Only US and China Can Police Hormuz Strait
This is important especially since US and China are the only countries able to ‘police’ the strait of Hormuz
More Questions About Support Predict Its Breakage
A hot sentiment take - the more questions I get about support levels, the higher the probability that support will be broken.
New Rating Reports Reveal Exact Entry Prices
My Brand-New Rating Reports Are LIVE I’ve just released my Fundamental Entry-Price Analysis on 21 stocks. Complete with my exclusive Buy • Watchlist • Reject Framework. No more guessing. Clear Expected Value (EV) targets show you the exact best price to enter every...
$0.10 Gas Price Hike Adds
“Every $0.10 rise in the price per gallon means over $12bn of additional spending on gasoline versus 2025” - JPM
BoJ Must Emergency Hike to Halt JGB Steepening
genuinely think the BoJ needs to emergency hike. don’t toy with the idea of shorting oil futures (you don’t have the juice for that). Ueda—the JGB steepening can end if you have the courage to do what’s right. https://t.co/cHO1FRRfAf
Iran War's Market Ripple: Key Signposts From Luke Gromen
No better timing than to have @LukeGromen as my guest tonight on The Danny Moses Show @scrippsnews at 7PM ET. We discuss the impact that the war in Iran is having on global markets & what we should be watching....
STIRs Reveal Uncertainty: Inflation vs Growth Slowdown
Not often you see STIRs trying to price hikes and cuts at the same time, but that is the current level of uncertainty. What will dominate in the next few months, inflation or a growth slowdown? Get...
Tech Sector Finds Stability After S&P Cash Drop
@thestreetpro An Observation With S&P cash -65 handles I am seeing some "stability" in the tech sector for the first time in several days. None. BY Doug Kass · Mar 27, 2026
S&P 500 Sheds $3.7 T, Volatility Spikes 40%
This is crazy… The S&P 500 has lost around $3.7 TRILLION in market cap within the last 30 days, dropping 6.4%. Meanwhile, the volatility index is up 40% 😳 Just in the past week, the index is down $1.5 trillion and now...
Switched to Short, Cutting Longs and Tech Exposure
Flipped the book short yesterday. Likely stay that way a while as long as these tops are valid. Sure look to be. Closed almost 100 primary trend positions. Second time weeding out longs in wholesale fashion in a single day...
Broad Market Slumps: All Major Assets Down Double Digits
Drawdown update from the highs: S&P 500 -8.0% R2000 -9.1% Nasdaq 100 -10.7% Gold -17.1% NVDA -18.5% MSFT -33.5% Bitcoin -47.5% HOOD -56.2% https://t.co/YFm4woFV3n
OECD Predicts 4.2% US Inflation, Trump’s Achilles’ Heel
The OECD warns that US inflation will surge to 4.2% this year. As I predicted, the inflation genie will not be put back in the bottle and will remain one of Trump’s Achilles’ heels.
Apple's Bear Flag Signals Short Amid Magnificent 7 Decline
$AAPL Daily. Apple and Alphabet are the only two "Magnificent 7" names still above their 200-day moving averages. But Apple on shaky ground, bear flagging just above it. Short setup. https://t.co/kGAhGuR5hw
China Launches Trade Probes in Response to U.S. Actions
China Hits Back at U.S. With New Trade Probes Ahead of Trump-Xi Summit Beijing responds to investigations by the U.S. that could raise tariffs @pstAsiatech: yes, Beijing will respond to every measure coming from within Beltway, every one.. https://t.co/XZraiO7f8W
China Plays the Long Game Against Trump
How China Is Playing the Long Game With Trump China is always playing the long game... https://t.co/ca5y4Jpyct
Dow's Critical Support Threatened; Break Could Flush Markets
Critical support coming up on the Dow Jones $DJI. A move below could flush markets.
Oil Market's Health Shown by Zero‑stock Longevity Queries
You know the oil market is in a healthy position when I keep getting questions along the lines of "but what if we just drew every global stock/inventory to zero, how long would that buy us?"
Ceasefire Secures Higher, Long‑Term Oil Price Plateau
"Let's just say on Friday we sign a cease fire and all hostilities cease. We are not going back to 60 bucks (per barrel). There's going to be a geopolitical risk premium built into the price of oil... You will...
