Corn Leads USDA Export Inspections, Soybeans Follow
USDA inspections for export in the week ending Mar. 26 (mln bu); #corn 70.4, grain sorghum 7.1, #soybeans 21.5, #wheat 13.4 #oatt
Powell Claims Inflation Expectations Still Well Anchored
POWELL: INFLATION EXPECTATIONS REMAIN WELL ANCHORED - Bloomberg. *Inflation expectations (breakevens), below. "Well anchored?" https://t.co/oWnwOzgMcY
Markets Price 5bps of Rate Cuts This Year
Cuts winning out vs hikes now. Market net pricing 5 bps of cuts this year https://t.co/jSHybRo8Ni
The Dollar’s Secret Global Journey: Cash Hoards to Stablecoins
💵From Belarus vaults to Miami cash hubs, the U.S. dollar has a global life most of us never see. Former Fed economist, Ruth Judson, joins me on the podcast to unpack global cash hoards, counterfeit networks, and the rise...
NYA Bull Trend Holds, Testing Rising Channel Top
Bull trend remains in play for the $NYA index Testing the top of its rising channel with RSI a little lofty. $SPY $QQQ $TLT https://t.co/toEmLdxINB
Powell Says Fed Tools Can't Curb Supply Shocks, Halting Hikes
*POWELL: FED'S TOOLS HAVE NO MEANINGFUL EFFECT ON SUPPLY SHOCKS This is in my opinion the right take, and it completely punctures the probability of rate hikes in the US. They are going to sit this one through
Iran War Creates Unprecedented Oil Shortage, No Spare Capacity
The Iran war has disrupted a greater share of oil supplies than any previous shock. And this time, there is virtually no spare capacity available to make up the gap. @wsj
US Diesel Prices Soar Above $190 on Tight Margins
Brent Crude: $114/bbl US diesel crack spread (refining margin): $77/bbl US diesel wholesale market price > $190 per barrel
Three Essentials for Long‑Term Compound Investing
The ultimate investing framework visualization by @safalniveshak: ✅ High-quality business ✅ Owner-oriented managers ✅ Compelling valuations If you don’t have all three, you don't have a long-term compounder. This funnel from Vishal Khandelwal is a must-bookmark for any serious investor.
Portfolios Hit Harder Than Nifty: Rethink Investing
New podcast: A discussion on how portfolios have been disproportionately battered (compared to the Nifty at least) and what are the ways to think about your investments: https://t.co/3XSKkOGrBV
Zero Rates Fueled Stock Surge; Rising Yields Restore Choice
Here's why the last 20(ish) years of stock market returns were so extraordinary, and somewhat predictable. After the 2008 financial crisis, the Fed slashed interest rates to essentially zero and kept them there for years, so cash and bonds paid...
Opening SPY Strength Sold Off; Mixed, Unconvincing Market
$spy morning glance as opening strength was sold in first 30 minutes. Very mixed stock action. Not very compelling https://t.co/YdmQWdWFF2
Calling for Short Trade Amid Rally,
Need this guy to go short today for a rally Aka the new Cramer https://t.co/zf7l5xKmaB
Powell Warns Confidence Precedes Grasp of Rising Risks
Powell downplays dissent on the Fed's board and says you would expect disagreement when there are both downside employment and upside inflation risks that are growing. "Confidence is what you feel before you really understand the problem."
Liquidity, Not Valuation, Drives SPY's Downward Moves
$SPY can be ‘cheap’ and still go lower. Valuation isn’t a catalyst. Liquidity is. And liquidity doesn’t care about your spreadsheet. https://t.co/pbRg1YLM5V
Buying the Dip Delivers Strong Long‑term Market Gains
No one knows how long a correction will last when you're in it But buying stocks when they are down tends to be a good long-term strategy A look at what happens when you buy the stock market down 10%, 20% and...
Gold Correction Won't Dent Earnings; War May Spark Rally
New audio podcast with bullion dealer @MoneyMetals... We discuss the potential impacts of the war, the recent correction in gold and why it won’t affect earnings that much, and what could lead the next leg higher in #gold stocks. Begins at the...
