EU Eyes Reviving Emergency Energy Rules Amid Iran Price Shock
The EU will consider reopening a set energy measures used after Russia’s 2022 invasion of Ukraine as the bloc seeks to contain a fresh price shock tied to the Iran war https://t.co/pGEqjvd4Uf via @johnainger https://t.co/oxM0l6weH8
California's Decade-Long Migration: More Leaving Than Arriving
Leaving California? Here are some new stats from the California Policy Lab to show exits and entrances over the past decade. What stands out to you? https://t.co/AThnxkhp7K
MCD Pulls Back to 200‑MA, Shows Reversal Signals
$MCD another that pulled back to 200ma and been basing along it. Hitting head on 10ema and showing signs of reversal. https://t.co/fQ6dI3zxd1
Market Narratives Flip Fast; Update Your Thesis.
Q1 lesson: Cuts → Hikes. Stable oil → $112. Safe → Risky. Narratives flip faster than positioning. If you're still running January's thesis in Q2, you're not wrong in theory. You're just wrong in the market that actually exists. --- https://t.co/c8qhOLV3nI
Foreign Central Banks Slash Treasury Holdings to 2012 Low
Foreign central banks have cut their holdings of Treasuries at the New York Fed to the lowest level since 2012. The selling has come as oil importers like Turkey, Thailand and India raise cash through asset sales to prop up...
XLI Offers Cleaner Bottom-Pick Than XLK
I see a cleaner "bottom picking" poker hand in $XLI than $XLK at the moment. https://t.co/oSKinqKxVM
Stay Ready: Prepare Charts and Alerts for Future Setups
So many charts showing potential setups in the days ahead. Many what they need is a few day of bounce and then to put in another low. May take days, weeks or never happen. All about seeing...
Systematic Strategies for Inflation‑Driven Market Regime Shift
With the recent inflation shock and a rapidly changing market landscape, it’s a good time to think more systematically. On our latest @excessreturnpod, we’re joined by @AahanPrometheus to do just that. We cover: - inflation and energy dynamics - shifting expected returns - trend following -...
Microsoft Likely to Rebound Before Month‑end Reporting
Only so many days in a row $MSFT can go straight down before they try to mark it up before reporting to clients at month end
One Week Below 50‑week MA Signals Seller Exhaustion
I shared in Sunday's Thrasher Analytics note that if the S&P 500 was able to spend just one week under its 50-week MA then history has shown it's been indicator sellers were exhausted and price kept climbing. Week isn't over...
Stocks Rebound After Sharp Prior Decline
The catalyst for stocks going up for a day like this is that they went straight down https://t.co/wozXs7Sf2r
SPY Rebounds From Oversold, Signaling Bullish Momentum
$SPY - The reversion from oversold is happening. FYI - That's the bullish part...oversold isn't. https://t.co/CavnAyx1jq
Apple Tests 200‑Day Support Amid Mag7 Weakness
$AAPL is the latest Mag7 stock to negotiate with its 200-day moving average. Most of the Mag7 have failed to hold this crucial level of price support. Will $AAPL follow suit this week?... https://t.co/EUg1Bro2TV
UAE Bans Iranian Nationals From Entering Dubai Airport
Official notice from FlyDubai: the UAE has banned Iranian nationals from entering or even transiting through Dubai International Airport, effective immediately This hits Iranian passport holders hard. including people with valid UAE residency visas of any kind and those with visit/tourist...
Big‑Bank Collars Neutralize Retail Bets on S&P
Don't even ask the question. The answer is yes, it's within the collar. Think the S&P is going to rip to new all-time highs? Sorry, there's a short call at 7155 capping your upside. The hedge fund already sold it....
XLE Hits Temporary Top, 10‑EMA Support Holds
$XLE temp top yesterday with follow thru today. 10ema been the path with a few dips below only to recapture 10ema. Observation only. I do own some of the holdings in my investment/spec/gamble account no XLE in any account...
Earn $100K by Funding Deals, Not Managing Rentals
If you want to invest in real estate real estate but don’t want to manage rentals or flip properties, private money lending is for you. Give me a follow on IG to learn why I switched from buying rentals to...
