Analysts Value Netflix so Highly It’d Trade at 14x P/E
Love the anecdote about Nygren’s analyst pitching Netflix: - Anecdotal survey showed his colleagues valued Netflix higher than any other subscription - If Netflix raised its price to their level, it would have traded at 14x P/E https://t.co/SlDjNAkwbF https://t.co/cVAQ97b2Pr
Brent to Rise $10‑15 Post‑Hormuz, If No Recession
♦️It’s important to remember where we stood in early February compared to now. ♦️Here’s why: 🔹Before the Hormuz crisis, the expectation was for Brent crude to remain range-bound in the $60s, with only occasional spikes. 🔹Once the dust settles — a couple...
Trump Postpones Iran Strike; Hormuz Tension Rattles Oil Markets
Trump delays Iran attacks to 6 April, but Strait of Hormuz risk keeps oil and supply chains on edge. https://www.metalnomist.com/2026/03/trump-delays-iran-attacks-as-strait-of.html
Even with Explosive Growth, I Hard‑reject ONDS at $9.11
Deep Dive Full Thesis - Is ONDS a BUY now at $9.11? $7M Revenue to $3.86B Market Cap in 15 Months — 10 Acquisitions, $1.8B Raised, 217% Dilution… Why I Still Say Hard Reject at $9.11 Recent Institutional Rating: - Northland Capital Markets...
Ackman Buys Meta at 15% Discount, P/E Below 20‑Year Average
Bill Ackman added $META at $625 you can buy here for 15% off at a P/E of 22 below its 20 year avg of 27!
Earnings Outlook Determines Whether Stocks or Bonds Look Cheap
If forward earnings estimates materialize, a lot of stocks seem pretty cheap. If earnings estimates don’t materialize, bonds seem cheap.
Brent Crude Hits New High, Up 59% Since War
Nearby Brent Crude Oil Futures made a new closing high today. Up 59% since the war began. https://t.co/659nwQCHcc
Monthly $300 S&P 500:
Invest $300/month into the S&P 500 and let time do the work: Year 5: $23,290 Year 10: $61,804 Year 15: $130,016 Year 20: $229,302 Year 25: $402,878 Year 30: $683,657 Consistency > timing. Start early. Stay consistent.
Market Underestimates Ukrainian Hits on Russian Fuel Exports
Feels to me like the effects of Ukrainian attacks on Russian oil and diesel export capacity is underappreciated by the market.
Buying Deep Into Undervalued Cash‑Rich Marketplace
Bought a lot today. And all week. A marketplace trading below 1x trailing EV/aEBITDA with nearly two-thirds of its market cap in net cash. The lower it goes, the more I buy.
ARK Pivots From Chips to Biotech, Trims High‑beta Semis
Macro: ARK shifts from semiconductors to biotech. Key: sold ~$38M NVDA; bought $0.34M ARCT. Risk: tech momentum reversal. Trade: trim high-beta semiconductors. — Viktor Kopylov, PhD, CFA More insights: t.me/si14Kopylov
7-Day System Turns Trading Guesswork Into Clarity
From confusion to clarity in 7 days. ⚡ No more bouncing between strategies. No more guessing. Just a system that made sense… and actually worked in real time. That’s when everything changed. 📊 #TraderLife #Futures #VWAPWave
Consider Extending Your Long VIX Position
Well worth a read. I've been long VIX for a few weeks now - but maybe not enough.
A Will Isn't a Complete Estate Plan
Everyone knows what a will is. Almost nobody knows what it actually can't do. A will can't bypass probate. A will can't protect assets from your creditors. A will can't prevent a contested estate. A will can't control how your money is used after...
Extreme Fear Level 10 Signals Upcoming Bullish Turn
#SPX: This level of extreme fear (10) has been seen at previous bottoms, including those that preceded bear market rallies in 2022. The shortest bounce before lower lows occurred in 2025. A bullish divergence is now appearing, which validates the...
NVDA Drop Threatens Tech, Watch SMH Support Level
$NVDA breakdown problematic for Tech as Equal-weighted Tech ETF $RSPT also violated support today @IBDinvestors @marketsurge New charts like below found here: https://t.co/XW54gpjWXm While this might find strong support initially near 160-3, it will be important for SMH to hold 370. ...
