My Top Stock's 3 Wildest Price Moves
Top 3 craziest price action I’ve ever seen, on my top stock at that 🤣 #daytrading #stockmarket #momentum #tradingeducation #howtotrade
60/40 Portfolio Faces Biggest Monthly Drop Since 2022
A rough end to the trading week for both US stocks and bonds, worsening a month where the classic “diversified” 60/40 portfolio is experiencing its steepest monthly loss since 2022. #economy #markets #bonds #stocks #investing #investors
Western Markets Rise, Middle East Falls, Gold Steadies at $4100/Oz
How the west was won, the MidEast was lost & $4100/oz gold held https://t.co/VJQ1W1pdz5 #forex #XAUUSD $GLD
NVDA Breaks 200‑Day Average at $167
$167 $NVDA now and cut through the 200 DMA like butter. The updates can now conclude.
Live at 5pm ET: How to Spot Market Bottoms
I'll be going live at 5pm ET Talking through my process for spotting a stock market bottom. Tune in! https://t.co/wEveAsmn98
Bulls Must Hold 630, 625 Break Triggers Vacuum
Some hopeful bull AVWAP levels still in play as price pulls into the Post-Election Night + pre-Liberation Day anchored zones. Bulls need to hold 630. Break below 625 and we enter vacuum territory. $SPY https://t.co/rtPIsNhfEN
Unfilled QQQ Gaps and Grim SPX Signal Warn Contrarians
And so we go into the weekend with two unfilled gaps in $QQQ and a rather ominous-looking $SPX chart. I suspect that absent a dramatic tweet sentiment might be pretty gloomy over the weekend... and that contrarians might take notice. https://t.co/voHUQKVB2z
Prioritize Emergency Fund, Debt, and Investing Before Trusts
I was contacted today by someone making $20/hour who is asking about setting up a trust for asset protection purposes. At that income level, focus on wealth building. The real priorities: • Build an emergency fund • Pay down high-interest debt • Invest...
Dragonfly Premium Top 10 Gains 54.5bp Weekly
Dragonfly Capital Premium Top 10 Equal Weighted added 54.5bp on the week using 60% of capital. YTD +12.96% https://t.co/b4n2bgl7Cl https://t.co/PuQHzHIraB
S&P 500 Breaks Low, Eyes 6,212 Target
$SPX - Today it broke below last week's low and closed at 6369. The minimal target is the August low at 6212 but it could drop to as low as the late 2024 high at 6100 which preceded the tariff...
Energy, Materials, Utilities, Consumer Staples Lead Gains; Tech, Communications Falter
$XLE $XLB $XLU $XLP nice gains this week $XLRE $XLV $XLI $XLY $XLF modest losses $XLK $XLC rekt @KoyfinCharts https://t.co/3l41610FAi
Worst Friday and Week Since War Began
Fridays are the worst days since the war started, and this was the worst Friday and the worst week we’ve had since the war started. https://t.co/xxN8D9c8eX $SPY $QQQ $IWM https://t.co/dVGG3Sq1sk
VIX Hits Highest Since 2025, Predicts 2.2% Rise
1-day $VIX highest since Tax Day 2025 33.5.. implying a 2.2% move by Monday's close https://t.co/VEUpmCMZmc
Market Slashes Feb Rate‑cut Odds; Fed Put Dead
The market was pricing a 100% chance of rate cuts in February. That number is now 16%. The Fed put is dead.
QQQ Mini Crash May Dip to 540, Testing 2025 High
$QQQ - The mini crash continues. The minimal target is the August low at 551 but it could drop to as low as 540 and retest the early 2025 high that preceded the tariff crash last year. https://t.co/DCFzwtREO5
US Envoy Announces Upcoming Iran‑US Talks
US special envoy to the Middle East Witkoff says that Iran and US will hold talks soon https://t.co/TVVUeaYqaZ
Bank Flows Explain $3 Trillion China Surplus‑Reserve Gap
As I mentioned on Wednesday, there is a $3 trillion gap between China's accumulated current account surplus since the pandemic and China's unchanged reserves (and a corresponding gap in visible flows into the US) Bank flows make up most of the...