Weekly Chart Review: Stay Cautious, Avoid Overreaching
Consulting the weekly charts and reminding the audience that you may not want to stick your neck out. https://t.co/WIM9bkH71c https://t.co/ESi6dhTHC3
Gold Futures Yield $550 Profit in Solid Trading Day
Already in gold long term via my options and shares portfolios Made sense to take the trade to the upside via futures Solid day in the futures market - nothing crazy MNQ earlier and now gold during NY session $550...
Investors Should Re‑Think Oil Strategies Amid Geopolitical Shifts
🎙️@DanGreenhaus, Chief Strategist at Solus Alternative Asset Management, joined Dan on the RiskReversal Podcast to discuss oil, geopolitics, and what investors should actually be doing right now. Watch or listen here⤵️ YouTube: https://t.co/4oDI4jZCtw Apple: https://t.co/be7tLqYBWD Spotify: https://t.co/D2BFT1cN2q
Iran Conflict Dims Short‑Term Expectations, Survey Shows
"Expectations Worsen After Start of Military Conflict in Iran, Particularly Over Short Run" - UMichigan sentiment survey https://t.co/w6h4uxLJ0V
Community Banks Fund Deals With 1.25 DSCR
Let’s say you’re looking to buy a real estate deal and want to use a community bank for the financing These lenders will be looking to make sure you satisfy 5 main requirements in order to fund your deal: The 5 lender...
Friday Portfolio Shifts Target Life Alert Market
(PREMIUM) "Tactical Update: March 27, 2026 - The Life Alert Market" Friday portfolio adjustments... via The Lyons Share https://t.co/7xhU1hRpGV https://t.co/LC5NkFzCHY
QQQ Turns $1K Into $27K Over Two Decades
QQQ returns since 2000, ranked from worst to best years: 🔴 2008: -42% 🔴 2002: -37% 🔴 2000: -36% 🔴 2001: -33% 🔴 2022: -33% 🔴 2026: -8% (YTD) 🟢 2018: 0% 🟢 2005: 2% 🟢 2011: 3% 🟢 2006: 7% 🟢 2016: 7% 🟢 2015: 9% 🟢 2004: 11% 🟢 2012: 18% 🟢...
Iran War Cripples Hormuz, Triggers Unprecedented Oil Shock
"The biggest supply disruption in history." The war in Iran has closed the straight of Hormuz, damaged energy infrastructure across the region, and sent shockwaves across the global oil & gas industry. It's so big, it's hard to get your...
Expect SPY Panic at 638, Prepare Backup Plan
Ideally $SPY $638 panic and reversal opportunity post open. If it stays heavy I am going to learn to hunt and fish with @Jackaroo_Trades just in case.
Americans Trust Fed to Tame Inflation Amid New Iran Shock
NEW w/ @bencasselman: Throughout a series of economic shocks that pushed up consumer prices in the past five years, Americans maintained faith that the Fed would eventually get inflation under control. The war with Iran presents another shock that is...
Most Aspiring Traders Fail; Trade Real Futures Instead
OK, let me say it... 95% of you who think you will become this successful active trader driving a Lambo, drinking fine bourbon, taking pics with blonds on a private jet... ...will absolutely fail My advice to you -- PLEASE trade real futures...
Hedge Funds Speak Out as Liquidity‑Driven Split Hits Partners
This week: *Millennium & Engineers Gate have ended their three-year partnership — not because of returns but because of liquidity terms. *The macro scoreboard: it's brutal. *Hedge funds rarely make public statements. This week they did. https://t.co/eZJvFgECEy
Friend Predicts Market Tops Faster than Anyone
I have a normie friend who is the greatest contra-indicator. He has top-ticked (within a day or two) every blowoff top in single-stocks & sectors in the last 5 years. In a recent single-stock parabolic rise he nailed the top within minutes...It's...
Investors Prioritize Earnings, Not Short‑Term Market Noise
What matters in the short run: -Wars -Oil prices -Tariffs -Interest rates -Sentiment -A million other things What matters in the long run: -Earnings Speculators focus on the short run. Investors play the long game. https://t.co/u1oZkcMGCY
Iran Redirects COSCO Vessels, Signaling Hormuz Tension
Looks like all is not well between Iran and China/COSCO as two of their ships were turned around at the toll gate. "COSCO’s ships are a new gauge for Hormuz crisis" https://t.co/i9oWIPHi5V https://t.co/266IvJBUES
5s Belly Pressure Rises as Back Side Flattens
And finally looking at the broad curve, belly (5s) has been under pressure past few weeks mostly driven by the flattening on the back side. Not a fan of 5s generally but it has cheapened a bunch and is...