China Ships Diesel to Southeast Asia Despite Curbs
China has exported cargoes of diesel and other fuels to energy-starved countries across Southeast Asia over the weekend, in what appears to be a signal of support despite export curbs imposed earlier this month https://t.co/Ho2QuntmBc
Interest on Debt Outpaces Entire U.S. Defense Budget
$39T national debt. 10Y yield: 4.44%. Annual interest: ~$1.1T. That exceeds the entire defense budget. The US is paying more to service its past than to defend its future. There is no clean exit from a fiscal spiral at this scale. --- https://t.co/maHJkCjSBw
MSFT Shows Bounce Reversal; 10‑EMA Signals Uptrend
$MSFT Signs of bounce reversal. 10ema up first for level I am watching. Trading nimble and quick to inch up stops. https://t.co/DwY4MAsR0Q
Gold Holds $400; Friday Close Bullish Signal
Interesting that $GLD was the truest tell this week for today's rally. Held 400, and did not make new low yesterday. At 20sma weekly, close over this on Friday would be bullish. https://t.co/P2OGkv6lpO
SNB's Q4 Currency Sales May Boost Franc
SNB sold currencies in the final quarter in potential buoy for the franc https://t.co/pLEKZ4nQQm via @bbenrath https://t.co/q6YkgIMsAJ
Act Fast: Signals Beat Headlines in Market Crashes
The 2020 spread blowout happened in weeks. From calm to crisis. If you waited for confirmation, you were already underwater. $JOJO's signal doesn't wait for headlines. https://t.co/ZVynKzZzh8
White Smoke Signals New JPMorgan Collar Strike
White smoke can be seen billowing out of the top of the JP Morgan building as a new JPM collar strike has been chosen https://t.co/UWJFjOF7Rr
Impending Short Squeeze Near NDX 22,000 Signals Micro Switch
The real relief rally will come soon folks. It will be a sudden short squeeze where all active short sellers will lose their pants. Smart traders will switch soon. The NDX 22,000 is nearby. Not today. Not next week. Just DCA and average...
Long-Term Positioners Target March and June 2027 Calls
The long-term positioners coming into some calls for names today March 2027 and June 2027, one ingredient I like to see after nasty moves lower
U.S. Corn Acre Forecasts Remain Unchanged Year‑to‑Year
🌽Remarkable to compare expectations and outcomes for U.S. corn acres, March 2025 versus March 2026. Almost a straight copy+paste in all columns..... https://t.co/HT5yWSIhC3
CEOs' Guidance Beats Consensus Amid Oil‑Driven Margins
Q1 earnings season starts in 2 weeks. Consensus: +11.3% growth. But oil at $101 changes every corporate margin. Nobody cares about the number. Everyone should care about guidance. What do CEOs say about the next 90 days? --- https://t.co/CtGIcnkFfj
President Regrets Appointing Central Banker Who Defied Rate Cuts
Wild story: President appoints someone to the central bank recommended by his own finance minister. The appointee resists the president's demands to approve bigger rate cuts, and now the president says he "stupidly" followed the minister's advice, leading to "the...
March Sets Record $158B USO Trade in 20 Years
$USO has traded $158b worth of share in March. Here's what that looks like compared to every other months in its 20yr history. https://t.co/R1flDcvjqy
New US LNG Capacity Too Small to Replace Qatar Losses
LNG production in Qatar, normally ~80 mm tonnes, has been effectively OFFLINE since March 2. The new Golden Pass LNG export terminal in the U.S. will add only 18mm tonnes at full capacity. NEW SUPPLY CAN’T OFFSET WAR-DRIVEN LOSSES. https://t.co/tVmip8DsaM
Vox Royalty Posts Record Year, Debt-Free, Expanding Portfolio
Record year for @vox_royalty: revenue of $16.6M, record operating cash flow of $10.7M, and adjusted EBITDA of $9.3M. Also: debt gone, stock included in GDXJ, and new royalties added. 70+ royalties now, 12 producing = Vox is the royalty stock...