Lock‑in Effect Keeps Sub‑3% Mortgages Alive, ARMs Plummet
Update on the “Lock-in Effect” in the Housing Market: Below-3% & 4% Mortgages Fade Very Slowly. Share of ARMs originations fell further and is at historic lows: FHFA’s National Mortgage Database https://t.co/ZUvlUdW3RE https://t.co/bqPa12CUrs
Nasdaq 100 Faces First Consecutive 2% Drops Since Liberation Day
Poised for the first back-to-back 2% losses in the Nasdaq 100 since the two sessions following Liberation Day $QQQ
Homebuilders, Banks, Utilities, Materials, Europe Rally Amid QQQ Dip
This week: $QQQ -3.3% $VEU -0.2% $IJR +1.1% Homebuilders, regional banks, Utes, Materials, and Europe(!) nicely up last 5 days. https://t.co/5i4ZlLx6rI
Gold Likely to Hit Multi-Year Low, 75% Chance
Hey @PeterSchiff I am giving it a 75% probability that this week's low or maybe slightly lower will be the low for Gold for years to come https://t.co/tXbWvueWh7
Euro‑zone Sees Biggest Price Surge Since 2022
Biggest euro-zone price jump since 2022 seen in first G-20 data https://t.co/kl1LZfnzhJ via @CraigStirling https://t.co/UT73y7yUEV
Liquidity Crunch, Not Recession, Will Trigger Next Market Crash
Hot take: the next drawdown won’t be “a recession.” It’ll be a liquidity accident. Dollar firm. FX carry crowded. Credit tightens quietly. Then everyone acts shocked. Markets don’t blow up from headlines. They blow up from plumbing. https://t.co/oS1ebUhkzJ
Urea Prices Surge to 2022 High, Threatening Farmers
This week, New Orleans granular urea prices, the most common nitrogen fertilizer, spiked to their HIGHEST LEVEL since September 2022. THIS HITS FARMERS HARD. It comes right before the spring planting season. FARMERS CAN SEND THE BILL TO TRUMP & NETANYAHU. https://t.co/5Kv6ZSVIjM
San Rafael Shifts From 30-Year Housing Freeze to Rapid Build
San Rafael, a city that hasn't permitted 1,600 homes over the past 30 years combined, is on gearing up to build ~1,600 homes in the next two or three years alone. https://t.co/XNcGIGM2zZ
Even Top‑rated Stocks Often Lag the Market over Five Years
The chart below should teach you something. I curated a list of above-average companies, many of which are considered "investor darlings," yet the majority of them underperformed the index over FIVE (!) years. $FICO $V $MA $SPGI $AMZN $MELI $RACE
S&P 500 Faces Rare 5‑Week Dip Near All‑Time High
Random: The S&P 500 is going to record a 5-week losing streak while closing within -10% of its ATH weekly close. The precedent: 3/27/2026 10/6/2000 4/11/1997 2/10/1984 5/28/1971 1/3/1969 3/18/1966...
California Housing Boom Fuels Odd Mixed‑use Projects
He's joking, and this is an absurd example, but expect to see more weird mixed-use development as it gets easier to build housing in California and harder to build anything else. I'm aware of one self-storage project that added ~30...
Iran's FM Warns 60/40 Portfolio Hits 2022 Low
Iranian Foreign Minister dooming on how the 60/40 portfolio has performed worst since 2022 https://t.co/6DF87cVo4R
EUR/USD Selloff Accelerates; Bottom Remains Unclear
Euro Q2 Outlook: EUR/USD Selloff Accelerates – Where Is the Bottom? https://t.co/tcAqDgTQxZ $EURUSD Weekly & Monthly Charts https://t.co/o5x5v4BsVL
Apple’s AI Router Turns Siri Into Revenue Engine
$AAPL just turned Siri into an AI router. That’s the endgame: Apple owns the interface, everyone else pays the toll. iOS 27 = services margin expansion 🚀 This is the bull case for Apple.
High VIX, Risky Leverage: Complacency Masquerades as Courage
If $VIX is in the mid-20s and people are still levering into “quality”… That’s not courage. That’s complacency wearing a suit. Volatility is the invoice. Positioning is the crime scene. https://t.co/bdxED1zPG0
Long‑duration Treasuries Matching S&P Returns Signals Cycle Shift
Long duration Treasuries performance now roughly matches the performance of the S&P 500 from July of last year. Think about that - duration is performing like stocks. That's a cycle shift starting.
