Mexico has flattened in response to the downturn in prices and drilling. Lower 48 onshore production was up by just 90,000 b/d in...

The Tribal Tax and Investment Reform Act of 2026 aims to eliminate a tax‑code provision that blocks tribes from issuing private‑activity bonds for non‑essential projects. By granting tribes the same bond‑issuing powers as states, the bill opens a vast municipal...
High-return investments promise above‑average gains but come with heightened risk. The article outlines common vehicles such as growth stocks, real estate, private equity, and high‑yield bonds, emphasizing that returns can exceed 10‑20% while volatility and illiquidity rise. It stresses the...

S&P Global Ratings upgraded Guam's general‑obligation rating to BB from BB‑minus, also raising its business‑privilege‑tax and Section 30 bonds to BB‑plus and its certificates of participation to BB‑minus, all with a positive outlook. The upgrade reflects stronger operating performance, rising revenues,...
All seven members of the “Magnificent 7” reported Q4 earnings growth of 27.2% year‑over‑year, comfortably beating analyst forecasts. Six of the seven posted positive EPS surprises, pushing the group’s aggregate earnings beat to 5.5% versus the broader S&P 500’s 6.8% beat. NVIDIA,...
12 years ago, I was $304k in debt. Today, I'm a multimillionaire. If I lost everything tomorrow, here's how I'd get it back:

The IRS reports that roughly 20% of eligible taxpayers fail to claim the Earned Income Tax Credit (EITC), a refundable credit that averaged $2,916 per filer in 2024. For the 2025 tax year, the maximum credit rises to $8,046 for...

Private fixed investment in student dormitories rose 1.5% in Q4 2025, reaching a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $3.9 billion. The gain follows three quarters of decline but remains 1.3% below the same quarter a year earlier. Pandemic‑induced drops had pushed investment...
ResMed has evolved from a cyclical device maker into a digital‑health platform anchored by sleep‑apnea therapy, cloud‑connected monitoring and recurring software services. The company posted Q2 FY2026 revenue of $1.4 billion, up 11% YoY, while gross margin climbed to 61.8% and...

Jim Simons charged some of the highest hedge fund fees in history—5% flat + 44% of gains—and still delivered spectacular returns. Learn how elite investors tolerate high fees and what it teaches about investing, stock markets, and wealth building. Would you...

The Nasdaq‑100 (QQQ) slipped 55 basis points despite concerns over XYZ’s 40% cost‑cut announcement. Semiconductor and software indices fell in tandem, indicating no clear sector rotation. Growth‑at‑a‑reasonable‑price (GARP) and quality stocks outperformed, led by Netflix’s 12% jump, Spotify’s 2% gain,...
The S&P 500’s top‑seven stocks now represent more than 30% of market value, sparking industry warnings about concentration risk. Academic research shows this level mirrors historic peaks from the 1930s and is a natural outcome of firm‑specific volatility, not a market...

The article reflects on the historic reversal of power between bond and equity traders, noting how equities eclipsed fixed‑income revenue after the 1994 bond market collapse. It highlights the cultural divide that still separates the two desks, with bond traders...

Las Vegas’ casino and hotel market showed modest declines in 2025 visitation compared with 2024, yet resilience persisted thanks to a robust calendar of major events and sports‑driven traffic. Per‑visitor spending rose, shifting performance drivers from sheer volume to premium...

In this episode, Francis Diamond and Aditya Chaudhia discuss European rate markets, focusing on euro‑area bond issuance, German duration outlook, and UK political developments. They assess the limited near‑term impact of proposed EU defence‑related Eurobonds, maintaining a neutral stance on...

The Atlanta Federal Reserve’s GDPNow model now estimates first‑quarter 2026 real GDP growth at 3.0%, a slight dip from the 3.1% forecast three days earlier. The revision follows fresh data from the Census Bureau and the Bureau of Labor Statistics,...

