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Regulator’s “No Worries” Hides Looming Tariff Hikes
When a regulator tells you not to worry, read the footnote. The Energy Commission confirmed higher electricity tariffs are coming, and in the same breath, noted that more than 8 out of 10 household users will not be affected — for...
Uneven Global Convergence: Asia Surges, Japan Declines
The divergence is striking. China’s GDP per capita grew more than 10x since 2000. India and Russia followed with strong gains. At the same time, Japan saw a decline. This isn’t just growth. It’s a redistribution of economic momentum. Some economies are accelerating rapidly. Others are stabilizing or stagnating. The...
US‑Iran Conflict Spikes Oil, but Europe’s Inflation Stays Modest
CHARTS OF THE DAY: What's the inflationary impact of the US-Iran war for Europe (and thus the ECB and BoE)? Sure, the price of oil and refined products has risen. But paralells between the curent shock and the 2022 energy...
China Accelerates Local Debt Cleanup via Central Debt Swap
1/4 Yicai: "China’s local debt cleanup is moving faster, with the central government’s debt swap program simultaneously lowering borrowing costs and shrinking the implicit debt pile." https://t.co/Ru3dUFDjL5
Quarterly Portfolio Check: Review, Realign, Refresh
It's the beginning of a new quarter and it's time to revisit your portfolios to ensure everything is going as planned. Review, Update, Realign, Reshuffle. It's the month of love and lights. Happy New Month #happynewmonth❤️ #kobohive
Gold Likely Pulls Back to Demand Zone Soon
📊 GOLD – D1 Market Outlook 🪙 🔎 On the Daily timeframe, a Demand Zone (Rally–Base–Rally) has formed 📈 and above we have a Supply Zone (Drop–Base–Drop) acting as resistance. 📉 ⚡ The market may take a pullback toward the demand zone before...
Trade Big Reports Effectively with These Simple Tips
With so many big reports this week, here’s some tips on how to trade them
China and India: BRICS’ Demographic and Economic Powerhouses
There are two elephants in the BRICS room, China and India. They not only have a combined population of over 2.8 BILLION, but economic firepower too. https://t.co/nrI5ZlnwBg
Rising Oil Prices Could Trim India's Growth Outlook
#IndiaWatch🇮🇳: India’s 7.0% - 7.4% growth outlook will be downgraded. Harvard Prof and former First Deputy Managing Director of IMF Gita Gopinath warns that if OIL AVERAGES $85-$100 PER BARREL, INDIA LOSES 0.5-1% OF GROWTH. MODI SHOULD SEND A BILL FOR...
Sentiment Indicator Signals Approaching Market Bottom, Stay Cautious
Chart of the Week - Sentiment Shifts This week’s chart presents an unusual sentiment indicator which serves a specific purpose to a specific type of market participant. This composite indicator takes into account sentiment readings from surveys + market metrics: the VIX...
LPG Shortages and Price Spikes Hit South Asia
🇵🇰Pakistan LPG price surge intensifies hardship for citizens 🇧🇩A deepening shortage of LPG now grips Bangladesh’s domestic market. 🇰🇭Cambodia Races to Avert Fuel Crunch as Global LPG and Diesel Shortages Bite https://t.co/6D1Hdd0QGy
Malaysia’s Petrol Price Stability Ends, Household Costs Rise
For decades, the price at the Malaysian petrol pump has been a rare constant in an ever-changing global economy. But the familiar green nozzle is about to represent a significant shift in the household ledger.
Buy Selective Dip as AI Memory Demand Rebounds
KOSPI rebound lifts Samsung +10% & SK Hynix +9.5% after March selloff. Key: AI-driven memory demand swings; risk: OpenAI cuts pricing. Trade insight: Buy selective dip for mean reversion. — Viktor Kopylov, PhD, CFA More insights: t.me/si14Kopylov
Nasdaq Ends Q1 Upbeat Despite 7% YTD Decline
Tech savvy Nasdaq Composite index closes the 1st calendar quarter of 2026 on an upbeat note after going sideways for most of past 3 months; year-to-date, Nasdaq Composite has been down 7.11%. https://t.co/t4IdP3uYzK
Nasdaq Surges 3.3% on Iran Peace Hopes, Risk Persists
Iran's president said they want to end the war but they want guarantees - US Market got over excited and closed high. Nasdaq up 3.3% While the statement wasn't new, people are still worried it can be false rise and one...