VIX +60 Spikes Signal Rare Market Crises Ahead
I'm quite nervous, and I spent 2 hours writing why you should be too. Consider: VIX has gone +60 twice in the last ~1.5 years. Once on a positioning debacle (Aug '24) and then again on the self-inflicted wound of April '25...
Iran Oil Embargo Threatens US Treasury Basis Trade
We need to embargo Iranian oil to end this war. Biggest risk from that isn't catastrophically higher oil prices, but vulnerabilities in US financial markets due to the basis trade in the Treasury market and private credit. Those are our...
Markets Brace for Volatility on Friday Opening
This is what markets are facing as we open for the last trading day of the week. https://t.co/F12P7EqHe1 https://t.co/kOToKFnLTg
5‑Year SOFR Swap Spreads Dip Below
5y SOFR swap spreads have been heavy lately and just narrowed below -35 bps. Tactically good level IMO esp with the possibility of reg relief soon https://t.co/fjvHI7HVCz
Cautious Watchlist: Long IBIT, NFLX; Short SLV, NVDA
Morning Watchlist a.k.a. #STICKYNOTE📝📊 Cautious tone to end the week. Global assets are feeling the pressure this morning and options expiry jitters are adding to the early chop. Staying patient and watching these key levels: 👇 🟢 $IBIT 37.00 LONG area: Back...
Memory Stocks Overextended, Vulnerable After Rally
After the big rally, memory stocks are looking super vulnerable. Still very over-extended relative to the 40-week moving averages. $MU $SNDK
ECB Warns June Rate Hike if War Continues
ECB’s Wunsch says rate hike likely if war isn’t over by June https://t.co/DfO5yOLNdf via @FerroTV @lisaabramowicz1 https://t.co/rkEFK0fHSo
Stocks Move Inversely With Oil in One-Variable Market
One-variable markets overwhelm classic market timing metrics like sentiment, technicals and valuation which are more useful in “normal” times. A composite of oil and rates (oil is driving rates too) tells you all you need to know about the direction...
Cut Spending, Invest Smarter, Hit $500K This Year
Not investing enough because of your spending? This helped me hit $500K in investments this year.
Iran War Scenarios Shape New Fed Policy Outlook
Three scenarios for the Iran war and what they mean for Fed policy under new leadership. Plus eight key takeaways from the latest FOMC meeting. 🟢 Open https://t.co/Tx6udRxjvm
Oil Strength Drives Market Bias Amid Mixed Stock Signals
We get to see what is next after yesterdays Big Cap and Tech crash. But once again Oil gaps higher making it harder for the dip buyers to smash. $NFLX showed some relative strength as its raising prices across the...
Plan for Longevity: 95‑Year Retirement Reality
There's something about retirement planning most people never consider: what happens if you live to 95? Let me explain. Most plans are built around averages. Average life expectancy. Average healthcare costs. Average market returns. But averages are built from a range, and the people...
SPX Futures Slip Below Key Levels, Tactical Play Needed
$SPX futures -27 as yesterday’s weakness gets follow-through. $SPX broke 6525 and is now below last Friday’s low of 6473, with tech pressuring the tape and many names at new March lows. Time to get tactical when $SPX breaks the...
Soybean $12 Barrier Demands $100+ Oil, Crop Shortfalls
Soybean's $12 Ceiling Alongside $120 Crude Oil - It may take some combination of WTI crude oil staying above $100 a barrel, a poor Brazilian crop and a Corn Belt drought for soybeans to stay above $12 a bushel. Alongside...
Steepener Trade Finds Relief as Front‑end Yields Rise
The UST 2s5s steepener has been my 'white whale' trade the past year, facing constant pressure from shifting macro drivers. It was first flattened by the AI disruption trade, then crushed by the surge in front-end yields following the outbreak...
Grain Producers Hedge as Futures Signal Mild Profitability
March Selling When They're Yelling in Grains - A takeaway from the March 24-25 Bloomberg Farm, Food & Fuel Summit in Kansas City was that many Corn Belt grain producers used recent price increases to hedge. Corn and soybean futures...