Avoid New Longs on Lantern Amid Manipulation Risk
Lantern -47% after false CEO-exit claim; company denies. FDA IND and orphan status support pipeline. Risk: market manipulation. Trading insight: avoid new longs until webcast clarity. — Viktor Kopylov, PhD, CFA. More insights: t.me/si14Kopylov
Trump Tariffs Are Strangling US‑China Trade, Data Shows
WSJ: How Trump’s Tariffs Are Choking U.S.-China Trade (with AMAZING charts) by @hannahmiao_ & @CloudberryRoque 🤓 👉🏻 https://t.co/vNeIUWWiqm https://t.co/GB3I7d35ly
Pros Evaluate Whole Portfolio; Amateurs Focus on Single Trades
CNBC-type amateurs grade the process one position at a time. Pros grade the portfolio over a Full Investing Cycle. That's not a philosophy difference. That's the whole ballgame https://t.co/oOOFG3WLfk
Rental Owners: Hire a CPA, Keep More Money
Someone needs to hear this. If you own a rental property, it’s time to stop getting your taxes done at H&R Block. You’re leaving money money on the table by not hiring a cpa.
Earnings Drive AI Stock Gains, but Accounting Tricks Matter
Earnings growth supports stock price growth in the AI era. But do factors like extending the useful lives of tangible assets, aggressively capitalising costs rather than expensing them, and share buybacks also play a role?
Nasdaq's 10% Dip Sparks Instant Backlash, as Expected
Only a 10% correction in the Nasdaq, and can already feel the nasty comments starting to pop up on the podcast feed like clockwork
Gulf Aluminum Plants Supply 9% Globally, Tightening Markets
The facilities in Saudi Arabia, Bahrain, Qatar, the UAE, and Oman account for roughly 9% of global primary aluminum. This is going to tighten supply for many key global industries like construction, vehicles, and aerospace. #aluminum #iranwar #geopolitics https://t.co/qO2ERCGHMN
Gold Ignoring Yields Signals Q2’s Biggest Move
Gold and Silver Paradigm everyone is ignoring; The correlation that everyone trades on—Oil up, Gold down—just got deleted. And if you don't understand what happens when Gold stops caring about yields, you're about to miss the biggest move of Q2.
Sanctions Keep Russia's War Windfall in Check
New at THE OVERSHOOT: Russia's Iran War Windfall in Perspective https://t.co/YgLaalkQxU As long as financial sanctions and export controls remain in place, the aggressor's gains from higher oil and gas prices will be limited. https://t.co/MWwrDIs9pR
Communication Services Hit Record Oversold Level Since 2021
Communication services didn't get this oversold during the Covid crash or last April. In fact, today's record oversold reading breaks the record from November 2021, when XLC was just starting its 47% drawdown https://t.co/XAW6pr2t4B
Rising Inflation Threatens Balanced Portfolios Like 2022
Fears of re-accelerating inflation obliterating balanced portfolios, just like they did in 2022. https://t.co/S7laKGwQLC https://t.co/oLsV6wsuXf
Rotate Streaming Services to Watch only What You Need
Netflix is raising their prices again. This is exactly why we rotate our streaming services each month. We sign up for Netflix when there’s actually a show we want to watch, then cancel once we’ve watched it. This way, we...
Nasdaq Slides Into Correction Amid Rate Hikes, Geopolitics
Nasdaq officially in correction territory as rates push higher and geopolitical tensions keep markets on edge. We break down what’s driving the volatility, key levels to watch, and how to navigate this swing trading environment in this week's episode $SPY $QQQ $IEF...
Withdraw 8% From 7% Returns → Inevitable Depletion
I don’t need to be a millionaire for this to be true: 7 - 8 = -1 The stock market, after inflation, has returned about 7%. If you are withdrawing 8%, what does that leave you with over time? BROKE. 🍞🍞🍞🍞🍞🍞🍞 This...
Ondas' Strong Balance Sheet Fuels Revenue, Buy on Pullback
Macro: Ondas' stronger balance sheet reduces dilution risk; revenue accelerates. Key: $1.5B cash, backlog +240%, FY26 guide $375M. Risks: 35% short interest, elevated OPEX. Trade: buy on pullback; target $23. 📈 — Viktor Kopylov, PhD, CFA More insights: t.me/si14Kopylov
Developer Incentives Drive Unwise Construction, Fueled by Investor Money
What ~everyone in this debate misses: Institutional developers, who build most new supply (at least in large metros), aren't using their own $$. They are using investor $$. And the terms of the deals give them large developer fees, which are generally...
Agriculture Prices Break 20-Year Barrier, Set to Surge
It’s official. Agricultural commodities have broken through a nearly 20-year resistance level. I expect this move to accelerate from here. When energy moves, agriculture tends to follow — it’s a natural lag in the macro setup. Be mindful of the social and political consequences...