Earnings Outlook Rises Even as Markets Plunge Amid War
The S&P 500 just pulled back 9% and the Nasdaq fell 13% during a Middle East war. Corporate earnings expectations kept rising the entire time. 🔒 Members-Only https://t.co/gBCdVSxqZS
Fertilizer Shortage Triggers Food Price Inflation Spiral
Trump has unleashed a positive feedback loop that’s going to have significant negative impacts: Reduced fertilizer supply = higher cost, farmers planting less, additional crop failure = lower crop supply = higher food prices + inflation, which will drive up...
India Doubles Russian Oil Imports, Undermining Sanctions
#IndiaWatch🇮🇳: Since the US-Israeli war on Iran started, India’s oil imports from Russia have nearly doubled. Good news. IT’S A SIGN THAT THE ILL-CONCEIVED SANCTIONS REGIME IS STARTING TO BREAK DOWN. https://t.co/XzP5Xxh83g
Fuel Crises Force Asian Leaders to Choose Welfare or Deficits
So we now seem to have fuel price caps and three airlines in emergency management in South Korea, have had school closures in Bangladesh and Pakistan, jet fuel rationing and a push to work-from-home in Vietnam, alternate-day driving for private...
S&P 500 Climbs Above 20‑day MA Despite Recent Lows
Big jump in stocks in the S&P 500 above their 20-day MA. But this is another one that didn't break to new lows recently even though price did. https://t.co/vHH6Uj8IiQ
S&P 500 Stocks Above 50‑Day MA Rise Despite New Low
The number of stocks in the S&P 500 above their 50-day MA moved up again, not a surprise. The potential clue was it did this yesterday, even though price moved to a new low. https://t.co/Ni6t7fVi0G
S&P 500 A/D Divergence Signals Strength Despite Breadth Lows
Breadth didn't break to new lows with price. Here's the S&P 500 A/D line sporting a positive divergence with price. https://t.co/CtFPUMxDpj
Most S&P 500 Stocks Rise Since November 25.
419 stocks on the S&P 500 higher today, the most since November 25. That marked a low back then fwiw. https://t.co/vbZ1vp1Heu
Tight Indian Spot Supply Drives Ferro‑Chrome Auction Prices Up
Facor’s ferro-chrome auction drew sharply higher bids as tight Indian spot supply pushed prices above base levels. https://www.metalnomist.com/2026/03/indian-ferro-chrome-auction-prices-rise.html
NYSE and S&P 500 Hit New Lows Again
New lows fell again on the NYSE and S&P 500. It was really interesting that we saw this yesterday, even as price moved lower again. https://t.co/ZifaFDWEc6
Dow Ends 10‑month Rally with First Drop
It was bound to happen eventually, but the Dow finally fell after a historic 10 month win streak. https://t.co/DwMq8LbfKh
Early 2024 Record Low Volatility Sets Up March Surge
Might not feel like it now, but the first two months of this year were literally one of the least volatile in history. In terms of the range, it was indeed the smallest range EVER. To see a bigger move in...
China's SGE Silver Premium Hits 13.7% Over Spot
Good morning China 🇨🇳 At open on Wednesday, 4/1 SGE #Silver traded at RMB18957.0/kg ($85.484/Troy oz) Spot #Silver is $75.189/Troy oz SGE premium at 13.7% over spot
Gulf Oil Transit Dries up, Sparking Price Crunch
Oil from the Gulf that has been in transit to its destinations is about to dry up. Then, there will be a crunch. Paul Krugman employs standard econ arithmetic to end up with a price range of $99/BBL to 372/BBL, depending...
Control the Process, Exercise Your Legal Rights Aggressively
In special situations, process is the only variable you control. Make sure your legal rights get as much exercise as an ITM call.
June WTI Futures May Have Already Peaked
POLL: Has the June WTI crude oil futures contract peaked? ($104 on March 9th, $99 last night, $94 currently)
S&P's Biggest Rally Highlights Volatility’s Two‑way Nature
The S&P 500 gained 2.9% today, its biggest up day since last May (China tariff pause rally). Important for investors to remember: volatility cuts both ways and is not linear over time. Big down days and big up days often...
Lumentum Soars, Remains Top Telco‑Fiber Optics Performer
After more than doubling from last Oct into Jan & then moving up more than 2x again from Jan into Feb, Lumentum Hldgs $LITE continues to trade like a real Rock star even during this recent market turmoil @IBDinvestors @marketsurge Its...
Markets Kick Off Q2 Bullish on Yield Drop, Asia Gains
Markets looking to start 2Q 2026 on positive note: •US stocks ended 1Q last day sharply higher. Led by Mag 7 stocks up as much as 7%. •10 UST yield softened to 4.29% •S Korea and Japan up 3-4% early morning •Gold higher...