USD Poised for Post‑month‑end Reversal Despite Current Hedging
Month end comes at a most interesting time for the DXY. The market was super complacent in early March and now appears to be hedged a fair bit as risk reversals have blown out in EURUSD etc (bid for EUR puts). I...
Provincial and Federal Support Cuts Municipal Development Fees
Today We Will Have The Announcement Of The Provincial & Federal Governments Supporting The Reduction Of Municipal Development Fees Let's endorse this Everything that reduces Taxes is an unqualified GOOD THING Because Canadians are over taxed And Development Fees went NUTS
Semis Dragging Down, Targeting Low‑Mid 300s
Semiconductors are leading the downside to kick off the week. Wouldn't hate seeing low-to-mid 300s for some longer-term adds. $SMH https://t.co/Ucxvgogf5w
Euro Faces Steepest Quarterly Drop Since 2024
Euro is poised for worst quarter since 2024 as oil shock bites https://t.co/Z3N3DfLpbB via @vkaramanis_fx https://t.co/yjLvpdnvVF
AI Risks, Gifting Strategies, Estate Planning for Advisers
🆕 Adviser links: gifting business interests, common estate planning questions, and how AI can interfere with a client-adviser relationship. https://t.co/2RIWP8oFsu chart: https://t.co/v0NmNP4knY https://t.co/rcAIkfpp3A
Sysco Moves Into Cash‑and‑carry with Restaurant Depot Acquisition
Big news as @Sysco announces the acquisition of Restaurant Depot. While broadline has done well, cash-n-carry distribution continues to do well & this gets Sysco into a segment that it has historically avoided. This is from last year but growth is...
AVGO Holds Above 299 Pivot; Below Triggers 245 Target
$AVGO - So far in this downtrend it has held above the support of the yearly pivot at 299.60. If it closes the week below 299 the next downside target would be the 100 week MA that is currently at...
Mid‑Cap Shooting Star Signals Buyer Exhaustion, Potential Pullback
$MDY Quarterly. Pending tomorrow's close, the overlooked mid-caps on track for doozy of a shooting star reversal quarterly candlestick, indicative of buyer exhaustion. Late-2024 saw similar before correction https://t.co/TkUDiNdcYh
London Sets Direction, NY Session to Confirm Moves
This is the part in the game where you identify the correct move London showed us a direction With little to no pullbacks and or retest at all Now we’ve got to watch NY session for continuation It just gave us...
Energy Rally Signals Macro Stress, Not Rotation
Energy leadership is getting absurd: XLE/SPY up ~42% in 3 months. That’s not a ‘rotation’. That’s a macro stress signal wearing an equity costume. https://t.co/QVnWJHwVgi
S&P 500 Bullish Streak Ends After 43 Weeks
it's been 43-weeks since the S&P 500 $SPX turned 13/34-week bullish on the weekly chart... https://t.co/tzY8LM46AG
Traders Bet Private Lending Risks with Long-Dated Puts
While digging around seeing how people are trading the Private Lending situation led to some interesting OTM longer dated put purchases in $BX $APO and $FSK from last week - https://t.co/10pm9cs0Bw
REPE Funds Force Cap Rate Compression for Rapid Gains
How “The Game” works in Institutional Real Estate Private Equity A lot of people know that when cap rates go down RE investors make a lot of money. Most investors rely on a lucky market to do it But what if you...
Meta’s Decade‑Long Resilience Tested by Crises
Meta price and EPS charts in the last decade, marked with every major crisis. Will it weather the storm this time? Detailed analysis 👇🏼 $META
Foreign Investment Drops Sharply One Year After Liberation Day
As we approach the 1-year anniversary of "Liberation Day" this week, @sdonnan reports that new foreign investment in the US was actually down significantly last year: https://t.co/s1wGG4RQiu
Nvidia Fails to Hit $170, Price Drops; More Puts Sold
Nvda didn’t even test $170 and is red now. Sold a few more puts from last week
Big Tech's YTD Decline Outpaces S&P, Margins Squeeze
Big Tech is selling off faster than the market. S&P 500 -6.9% YTD Big Tech (MAGS) -15.9% YTD $MSFT -26.2% YTD Capex hit $37.5B in a single quarter. Gross margins dropped to 68% (3-year low). Free cash flow is under pressure. AI is scaling,...