Yuan's Global Reserve Share Declines Over Five Years
Well, there are a lot of meanings of global reserves currency that go beyond the currency held in formal foreign exchange reserves. But the yuan's share of reserves has actually slipped over the last 5 years 1/2 https://t.co/h07pcXMaYn
Breakout Trading Secrets: It’s Not What You Expect
Revealing the SECRET to trading breakouts THE RIGHT WAY .. it’s not what you think. #howtotrade #daytrading #momentum #tradingeducation #stocks
NDX Bullish Percent Index at 30% Signals Nasdaq Bounce
$NDX Bullish Percent Index touched the 30% level on Monday, which usually means at least a short-term bounce higher is imminent for the Nasdaq. https://t.co/57UyvAJ0ou
EUR/USD Nears Critical Resistance: Breakout or Reversal?
Euro Short-term Outlook: EUR/USD Rally Nears Key Resistance- Breakout or Reversal? https://t.co/ypoVnQZs85 $EURUSD Daily & 240min Charts https://t.co/uyx4RRC6OM
Rate‑Hike Odds Surge, Triggering Massive Market Unwind
January: everyone positioned for rate cuts. Now: hike odds above 50%. That's the largest positioning reversal in years — and the mechanics of unwinding a crowded consensus take months, not weeks. Every hot inflation print, every hawkish Fed signal triggers another exit from...
Rate‑cut Bets Collapse, Biggest Positioning Reversal in Years
January: everyone was long rate cuts. Now: hike odds >50%. That's not a rotation. That's the largest positioning reversal in years — and the unwind isn't finished. $SPY -3.4%. $QQQ -4.2%. The price tells you where we are in that unwind. --- https://t.co/mDbRSIwQT2
Iran and Russia Profit as Oil Prices Surge Amid War
A month into this war: Iran is still exporting oil & to more customers Iran is making more money for its oil because prices are up Iran has effectively installed a tollbooth to enter and exit the Persian Gulf Russia is making more...
0DTE SPX Straddle Slides to $32, Echoing FOM
to put this into context, i mark the average open px for the 0DTE SPX straddle at $44 2 hours left $32 is like an FOMC day https://t.co/nvzRnpkt0F
CRWV Faces Binary Test: 89‑100 Surge or Sub‑60 Drop
$CRWV - either squeeze move 89.00 to triple digits or fail back below 60.00. Their latest news with $META is helping a bit, but not enough to move it above the bearish channel.
U.S. Gas Prices Stay Low, Unaffected by Middle East Conflict
U.S. gas market insulated from war in the Middle East U.S. gas inventories are on course to finish the winter close to the average for the time of year, which has sent futures prices back below $3 per million British thermal...
JPM Collar Pin May Boost Markets, Ease VIX Backwardation
"so the JPM collar pin of 6475 for end-of-day Tuesday ** could ** help to pull up markets to relieve the VIX backwardation we are in" 🤣😇 Lucky init.
6,600 Resistance Threshold; CL Under 100 Signals Go
Update. 6,600 is resistance *if* this Iran thing is real. I think CL <100 is the green light. PS: I'm not saying Andy endorsed this map...although he didn't explicitly not endorse it... https://t.co/u0zeKHrpcJ
Fed Pledges Policy Actions to Sustain Low Inflation Expectations
Kansas City Fed President Jeff Schmid: Inflation expectations have been low because the central bank has previously acted to make sure inflation will stay low. "It is now our job to follow through with policy actions that validate those expectations."
Mativ's 95¢ Pricing Ranks Among Deepest US Lev Discounts
Mativ priced at 95 cents. Only 2 US lev loans have priced at deeper discounts this year.
IWM Drops Below $240, Channel Breakdown Risk
$IWM Hourly. Shorter-term falling channel to watch on small caps. Headlines jerking around the tape. But back below $240 now puts channel at risk of breakdown https://t.co/aFGcOnXaJ7
NYC’s Top Fiduciary Advisor Alejandro Hernandez Leads Wealth Strategy
Alejandro Hernandez III recognized as a leading fiduciary advisor in New York City, specializing in advanced wealth and real assets strategy. A modern approach to preserving, structuring, and transferring wealth.
North Aurora Gas Prices Dip to $3.61‑$3.64
Gas prices in north Aurora, CO along Tower Rd have relaxed to $3.61-3.64 after hitting $3.97 last week.
War News Fuels Reflexive Sell, Spurs Leveraged ETF Buying
Gamma. Roll delta flips, month end equity buying not needed as much given price, sudden massive leveraged ETF buying now needed. All this in an environment which makes folks think the war news is actually the thing driving markets....