Breakouts look strong… until they reverse. 🚨 If we’re inside value with a flat VWAP, chasing highs is usually the trap. Fade statistical extremes. Trade location, not emotion. Link in profile 📲 #DayTrading #FuturesMarket #TradingEducation
In a February 27 2026 Atlantic Council podcast, Rep. John Moolenaar, chairman of the House Select Committee on China, argued that deterring Chinese aggression in the Taiwan Strait is a core U.S. national‑security interest. He discussed the economic stakes of the U.S.–China rivalry...

The real market story today is the weakness in financials and not the hyperscalers @ScottWapnerCNBC @HalftimeReport @dougkass Observe these massive individual financial stock losses: $C -$7 $AXP -$25 $GS -$72 $MS -$13 $APO -$10 Since this is the single largest daily loss, it might...

The HVS Europe Hotel Transactions Bulletin for the week ending 20 February 2026 lists a series of high‑profile hotel deals across the continent. Indian conglomerate SanRaj, via Clearsense Ventures, bought three Accor‑branded hotels in the UK (478 rooms) from Ares and EQ....
Costco Wholesale is set to release its FY26 Q2 results on March 5, with analysts projecting earnings of $4.53 per share on $69.29 billion in revenue, up from the same quarter a year earlier. The retailer’s Q1 showed strong momentum, driven...

Cheering for lower mortgage rates has always been a delicate balance of hoping for payment relief w/o a wider economic downturn. In other words, getting a cheaper 30-year fixed without a big increase in unemployment or a stock market crash. The fact...
A leader of this next wave of AI-focused biotechs has completed its IPO, a milestone tarnished by a brutal first few hours of trading. Day 1 for $GENB: -23% https://t.co/u3WQcDD3jL

Home prices were already slowing down before Trump took office, and many markets went negative last year. I don’t think any president can really control the direction of the housing market. https://t.co/LoaiFTlI85
Warner Bros Chief Revenue And Strategy Officer: Warner Bros, Paramount Signed Agreement As Of This Morning $WBD $PSKY

$INTC daily basing along the 50ma and below the base top. Still hold it here no change today. Updated chart. https://t.co/BqQrlEX6xR

$CRM updated charts. The line chart was inspired from @MntlmrktsChaz line chart posted. The daily holding the 10-21ma's and starting the basing form the ER gap up. still own it here https://t.co/2FDvsFmGHl
After the White House confirmed that Fannie Mae/Freddie Mac would increase their retained MBS by $200B, the 'spread'—which had already been compressing—slipped sub 200 bps for the first time in more than 3 years Today is first +200 bps spread since...
Passive has been tough to beat -for sure—but 20 years ago I did a study “What Happened to the Original Stocks in the S&P 500 index” and the recent experience is far from unique. The committee members are human still.
Having @bethanymac12 on the show to discuss the economy, markets & the issues currently causing volatility like the benefits/consequences of A.I. as well as trends in Private Credit is invaluable. We also hit $FNMA $FMCC. Of course my @Kalshi topic...

I run a family account that is very light on profanity, but I'm making an exception here because this is highly relevant re: policy - i.e., the market response to tariff refunds - and is also kinda funny https://t.co/W4w9escVzV https://t.co/5sIpIX72ON

TSLA is frustrating...vol is cheap and I want the nitroglycerine puts but the skew is jacked. https://t.co/e8sACX2GXu
As Max and others often point out: The more apartments you build for the wealthy, the fewer wealthy people living in moderate- and lower-priced apartments... thereby creating more affordable supply. It's not "trickle down economics." (Different thing.) It's just common sense.
There's a new kingmaker in AI... OpenAI raises the largest private funding round in history and two of the biggest backers ($NVDA and $AMZN) are down to flat today. Meanwhile a blog post from Anthropic sends software stocks swinging

$AXP put buying staying constant Hammered this week on the idea that the end of white collar knowledge workers disrupts its card user spending https://t.co/Cd5J3HA4N4
“Risk is the uncertainty of lifetime consumption.” We sit down with @cullenroche to discuss his new book Your Perfect Portfolio. We start with a basic 60/40 portfolio and then examine, step by step, the case for adding international, factors, gold, private assets,...