Our Signals Use Fractal Algo, Not Simple Momentum
I get that you're trying to learn. That's great. You're also quick to pass judgment on both the Signals and my teammates (sometimes innacurately). That's not how I roll. TRADE, TREND and TAIL Signal Levels are built using a proprietary Fractal...
Avoid Fake Breakouts; Use Confluence for Reliable Trades
Learn my 9 year breakout trading strategy in LESS than 60 seconds ⚡️ Everyone is always chasing the wrong breakouts and getting faked out, the fact is, you’re chasing over highs with zero confluence. Let’s fix that. #daytrading #stockmarket #momentum #tradingeducation...
Houthis Warn Red Sea Escalation Amid Iran War
Houthis Threaten Red Sea Escalation as Iran War Risks Spreading to Second Shipping Chokepoint https://t.co/9Nypu2iQHO
Stable 3‑Month Volatility Spike Signals Deepening Market Fear
A 3 month stable uptrend in implied volatility is a very rare and negative signal. Market participants are getting more and more afraid of a market decline. There may be more pain to go before there is a capitulation event.
Questioning SPX Earnings Surge Amid Short Covering
I'm in the midst of covering all of my equity shorts and going long. But jeez just checked SPX NTM Bloomberg consensus earning of 334 vs 277 trailing or 20.6% expected earnings growth. Honestly is there a legitimate...
Pending Home Sales Remain Positive Year‑Over‑Year
Housing data is still postive year over year with our weekly pending sales data; if there were no war, it would have easily grown in 2026. In any case, more on this with the weekend tracker. 🫡
SPX Nears Downside Target as Crypto Hits New Lows
This isn't a new call, but i had a nice discussion w/ James Connor who hosts Bloor Street Capital earlier this week, & here's a small snippet. $SPX now getting closer to initial downside target for early...
NASDAQ 100 Enters Correction, Down 10% From October Highs
NASDAQ IN CORRECTION TERRITORY The NASDAQ 100 $QQQ just closed the day down by 10% from its most recent October highs the technical definition of a Correction 🔴🔴🔴🔴🔴🔴🔴🔴🔴🔴
SPX Hits Predicted Support Faster Than Expected
March 21st: With the macro & fundamentals laid out, I gave my crash risk levels last week on break of 6508: "Let’s just say $6427 SPX is my next level for ‘support’ bounce before $6215 SPX with overshoot to $6100 by mid-May." Clearly,...
Iran War Threatens Global Fertilizer Supply, Endangers Food Security
The Iran war has crippled Middle East production/shipments of fertilitizer and upstream inputs, threatening global food supplies. That could be bad for rich countries - and disastrous for poor ones. https://t.co/YLuPd0NrWM https://t.co/FPLfLjAOYy
Housing Shortage: Affordable, Desired Homes Missing in Prime Locations
I too have studied "housing square footage per capita" very deeply. Except rather than looking at it from the macro level, I approach it from the bottom of ... aka floorplans. And I looked at it from the multifamily lens,...
Stocks Return to July Levels After Sharp Decline
The stock market has gone down so much that it is back to its levels of last July.
Crude Prices Edge Higher Amid Hormuz Stalemate
🛢️ OIL & IRAN WAR CONTEXT WEEKLY 🛢️ Crude prices rose modestly on the week after recovering from a Trump jawbone-driven rout on Monday given no real resolution to the Hormuz stoppage, and term structure keeps getting tighter. Summary below, link to...
Broad Market Slump Pushes Dozens to 52‑week Lows
All these stocks hit new 52 WEEK LOWS at some point today Adobe $ADBE Visa $V Draftkings $DKNG Trade Desk $TTD Ares Capital $ARCC Avantor $AVTR Baxter $BAX Broadridge $BR Dutch $BROS Corebridge $CRBG Costar $CSGP Cintas $CTAS Doordash $DASH Dropbox $DBX Domino's Pizza $DPZ Elastic $ESTC Fiserv $FISV Floor & Decor $FND Gen Digital $GEN HDFC Bank $HDB Lennox $LII Lululemon...
My Top Stock's 3 Wildest Price Moves
Top 3 craziest price action I’ve ever seen, on my top stock at that 🤣 #daytrading #stockmarket #momentum #tradingeducation #howtotrade
60/40 Portfolio Faces Biggest Monthly Drop Since 2022
A rough end to the trading week for both US stocks and bonds, worsening a month where the classic “diversified” 60/40 portfolio is experiencing its steepest monthly loss since 2022. #economy #markets #bonds #stocks #investing #investors
Western Markets Rise, Middle East Falls, Gold Steadies at $4100/Oz
How the west was won, the MidEast was lost & $4100/oz gold held https://t.co/VJQ1W1pdz5 #forex #XAUUSD $GLD