SPY Faces Negative Gamma Near 635, Watch 640 Resistance
Net Gamma Exposure for $SPY shows elevated negative exposure at $634-$635. I have resistance currently at $640, where positive exposure is slightly building. Be cautious of catalysts, Trump claims to be "close" to a deal.
Trump Pump Fades as Market Doubts President, Capitulation Looming
As expected, the "Trump Pump" losing its power... All pops being sold into aggressively, the market no longer trusting the President's words. A final flush (capitulation) likely lies ahead before a durable reversal.
War and AI Doubts Split S&P Price From Earnings
S&P 500 12M forward earnings estimates 8% S&P 500 8% War and AI doubts have fueled an unprecedented divergence between stock prices and earnings estimates https://t.co/op1buWsF30 https://t.co/F9QcLD2WC2
Junk Credit Spreads Widening, Still Early In Trend
Junk credit spreads are certainly widening, but if this is going to become a meaningful move, we are not even out of the first inning. https://t.co/KwASCn8uAh
Choose the Right 401(k) Move After Leaving Job
If you quit your job, you have 3 choices for your 401k: 1. Leave as is. Good if you have low fees. 2. Rollover to IRA. Good if your 401k has high fees, but impacts Backdoor Roth. No ERISA protection. 3....
Brent May Futures Expire, June Takes Over at $108
A reminder that the Brent May futures contract, currently trading ~$115 a barrel, expires tomorrow. From Wednesday, the front-month futures would be the Brent June contract, currently trading at ~$108 a barrel. Liquidity has already moved from May to...
Rio Silver Jumps
Rio Silver $RYO.V $RYOOF. +9.88% Bolting higher at the open and still not far from where Eric Sprott bought in! https://t.co/iJWIPdLj2q
Brent Bulls Trim Positions Amid Hints of Negotiations
Wartime Brent bulls only slightly deflected by talk about talks Investors trimmed bullish positions in Brent slightly early last week after the U.S. government paused plans to attack Iran’s electricity generation plants and announced it was making progress in negotiations to...
S&P 500’s War‑Era Sell‑Off Remains Surprisingly Orderly
This feels like the most orderly sell-off of all time These are the daily moves in the S&P 500 since the start of the war No big down days yet at all https://t.co/atbg2iids3
Investors Favor Nuclear Miners, Shun Capital‑Heavy Space Tech
ListingTrack Weekly Theme Recap (Week Ending 03/27/26) This week, Nuclear strength concentrated in uranium miners and integrated nuclear utilities, while SMR developers and safety/fuel‑tech names faced renewed selling. New Space, by contrast, traded lower overall: Satellogic delivered a standout move on...
Hormuz Strait Events Differ From Administration's Claims
What’s really going on in the straight of Hormuz is NOT what the admin is saying
S&P 500 Valuation Drops 17% as Earnings Surge 14%
Worth pointing out that the $SPX multiple has compressed 17% and now stands at 19x forward estimates. And at the same time earning are accelerating and are now expected to grow 14% y/y.
Energy Price Surge Set to Push US CPI Above 3%
For most of the past three years, falling energy prices had been helping to push the US inflation rate (CPI) lower. But that tailwind will soon become a headwind, with prices of Oil and Gas spiking on a YoY basis. CPI...
Athlete Council Launches to Transform Financial Education
Introducing the JPMorganChase Athlete Council. Guided by real experiences to help shape the future of financial education. https://lnkd.in/gbATFWer
Kharg Island's Role in US‑Iran Oil Tactics
Can the US "take the oil" from Iran? Does Kharg Island matter? And what can the GCC do about developing bypass pipelines? I discuss with @BeckyCNN @CNN
Navigating Credit Stress: Dislocations, Liquidity, and Private Risk
Credit markets are shaped by dislocations, liquidity, and risk. Kieran Goodwin of Saba Capital speaks to three decades in credit, risks in private credit, and positioning for stress. https://t.co/oiutNgtCW9 With thanks to @AlphaSenseInc, @MorningstarInc, and Ridgeline.