Value Area, Not VWAP, Is the Real Trading Edge
Everyone thinks VWAP is the edge… it’s not ❌ The real edge? Understanding the VALUE AREA around it 🎯 👉 Inside value → fade the edges 👉 Outside value → follow the move That’s the difference between guessing… and reading the market 📊 Comment “VALUE” and...
New Leases Get Rent Relief as Switching Costs Drop
There’s something your landlord doesn’t want you to know: switching costs in the rental market are low right now New leases are seeing more rent relief right now than renewal leases The reason? New leases must compete on the open market amid...
NYSE/NASDAQ Docs Don't Mandate Massive Rally for Upside Days
I should point out that there is nothing in either the NYSE or the NASDAQ documents that **requires** a strong, durable rally to generate either a 90% upside day or back-to-back 80% upside days when it begins.
True Reversals Need Exhaustion, Structure Shift, Not Pullbacks
You’re entering reversals before the trend actually shows exhaustion. In strong trends, price continues making higher highs or lower lows with clear momentum and market structure. A real trend reversal usually starts when momentum slows, price fails to continue the trend, and...
Texas Stock Exchange Secures First Primary ETF Listing
Texas Stock Exchange gets commitment for first primary ETF listing… Westwood Salient Enhanced Power & Infrastructure ETF ETF listings set to launch on TXSE in September. Expect more ETFs to follow. TXSE backed by Goldman, BofA, JPM, BlackRock, & Citadel. via @sashabella_r https://t.co/krgLh24joS
March: Energy Surges as Equities, Metals Tumble
March... Oil $USO: +55% Gasoline $UGA: +42% Commodities $DBC: +15% $VIX: +27% Energy $XLE: +10% Bitcoin $IBIT: +3% Bonds $AGG: -2% S&P $SPY: -5% Mag 7 $MAGS: -6% REITs $VNQ: -6% Retail $XRT: -7% International Developed $VEA: -9% EM $IEMG: -9% Gold $GLD: -11% Silver $SLV: -20%
Clients Dump All but SMID Caps, Energy ETFs Surge
BofA Securities Equity Client Flow Trends Clients sold everything except SMID caps last week Biggest Energy ETF inflows since the start of Russia Ukraine war vs record Energy single stock outflows Buybacks by corp. clients decelerated wk/wk https://t.co/1GiRZIhmiM
Tesla's Volatility Translates to 19.73% Income Yield
$TSLA moved 5%+ in a single session 12 times in 2025. Most call that risk. @GraniteShares and @WillRhind call it income. $TLA: 19.73% yield from Tesla's volatility. Breakdown here: https://t.co/XiCKZKLCow
Risk Assets Surge as Iran Conflict Outlook Impro
BofA: Risk assets rallied today on the potential resolution of the Iran war. President Trump stated that the US “won’t be there” to help reopen the Strait of Hormuz Oil prices are less enthusiastic https://t.co/qqPBVmhvPG
Mortgage Rate Surge Undermines Two-Year Affordability Gains
GS Housing Affordability Index ticks down after 2+ years of gains Mortgage rates hit six-month highs, reversing recent affordability gains https://t.co/Czxstb76r8
Breakout Confirmation Targets $16‑$18 Range
$NAVN super high conviction look here on the break over local supply, with that breakout being directly in line with the pivot over daily trend resistance. No break = no trade, but if this does breakout, we've got range to $16,...
Gold Futures Trade Long Above VWAP, Target 4724–4691
[FREE] 👉 Live trade 9am NY: https://t.co/66dSROf2rQ ─────── 📈 GC Current Price Above VWAP · Bias: Long ⬆️ Buy rips through 4724.20 ⬆️ Buy dips at 4691.50 ─────── 🌏 Asia ORB Readings High: 4724.20 | Low: 4691.50 | Range: 32.70 pts
Rent and Invest, Skip the $1.2M Condo
You’re 33, Software Engineer, New York. $280k income. Single, no children. $200k retirement, $300k brokerage. Rent and invest aggressively OR Buy a $1.2M condo
Post‑low JHEQX Rally Signals War’s Bottom Ending
Fwiw there have been 3 recent lower strike JHEQX events. The major lows on 6/22 and the actual low was the exact strike on Sept 22. Both followed by massive rallies. This one was the best proxy...
China’s Hardline Shift on Tehran Mirrors Past Pyongyang Tactics
Pretty surprising if folks ever thought Beijing would put the strong arm on Tehran in this way. A closer look at China’s tactics (and non-tactics) with Pyongyang over the decades would have been instructive.