S&P Short‑Range Oscillator Improves, Less Oversold
The S&P Short Range Oscillator again moved to be less oversold at -2.85% vs. -3.13%
Bears in Control: Downtrend Unbroken, Stay Bearish
The bears own this tape. The 90-day downtrend line has not been challenged once from below. The 21 EMA is pointing straight down. $6,555. $6,638. $6,688. All broken. All flipped to resistance. RSI at 31 is not a buy signal. In a...
Markets Misjudge Risks: War Threats Underestimated, Private Credit Overrated
In my view, markets are underestimating systemic risks of Middle East War and overestimating systemics risks of private credit
AI Flags Growing SPY Weakness: Warning Signs Confirmed
This is a AI summary of my Friday videos from the last 4 weeks. I asked it to analyze the market bias expressed for the following week. I overlaid those on the chart of the $SPY. The warning...
Market Calm Amid Broad Weakness and Record Lows
S&P 500 off 6.7% year to date. NYSE stocks > 200 day moving average near 46% vs 15% last April. Nasdaq new 52 week lows 350 ish vs 1100 last April. There is NO fear in this mkt, yet.
How the U.S. Can Counter China’s Tech Dominance
Rebecca Fannin, author of THE NEW TECH TITANS OF CHINA on how the U.S. can respond to China’s growing lead in several tech areas including batteries, energy, EVs and AI. https://t.co/DFOk3yJikn
Adopt This Strategy, Forget Market Crashes Forever
The Strategy That Made Me Stop Caring About The Stock Market Crash #stockmarket #marketcrash #optiontrading #tradingstrategy
US Soybean Exports to China Plunge to 19‑Year Low
🇺🇸🇨🇳At the White House on Friday, Trump said: “American soybeans are now being shipped to China in record amounts.” Unless something unexpectedly changes, 2025/26 U.S. soybean exports to China are on track to be: ▪️a 19-year low ▪️down 58% from the five-year average...
Investors Flee Large Caps, Target Small‑Cap Short Squeezes
As the market corrects - money is SHIFTING into small cap stocks to get away from the uncertainty in large caps - have you been listening to these short squeezes? #daytrading #stockmarket #momentum #tradingeducation #howtotrade
India's Export Bans Could Sway Global Rice, Sugar Prices
Decent odds we see some export bans for key commodities where India can move global prices (eg rice, sugar)
Citi Holds S&P 500 Target Despite Iran Tensions and Pullback
Citi holds firm on S&P 500 target despite Iran tensions and the current market pullback ... the market won't bottom until the sellside slashes YE targets https://t.co/wcQjQH879W
Housing Guidance Expected to Tighten Earlier in 2026
Last year it took until early summer for the housing industry to throw in the towel and lower guidance across the board (namely housing starts). Thinking we pull the timing of that directional guidance revision forward a few months in...
US Office Vacancy Drops Slightly, Sunbelt Leads Recovery
A glimmer of hope for offices. US vacancy falls 2 % points Though 17.6% vacancy shows there's still a long way to go. #Tech-heavy metros like #Seattle #Austin #SanFran still struggle w/#Sunbelt leads way w/12.8% #realestate #CRE #pandemic #NYC #DC...
LNG, VG, NEXT Surge After Australian LNG Outage
Looks like $LNG, $VG, and $NEXT are going higher and higher after the loss of Australian LNG. https://t.co/aF1BJEMbd2
S&P 500’s First 12 Weeks Tie Worst Ever Performance
Barring a yuuuuge rally into the close, the S&P 500 will have risen only 3 of the first 12 weeks of the year. That's tied for the worst ever. https://t.co/015dH0ndV9
Analysts Forecast 29% S&P 500 Rise in Year
Industry Analysts Project 29% Increase in S&P 500 Price Over the Next 12 Months @factset https://t.co/7KtJzSkyej
S&P 500 Earnings Set for Sixth Double‑digit Quarter
Q1 2026 S&P 500 earnings are projected to grow 13.0% YoY, marking a sixth straight quarter of double-digit gains. @factset https://t.co/9e3Ce7uvHP